scholarly journals Prediction of esophageal varices and variceal hemorrhage in patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding

2016 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 745-751 ◽  
Author(s):  
Don C Rockey ◽  
Alan Elliott ◽  
Thomas Lyles
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Platelet Count ◽  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Esophageal Varices ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Variceal Hemorrhage ◽  
Esophageal Variceal ◽  
Non Invasive ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal

In patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), identifying those with esophageal variceal hemorrhage prior to endoscopy would be clinically useful. This retrospective study of a large cohort of patients with UGIB used logistic regression analyses to evaluate the platelet count, aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to platelet ratio index (APRI), AST to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR) and Lok index (all non-invasive blood markers) as predictors of variceal bleeding in (1) all patients with UGIB and (2) patients with cirrhosis and UGIB. 2233 patients admitted for UGIB were identified; 1034 patients had cirrhosis (46%) and of these, 555 patients (54%) had acute UGIB due to esophageal varices. In all patients with UGIB, the platelet count (cut-off 122,000/mm3), APRI (cut-off 5.1), AAR (cut-off 2.8) and Lok index (cut-off 0.9) had area under the curve (AUC)s of 0.80 0.82, 0.64, and 0.80, respectively, for predicting the presence of varices prior to endoscopy. To predict varices as the culprit of bleeding, the platelet count (cut-off 69,000), APRI (cut-off 2.6), AAR (cut-off 2.5) and Lok Index (0.90) had AUCs of 0.76, 0.77, 0.57 and 0.73, respectively. Finally, in patients with cirrhosis and UGIB, logistic regression was unable to identify optimal cut-off values useful for predicting varices as the culprit bleeding lesion for any of the non-invasive markers studied. For all patients with UGIB, non-invasive markers appear to differentiate patients with varices from those without varices and to identify those with a variceal culprit lesion. However, these markers could not distinguish between a variceal culprit and other lesions in patients with cirrhosis.

scholarly journals Prediction model of emergency mortality risk in patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a retrospective study

PeerJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. e11656
Author(s):  
Lan Chen ◽  
Han Zheng ◽  
Saibin Wang
Keyword(s):  
Emergency Department ◽  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Decision Curve Analysis ◽  
Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Bleeding Score ◽  
Selection Operator ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal ◽  
D Dimer

Background Upper gastrointestinal bleeding is a common presentation in emergency departments and carries significant morbidity worldwide. It is paramount that treating physicians have access to tools that can effectively evaluate the patient risk, allowing quick and effective treatments to ultimately improve their prognosis. This study aims to establish a mortality risk assessment model for patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding at an emergency department. Methods A total of 991 patients presenting with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding between July 2016 and June 2019 were enrolled in this retrospective single-center cohort study. Patient demographics, parameters assessed at admission, laboratory test, and clinical interventions were extracted. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to identify predictors for establishing a nomogram for death in the emergency department or within 24 h after leaving the emergency department and a corresponding nomogram. The area under the curve of the model was calculated. A bootstrap resampling method was used to internal validation, and decision curve analysis was applied for evaluate the clinical utility of the model. We also compared our predictive model with other prognostic models, such as AIMS65, Glasgow-Blatchford bleeding score, modified Glasgow-Blatchford bleeding score, and Pre-Endoscopic Rockall Score. Results Among 991 patients, 41 (4.14%) died in the emergency department or within 24 h after leaving the emergency department. Five non-zero coefficient variables (transfusion of plasma, D-dimer, albumin, potassium, age) were filtered by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis and used to establish a predictive model. The area under the curve for the model was 0.847 (95% confidence interval [0.794–0.900]), which is higher than that of previous models for mortality of patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. The decision curve analysis indicated the clinical usefulness of the model. Conclusions The nomogram based on transfusion of plasma, D-dimer, albumin, potassium, and age effectively assessed the prognosis of patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding presenting at the emergency department.

scholarly journals Early Risk Score for Predicting Hypotension in Normotensive Patients with Non-Variceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 37 ◽  
Author(s):  
Byuk Ko ◽  
Youn-Jung Kim ◽  
Dae Jung ◽  
Chang Sohn ◽  
Dong Seo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Systolic Blood Pressure ◽  
Nasogastric Tube ◽  
Validation Cohort ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Scoring Systems ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal

