Potential changes in carbon dynamics due to climate change measured in the past two decades

2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (9) ◽  
pp. 2258-2267 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Yarie ◽  
Bill Parton
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Carbon Balance ◽  
Carbon Capture ◽  
Black Spruce ◽  
White Spruce ◽  
Carbon Dynamics ◽  
Age Classes ◽  
The Past ◽  
Interior Alaska ◽  
Taiga Forest

Evidence suggests that climate change dynamics have been occurring in the northern latitudes for the past two and a half decades. The CENTURY ecosystem model was used for a set of simulations related to the carbon dynamics of interior Alaska taiga forest types. The functional dynamics of three age-classes (young, middle, and mature) of three ecosystem types (white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss), black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) BSP), and hardwoods) were compared using an average climate that was present prior to 1980 and the climate record from 1980 to 2000. Estimates for total ecosystem production indicate a decrease in tree carbon capture for hardwood stands for all three age-classes summed across a 20-year climate change period. White spruce displayed increases in carbon capture for the three age-classes. Young and mid-aged black spruce stands showed a decrease in ecosystem productivity. The old-growth black spruce stand showed a small increase in carbon capture. Dynamics displayed for the entire ecosystem (soil organic matter, tree dynamics, dead wood, and forest litter) followed the same trends as vegetation productivity. For the same 20-year climate period and across all three age-classes, carbon capture decreased for hardwood ecosystems and increased for white spruce ecosystems. The young black spruce system showed a change from a positive carbon balance to a negative carbon balance. Based on the landscape area covered by each vegetation type, we suggest that the net effect of climate warming over the past 20 years has been a substantial decrease in carbon capture in the forests of interior Alaska.

Carbon balance of the taiga forest within Alaska: present and future

2002 ◽  
Vol 32 (5) ◽  
pp. 757-767 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Yarie ◽  
Sharon Billings
Keyword(s):  
Boreal Forest ◽  
Black Spruce ◽  
White Spruce ◽  
Carbon Dynamics ◽  
Mean Annual Temperature ◽  
Century Model ◽  
Inventory Data ◽  
Balsam Poplar ◽  
Taiga Forest ◽  
Paper Birch

Forest biomass, rates of production, and carbon dynamics are a function of climate, plant species present, and the structure of the soil organic and mineral layers. Inventory data from the U.S. Forest Service (USFS) Inventory Analysis Unit was used to develop estimates of the land area represented by the major overstory species at various age-classes. The CENTURY model was then used to develop an estimate of carbon dynamics throughout the age sequence of forest development for the major ecosystem types. The estimated boreal forest area in Alaska, based on USFS inventory data is 17 244 098 ha. The total aboveground biomass within the Alaska boreal forest was estimated to be 815 330 000 Mg. The CENTURY model estimated maximum net ecosystem production (NEP) at 137, 88, 152, 99, and 65 g·m–2·year–1 for quaking aspen (Populus tremuloides Michx.), paper birch (Betula papyrifera Marsh.), balsam poplar (Populus balsamifera L.), white spruce (Picea glauca (Moench) Voss), and black spruce (Picea mariana (Mill.) BSP) forest stands, respectively. These values were predicted at stand ages of 80, 60, 41, 68, and 100 years, respectively. The minimum values of NEP for aspen, paper birch, balsam poplar, white spruce, and black spruce were –171, –166, –240, –300, and –61 g·m–2·year–1 at the ages of 1, 1, 1, 1, and 12, respectively. NEP became positive at the ages of 14, 19, 16, 13, and 34 for aspen, birch, balsam poplar, white spruce, and black spruce ecosystems, respectively. A 5°C increase in mean annual temperature resulted in a higher amount of predicted production and decomposition in all ecosystems, resulting in an increase of NEP. We estimate that the current vegetation absorbs approximately 9.65 Tg of carbon per year within the boreal forest of the state. If there is a 5°C increase in the mean annual temperature with no change in precipitation we estimated that NEP for the boreal forest in Alaska would increase to 16.95 Tg of carbon per year.

