scholarly journals Multicentre, prospective observational study of the correlation between the Glasgow Admission Prediction Score and adverse outcomes

BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. e026599
Author(s):  
Dominic Jones ◽  
Allan Cameron ◽  
David J Lowe ◽  
Suzanne M Mason ◽  
Colin A O'Keeffe ◽  
...  

ObjectivesTo assess whether the Glasgow Admission Prediction Score (GAPS) is correlated with hospital length of stay, 6-month hospital readmission and 6-month all-cause mortality. This study represents a 6-month follow-up of patients who were included in an external validation of the GAPS’ ability to predict admission at the point of triage.SettingSampling was conducted between February and May 2016 at two separate emergency departments (EDs) in Sheffield and Glasgow.ParticipantsData were collected prospectively at triage for consecutive adult patients who presented to the ED within sampling times. Any patients who avoided formal triage were excluded from the study. In total, 1420 patients were recruited.Primary outcomesGAPS was calculated following triage and did not influence patient management. Length of hospital stay, hospital readmission and mortality against GAPS were modelled using survival analysis at 6 months.ResultsOf the 1420 patients recruited, 39.6% of these patients were initially admitted to hospital. At 6 months, 30.6% of patients had been readmitted and 5.6% of patients had died. For those admitted at first presentation, the chance of being discharged fell by 4.3% (95% CI 3.2% to 5.3%) per GAPS point increase. Cox regression indicated a 9.2% (95% CI 7.3% to 11.1%) increase in the chance of 6-month hospital readmission per point increase in GAPS. An association between GAPS and 6-month mortality was demonstrated, with a hazard increase of 9.0% (95% CI 6.9% to 11.2%) for every point increase in GAPS.ConclusionA higher GAPS is associated with increased hospital length of stay, 6-month hospital readmission and 6-month all-cause mortality. While GAPS’s primary application may be to predict admission and support clinical decision making, GAPS may provide valuable insight into inpatient resource allocation and bed planning.

2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (12) ◽  
pp. A864.2-A865 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominic Jones ◽  
Allan Cameron ◽  
Suzanne Mason ◽  
Colin O’Keeffe ◽  
David Lowe

Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Cherinne Arundel ◽  
Ali Ahmed ◽  
Rahul Khosla ◽  
Charles Faselis ◽  
Charity Morgan ◽  
...  

Background: A shorter hospital length of stay, encouraged by Prospective Payment System Act, may result in suboptimal care and early discharge. Heart failure (HF) is the leading cause for 30-day all-cause readmission. However, it is unknown whether hospitalized HF patients with a shorter length of stay may have higher 30-day all-cause readmission, the reduction of which is a goal of the Affordable Care Act. Methods: The 8049 Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for HF and discharged alive from 106 U.S. hospitals (1998-2001) had a median length of stay of 5 days (interquartile, 4-8 days), of which 4272 (53%) had length of stay ≤ 5 days. Using propensity scores for length of stay 1-5 days, we assembled a matched cohort of 2788 pairs of patients with length of stay 1-5 and ≥6 days, balanced on 32 baseline characteristics. Results: 30-day all-cause readmission occurred in 19% and 23% of matched patients with length of stay 1-5 and ≥6 days, respectively (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.70-0.89; Figure, left panel). When the length of stay of the 8049 pre-match patients was used as a continuous variable and adjusted for the same 32 variables, each day longer hospital stay was associated with a 2% higher risk of 30-day all-cause readmission (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01-1.03; p<0.001). Among matched patients, HR for 30-day HF readmission associated with length of stay 1-5 days was 0.84 (95% CI, 0.69-1.01; p=0.063). 30-day all-cause mortality occurred in 4.6% and 6.2% of matched patients with length of stay 1-5 and ≥6 days, respectively (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.58-0.91; Figure, right panel). These associations persisted throughout 12 months post-discharge. Conclusions: Among hospitalized patients with HF, length of stay 1-5 days (vs. longer) was associated with significantly lower 30-day all-cause readmissions and all-cause mortality that persisted throughout first year post-discharge.


