Prognostic significance of competition ratios in surgical specialty training selection

2021 ◽  
pp. postgradmedj-2020-139491
Author(s):  
Katie Mellor ◽  
David B Robinson ◽  
Oliver Luton ◽  
Osian P James ◽  
Arfon GMT Powell ◽  
...  

BackgroundA competition ratio (CR) indicates the ratio of total applications for a training post when compared with numbers of specialty posts available. This study aimed to evaluate CRs’ influence on National Training Number (NTN) selection in a single UK Statutory Education Body.MethodsConsecutive core surgical trainees numbering 154 (105 men, 49 women; median years since graduation: four) were studied over a 6-year period. Annual specialty specific CRs were obtained from Health Education England’s website, and primary outcome measure was UK NTN appointment.ResultsOverall NTN appointment was 45.5%. Median CR was 2.36; range Oral & Maxillofacial Surgery 0.70 (2020) to Neurosurgery 22.0 (2020). Multivariable analysis revealed that NTN success was associated with: CR (OR 0.46, p=0.003), a single scientific publication (OR 6.25, p=0.001), cohort year (2019, OR 12.65, p=0.003) and Universal Annual Review of Competence Progression Outcome 1 (OR 45.24, p<0.001). CRs predicted NTN appointment with a Youden index defined critical ratio of 4.42; 28.6% (n=8) versus 49.2% (n=62), p=0.018.ConclusionCRs displayed 30-fold variation, with CRs below 4.42 associated with twofold better NTN promotion, but strong clinical competence and academic reach again emerged as the principal drivers of career advancement.

2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Katie Mellor ◽  
David B Robinson ◽  
Osian P James ◽  
Arfon GMT Powell ◽  
Richard J Egan ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims A Competition Ratio (CR) indicates the ratio of total applications for a training post when compared with numbers of specialty posts available. This study aimed to evaluate CRs’ influence on National Training Number (NTN) selection in a single UK Statutory Education Body. Methods Consecutive Core Surgical Trainees numbering 154 (median years since graduation: four, 105 male, 49 female) were studied over a six-year period. Annual specialty specific CRs were obtained from Health Education England’s website, and primary outcome measure was UK National Training Number (NTN) appointment. Results Overall NTN appointment was 45.5%. Median CR was 2.36; range OMFS 0.70 (2020) to Neurosurgery 22.0 (2020). Multivariable analysis revealed that NTN success was associated with: CR (OR 0.46, p = 0.003), a single scientific publication (OR 6.25, p = 0.001), cohort year (2019, OR 12.65, p = 0.003), and Universal ARCP Outcome 1 (OR 45.24, p &lt; 0.001). CRs predicted NTN appointment with a Youden index defined critical ratio of 4.42; 28.6% (n = 8) vs. 49.2% (n = 62), p = 0.018. Conclusions CRs displayed 30-fold variation, with CRs below 4.42 associated with two-fold better NTN promotion, but strong clinical competence and academic reach again emerged as the principal drivers of career advancement.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
carla hope ◽  
Jon Lund ◽  
gareth griffiths ◽  
david humes

The aim of surgical training across the ten surgical specialties is to produce competent day one consultants. Progression through training is assessed by the Annual Review of Competency Progression (ARCP). Objective This study aimed to examine variation in ARCP outcomes within surgical training and identify differences between specialties. Design A national cohort study using data from United Kingdom Medical Education Database (UKMED) was performed. ARCP outcome was the primary outcome measure. Multi-level ordinal regression analyses were performed, with ARCP outcomes nested within trainees. Participants Higher surgical trainees (ST3-ST8) from 9 UK surgical specialties were included (vascular surgery was excluded due to insufficient data). All surgical trainees across the UK with an ARCP outcome between 2010 to 2017 were included. Results Eight thousand two hundred and twenty trainees with an ARCP outcome awarded between 2010 and 2017 were included, comprising 31,788 ARCP outcomes. There was substantial variation in the proportion of non-standard outcomes recorded across specialties with general surgery trainees having the highest proportion of non-standard outcomes (22.5%) and urology trainees the fewest 12.4%. After adjustment, general surgery trainees were 1.3 times more likely to receive a non-standard ARCP outcome compared to trainees in T&O (OR 1.33 95%CI 1.21-1.45). Urology trainees were 36% less likely to receive a non-standard outcome compared to T&O trainees (OR 0.64 95%CI 0.54-0.75). Female trainees and older age were associated with non-standard outcomes (OR 1.11 95%CI 1.02-1.22; OR 1.04 95%CI 1.03-1.05). Conclusion There is wide variation in the training outcome assessments across surgical specialties. General surgery has higher rates of non-standard outcomes compared to other surgical specialities. Across all specialities, female sex and older age were associated with non-standard outcomes.