Productivity and nutrient cycling in taiga forest ecosystems

1983 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 747-766 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keith Van Cleve ◽  
Lola Oliver ◽  
Robert Schlentner ◽  
Leslie A. Viereck ◽  
C. T. Dyrness
Keyword(s):  
Nutrient Cycling ◽  
Soil Temperature ◽  
Forest Floor ◽  
Black Spruce ◽  
Lignin Content ◽  
Mineral Soil ◽  
Forest Types ◽  
Interior Alaska ◽  
Taiga Forest ◽  
Tree Production

This paper considers the productivity and nutrient cycling in examples of the major forest types in interior Alaska. These ecosystem properties are examined from the standpoint of the control exerted over them by soil temperature and forest-floor chemistry. We conclude that black spruce Piceamariana (Mill.) B.S.P. occupies the coldest, wettest sites which support tree growth in interior Alaska. Average seasonal heat sums (1132 ± 32 degree days (DD)) for all other forest types were significantly higher than those encountered for black spruce (640 ± 40 DD). In addition, black spruce ecosystems display the highest average seasonal forest-floor and mineral-soil moisture contents. Forest-floor chemistry interacts with soil temperature in black spruce to produce the most decay-resistant organic matter. In black spruce the material is characterized by the highest lignin content and widest C/N (44) and C/P (404) ratios. Across the range of forest types examined in this study, soil temperature is strongly related to net annual aboveground tree production and the annual tree requirement for N, P, K, Ca, and Mg. Forest floor C/N and C/P ratios are strongly related to annual tree N and P requirement and the C/N ratio to annual tree production. In all cases these controls act to produce, in black spruce, the smallest accumulation of tree biomass, standing crop of elements, annual production, and element requirement in aboveground tree components.

scholarly journals Mature Andean forests as globally important carbon sinks and future carbon refuges

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alvaro Duque ◽  
Miguel A. Peña ◽  
Francisco Cuesta ◽  
Sebastián González-Caro ◽  
Peter Kennedy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Carbon Dynamics ◽  
Carbon Stocks ◽  
Biotic Factors ◽  
Tropical Andes ◽  
Size Dependent ◽  
The Past ◽  
Aboveground Carbon ◽  
Abiotic And Biotic Factors ◽  
Global Carbon

AbstractIt is largely unknown how South America’s Andean forests affect the global carbon cycle, and thus regulate climate change. Here, we measure aboveground carbon dynamics over the past two decades in 119 monitoring plots spanning a range of >3000 m elevation across the subtropical and tropical Andes. Our results show that Andean forests act as strong sinks for aboveground carbon (0.67 ± 0.08 Mg C ha−1 y−1) and have a high potential to serve as future carbon refuges. Aboveground carbon dynamics of Andean forests are driven by abiotic and biotic factors, such as climate and size-dependent mortality of trees. The increasing aboveground carbon stocks offset the estimated C emissions due to deforestation between 2003 and 2014, resulting in a net total uptake of 0.027 Pg C y−1. Reducing deforestation will increase Andean aboveground carbon stocks, facilitate upward species migrations, and allow for recovery of biomass losses due to climate change.

scholarly journals Competing roles of rising CO<sub>2</sub> and climate change in the contemporary European carbon balance

2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. G. Harrison ◽  
C. D. Jones ◽  
J. K. Hughes
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Carbon Balance ◽  
Atmospheric Co2 ◽  
Natural Ecosystems ◽  
Age Classes ◽  
Carbon Cycle Model ◽  
Land Use And Management ◽  
The Impact ◽  
And Storage

Abstract. Natural ecosystems respond to, and may affect climate change through uptake and storage of atmospheric CO2. Here we use the land-surface and carbon cycle model JULES to simulate the contemporary European carbon balance and its sensitivity to rising CO2 and changes in climate. We find that the impact of climate change is to decrease the ability of Europe to store carbon by 97 TgC yr−1. In contrast, the effect of rising atmospheric CO2 has been to stimulate increased uptake and storage. The CO2 effect is currently dominant leading to a net increase of 114 TgC yr−1. Our simulations do not at present include other important factors such as land use and management, the effects of forest age classes and nitrogen deposition. Understanding this balance and its implications for mitigation policies is becoming increasingly important.

Late Quaternary history of black spruce and grasslands in southwest Yukon Territory

1992 ◽  
Vol 70 (7) ◽  
pp. 1336-1345 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. J. Keenan ◽  
L. C. Cwynar
Keyword(s):  
Dominant Species ◽  
Black Spruce ◽  
Late Quaternary ◽  
Minor Component ◽  
White Spruce ◽  
Yukon Territory ◽  
The Past ◽  
History Of ◽  
Quaternary History ◽  
A Minor

