Artificial Neural Network to Predict the Thermal Drawdown of Enhanced Geothermal System

2020 ◽  
Vol 143 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S. N. Pandey ◽  
M. Singh

Abstract This work presents the prediction of thermal drawdown of an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) using artificial neural network (ANN). A three-dimensional numerical model of EGS was developed to generate the training and testing data sets for ANN. We have performed a quantitative study of geothermal energy production for various injection operating conditions and reservoir fracture aperture. Input parameters for ANN include temperature, mass flux, pressure, and fracture transmissivity, while the production well temperature is the output parameter. The Levenberg–Marquardt back-propagation learning algorithm, the tan-sigmoid, and the linear transfer function were used for the ANN optimization. The best results were obtained with an ANN architecture composed of eight hidden layers and 20 neurons in the hidden layer, which made it possible to predict the production temperature with a satisfactory range (R2 > 0.99). An appropriate accuracy of the ANN model was obtained with a percentage error less than (± 4.5). The results from the numerical simulations suggest that fracture transmissivity has less effect on thermal drawdown than the injection mass flux and temperature. From our results, we confirm that ANN modeling may predict the thermal drawdown of an EGS system with high accuracy.

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 6388
Author(s):  
Karim M. El-Sharawy ◽  
Hatem Y. Diab ◽  
Mahmoud O. Abdelsalam ◽  
Mostafa I. Marei

This article presents a control strategy that enables both islanded and grid-tied operations of a three-phase inverter in distributed generation. This distributed generation (DG) is based on a dramatically evolved direct current (DC) source. A unified control strategy is introduced to operate the interface in either the isolated or grid-connected modes. The proposed control system is based on the instantaneous tracking of the active power flow in order to achieve current control in the grid-connected mode and retain the stability of the frequency using phase-locked loop (PLL) circuits at the point of common coupling (PCC), in addition to managing the reactive power supplied to the grid. On the other side, the proposed control system is also based on the instantaneous tracking of the voltage to achieve the voltage control in the standalone mode and retain the stability of the frequency by using another circuit including a special equation (wt = 2πft, f = 50 Hz). This utilization provides the ability to obtain voltage stability across the critical load. One benefit of the proposed control strategy is that the design of the controller remains unconverted for other operating conditions. The simulation results are added to evaluate the performance of the proposed control technology using a different method; the first method used basic proportional integration (PI) controllers, and the second method used adaptive proportional integration (PI) controllers, i.e., an Artificial Neural Network (ANN).


Author(s):  
Sandip K Lahiri ◽  
Kartik Chandra Ghanta

Four distinct regimes were found existent (namely sliding bed, saltation, heterogeneous suspension and homogeneous suspension) in slurry flow in pipeline depending upon the average velocity of flow. In the literature, few numbers of correlations has been proposed for identification of these regimes in slurry pipelines. Regime identification is important for slurry pipeline design as they are the prerequisite to apply different pressure drop correlation in different regime. However, available correlations fail to predict the regime over a wide range of conditions. Based on a databank of around 800 measurements collected from the open literature, a method has been proposed to identify the regime using artificial neural network (ANN) modeling. The method incorporates hybrid artificial neural network and genetic algorithm technique (ANN-GA) for efficient tuning of ANN meta parameters. Statistical analysis showed that the proposed method has an average misclassification error of 0.03%. A comparison with selected correlations in the literature showed that the developed ANN-GA method noticeably improved prediction of regime over a wide range of operating conditions, physical properties, and pipe diameters.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 5188
Author(s):  
Mitsugu Hasegawa ◽  
Daiki Kurihara ◽  
Yasuhiro Egami ◽  
Hirotaka Sakaue ◽  
Aleksandar Jemcov

An artificial neural network (ANN) was constructed and trained for predicting pressure sensitivity using an experimental dataset consisting of luminophore content and paint thickness as chemical and physical inputs. A data augmentation technique was used to increase the number of data points based on the limited experimental observations. The prediction accuracy of the trained ANN was evaluated by using a metric, mean absolute percentage error. The ANN predicted pressure sensitivity to luminophore content and to paint thickness, within confidence intervals based on experimental errors. The present approach of applying ANN and the data augmentation has the potential to predict pressure-sensitive paint (PSP) characterizations that improve the performance of PSP for global surface pressure measurements.


2004 ◽  
Vol 50 (8) ◽  
pp. 103-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
H.K. Oh ◽  
M.J. Yu ◽  
E.M. Gwon ◽  
J.Y. Koo ◽  
S.G. Kim ◽  
...  

This paper describes the prediction of flux behavior in an ultrafiltration (UF) membrane system using a Kalman neuro training (KNT) network model. The experimental data was obtained from operating a pilot plant of hollow fiber UF membrane with groundwater for 7 months. The network was trained using operating conditions such as inlet pressure, filtration duration, and feed water quality parameters including turbidity, temperature and UV254. Pre-processing of raw data allowed the normalized input data to be used in sigmoid activation functions. A neural network architecture was structured by modifying the number of hidden layers, neurons and learning iterations. The structure of KNT-neural network with 3 layers and 5 neurons allowed a good prediction of permeate flux by 0.997 of correlation coefficient during the learning phase. Also the validity of the designed model was evaluated with other experimental data not used during the training phase and nonlinear flux behavior was accurately estimated with 0.999 of correlation coefficient and a lower error of prediction in the testing phase. This good flux prediction can provide preliminary criteria in membrane design and set up the proper cleaning cycle in membrane operation. The KNT-artificial neural network is also expected to predict the variation of transmembrane pressure during filtration cycles and can be applied to automation and control of full scale treatment plants.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafael S. F. Ferraz ◽  
Renato S. F. Ferraz ◽  
Lucas F. S. Azeredo ◽  
Benemar A. de Souza