2017 ◽  
Vol 94 (1107) ◽  
pp. 48-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris Brown ◽  
Tarig Abdelrahman ◽  
John Pollitt ◽  
Mark Holt ◽  
Wyn G Lewis

BackgroundFRCS exit examination success may be interpreted as a surrogate marker for UK Deanery-related training quality. The aim of this study was to evaluate relative FRCS examination pass rates related to Deanery and Surgical Specialty.MethodsJoint Committee on Surgical Training-published examination first attempt pass rates were scrutinised for type I higher surgical trainees and outcomes compared related to Deanery and Surgical Specialty.ResultsOf 9363 FRCS first attempts, 3974 were successful (42.4%). Median and mean pass rates related to Deanery were 42.1% and 30.7%, respectively, and ranged from 26.7% to 45.6%. Median (range) pass rates by specialty were urology 76.3% (60%–100%), trauma and orthopaedic surgery 74.7% (58.2%–100%), general surgery 70.0% (63.1%–86%), ENT 62.5% (50%–100%), cardiothoracic surgery 50.0% (25%–100%), oral and maxillofacial surgery 50% (40.0%–100%), neurosurgery 50% (22.7%–100%), plastic surgery 47.6% (30.0%–100%) and paediatric surgery 25% (16.7%–100%). Significant variance was observed across all specialties and deaneries (p=0.001).ConclusionAs much as threefold variance exists related to FRCS examination first attempt success, trainees should be aware of this spectrum when preferencing deaneries during national selection.


2018 ◽  
Vol 100 (8) ◽  
pp. 669-675 ◽  
Author(s):  
DSG Scrimgeour ◽  
PA Brennan ◽  
G Griffiths ◽  
AJ Lee ◽  
FCT Smith ◽  
...  

Introduction The Intercollegiate Membership of the Royal College of Surgeons (MRCS) is a mandatory examination to enter higher surgical specialty training in the UK. It is designed to help to ensure that successful candidates are competent to practice as higher surgical trainees. The annual review of competence progression (ARCP) assesses trainees’ competence to progress to the next level of training and can be interpreted as a measure of ‘on-the-job’ performance. We investigated the relationship between MRCS performance and ARCP outcomes. Materials and methods All UK medical graduates who passed MRCS (Parts A and B) from 2007 to 2016 were included. MRCS scores, attempts and sociodemographics for each candidate were crosslinked with ARCP outcomes (satisfactory, unsatisfactory and insufficient evidence). Multinomial logistic regression was used to identify potential independent predictors of ARCP outcomes. Results A total of 2570 trainees underwent 11,064 ARCPs; 1589 (61.8%) had only satisfactory outcomes recorded throughout training; 510 (19.9%) had at least one unsatisfactory outcome; and 471 (18.3%) supplied insufficient evidence. After adjusting for age, gender, first language and Part A performance, ethnicity (non-white vs white, OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.71), Part B passing score (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.98 to 1.00) and number of attempts at Part B (two or more attempts vs one attempt, OR 1.50, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.94) were found to be independent predictors of an unsatisfactory ARCP outcome. Conclusions This is the first study to identify predictors of ARCP outcomes during higher surgical specialty training in the UK and provides further evidence of the predictive validity of the MRCS examination.


2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Hope ◽  
J Lund ◽  
G Griffiths ◽  
D Humes