2015 ◽  
Vol 116 (3) ◽  
pp. 400-405 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristi Reynolds ◽  
Melissa G. Butler ◽  
Teresa M. Kimes ◽  
A. Gabriela Rosales ◽  
Wing Chan ◽  
...  

F1000Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 73
Author(s):  
Cahyo Wibisono Nugroho ◽  
Satriyo Dwi Suryantoro ◽  
Yuliasih Yuliasih ◽  
Alfian Nur Rosyid ◽  
Tri Pudy Asmarawati ◽  
...  

Background: Several studies have revealed the potential use of tocilizumab in treating COVID-19 since no therapy has yet been approved for COVID-19 pneumonia. Tocilizumab may provide clinical benefits for cytokine release syndrome in COVID-19 patients. Methods: We searched for relevant studies in PubMed, Embase, Medline, and Cochrane published from March to October 2020 to evaluate optimal use and baseline criteria for administration of tocilizumab in severe and critically ill COVID-19 patients. Research involving patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, treated with tocilizumab and compared with the standard of care (SOC) was included in this study. We conducted a systematic review to find data about the risks and benefits of tocilizumab and outcomes from different baseline criteria for administration of tocilizumab as a treatment for severe and critically ill COVID-19 patients. Results: A total of 26 studies, consisting of 23 retrospective studies, one prospective study, and two randomised controlled trials with 2112 patients enrolled in the tocilizumab group and 6160 patients in the SOC group, were included in this meta-analysis. Compared to the SOC, tocilizumab showed benefits for all-cause mortality events and a shorter time until death after first intervention but showed no difference in hospital length of stay. Upon subgroup analysis, tocilizumab showed fewer all-cause mortality events when CRP level ≥100 mg/L, P/F ratio 200-300 mmHg, and P/F ratio <200 mmHg. However, tocilizumab showed a longer length of stay when CRP <100 mg/L than the SOC. Conclusion: This meta-analysis demonstrated that tocilizumab has a positive effect on all-cause mortality. It should be cautiously administrated for optimal results and tailored to the patient's eligibility criteria.


Author(s):  
Corey Scholes ◽  
MacDougal Cowley ◽  
Milad Ebrahimi ◽  
Michel Genon ◽  
Samuel J. Martin

AbstractIn an effort to reduce hospital length of stay (LoS) following total knee arthroplasty (TKA), patient management strategies have evolved over time. The aims of this study were threefold: first, to quantify the reduction in LoS for TKA in a regional hospital; second, to identify the patient, surgical and management factors associated with hospital LoS; and lastly, to assess the change in complications incidence and hospital readmission as a function of LoS. A retrospective chart review was conducted on a consecutive series of primary and revision TKAs from January 2012 to March 2018. Factors describing patient demographics, as well as preoperative, intraoperative, surgical, and postoperative management, were extracted from paper and electronic medical records by a team of reviewers. Multivariate linear regression was performed to assess the association between these factors and LoS. In total, 362 procedures were included, which were reduced to 329 admissions once simultaneous bilateral procedures were taken into account. Median LoS reduced significantly (p = 0.001) from 6 to 2 days over the period of review. A stepwise regression analysis identified patient characteristics (age, gender, comorbidities, discharge barriers), perioperative management (anesthesia type), surgical characteristics (approach, alignment method), and postoperative management (mobilization timing, postoperative narcotic use, complication prior to discharge) as factors explaining 58.3% of the variance in LoS. Representation to emergency (6%) and hospital readmission (3%) remained low for the reviewed period. Efforts to reduce hospital LoS following TKA within a regional hospital setting can be achieved over time without significant increases in the rate or severity of complications or representation to acute care and subsequent readmission. The findings establish the role of patient, surgical and management factors in the context of agreed discharge criteria between care providers.


Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 2538-2538
Author(s):  
Walter Bialkowski ◽  
Sylvia Tan ◽  
Alan E. Mast ◽  
Joseph Kiss ◽  
Daryl J. Kor ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Use of direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOAC) is increasingly common among patients with atrial fibrillation and venous thromboembolic disease. Differences in the mechanisms of action as compared to warfarin could impact transfusion patterns and clinical outcomes in patients, especially for those presenting with major hemorrhage. The management of patients taking these newer medications and corresponding outcomes are relevant to optimizing clinical decision making in situations of major hemorrhage. Methods: We tested the hypothesis that inpatient all-cause mortality among patients presenting with major hemorrhage differs based on the home-administered anticoagulant medication class (DOAC versus warfarin). A cohort of patients presenting to twelve US hospitals from 2013 to 2016 was identified using the Recipient Epidemiology and Donor Evaluation Study (REDS)-III Recipient Database. Primary ICD diagnosis codes, issued blood products, laboratory data, and early mortality events were used in the application of the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis definition of major hemorrhage. Exposure status was defined as a record of home-administered DOAC (apixaban, dabigatran, edoxaban, or rivaroxaban; exposed) or warfarin (non-exposed). Patients with multiple encounters and those transferred into or out of network were excluded from the analysis. Proportional hazards regression was used to compare all-cause mortality and hospital length of stay. We then repeated the analysis using a cohort matched on propensity scores to account for confounding by age, gender, concurrent aspirin and anti-platelet use, liver and renal dysfunction, cancer, CHA2DS2-VASc score, traumatic injury, and hospital. We then repeated the propensity score matched analysis stratified by anatomic location of bleed and traumatic injury. Results: More than 1.5 million hospitalizations were screened for eligibility. Exclusion of minors, outpatients, hospitalizations without a medication of interest, absence of major hemorrhage, multiple hospitalizations, and hospital transfers resulted in 3,731 patients available for the unadjusted analysis. Inpatient all-cause mortality was lower among DOAC users when the entire cohort was considered (HR = 0.60, 95%CI 0.45 - 0.80, p=0.0005). Implementation of propensity score matching to account for confounding abrogated this difference (HR=0.84, 95%CI 0.58 - 1.22, p=0.36). Time to hospital discharge was shorter for DOAC users (HR = 1.17, 95%CI 1.05 - 1.30, p=0.0034). Transfusion patterns were similar by medication, except for plasma transfusion occurring in 42% of warfarin encounters and 11% of DOAC encounters. Vitamin K was administered in 63% of warfarin encounters, whereas specific DOAC reversal agents were largely unavailable during the analysis period [used in 5 (1%) DOAC encounters]. There were no statistically significant differences in inpatient all-cause mortality in the stratified analysis (warfarin as reference): HR = 0.69 (95%CI 0.31 - 1.55) for traumatic head injuries; HR = 1.10 (95%CI 0.62 - 1.95) for non-traumatic head injuries; HR = 0.62 (95%CI 0.20 - 1.94) for traumatic, non-head injuries; and HR = 0.69 (95%CI 0.29 - 1.63) for non-traumatic, non-head injuries. Conclusions: Analysis of a population taking oral anticoagulation and presenting with major hemorrhage showed that transfusion of plasma was more commonly employed to treat major hemorrhage among warfarin users than DOAC users. Inpatient all-cause mortality was lower among DOAC users in the overall cohort; however, accounting for potential confounding factors using propensity score matching abrogated this difference. Hospital length of stay was shorter for DOAC users compared to warfarin users. Stratification by location of bleed and traumatic injury did not alter these findings. Less plasma use and a shorter length of hospitalization in this study, combined with no observable difference in inpatient all-cause mortality, suggests that outcomes following major hemorrhage are at least no different for DOAC users as compared to warfarin users. Disclosures Mast: Novo Nordisk: Research Funding. Kor:NIH: Consultancy; NIH: Research Funding; UpToDate: Patents & Royalties; CSL Behring: Honoraria.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. S59-S60
Author(s):  
Rachael L Schortemeyer ◽  
Tracy N Zembles ◽  
Glenn Bushee ◽  
Evelyn Kuhn ◽  
Michelle L Mitchell