An accurate demand forecasting is essential for planning the electric dispatch in power system, contributing financially to electricity companies and helping in the security and continuity of electricity supply. In addition, it is evident that the distributed energy resource integration in the electric power system has been increasing recently, mostly from the photovoltaic generation, resulting in a gradual change of the load curve profile. Therefore, the 24 hours ahead prediction of the electrical demand of Campina Grande, Brazil, was realized from artificial neural network with a focus on the data preprocessing. Thus, the time series variations, such as hourly, diary and seasonal, were reduced in order to obtain a better demand prediction. Finally, it was compared the results between the forecasting with the preprocessing application and the prediction without the  preprocessing stage. Based on the results, the first methodology presented lower mean absolute percentage error with 7.95% against 10.33% of the second one.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1844 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jesús Ferrero Bermejo ◽  
Juan F. Gómez Fernández ◽  
Fernando Olivencia Polo ◽  
Adolfo Crespo Márquez

The generation of energy from renewable sources is subjected to very dynamic changes in environmental parameters and asset operating conditions. This is a very relevant issue to be considered when developing reliability studies, modeling asset degradation and projecting renewable energy production. To that end, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models have proven to be a very interesting tool, and there are many relevant and interesting contributions using ANN models, with different purposes, but somehow related to real-time estimation of asset reliability and energy generation. This document provides a precise review of the literature related to the use of ANN when predicting behaviors in energy production for the referred renewable energy sources. Special attention is paid to describe the scope of the different case studies, the specific approaches that were used over time, and the main variables that were considered. Among all contributions, this paper highlights those incorporating intelligence to anticipate reliability problems and to develop ad-hoc advanced maintenance policies. The purpose is to offer the readers an overall picture per energy source, estimating the significance that this tool has achieved over the last years, and identifying the potential of these techniques for future dependability analysis.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (7) ◽  
pp. 2058 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Ahmed Al-AbdulJabbar ◽  
Khaled Abdelgawad

The drilling rate of penetration (ROP) is defined as the speed of drilling through rock under the bit. ROP is affected by different interconnected factors, which makes it very difficult to infer the mutual effect of each individual parameter. A robust ROP is required to understand the complexity of the drilling process. Therefore, an artificial neural network (ANN) is used to predict ROP and capture the effect of the changes in the drilling parameters. Field data (4525 points) from three vertical onshore wells drilled in the same formation using the same conventional bottom hole assembly were used to train, test, and validate the ANN model. Data from Well A (1528 points) were utilized to train and test the model with a 70/30 data ratio. Data from Well B and Well C were used to test the model. An empirical equation was derived based on the weights and biases of the optimized ANN model and compared with four ROP models using the data set of Well C. The developed ANN model accurately predicted the ROP with a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.94 and an average absolute percentage error (AAPE) of 8.6%. The developed ANN model outperformed four existing models with the lowest AAPE and highest R value.


2019 ◽  
Vol 120 ◽  
pp. 01003
Author(s):  
Redden Rose Rivera ◽  
Allan Soriano

The applications of ionic liquids solve a lot of major problems regarding green energy production and environment. Ionic liquids are solvents used as alternative to unfriendly traditional and hazardous solvents which reduces the negative impact to environment to a great extent. This study produced models to predict two of the basic physical properties of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures: density and speed of sound. The artificial neural network algorithm was used to predict these properties by varying the temperature, mole fraction, atom count in cation, methyl group count in cation, atom count in anion, hydrogen atom count in anion of ionic liquid and atom count in ketone. Total experimental data points of 2517 for density and 947 for speed of sound were used to train the algorithm and to test the network obtained. The optimum neural network structure determined for density and speed of sound of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures were 7-9-9-1 and 7-7-4-1 respectively; overall average percentage error of 2.45% and 2.17% respectively; and mean absolute error of 28.21 kg/m3 and 33.91 m/s respectively. The said algorithm was found applicable for the prediction of density and speed of sound of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures.


2012 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norhisham Bakhary ◽  
Khairulzan Yahya ◽  
Chin Nam Ng

Kebelakangan ini ramai penyelidik mendapati ‘Artificial Neural Network’ (ANN) untuk digunakan dalam berbagai bidang kejuruteraan awam. Banyak aplikasi ANN dalam proses peramalan menghasilkan kejayaan. Kajian ini memfokuskan kepada penggunaan siri masa ‘Univariate Neural Network’ untuk meramalkan permintaan rumah kos rendah di daerah Petaling Jaya, Selangor. Dalam kajian ini, beberapa kes bagi sesi latihan dan ramalan telah dibuat untuk mendapatkan model terbaik bagi meramalkan permintaan rumah. Nilai RMSE yang paling rendah yang diperolehi bagi tahap validasi adalah 0.560 dan nilai MAPE yang diperolehi adalah 8.880%. Hasil kajian ini menunjukkan kaedah ini memberikan keputusan yang boleh diterima dalam peramalan permintaan rumah berdasarkan data masa lalu. Kata kunci: Univariate Neural Network, permintaan rumah kos rendah, RMSE, MAPE Recently researchers have found the potential applications of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in various fields in civil engineering. Many attempts to apply ANN as a forecasting tool has been successful. This paper highlighted the application of Time Series Univariate Neural Network in forecasting the demand of low cost house in Petaling Jaya district, Selangor, using historical data ranging from February 1996 to Appril 2000. Several cases of training and testing were conducted to obtain the best neural network model. The lowest Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) obtained for validation step is 0.560 and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is 8.880%. These results show that ANN is able to provide reliable result in term of forecasting the housing demand based on previous housing demand record. Key words: Time Series Univariate Neural Network, low cost housing demand, RMSE, MAPE


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