Abstract Introduction Surgical training in the UK is comprised of ten specialties: cardiothoracic, general, neurosurgery, oral and maxillofacial (OMFS), otolaryngology, paediatric, plastic, trauma and orthopaedics, urology and vascular surgery. Progression through training is assessed by the Annual Review of Competency Progression (ARCP). The aim is to examine ARCP outcomes within UK surgical specialty training and identify differences between specialties. Method A longitudinal cohort study using data from United Kingdom Medical Education Database (UKMED) was performed across surgical specialities. ARCP outcome was the primary outcome measure. Multi-level univariate and multiple ordinal regression analyses were performed. Result 8,220 trainees with an ARCP outcome between 2010 and 2017 were included, comprising 31,788 ARCP outcomes. There was substantial variation in the proportion of non-standard outcomes across specialties with general surgery trainees having the highest proportion of non-standard outcomes (22.5%) and urology trainees the fewest 12.4%. After adjustment, general surgery trainees were 1.3 times more likely to receive a non-standard outcome compared to T&O trainees (OR 1.33 95% CI 1.21–1.45). Urology trainees were 36% less likely to receive a non-standard outcome compared to T&O trainees (OR 0.64 95% CI 0.54–0.75). Female trainees and older age were associated with non-standard outcomes (OR 1.11 95% CI 1.02–1.22; OR 1.04 95% CI 1.03–1.05). Conclusion There is wide variation in the outcomes of surgical ARCP’s across specialties. General surgery has higher rates of non-standard ARCP outcomes compared to other surgical specialities. Across all specialities, female sex and older age were associated with non-standard outcomes. Further studies are required to explore these associations. Take-home Message There is significant variation in ARCP outcomes between specialities. Women and older trainees receive significantly more non-standard outcomes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Clements ◽  
Joshua Burke ◽  
Carly Hope ◽  
Deirdre Nally ◽  
Gareth Griffiths ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims COVID-19 has had a global impact on all aspects of healthcare including surgical teaching and training. This study aimed to quantify the impact of COVID-19 on operative case numbers recorded by surgeons in training, and annual review of competency progression (ARCP) outcomes in the United Kingdom. Methods Anonymised operative logbook numbers were collated from e-logbook and ARCP outcome data were collated from the Intercollegiate Surgical Curriculum Programme (ISCP) database for trainees across core and the ten higher surgical specialities. Operative logbook numbers and ARCP outcomes were compared between pre-COVID dates. Effect sizes are reported as incident rate ratios (IRR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results 5599 surgical trainees in 2019 and 5310 in 2020 in surgical specialty training were included. The IRR was reduced across all subspecialties because of the COVID-19 pandemic (0.55; 95% CI 0.53-0.57). Elective surgery (0.60; 95% CI 0.59-0.61) was affected more than emergency surgery (0.88; 95% CI 0.86-0.89). Regional variance with reduced operative activity was demonstrated across all specialities. 1 in 8 in their final year of training have not been able to achieve curriculum requirements and have had training extended. 1 in 4 trainees entering their final year of training are behind their expected training trajectory. Conclusion COVID-19 continues to have a significant impact on surgical training in the UK. Urgent, co-ordinated action is required by key stakeholders to mitigate for these effects and maintain future surgical training.


2021 ◽  
pp. postgradmedj-2021-140930
Author(s):  
Katie Mellor ◽  
Luke Hopkins ◽  
David Bryan Thomas Robinson ◽  
Osian Penri James ◽  
Oliver Luton ◽  
...  

Purpose of the studyDrivers at work (DW) and Learning Styles (LS) refer to contentious theories that aim to account for differential career development yet seldom feature in assessment. This study aimed to quantify the influence of core surgical trainees’ (CST) DW and LS on career progress.Study designDW questionnaires and Kolb LS inventories were distributed to 168 CSTs during five consecutive induction boot camps in a single-statutory education body. Primary outcome measures were membership of the Royal College of Surgeons (MRCS) examination and national training number (NTN) success.ResultsOf 108 responses received (response rate 64.3%), 64.8% were male and 35.2% female (p=0.003). DW spectrum was: please people (25.0%), be perfect (21.3%), hurry up (18.5%), be strong (13.9%) and try hard (0%, p<0.001). DW was either equivocal (n=14) or not provided (n=9) by 21.3% of CSTs. LS were: converging (34.3%), accommodating (28.7%), diverging (23.1%) and assimilating (13.9%, p=0.021). Men were more likely to be convergers (29/70, 41.4%), and women divergers (15/38, 39.5%, p=0.018) also preferring team-based LS (accommodating/diverging, 26/38 (68.4%) vs 30/70 (42.9%), p=0.010). MRCS success was not associated with DW (p=0.329) or LS (p=0.459). On multivariable analysis, NTN success was associated with LS (accommodators 64.5%, divergers 32.0%, OR 10.90, p=0.014), scholarly activity (OR 1.71, p=0.001), improving surgical training programme (OR 36.22, p=0.019) and universal ARCP 1 outcome (OR 183.77, p<0.001).ConclusionsLS are associated with important differences in career progress with accommodator twofold more likely than diverger to achieve NTN.


