THE IMPACT OF COAL RESOURCE TAX REFORM ON THE CHINESE ECONOMY: A CGE ANALYSIS

2018 ◽  
Vol 63 (03) ◽  
pp. 555-565 ◽  
Author(s):  
YU LIU ◽  
MEIFANG ZHOU

China’s coal resource tax reform, introducing an ad valorem tax to replace previous volume-based tax from December 2014, marked a new stage of the resource pricing mechanism reform. In particular, coal, as a pollution-intensive energy, is the main source of energy for China. With this in mind, it is the time to ask what the impacts of this reform would be on Chinese economy. A computable general equilibrium (CGE) model is applied to explore the impact of a 5% ad valorem coal resource tax on Chinese economy under four scenarios involving distinguished electricity pricing mechanisms and tax revenue recycling scheme by deducting consumption tax. Simulation results show that levying ad valorem tax will reduce the output of energy-intensive industries with minor negative impact on economy. A consumption tax deduction can offset the negative impact on real GDP and help the economy to restructure. The concern that reform will push up inflation is unnecessary, even under the market price mechanism of electricity. In terms of winners, export-oriented industries benefit when no tax revenue recycling, while industries producing private consumption goods benefit when ad valorem coal resource tax revenue is used to deduct consumption tax.

SERIEs ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 401-418
Author(s):  
Esra Durceylan

Abstract Efficiency comparison of ad valorem and unit taxes has been traditionally based on consumer welfare. However, if the tax instrument also affects the distribution of firms over their productivities, the policy maker may be concerned about the implications on aggregate productivity as well. This paper makes an efficiency comparison of ad valorem and unit taxes by allowing the distribution of firms to respond to changes in policy. First, I make an efficiency comparison in a model with monopolistically competitive firms that are homogenous with respect to their productivity levels. Consumer preferences exhibit love for variety and allow firms to adjust their markups. I find that ad valorem tax is more efficient. Allowing for firm heterogeneity overturns this result at high revenue requirements. As the tax rate increases, ad valorem tax causes excessive exit of firms which makes the market more competitive. Hence, few surviving firms price lower by decreasing their markups. Lower prices decrease the tax revenue collected. As a result under ad valorem tax regime, higher consumer surplus is dominated by lower tax revenue. On the other hand, production is concentrated among relatively more productive firms. Thus, aggregate productivity is higher under ad valorem tax regime.


2015 ◽  
Vol 61 (6) ◽  
pp. 12-18
Author(s):  
Anna Moździerz

Abstract The financialisation of economies is believed to be the primary cause of the increase in income inequality in the world, occurring on a scale unseen for more than 30 years. One can hypothesise that it is the state that is responsible for the widening inequality, as the state has not sufficiently used the redistributive function of taxation. The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of tax policy on income inequality in Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary. These so-called Visegrad countries have, in the last several years, carried out some controversial experiments with tax policy, specifically in terms of the flattening of tax progressivity or its replacement with a flat tax, which led to the weakening of the income adjustment mechanism. The imbalance between income tax and consumption tax has contributed to perpetuating income inequality. The verification of tax systems carried out during the recent financial crisis has forced the countries included in this research to implement tax reforms. The introduced changes caused various fiscal and redistributive effects. Analyses show that the changes in income taxation and an increase in the consumption tax rate had the most negative impact on the income and asset situation in Hungary.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fenny Ama Pokuaa ◽  
Aba Obrumah Crentsil ◽  
Christian Kwaku Osei ◽  
Felix Ankomah Asante

