Was an increase in natural mortality responsible for the collapse off northern cod?

1995 ◽  
Vol 52 (6) ◽  
pp. 1274-1285 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ransom A. Myers ◽  
Noel G. Cadigan
Keyword(s):  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Natural Mortality ◽  
Correlated Errors ◽  
Estimation Errors ◽  
Research Survey ◽  
Northern Cod ◽  
Northern Atlantic ◽  
Invalid Inference ◽  
Trawl Surveys

The collapse of the northern Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) fishery off southern Labrador and to the northern Grand Bank of Newfoundland, once the largest cod fishery in the world, was a social and economic disaster for the region. An analysis of traditional catch-at-age data in conjunction with research surveys, which assumed that research survey estimation errors of abundance by age and year were independent, led assessment biologists to the conclusion that the collapse was caused by an increase in natural mortality in the first half of 1991. We constructed a statistical model to test this hypothesis. The results do not support the hypothesis. There is ambiguous evidence that natural mortality has increased since 1991; however, these results are found only in a model that has extraordinary patterns in the residuals. Our analysis suggests that even if natural mortality has been higher in recent years (as estimated using a model with correlated errors for research surveys), overfishing was sufficiently high to cause a collapse of this population. We also demonstrate that the usual assumption that estimation errors from research trawl surveys are independent is not valid, and can lead to invalid inference and unreasonable estimates of abundance.

Survival of Northern Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) Eggs and Larvae when Exposed to Ice and Low Temperature

1992 ◽  
Vol 49 (12) ◽  
pp. 2588-2595 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul F. Valerio ◽  
Sally V. Goddard ◽  
Ming H. Kao ◽  
Garth L. Fletcher
Keyword(s):  
Low Temperature ◽  
Newfoundland And Labrador ◽  
Direct Contact ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Ice Crystals ◽  
Freeze Resistance ◽  
Northern Cod ◽  
Northern Atlantic ◽  
Eggs And Larvae

Freeze resistance of eggs and larvae of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) from the northern cod stock was investigated to determine whether ice contact could affect survival during the spring spawning season off Newfoundland. Egg and larval homogenates did not appear to contain antifreeze proteins (mean freezing points −0.78 and −0.88 °C, respectively). However, cod eggs did not freeze at −1.8 °C in icy aerated seawater, could be undercooled to −4.0 °C in ice, and froze at temperatures between −4.1 and −1 7 °C; freeze resistance depended on the integrity of the chorion. Larvae withstood undercooling to −1.8 °C, provided they were not brought into direct contact with ice crystals, if directly touched with ice, larvae froze at −1.36 °C (feeding stage) or −1.34 °C (yolk-sac), approximately 0.5 °C lower than would be expected from the freezing temperatures of their body fluids. The nature of their external epithelium and delayed development of sensitive gill structures below 0 °C may contribute to larval freeze resistance. Cod eggs and larvae are found in spring off Newfoundland and Labrador, when sea temperatures can be as low as −1.8 °C and ice cover extensive. While cod eggs are remarkably freeze resistant, such environmental conditions may cause freezing mortalities in larval cod.

Natural mortality from poor condition in Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua)

2000 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 826-836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Denis Dutil ◽  
Yvan Lambert
Keyword(s):  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Fish Muscle ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
Wild Fish ◽  
Natural Mortality ◽  
Muscle Lactate ◽  
Lactate Dehydrogenase Activity ◽  
Poor Condition

The extent of energy depletion was assessed in Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) in spring and early summer (1993-1995) to assess relationships between poor condition and natural mortality. Several indices of condition were compared in wild fish in the northern Gulf of St. Lawrence and in fish exposed to a prolonged period of starvation in laboratory experiments. Discriminant analyses classified only a small fraction of the wild fish as similar to cod that did not survive and a much larger fraction as similar to cod that survived starvation. This percentage increased from April to May and peaked in June 1993 and 1994. Condition factor and muscle somatic index allowed a clear distinction between live and dead fish. Muscle lactate dehydrogenase activity suggested that cod had experienced a period of negative growth early in 1993, 1994, and 1995. Fish classified as similar to starved individuals were characterized by a higher gonad to liver mass ratio than others. Reproduction may have a negative impact on survival not only in spring but also later into summer, as some individuals were found not to have recovered by late summer. This study shows that natural mortality from poor condition contributed to lower production in the early 1990s.

Isolation or metapopulation: whence and whither the Smith Sound cod?

