Backpropagation Neural Network with Feature Sensitivity Analysis: Pothole Prediction Model for Flexible Pavements using Traffic and Climate Associated Factors

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
DANTE LAROZA SILVA ◽  
KEVIN LAWRENCE MARCELO DE JESUS
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Associated Factors ◽  
Flexible Pavements ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network

scholarly journals Optimization of Optical Machine Structure by Backpropagation Neural Network Based on Particle Swarm Optimization and Bayesian Regularization Algorithms

Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 2998
Author(s):  
Xinyong Zhang ◽  
Liwei Sun
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Bayesian Regularization ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Modal Frequency ◽  
Supporting Structure ◽  
First Order ◽  
Machine Structure

Fit of the highly nonlinear functional relationship between input variables and output response is important and challenging for the optical machine structure optimization design process. The backpropagation neural network method based on particle swarm optimization and Bayesian regularization algorithms (called BMPB) is proposed to solve this problem. A prediction model of the mass and first-order modal frequency of the supporting structure is developed using the supporting structure as an example. The first-order modal frequency is used as the constraint condition to optimize the lightweight design of the supporting structure’s mass. Results show that the prediction model has more than 99% accuracy in predicting the mass and the first-order modal frequency of the supporting structure, and converges quickly in the supporting structure’s mass-optimization process. The supporting structure results demonstrate the advantages of the method proposed in the article in terms of high accuracy and efficiency. The study in this paper provides an effective method for the optimized design of optical machine structures.

scholarly journals RVLBPNN: A Workload Forecasting Model for Smart Cloud Computing

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Lu ◽  
John Panneerselvam ◽  
Lu Liu ◽  
Yan Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Cloud Computing ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Service Providers ◽  
Cloud Service ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network ◽  
Environmental Implications ◽  
Cloud Service Providers ◽  
Cloud Workloads

Given the increasing deployments of Cloud datacentres and the excessive usage of server resources, their associated energy and environmental implications are also increasing at an alarming rate. Cloud service providers are under immense pressure to significantly reduce both such implications for promoting green computing. Maintaining the desired level of Quality of Service (QoS) without violating the Service Level Agreement (SLA), whilst attempting to reduce the usage of the datacentre resources is an obvious challenge for the Cloud service providers. Scaling the level of active server resources in accordance with the predicted incoming workloads is one possible way of reducing the undesirable energy consumption of the active resources without affecting the performance quality. To this end, this paper analyzes the dynamic characteristics of the Cloud workloads and defines a hierarchy for the latency sensitivity levels of the Cloud workloads. Further, a novel workload prediction model for energy efficient Cloud Computing is proposed, named RVLBPNN (Rand Variable Learning Rate Backpropagation Neural Network) based on BPNN (Backpropagation Neural Network) algorithm. Experiments evaluating the prediction accuracy of the proposed prediction model demonstrate that RVLBPNN achieves an improved prediction accuracy compared to the HMM and Naïve Bayes Classifier models by a considerable margin.

scholarly journals Prediction Model of Iron Ore Pellet Ambient Strength and Sensitivity Analysis on the Influence Factors

Metals ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiangjian Gao ◽  
Yingyi Zhang ◽  
Xin Jiang ◽  
Haiyan Zheng ◽  
Fengman Shen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Bp Network ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The Ambient Compressive Strength (CS) of pellets, influenced by several factors, is regarded as a criterion to assess pellets during metallurgical processes. A prediction model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was proposed in order to provide a reliable and economic control strategy for CS in pellet production and to forecast and control pellet CS. The dimensionality of 19 influence factors of CS was considered and reduced by Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The PCA variables were then used as the input variables for the Back Propagation (BP) neural network, which was upgraded by Genetic Algorithm (GA), with CS as the output variable. After training and testing with production data, the PCA-GA-BP neural network was established. Additionally, the sensitivity analysis of input variables was calculated to obtain a detailed influence on pellet CS. It has been found that prediction accuracy of the PCA-GA-BP network mentioned here is 96.4%, indicating that the ANN network is effective to predict CS in the pelletizing process.

scholarly journals Prediction of springback in local bending of hull plates using an optimized backpropagation neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 777-789
Author(s):  
Binjiang Xu ◽  
Lei Li ◽  
Zhao Wang ◽  
Honggen Zhou ◽  
Di Liu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network ◽  
Processing Efficiency ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Assembly Accuracy ◽  
Bending Process ◽  
Springback Prediction

Abstract. Springback is an inevitable problem in the local bending process of hull plates, which leads to low processing efficiency and affects the assembly accuracy. Therefore, the prediction of the springback effect, as a result of the local bending of hull plates, bears great significance. This paper proposes a springback prediction model based on a backpropagation neural network (BPNN), considering geometric and process parameters. Genetic algorithm (GA) and improved particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms are used to improve the global search capability of BPNN, which tends to fall into local optimal solutions, in order to find the global optimal solution. The result shows that the proposed springback prediction model, based on the BPNN optimized by genetic algorithm, is faster and offers smaller prediction error on the springback due to local bending.

scholarly journals Comparative Study of Utilising Neural Network and Response Surface Methodology for Flexible Pavement Maintenance Treatments

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (10) ◽  
pp. 1895-1905
Author(s):  
Abdalrhman Abrahim Milad ◽  
Sayf A. Majeed ◽  
Nur Izzi Md. Yusoff
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Response Surface Methodology ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Flexible Pavements ◽  
Flexible Pavement ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Tropical Region ◽  
Pavement Maintenance ◽  
Treatment Techniques

The use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) for the prediction of flexible pavement maintenance that is caused by distressing on the surface layer is crucial in the effort to increase the service life span of pavements as well as reduce government expenses. This study aimed to predict flexible pavement maintenance in tropical regions by using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and the Response Surface Methodology (RSM) for predicting models for pavement maintenance in the tropical region. However, to predict the performance of the treatment techniques for flexible pavements, we used critical criteria to choose our date from different sources to represent the situation of the current pavement. The effect of the distress condition on the flexible pavement surface performance was one of the criteria considered in our study. The data were chosen in this study for 288 sets of treatment techniques for flexible pavements. The input parameters used for the prediction were severity, density, road function, and Average Daily Traffic (ADT). The finding of regression models in (R2) values for the ANN prediction model is 0.93, while the (R2) values are (RSM) prediction model dependent on the full quadratic is 0.85. The results of two methods were compared for their predictive capabilities in terms of the coefficient of determination (𝑅2), the Mean Squared Error (MSE), and the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), based on the dataset. The results showed that the prediction made utilizing ANN was very relevant to the goal in contrast to that made using the statistical program RSM based on different types of mathematical methods such as full quadratic, pure quadratic, interactions, and linear regression.

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