Analysis of climate change-urban vegetation land cover interaction through time-series satellite and field data

Author(s):  
Maria A. Zoran ◽  
Roxana S. Savastru ◽  
Dan M. Savastru ◽  
Marina N. Tautan ◽  
Laurentiu A. Baschir ◽  
...  
2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 5219-5250 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Molina ◽  
V. Vanacker ◽  
E. Brisson ◽  
D. Mora ◽  
V. Balthazar

Abstract. Andean headwater catchments play a pivotal role to supply fresh water for downstream water users. However, few long-term studies exist on the relative importance of climate change and direct anthropogenic perturbations on flow regimes. In this paper, we assess multi-decadal change in freshwater provision based on long time series (1974–2008) of hydrometeorological data and land cover reconstructions for a 282 km2 catchment located in the tropical Andes. Three main land cover change trajectories can be distinguished: (1) rapid decline of native vegetation in montane forest and páramo ecosystems in ~1/5 or 20% of the catchment area, (2) expansion of agricultural land by 14% of the catchment area, (3) afforestation of 12% of native páramo grasslands with exotic tree species in recent years. Given the strong temporal variability of precipitation and streamflow data related to El Niño–Southern Oscillation, we use empirical mode decomposition techniques to detrend the time series. The long-term increasing trend in rainfall is remarkably different from the observed changes in streamflow that exhibit a decreasing trend. Hence, observed changes in streamflow are not the result of long-term climate change but very likely result from direct anthropogenic disturbances after land cover change. Partial water budgets for montane cloud forest and páramo ecosystems suggest that the strongest changes in evaporative water losses are observed in páramo ecosystems, where progressive colonization and afforestation of high alpine grasslands leads to a strong increase in transpiration losses.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1188
Author(s):  
Xingwen Lin ◽  
Jianguang Wen ◽  
Qinhuo Liu ◽  
Dongqin You ◽  
Shengbiao Wu ◽  
...  

As an essential climate variable (ECV), land surface albedo plays an important role in the Earth surface radiation budget and regional or global climate change. The Tibetan Plateau (TP) is a sensitive environment to climate change, and understanding its albedo seasonal and inter-annual variations is thus important to help capture the climate change rules. In this paper, we analyzed the large-scale spatial patterns, temporal trends, and seasonal variability of land surface albedo overall the TP, based on the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) MCD43 albedo products from 2001 to 2019. Specifically, we assessed the correlations between the albedo anomaly and the anomalies of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), the fraction of snow cover (snow cover), and land surface temperature (LST). The results show that there are larger albedo variations distributed in the mountainous terrain of the TP. Approximately 10.06% of the land surface is identified to have been influenced by the significant albedo variation from the year 2001 to 2019. The yearly averaged albedo was decreased significantly at a rate of 0.0007 (Sen’s slope) over the TP. Additionally, the yearly average snow cover was decreased at a rate of 0.0756. However, the yearly average NDVI and LST were increased with slopes of 0.0004 and 0.0253 over the TP, respectively. The relative radiative forcing (RRF) caused by the land cover change (LCC) is larger than that caused by gradual albedo variation in steady land cover types. Overall, the RRF due to gradual albedo variation varied from 0.0005 to 0.0170 W/m2, and the RRF due to LCC variation varied from 0.0037 to 0.0243 W/m2 during the years 2001 to 2019. The positive RRF caused by gradual albedo variation or the LCC can strengthen the warming effects in the TP. The impact of the gradual albedo variations occurring in the steady land cover types was very low between 2001 and 2019 because the time series was short, and it therefore cannot be neglected when examining radiative forcing for a long time series regarding climate change.


2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 369-386 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reinhard Prestele ◽  
Almut Arneth ◽  
Alberte Bondeau ◽  
Nathalie de Noblet-Ducoudré ◽  
Thomas A. M. Pugh ◽  
...  

Abstract. Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) represents one of the key drivers of global environmental change. However, the processes and drivers of anthropogenic land-use activity are still overly simplistically implemented in terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs). The published results of these models are used in major assessments of processes and impacts of global environmental change, such as the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Fully coupled models of climate, land use and biogeochemical cycles to explore land use–climate interactions across spatial scales are currently not available. Instead, information on land use is provided as exogenous data from the land-use change modules of integrated assessment models (IAMs) to TBMs. In this article, we discuss, based on literature review and illustrative analysis of empirical and modeled LULCC data, three major challenges of this current LULCC representation and their implications for land use–climate interaction studies: (I) provision of consistent, harmonized, land-use time series spanning from historical reconstructions to future projections while accounting for uncertainties associated with different land-use modeling approaches, (II) accounting for sub-grid processes and bidirectional changes (gross changes) across spatial scales, and (III) the allocation strategy of independent land-use data at the grid cell level in TBMs. We discuss the factors that hamper the development of improved land-use representation, which sufficiently accounts for uncertainties in the land-use modeling process. We propose that LULCC data-provider and user communities should engage in the joint development and evaluation of enhanced LULCC time series, which account for the diversity of LULCC modeling and increasingly include empirically based information about sub-grid processes and land-use transition trajectories, to improve the representation of land use in TBMs. Moreover, we suggest concentrating on the development of integrated modeling frameworks that may provide further understanding of possible land–climate–society feedbacks.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuhan Lou ◽  
Yuanhong Liao ◽  
Yufu Liu ◽  
Yuqi Bai