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (1) ◽  
pp. 152-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
George A. Rose ◽  
R. John Nelson ◽  
Luiz G.S. Mello
Keyword(s):  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Genetic Data ◽  
Spawning Aggregation ◽  
Genetic Isolation ◽  
Coastal Fisheries ◽  
Data History ◽  
Northern Atlantic ◽  
First Maturity ◽  
Year 2000

In April 1995, a spawning aggregation of “northern” Atlantic cod ( Gadus morhua ) (10 000 t) appeared in Smith Sound, Newfoundland, growing to 26 000 t by year 2000. The origin of the founder year classes (primarily the 1990 and 1992 year classes) and potential for expansion remains controversial, with genetic isolation used to justify reopenings of coastal fisheries. We investigated the origin using historical, demographic, and genetic data. History provided no evidence of large aggregations before 1995. Demographics in the early 1990s suggested few spawners in Smith Sound, but many in the adjacent Bonavista Corridor. The strong 1990 year class was not evident until 1995 and the strong 1992 year class until 1997 (both age 5 and first maturity). Genetic study of six microsatellite loci from 791 cod from overwintering aggregations in Smith Sound and offshore regions indicated little to no differentiation (FST) among southern groups (Smith Sound, Bonavista Corridor, Halibut Channel). These results provide a perspective that these groups comprise a metapopulation and that the Smith Sound aggregation arose not from self-recruitment but immigration. By 2009, the aggregation had dispersed, with large concurrent increases in the Bonavista Corridor.

Age- and Density-Dependent Bathymetric Pattern of Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) in the Southern Gulf of St. Lawrence

1993 ◽  
Vol 50 (6) ◽  
pp. 1255-1264 ◽  
Author(s):  
Douglas P. Swain
Keyword(s):  
Habitat Selection ◽  
Density Dependence ◽  
Shallow Water ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Low Density ◽  
Positive Correlation ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Trawl Surveys

I examined the bathymetric pattern of Alantic cod (Gadus morhua) in September in the southern Gulf of St. Lawrence for age groups 3–8+ over the period 1971–91 using data from annual bottom trawl surveys. Mean age of cod tended to increase with depth in all years. The age-specific bathymetric patterns underlying this relationship differed markedly between periods of low and high abundance. When abundance was high, cod densities tended to be highest at intermediate depths, and the positive correlation between age and depth reflected a tendency for density to be highest in progressively deeper water for older fish. When abundance was low, density was either unrelated to depth or highest in shallow water, and the positive correlation between age and depth reflected a tendency for older cod to be more widely distributed than younger cod (i.e., density decreased less sharply with depth for older cod). I suggest explanations for this density dependence of cod bathymetric pattern and discuss these results in relation to the factors underlying habitat selection and bathymetric segregation by age in this population.

Indices of Total Stock Biomass in the "Northern" and Gulf of St. Lawrence Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) Stocks Derived from Time Series Analyses of Fixed Gear (Trap) Catches

1992 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 202-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. A. Rose
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Northern Cod ◽  
Cross Correlations ◽  
Time Series Analyses ◽  
Trap Catches ◽  
Total Stock

The hypothesis that annual catches of fixed gear fisheries are cross-correlated with stock biomass at lags predictable on the basis of the relative ages of fish comprising the catch and biomass was verified for the trapnet fisheries of the northeastern Newfoundland "northern" (NAFO 2J3KL) and northern "Gulf" of St. Lawrence (NAFO 3Pn4RS) Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stocks. Time series indices of stock biomass were derived from these cross-correlations. For northern cod, the index was a 3-yr weighted and lagged moving average of catch. For the years 1972–81 (the first half of the available data) the trap index (Ti) was regressed on the stock biomass (Bi) determined by sequential population models (SPA) (Ti = 0.477Bi0.638, r = 0.99, P < 0.01). Biomass forecasts for 1982–90 derived from this function (inverted) were positively correlated with recent SPA-based estimates (r = 0.94, P < 0.02). For Gulf cod, the index was a 4-yr weighted and lagged moving average of catch. This index was regressed on SPA-determined biomass for the years 1974–81 (Ti = −3.19 + 0.0217Bi, r = 0.99; P < 0.01). Biomass forecasts for 1982–90 were positively correlated with (but lower than) SPA-based biomass estimates for the Gulf stock (r = 0.91, P < 0.05).

scholarly journals Otolith chemistry and redistributions of Northern cod: evidence of Smith Sound – Bonavista Corridor connectivity

2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (12) ◽  
pp. 2302-2312 ◽  
Author(s):  
Victoria Neville ◽  
George Rose ◽  
Sherrylynn Rowe ◽  
Robyn Jamieson ◽  
Glenn Piercey
Keyword(s):  
Oxygen Isotope ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Direct Evidence ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Otolith Chemistry ◽  
Stable Oxygen Isotope ◽  
Metapopulation Structure ◽  
Northern Cod ◽  
Stable Oxygen ◽  
Placentia Bay