Pollen records from Long Last Lake and Two Horsemen Pond, near the centre of the arid region of southwest Yukon Territory, do not support the hypotheses that (i) black spruce was a dominant species in the region and (ii) the southwest Yukon supported widespread grasslands during most of the past 10 000 years. Black spruce became established between 8500 and 8000 BP, shortly after the arrival of white spruce, but its low pollen percentages (< 5%) indicate that it was a minor component of forests. Between 6000 and 5000 BP, white spruce populations decreased as black spruce and green alder increased, but black spruce remained a minor constituent of the forest, never becoming a dominant species as at Kettlehole Pond near the southeast margin of the arid southwest Yukon. The initial vegetation was a poplar woodland, dating from 9200 to 8500 BP at Long Last Lake. At both Long Last Lake and Two Horsemen Pond, the high percentages of herb pollen indicate that the forest was open, but the low values of grass pollen suggest that grasslands were not extensive. Coincident with the establishment of spruce woodland at 8500 BP, pollen of herbs declines and remains comparatively low until 1300 BP when herbs, including grasses, increase to maximum values for the period of record, indicating the grassland communities were probably never more abundant during the Holocene than they are now. Key words: southwest Yukon, black spruce, pollen analysis, paleoecology, climate change.

Vegetation, soils, and forest productivity in selected forest types in interior Alaska

1983 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 703-720 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leslie A. Viereck ◽  
C. T. Dyrness ◽  
Keith Van Cleve ◽  
M. Joan Foote
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Standing Crop ◽  
Environmental Gradient ◽  
Forest Type ◽  
Black Spruce ◽  
White Spruce ◽  
Forest Productivity ◽  
Balsam Poplar ◽  
Interior Alaska ◽  
Annual Productivity

Vegetation, forest productivity, and soils of 23 forest stands in the taiga of interior Alaska are described. The stands are arranged on an environmental gradient from an aspen (Populustremuloides Michx.) stand on a dry, steep south-facing bluff, to open black spruce (Piceamariana (Mill.) B.S.P.) stands underlain by permafrost on north-facing slopes. The coldest site is a mixed white spruce (Piceaglauca (Moench) Voss) and black spruce woodland at the treeline. Mesic upland sites are represented by successional stands of paper birch (Betulapapyrifera Marsh.) and aspen, and highly productive stands of white spruce. Several floodplain stands represent the successional sequence from productive balsam poplar (Populusbalsamifera L.) and white spruce to black spruce stands underlain by permafrost on the older terraces. The environmental gradient is described by using two soil factors: soil moisture and annual accumulated soil degree days (SDD), which range from 2217 SDD for the warmest aspen stand to 480 SDD for the coldest permafrost-dominated black spruce site. Soils vary from Alfie Cryochrepts on most of the mesic sites to Histic Pergelic Cryochrepts on the colder sites underlain by permafrost. A typical soil profile is described for each major forest type. A black spruce stand on permafrost has the lowest tree standing crop (15806 g•m−2) and annual productivity (56 g•m−2•year−1) whereas a mature white spruce stand has the largest tree standing crop (24 577 g•m−2) and an annual productivity of 540 g•m−2•year−1, but the successional balsam poplar stand on flood plain alluvium has the highest annual tree increment (952 g•m−2•year−1). The study supports the hypothesis that black spruce is a nutrient poor, unproductive forest type and that its low productivity is primarily the result of low soil temperature and high soil moisture.

Influence of climate change, fire and harvest on the carbon dynamics of black spruce in Central Canada

2009 ◽  
Vol 257 (3) ◽  
pp. 941-950 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oleg Chertov ◽  
Jagtar S. Bhatti ◽  
Alexander Komarov ◽  
Alexey Mikhailov ◽  
Sergey Bykhovets
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Black Spruce ◽  
Carbon Dynamics ◽  
Central Canada

Denouement: World Politics, Systemic Leadership, and Climate Change

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
William R. Thompson ◽  
Leila Zakhirova
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
World Politics ◽  
First Century ◽  
Modern World ◽  
Climate Fluctuations ◽  
The Past ◽  
Agrarian Economy ◽  
Historical Processes

In this final chapter, we conclude by recapitulating our argument and evidence. One goal of this work has been to improve our understanding of the patterns underlying the evolution of world politics over the past one thousand years. How did we get to where we are now? Where and when did the “modern” world begin? How did we shift from a primarily agrarian economy to a primarily industrial one? How did these changes shape world politics? A related goal was to examine more closely the factors that led to the most serious attempts by states to break free of agrarian constraints. We developed an interactive model of the factors that we thought were most likely to be significant. Finally, a third goal was to examine the linkages between the systemic leadership that emerged from these historical processes and the global warming crisis of the twenty-first century. Climate change means that the traditional energy platforms for system leadership—coal, petroleum, and natural gas—have become counterproductive. The ultimate irony is that we thought that the harnessing of carbon fuels made us invulnerable to climate fluctuations, while the exact opposite turns out to be true. The more carbon fuels are consumed, the greater the damage done to the atmosphere. In many respects, the competition for systemic leadership generated this problem. Yet it is unclear whether systemic leadership will be up to the task of resolving it.

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