<p>The study of complex interactions between fire and atmospheric dynamics of the earth system is drawing increasing attention in recent years, especially when fire seasons are extended due to global warming, where the historical daily burnt area data played a pivotal role in analyzing wildfire regimes change. Existing products could not fully meet the temporal requirements: daily burnt area data in global fire emissions database (GFED4) starts from mid-2000 using MODIS while ESA Fire Climate Change Initiative (FireCCILT10) Dataset from 1982 to 2017 is provided on a monthly grid.</p><p>Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) series of sensors are widely used to develop pre‐MODIS daily historical records. However, compared to MODIS, the AVHRR sensor has a lower radiometric and geometric quality and is missing Short Wave Infrared (SWIR) band. To address the data quality problem, this research study presents a time-series mapping method for daily burned area using AVHRR composite. Daily fire-sensitive indices are calculated to develop a time-series data composite which is masked by the burnable surface of GLASS_GLC land cover product. Then, Continuous Change Detection and Classification (CCDC) time-series model, which originally implemented on Landsat data monitoring land cover change, is revised to detect an abrupt change in the time-series data composite and remove noise, ensuring temporal consistency. The image of a time-series breakpoint is further classified using a spatial contextual method to distinguish biomass burning from other forest degradation change like a landslide and is used to generate burned area probability map.</p><p>The methodology is verified in California, US, where fuel aridity increased during 1984–2015 driven by anthropogenic climate change. The samples are collected based on the National Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity(MTBS)Burned Areas Boundaries Dataset from 1984 – 2018 and California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection's Fire and Resource Assessment Program (FRAP) fire perimeters from since 1950. Primary results show that the proposed method can effectively detect burned area on daily basis with CCDC algorithm reducing the complexity of change detection.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ripan Debnath

Urbanization-led changes in natural landscape often result in environmental degradation and subsequently contribute to local climate variability. Therefore, apart from global climate change, Dhaka city’s ongoing rapid urban growth may result in altering future local climate patterns significantly. This study explores transition relationships between urbanization (population), land cover, and climate (temperature) of Dhaka city beginning in 1975 through to forecast scenarios up to 2035. Satellite image, geographic, demographic, and climatic data were analyzed. Change in core urban land cover (area) was regarded as a function of population growth and was modeled using linear regression technique. The study developed and validated a time series (ARIMA) model for predicting mean maximum temperature change where (forecasted) land cover scenarios were regressors. Throughout the studied period, the city exhibited an increasing urbanization trend that indicated persistent growth of core urban land cover in future. As a result, the city’s mean maximum temperature was found likely to increase by around 1.5-degree Celsius during 2016–2035 on average from that of observed 1996–2015 period. It is expected that findings of this study may help in recognizing urbanization-led climate change easily, which is crucial to effective climate change management actions and urban planning.


Author(s):  
S. Bontemps ◽  
M. Boettcher ◽  
C. Brockmann ◽  
G. Kirches ◽  
C. Lamarche ◽  
...  

Essential Climate Variables were listed by the Global Climate Observing System as critical information to further understand the climate system and support climate modelling. The European Space Agency launched its Climate Change Initiative in order to provide an adequate response to the set of requirements for long-term satellite-based products for climate. Within this program, the CCI Land Cover project aims at revisiting all algorithms required for the generation of global land cover products that are stable and consistent over time, while also reflecting the land surface seasonality. To this end, the land cover concept is revisited to deliver a set of three consistent global land cover products corresponding to the 1998-2002, 2003-2007 and 2008-2012 periods, along with climatological 7-day time series representing the average seasonal dynamics of the land surface over the 1998-2012 period. The full Envisat MERIS archive (2003-2012) is used as main Earth Observation dataset to derive the 300-m global land cover maps, complemented with SPOT-Vegetation time series between 1998 and 2012. Finally, a 300-m global map of open permanent water bodies is derived from the 2005-2010 archive of the Envisat Advanced SAR imagery mainly acquired in the 150m Wide Swath Mode.


1993 ◽  
Vol 28 (7) ◽  
pp. 197-201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dunchun Wang ◽  
Isao Somiya ◽  
Shigeo Fujii

To understand the algae migration characteristics in the fresh water red tide, we performed a field survey in the Shorenji Reservoir located in Nabari City, Japan. From the analysis of the field data, it is found that the patterns of vertical distributions of the indices representing biomass are very different in the morning and the afternoon. Since some water quality indices have reverse fluctuations between the surface and the bottom layer in respect of the time series changes and the total biomass of the vertical water column is relatively constant, it is concluded that vertical and daily biomass variation of red tide alga is caused by its daily migration, that is the movement from the bottom layer to the surface in the morning and the reverse movement in the afternoon.


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