Stable oxygen isotope assays of otoliths (δ18Ooto) from migrant Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua Linnaeus, 1758) that overwintered in Smith Sound, Newfoundland, during 1995–2006 differed from those of nonmigrating summer residents and cod from Placentia Bay and Halibut Channel but did not differ from those of cod from the adjacent offshore Bonavista Corridor in summer. All fish sampled were of the 1990 year class (founder of the Smith Sound aggregation) at ages 8–10 years. Hence, overwintering Smith Sound and summering Bonavista Corridor cod likely experienced similar temperatures and salinities in each year of life, representing different migration stages of an intermixed group. Moreover, predictions of δ18Ooto from near-bottom ocean temperatures and salinities differed between inshore and offshore sites and, in general, matched observed signatures of inshore and offshore cod. The Bonavista Corridor cod, however, were an exception, having δ18Ooto signatures suggestive of inshore exposure. Our findings provide direct evidence of metapopulation structure in the Northern cod and are consistent with offshore rebuilding having been spurred by dispersal of cod from inshore Smith Sound.

scholarly journals Increased natural mortality at low abundance can generate an Allee effect in a marine fish

2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 140075 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Kuparinen ◽  
Jeffrey A. Hutchings
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Density Dependence ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Allee Effect ◽  
Population Regulation ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Adult Mortality ◽  
Natural Mortality ◽  
Density Dependent

Negative density-dependent regulation of population dynamics promotes population growth at low abundance and is therefore vital for recovery following depletion. Inversely, any process that reduces the compensatory density-dependence of population growth can negatively affect recovery. Here, we show that increased adult mortality at low abundance can reverse compensatory population dynamics into its opposite—a demographic Allee effect. Northwest Atlantic cod ( Gadus morhua ) stocks collapsed dramatically in the early 1990s and have since shown little sign of recovery. Many experienced dramatic increases in natural mortality, ostensibly attributable in some populations to increased predation by seals. Our findings show that increased natural mortality of a magnitude observed for overfished cod stocks has been more than sufficient to fundamentally alter the dynamics of density-dependent population regulation. The demographic Allee effect generated by these changes can slow down or even impede the recovery of depleted populations even in the absence of fishing.

scholarly journals Is recovery of northern cod limited by poor feeding? The capelin hypothesis revisited

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (4) ◽  
pp. 784-793 ◽  
Author(s):  
Darrell R. J. Mullowney ◽  
George A. Rose
Keyword(s):  
Newfoundland And Labrador ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Wild Fish ◽  
Fish Growth ◽  
Small Fish ◽  
Performance Trends ◽  
Northern Cod ◽  
Capelin Mallotus Villosus ◽  
Prime Condition

Abstract The slow recovery of the “northern” Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stock off Newfoundland and Labrador has been ascribed to many factors. One hypothesis is poor feeding and condition as a consequence of a decline in capelin (Mallotus villosus), their former main prey. We compared the growth and condition of cod from known inshore (Smith Sound) and offshore (Bonavista Corridor) centres of rebuilding in wild subjects versus captive subjects fed an unlimited diet of oily rich fish. Wild fish in these areas have had different diets and population performance trends since stock declines in the early 1990s. Captive cod from both areas grew at the same rates and achieved equivalent prime condition, while their wild counterparts differed, with smaller sizes, lower condition in small fish, and elevated mortality levels in the offshore centre. Environmental temperature conditions did not account for the differences in performance of wild fish. Our results suggest that fish growth and condition, and hence rebuilding in the formerly large offshore spawning components of the northern cod, have been limited by a lack of capelin in their diet. Furthermore, we suggest that these groups are unlikely to rebuild until a recovery in capelin occurs.

Seasonal variation in the habitat associations of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) and American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides) from the southern Gulf of St. Lawrence

1998 ◽  
Vol 55 (12) ◽  
pp. 2548-2561 ◽  
Author(s):  
D P Swain ◽  
G A Chouinard ◽  
R Morin ◽  
K F Drinkwater
Keyword(s):  
Seasonal Variation ◽  
Habitat Selection ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Habitat Associations ◽  
Practical Implications ◽  
Hippoglossoides Platessoides ◽  
Trawl Surveys ◽  
Selection Of

We compared habitat associations of southern Gulf of St. Lawrence Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) and American plaice (Hippoglossoides platessoides) between the summer feeding season on the Magdalen Shallows and the overwintering period in the Cabot Strait. Data were from bottom trawl surveys conducted in September 1993, 1994, and 1995 and January 1994, 1995, and 1996. Both species occupied much deeper, warmer water in winter than in summer. The effect of cod age on temperature distribution reversed between the two seasons, with younger cod occupying warmer water than older cod in summer and colder water in winter. Selection of both depth and temperature by cod tended to be more significant in September than in January. The reduced statistical significance of habitat selection by cod in winter was associated with a more aggregated distribution in this season. The contrast between seasons in habitat associations was particularly strong for plaice. The median habitats occupied by plaice were 58-67 m and -0.1 to 0.3°C in September and 374-426 m and 5.2-5.4°C in January. Habitat selection by plaice was significant in both seasons, but significance tended to be greater in January. Degree of aggregation in plaice distribution was similar between the two seasons. Female plaice occupied significantly warmer water than males in September but not in January. The ecological and practical implications of this striking seasonal variation in habitat associations are discussed.

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