Risk assessment for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is important; however, current scoring systems are insufficient. We aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for rapidly determining the occurrence of hypotension in non-variceal UGIB patients with normotension (systolic blood pressure ≥90 mmHg) at emergency department presentation. In this prospective observational cohort study, consecutive non-variceal UGIB patients between January 2012 and April 2017 were enrolled. We developed and validated a new prediction model through logistic regression, with the occurrence of hypotension <24 h as the primary outcome. Among 3363 UGIB patients, 1439 non-variceal UGIB patients were included. The risk factors for the occurrence of hypotension were lactate level, blood in nasogastric tube, and systolic blood pressure. The area under the curve (AUC) of the new scoring model (LBS—Lactate, Blood in nasogastric tube, Systolic blood pressure) in the development cohort was 0.74, higher than the value of 0.64 of the Glasgow–Blatchford score for predicting the occurrence of hypotension. The AUC of the LBS score in the validation cohort was 0.83. An LBS score of ≤2 had a negative predictive value of 99.5% and an LBS score of ≥7 had a specificity of 97.5% in the validation cohort. The new LBS score stratifies normotensive patients with non-variceal UGIB at risk for developing hypotension.

scholarly journals Evaluation of endoscopic secondary prophylaxis in children and adolescents with esophageal varices

2017 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Júlio Rocha PIMENTA ◽  
Alexandre Rodrigues FERREIRA ◽  
Eleonora Druve Tavares FAGUNDES ◽  
Paulo Fernando Souto BITTENCOURT ◽  
Alice Mendes MOURA ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Portal Hypertension ◽  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Children And Adolescents ◽  
Esophageal Varices ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Secondary Prophylaxis ◽  
Gastric Fundus ◽  
Portal Hypertensive Gastropathy ◽  
Band Ligation ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND Bleeding of esophageal varices is the main cause of morbidity and mortality in children and adults with portal hypertension and there are few studies involving secondary prophylaxis in children and adolescents. OBJECTIVE To evaluate the efficacy of endoscopic secondary prophylaxis in prevention of upper gastrointestinal bleeding in children and adolescents with esophageal varices. METHODS This is a prospective analysis of 85 patients less than 18 years of age with or without cirrhosis, with portal hypertension. Participants underwent endoscopic secondary prophylaxis with sclerotherapy or band ligation. Eradication of varices, incidence of rebleeding, number of endoscopic sessions required for eradication, incidence of developing gastric fundus varices and portal hypertensive gastropathy were evaluated. RESULTS Band ligation was performed in 34 (40%) patients and sclerotherapy in 51 (60%) patients. Esophageal varices were eradicated in 81.2%, after a median of four endoscopic sessions. Varices relapsed in 38 (55.1%) patients. Thirty-six (42.3%) patients experienced rebleeding, and it was more prevalent in the group that received sclerotherapy. Gastric varices and portal hypertensive gastropathy developed in 38.7% and 57.9% of patients, respectively. Patients undergoing band ligation showed lower rebleeding rates (26.5% vs 52.9%) and fewer sessions required for eradication of esophageal varices (3.5 vs 5). CONCLUSION Secondary prophylaxis was effective in eradicating esophageal varices and controlling new upper gastrointestinal bleeding episodes due to the rupture of esophageal varices. Band ligation seems that resulted in lower rebleeding rates and fewer sessions required to eradicate varices than did sclerotherapy.

scholarly journals Isolated Splenic Vein Thrombosis: 8-Year-Old Boy with Massive Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding and Hypersplenism

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-4
Author(s):  
Mohammad Ali Kiani ◽  
Arash Forouzan ◽  
Kambiz Masoumi ◽  
Behnaz Mazdaee ◽  
Mohammad Bahadoram ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Esophageal Varices ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Splenic Vein ◽  
Recurrent Bleeding ◽  
Vein Thrombosis ◽  
One Year ◽  
The One ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal

We present an 8-year-old boy who was referred to our center with the complaint of upper gastrointestinal bleeding and was diagnosed with hypersplenism and progressive esophageal varices. Performing a computerized tomography (CT) scan, we discovered a suspicious finding in the venography phase in favor of thrombosis in the splenic vein. Once complementary examinations were done and due to recurrent bleeding and band ligation failure, the patient underwent splenectomy. And during the one-year follow-up obvious improvement of the esophageal varices was observed in endoscopy.