This working paper predicts the fiscal and public health outcomes from a change in the excise tax structure for cigarettes in Ghana. More than 5,000 people are killed by diseases caused by tobacco every year in Ghana (Tobacco Atlas 2018). Currently the country has a unitary tax administration approach, with a uniform ad valorem tax structure on all excisable products, including tobacco. However, the ECOWAS directive on tobacco control, in line with the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO 2003), recommends a simple tax structure – using a mixed excise system with a minimum specific tax floor to overcome the limitations of an ad valorem system on tobacco products, especially cigarettes. The study therefore simulates mixed tax policy interventions, and assesses their effect on government revenue and public health relative to the current ad valorem tax system. Primary data collection of tobacco prices in three geographical zones of the country was conducted in February 2020, across both rural and urban localities. This was supported with secondary data from national and international databases. Based on the assumption that Ghana adopts a mixed tax structure, the simulation shows that, if the government imposes a specific excise tax of GH₵4.00 (US$0.80) per pack in addition to the current ad valorem rate of 175 per cent of the CIF value, the average retail price of a cigarette pack would increase by 128 per cent, cigarette consumption decrease by 27 per cent, tobacco excise tax revenue increase by 627 per cent, and overall tobacco-related government tax revenue increase by 201 per cent.1 Additionally, there would be significant declines in smoking prevalence (3.3%), smoking intensity (1,448 cigarettes per year), and 3,526 premature smoking-related deaths would be avoided. The paper advocates for a strong tax administration and technical capacity, with continuous commitment by the government to adjust the tax rate in line with the rate of inflation and per capita income growth.


2020 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 650-675
Author(s):  
Erin Hazel Phipps ◽  
Mark W. Nichols ◽  
Federico Guerrero

In 2012, Illinois passed legislation allowing video gaming terminals (VGTs) outside of casinos. This legislation was passed to increase tax revenues from gambling in a market that had seen decreases in revenues and admissions over the past 8 years. VGTs may substitute for casino gambling and have a negative impact on casino and tax revenue. Using ordinary least squares and vector autoregressive models, we find that casino slot revenues decrease by about 0.05 percent for each 1 percent increase in VGT revenues. Admissions decrease by about eleven people per VGT. A Granger causality test suggests causation is running from VGTs to admissions. Thus, there is substitution between VGTs and casino gambling but not so large as to reduce tax revenue. Overall tax revenue from gambling, both casino and VGT, has increased for Illinois. However, local communities where casinos are located have experienced declines in casino tax revenue that have exceeded the gains from VGT revenue.


2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 197-215
Author(s):  
Justin Simmons

Many people have written scholarly articles highlighting the pros and cons of SORs. Some have taken the analysis a step further by pointing out the impact SORs have on the values of homes in the vicinity of a registered sex offender (“RSO”). While these studies have pointed out the impact the presence of an RSO can have on the property value for an individual homeowner, research regarding the impact RSOs have on property tax revenue for taxing districts is nonexistent. This Article highlights the correlation between the depressive effect the presence of RSOs has on property values, the impact this reduction in property value has on property tax revenue for taxing districts in Texas, and, as a corollary, the negative impact the decrease in revenue could have on the government’s ability to provide vital public services. The Article concludes by discussing different strategies states like Texas could use to allow taxing districts to recover some of this lost revenue. In particular, this Article suggests that states like Texas could (1) charge RSOs a premium on their property taxes to offset any losses their presence in the community causes; (2) pass laws that prevent RSOs from living in certain areas; (3) adjust the criteria used by taxing districts to appraise residential property; or (4) increase minimum sentences for sex offenders in an effort to reduce the number of registered sex offenders in the community.


2005 ◽  
Vol 44 (4II) ◽  
pp. 841-862 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saadia Refaqat