Abstract Background Infections due to multi-drug-resistant organisms (MDRO) are associated with poor clinical outcomes. Due to limited treatment options for MDROs, it is essential to improve the delivery of available antibiotics. Optimal efficacy of β-lactam antibiotics can be achieved when free drug concentrations exceed the minimum inhibitory concentration of the organism for at least 50% of the dosing interval. This is more feasible when extending the duration of infusion. Adult literature supporting the use of extended infusion β-lactams (EIBL) is robust; however, pediatric data are limited. Furthermore, extended infusions (EI) may be more difficult to achieve in pediatric patients due to limited intravenous line access. The purpose of this study was to determine the feasibility of EIBLs as the standard of care and compare clinical outcomes between standard infusions (SI) and extended infusions (EI). Methods This retrospective chart analysis included hospitalized patients less than 18 years old between October 1, 2017 and March 31, 2019 who received at least 72 hours of cefepime, piperacillin/tazobactam, or meropenem. Patients weighing less than 3.5 kg or requiring continuous renal replacement therapy were excluded. EI were defined as antibiotic delivery over 3–4 hours, while SI were delivered over 30 minutes. The percent of patients completing therapy utilizing EI was measured. Clinical outcomes compared hospital length of stay; time to blood culture clearance, defervescence, inflammatory marker normalization; 30-day readmission rates; and 30-day all-cause mortality between the SI and EI groups. Results A total of 560 patients were included in the interim analysis. Over 90% of patients were able to complete therapy utilizing EI (Figure 1). The EI group had lower readmission rates, but the interim analysis has not yet controlled for planned admissions. A sub-analysis of critically ill patients requiring vasopressors identified a lower mortality rate (5.1% vs. 23.1%, P = 0.023) and decreased the length of stay (554 vs. 1,055 hours, P = 0.035) in the EI compared with SI group (Table 1). Conclusion EIBLs are feasible in the pediatric population and may lead to improved outcomes including decreased all-cause mortality and hospital length of stay, especially in critically ill children. Disclosures All Authors: No reported Disclosures.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. e0249706
Author(s):  
Abdullah E. Laher ◽  
Fathima Paruk ◽  
Guy A. Richards ◽  
Willem D. F. Venter

Background Prolonged hospitalization places a significant burden on healthcare resources. Compared to the general population, hospital length of stay (LOS) is generally longer in HIV-positive patients. We identified predictors of prolonged hospital length of stay (LOS) in HIV-positive patients presenting to an emergency department (ED). Methods In this cross-sectional study, HIV-positive patients presenting to the Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital adult ED were prospectively enrolled between 07 July 2017 and 18 October 2018. Data was subjected to univariate and multivariate logistic regression to determine parameters associated with a higher likelihood of prolonged hospital LOS, defined as ≥7 days. Results Among the 1224 participants that were enrolled, the median (IQR) LOS was 4.6 (2.6–8.2) days, while the mean (SD) LOS was 6.9 (8.2) days. On multivariate analysis of the data, hemoglobin <11 g/dL (OR 1.37, p = 0.032), Glasgow coma scale (GCS) <15 (OR 1.80, p = 0.001), creatinine >120 μmol/L (OR 1.85, p = 0.000), cryptococcal meningitis (OR 2.45, p = 0.015) and bacterial meningitis (OR 4.83, p = 0.002) were significantly associated with a higher likelihood of LOS ≥7 days, while bacterial pneumonia (OR 0.35, p = 0.000) and acute gastroenteritis (OR 0.40, p = 0.025) were significantly associated with a lower likelihood of LOS ≥7 days. Conclusion Various clinical and laboratory parameters are useful in predicting prolonged hospitalization among HIV-positive patients presenting to the ED. These parameters may be useful in guiding clinical decision making and directing the allocation of resources.


2015 ◽  
Vol 69 (6) ◽  
pp. 659-665 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. S. Kwok ◽  
A. B. Clark ◽  
S. D. Musgrave ◽  
J. F. Potter ◽  
G. Dalton ◽  
...  

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