BJS Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Joshua Clements

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in dynamic changes to healthcare delivery. Surgery as a specialty has been significantly affected and with that the delivery of surgical training. Method This national, collaborative, cross sectional study comprising 13 surgical trainee associations distributed a pan surgical specialty survey on the COVID-19 impact on surgical training over a 4-week period (11th May - 8th June 2020). The survey was voluntary and open to medical students and surgical trainees of all specialties and training grades. All aspects of training were qualitatively assessed. This study was reported according to STROBE guidelines. Results 810 completed responses were analysed. (M401: F 390) with representation from all deaneries and training grades. 41% of respondents (n = 301) were redeployed with 74% (n = 223) redeployed &gt; 4 weeks. Complete loss of training was reported in elective operating (69.5% n = 474), outpatient activity (67.3%, n = 457), Elective endoscopy (69.5% n = 246) with &gt; 50% reduction in training time reported in emergency operating (48%, n = 326) and completion of work-based assessments (WBA) (46%, n = 309). 81% (n = 551) reported course cancellations and departmental and regional teaching programmes were cancelled without rescheduling in 58% and 60% of cases respectively. A perceived lack of Elective operative exposure and completions of WBA’s were the primary reported factor affecting potential training progression. Overall, &gt; 50% of trainees (n = 377) felt they would not meet the competencies required for that training period. Conclusion This study has demonstrated a perceived negative impact on numerous aspects of surgical training affecting all training specialties and grades.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. e000639
Author(s):  
Danielle Ní Chróinín ◽  
Nevenka Francis ◽  
Pearl Wong ◽  
Yewon David Kim ◽  
Susan Nham ◽  
...  

BackgroundGiven the increasing numbers of older patients presenting with trauma, and the potential influence of delirium on outcomes, we sought to investigate the proportion of such patients who were diagnosed with delirium during their stay—and patient factors associated therewith—and the potential associations between delirium and hospital length of stay (LOS). We hypothesized that delirium would be common, associated with certain patient characteristics, and associated with long hospital LOS (highest quartile).MethodsWe conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of all trauma patients aged ≥65 years presenting in September to October 2019, interrogating medical records and the institutional trauma database. The primary outcome measure was occurrence of delirium.ResultsAmong 99 eligible patients, delirium was common, documented in 23% (23 of 99). On multivariable analysis, adjusting for age, frailty and history of dementia, frailty (OR 4.09, 95% CI 1.08 to 15.53, p=0.04) and dementia (OR 5.23, 95% CI 1.38 to 19.90, p=0.02) were independently associated with likelihood of delirium. Standardized assessment tools were underused, with only 34% (34 of 99) screened within 4 hours of arrival. On univariate logistic regression analysis, having an episode of delirium was associated with long LOS (highest quartile), OR of 5.29 (95% CI 1.92 to 14.56, p<0.001). In the final multivariable model, adjusting for any (non-delirium) in-hospital complication, delirium was independently associated with long LOS (≥16 days; OR 4.81, p=0.005).DiscussionIn this study, delirium was common. History of dementia and baseline frailty were associated with increased risk. Delirium was independently associated with long LOS. However, many patients did not undergo standardized screening at admission. Early identification and targeted management of older patients at risk of delirium may reduce incidence and improve care of this vulnerable cohort. These data are hypothesis generating, but support the need for initiatives which improve delirium care, acknowledging the complex interplay between frailty and other geriatric syndromes in the older trauma patients.Level of evidenceIII.


BMC Surgery ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Kamal ◽  
Mohammad Abdulwahab ◽  
Ahmed Al-Zaid

Abstract Background Oral and maxillofacial surgery specialty has grown rapidly in Kuwait in recent years. However, the general public and healthcare professionals remain unaware of its expanding scope of practice. The aim of the study is to assess public and professional (dental and medical) perception of the oral and maxillofacial surgical specialty in Kuwait. Methods This is a cross-sectional study evaluating responses of dental professionals, medical professionals, and general public in Kuwait toward the oral and maxillofacial surgical specialty using a previously validated survey instrument with 100 participants in each group. Participants were asked to choose the most appropriate specialist to treat certain procedures across 4 disciplines: reconstruction, trauma, pathology, and cosmetic. Statistical comparison was conducted between dentists and medical doctors using Fisher’s exact test with a p-value of < 0.05. Results Disparities were noted each group’s responses. Oral and maxillofacial surgery was preferred overall for most clinical scenarios in trauma (p < 0.001), pathology (p < 0.001), and reconstructive surgery (p < 0.001). Plastic surgery was preferred for cosmetic surgeries (p < 0.001). Conclusions This study indicates the need to increase awareness especially towards cosmetic surgery procedures, and conduct health campaigns regarding oral and maxillofacial surgery among healthcare professionals, especially medical doctors, and the general public.


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