scholarly journals Risk Factors for Acute Coronary Syndrome in Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Patients

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Tianyu Chi ◽  
Quchuan Zhao ◽  
Peili Wang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Coronary Heart Disease ◽  
Acute Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Heart Disease ◽  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal

Background. Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a common critical disease with a certain fatality rate. Acute coronary syndrome (ACS), another critical ill condition, is a regular occurrence in the UGIB. We identified risk factors for ACS in UGIB. Methods. 676 patients diagnosed with UGIB were enrolled retrospectively. We assessed the occurrence of ACS in UGIB patients and identified the risk factors for ACS by logistic regression analysis and random forest analysis. Results. After propensity score matching (PSM), the ACS group ( n = 69 ) and non-ACS group ( n = 276 ) were analyzed. Logistic regression analysis showed that syncope ( P = 0.001 ), coronary heart disease history ( P = 0.001 ), Glasgow Blatchford score ( P ≤ 0.001 ), Rockall risk score ( P = 0.004 ), red blood cell distribution width (RDW) ( P ≤ 0.001 ), total bilirubin (TBil) ( P = 0.046 ), fibrinogen ( P ≤ 0.001 ), and hemoglobin ( P = 0.001 ) had important roles in ACS patients. With Mean Decrease Gini (MDG) sequencing, fibrinogen, RDW, and hemoglobin were ranked the top three risk factors associated with ACS. In ROC analysis, fibrinogen ( AUC = 0.841 , 95% CI: 0.779-0.903) and RDW ( AUC = 0.826 , 95% CI: 0.769-0.883) obtained good discrimination performance. According to sensitivity > 80 %, the pAUC of fibrinogen and RDW were 0.077 and 0.101, respectively, and there was no significant difference ( P = 0.326 ). However, according to specificity > 80 %, the pAUC of fibrinogen was higher than that of RDW (0.126 vs. 0.088, P = 0.018 ). Conclusion. Fibrinogen and RDW were important risk factors for ACS in UGIB. Additionally, combination with coronary heart disease, syncope, hemoglobin, and TBil played important roles in the occurrence of ACS. Meanwhile, it was also noted that Rockall score and Glasgow Blatchford score should be performed to predict the risk.

scholarly journals Early Endoscopic Findings in Patients with Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding in Bangladesh

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 60-62
Author(s):  
Uzzwal Kumar Mallick ◽  
Mohammad Omar Faruq ◽  
SM Ishaque ◽  
ASM Areef Ahsan ◽  
Kaniz Fatema ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Duodenal Ulcer ◽  
Gastric Ulcer ◽  
Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Esophageal Varices ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding ◽  
Tertiary Care ◽  
Care Hospital ◽  
Stomal Ulcer ◽  
Female Ratio ◽  
Upper Gastrointestinal

Objective: To determine etiological pattern of patients presenting with upper gastrointestinal bleeding in a tertiary care hospital of Bangladesh.Methods: This study was a prospective observational study, carried out in the Department of Gastroenterology, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujib Medical University (BSMMU), Dhaka, Bangladesh from January 2013 to June 2013. Fifty adult patients presenting with haematemesis and/or melaena admitted into gastroenterology inpatient unit from outpatient department or patients referred from other inpatient units of Department of Medicine of BSMMU were included in the study. Endoscopic examination was performed within 24 to 48 hours of presentation. Lower GI endoscopy was done in selected cases.Results: The study patients were predominantly young or of early middle age with mean age being 34.45 ± 16.5 yrs. A male preponderance was observed with male to female ratio being 7.3:1 (44 male and 6 female). 62% of the patients presented with both haematemesis and melaena, 26% with melaena only and 12% with haematemesis alone. Endoscopy of upper gastrointestinal tract demonstrated duodenal ulcer to be predominant finding (50%), followed by gastro-esophageal erosions (20%), gastric ulcer (12%), esophageal varices (10%), gastric adenocarcinoma (4%) and stomal ulcer (4%).Conclusions: Endoscopy revealed that duodenal ulcer was the most common cause of upper gastrointestinal bleeding followed by oesophageal erosion, gastric ulcer, esophageal varices and stomal ulcer. Peptic ulcer disease still remains as the major cause of acute upper gastrointestinal haemorrhage, though cases of oesophageal erosion were also significant.Bangladesh Crit Care J September 2015; 3 (2): 60-62

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