Pakistan has undergone a significant change in tax structure over the last fifteen years. However, this change is not apparent on the surface, as there has not been much change in the tax to GDP ratio over the last fifteen years. But if we look beyond the surface we can see changes, for example in (1990-91), indirect taxes contributed 82 percent of total tax revenue with Customs, Excise and Sales tax each contributing around 55, 28 and 18 percent respectively, while in (2001-02), indirect tax share within the total tax revenue fell slightly to 68 percent with Customs, Excises and Sales tax each now contributing around 18, 18 and 64 percent respectively. Thus, it may not be wrong to say that there has been a significant change in the tax mix in the span of less than ten years and this development is important from the perspective of efficiency, effectiveness and equity with which revenues have and will be raised. Although, Value Added Tax (VAT) is likely to be more efficient in raising revenue than both the ordinary Sales Tax and Trade Taxes that it has replaced see e.g. [Nellor (1987); Liam Ebrill (2001)], the same cannot be said as far as the fairness issue is concerned. This in no way implies that the trade taxes replaced by VAT were more fair. However in most developing countries they operate with strict import licensing schemes, binding quotas and foreign exchange restrictions that make them more a kin to lump sum tax. Therefore in most cases they have no flow through effect to the consumers [for example see Clarete (1986); Shah (1991)]. But in contrast to this VAT being a consumption tax has the capacity to directly affect each and every household. Thus equity becomes much more of a real concern and this concern is heightened given that governments of most of the developing countries lack the capacity to carry out significant redistribution.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1530 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun-Chiang Feng ◽  
Kuei-Feng Chang ◽  
Jin-Xu Lin ◽  
Shih-Mo Lin

Environmental issues have become more important worldwide. A carbon tax is a strong tool for cutting carbon emissions directly through the internalization of the external costs of pollution. To mitigate the impact of carbon taxation, it is necessary to recycle the tax revenue into other taxes, subsidies, and transfers. In Taiwan, carbon tax policy has been under consideration. To analyze the effect of carbon tax and tax revenue recycling, this paper adopts a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model—General Equilibrium Model for Energy, Environment, and Technology (GEMEET)—under a comprehensive economic systems framework. The results show that a suitable recycling mechanism is a key factor for the success of green tax reform for a significant improvement in the economy, environment, and in income distribution, simultaneously.


2020 ◽  
pp. tobaccocontrol-2020-055843
Author(s):  
Jean Tesche ◽  
Corne Van Walbeek

BackgroundIn December 2017, the 15-member ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States) and the 8-member WAEMU (West African Economic and Monetary Union, a subset of ECOWAS) passed new Tobacco Tax Directives. Both Directives increased the minimum ad valorem excise tax rate to 50%. In addition the ECOWAS Directive introduced a minimum specific tax (US$ 0.02/stick), but the WAEMU Directive did not. This paper examines the likely effects of these new Directives on cigarette prices, sales volumes and revenues.MethodTax simulation models using comparable data were constructed for each of the 15 countries to estimate the effects of the ECOWAS and WAEMU Directives.ResultsIf the 15 ECOWAS members implement the ECOWAS Directive it would substantially increase the retail price of cigarettes (unweighted average 51%, range: 12% to 108%), decrease sales volumes (22%, range: −8% to −39%) and increase tax revenue (373%, range: 10% to 1243%). The impact of the WAEMU Directive on WAEMU countries’ cigarette prices (unweighted average +2%), sales volumes (−1%) and revenue (+17%) is likely to be minimal.ConclusionsThe 2017 ECOWAS Directive, which adds a specific excise tax per pack, along with an increase in the ad valorem tax, substantially improves its members’ cigarette tax structure. The specific tax overcomes the weakness of the ad valorem excise tax, since it does not depend on import or ex-factory values, which comprise only a small part of the retail price in ECOWAS countries. We recommend that WAEMU countries adopt the ECOWAS Directive, rather than the WAEMU Directive.


2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 252
Author(s):  
Haohao Yue

<p>In order to regulate the development of the cross-border e-commerce industry, the State General Administration of Customs and the State Administration of Taxation issued a new policy on April 8, 2016 to abolish the provisions of cross-border e-commerce items based on postal tax, and uniformly pay customs duties and value-added value based on imported goods, tax and consumption tax. This also means that the state has gradually begun to shift from the principle of encouragement and promotion to the standardization and promotion of the cross-border e-commerce industry. Based on this, this article elaborates on the impact and countermeasures of the new tax reform on cross-border e-commerce retail import companies.</p>


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