Historical Rainfall and Evapotranspiration Changes over Mpologoma Catchment in Uganda

Changes in the long-term (1948–2016) rainfall and evapotranspiration over Mpologoma catchment were analysed using gridded (0.25° × 0.25°) Princeton Global Forcing data. Trend and variability were assessed using a nonparametric approach based on the cumulative sum of the difference between exceedance and nonexceedance counts of data. Annual and March-May (MAM) rainfall displayed a positive trend (p<0.05), whereas October-December (OND) and June-September rainfall exhibited negative trends with p>0.05 and p<0.05, respectively. Positive subtrends in rainfall occurred in the 1950s and from the mid-2000s till 2016; however, negative subtrends existed between 1960 till around 2005. Seasonal evapotranspiration exhibited a positive trend (p>0.05). For the entire period (1948–2016), there was no negative subtrend in the OND and MAM evapotranspiration. Rainfall and evapotranspiration trends and oscillatory variation in subtrends over multidecadal time scales indicate the need for careful planning of predictive adaptation to the impacts of climate variability on environmental applications which depend on water balance in the Mpologoma catchment. It is recommended that future studies quantify possible contributions of human factors on the variability of rainfall and evapotranspiration. Furthermore, climate change impacts on rainfall and evapotranspiration across the study area should be investigated.

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Assessment of climate change impacts on water balance and hydrological extremes in Bang Pakong-Prachin Buri river basin, Thailand

Environmental Research ◽

10.1016/j.envres.2020.109544 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 186 ◽

pp. 109544 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Thundorn Okwala ◽

Sangam Shrestha ◽

Suwas Ghimire ◽

S. Mohanasundaram ◽

Avishek Datta

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Water Balance ◽

River Basin ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

Hydrological Extremes

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Epidemic malaria and warmer temperatures in recent decades in an East African highland

Proceedings of The Royal Society B Biological Sciences ◽

10.1098/rspb.2010.2020 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 278 (1712) ◽

pp. 1661-1669 ◽

Cited By ~ 89

Author(s):

David Alonso ◽

Menno J. Bouma ◽

Mercedes Pascual

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

East Africa ◽

Nonlinear Response ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

Human Model ◽

Recent Past ◽

East African ◽

Highly Nonlinear ◽

The Impact

Climate change impacts on malaria are typically assessed with scenarios for the long-term future. Here we focus instead on the recent past (1970–2003) to address whether warmer temperatures have already increased the incidence of malaria in a highland region of East Africa. Our analyses rely on a new coupled mosquito–human model of malaria, which we use to compare projected disease levels with and without the observed temperature trend. Predicted malaria cases exhibit a highly nonlinear response to warming, with a significant increase from the 1970s to the 1990s, although typical epidemic sizes are below those observed. These findings suggest that climate change has already played an important role in the exacerbation of malaria in this region. As the observed changes in malaria are even larger than those predicted by our model, other factors previously suggested to explain all of the increase in malaria may be enhancing the impact of climate change.

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Review of climate change impacts on reservoir hydrology and long-term basin-wide water resources management

Building Research & Information ◽

10.1080/09613218.2021.1977908 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-12

Author(s):

Amaya Kahaduwa ◽

Lalith Rajapakse

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Water Resources ◽

Water Resources Management ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

Resources Management

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Testing Farmers’ Perception of Climate Variability: A Case Study from Kirtipur of Kathmandu Valley

Hydro Nepal Journal of Water Energy and Environment ◽

10.3126/hn.v11i1.7200 ◽

2012 ◽

pp. 30-34

Author(s):

Jiban Mani Poudel

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Climate Variability ◽

Global Climate ◽

Climatic Variability ◽

Global Perspective ◽

Kathmandu Valley ◽

Climatic Fluctuations ◽

Climate Fluctuations ◽

Global And Local

In the 21st century, global climate change has become a public and political discourse. However, there is still a wide gap between global and local perspectives. The global perspective focuses on climate fluctuations that affect the larger region; and their analysis is based on long-term records over centuries and millennium. By comparison, local peoples’ perspectives vary locally, and local analyses are limited to a few days, years, decades and generations only. This paper examines how farmers in Kirtipur of Kathmandu Valley, Nepal, understand climate variability in their surroundings. The researcher has used a cognized model to understand farmers’ perception on weather fluctuations and climate change. The researcher has documented several eyewitness accounts of farmers about weather fluctuations which they have been observing in a lifetime. The researcher has also used rainfall data from 1970-2009 to test the accuracy of perceptions. Unlike meteorological analyses, farmers recall and their understanding of climatic variability by weather-crop interaction, and events associating with climatic fluctuations and perceptions are shaped by both physical visibility and cultural frame or belief system.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.3126/hn.v11i1.7200 Hydro Nepal Special Issue: Conference Proceedings 2012 pp.30-34

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Estimation of Water Storage Changes in Small Endorheic Lakes in Northern Kazakhstan; The Effect of Climate Change and Anthropogenic Influences

10.20944/preprints201712.0045.v1 ◽

2017 ◽

Author(s):

Vadim Yapiyev ◽

Kanat Samarkhanov ◽

Dauren Zhumabayev ◽

Nazym Tulegenova ◽

Saltanat Jumassultanova ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Remote Sensing ◽

Water Resources ◽

Water Balance ◽

Climate Model ◽

Human Impacts ◽

Water Storage ◽

Minor Importance ◽

Climatic Data

Both climate change and anthropogenic activities contribute to the deterioration of terrestrial water resources and ecosystems worldwide. Central Asian endorheic basins are among the most affected regions through both climate and human impacts. Here, we used a digital elevation model, digitized bathymetry maps and Landsat images to estimate the areal water cover extent and volumetric storage changes in small terminal lakes in Burabay National Nature Park (BNNP), located in Northern Central Asia (CA), for the period of 1986 to 2016. Based on the analysis of long-term climatic data from meteorological stations, short-term hydrometeorological network observations, gridded climate datasets (CRU) and global atmospheric reanalysis (ERA Interim), we have evaluated the impacts of historical climatic conditions on the water balance of BNNP lake catchments. We also discuss the future based on regional climate model projections. We attribute the overall decline of BNNP lakes to long-term deficit of water balance with lake evaporation loss exceeding precipitation inputs. Direct anthropogenic water abstraction has a minor importance in water balance. However, the changes in watersheds caused by the expansion of human settlements and roads disrupting water drainage may play a more significant role in lake water storage decline. More precise water resources assessment at the local scale will be facilitated by further development of freely available higher spatial resolution remote sensing products. In addition, the results of this work can be used for the development of lake/reservoir evaporation models driven by remote sensing and atmospheric reanalysis data without the direct use of ground observations.

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Satellites, Self-reports, and Submersion: Exposure to Floods in Bangladesh

The American Economic Review ◽

10.1257/aer.p20151095 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 105 (5) ◽

pp. 232-236 ◽

Cited By ~ 18

Author(s):

Raymond Guiteras ◽

Amir Jina ◽

A. Mushfiq Mobarak

Keyword(s):

Climate Change ◽

Economic Activity ◽

Climate Change Impacts ◽

Objective Data ◽

Short Term ◽

Temperature And Precipitation ◽

Flood Exposure ◽

Self Reports ◽

Term Variation

A burgeoning “Climate-Economy” literature has uncovered many effects of changes in temperature and precipitation on economic activity, but has made considerably less progress in modeling the effects of other associated phenomena, like natural disasters. We develop new, objective data on floods, focusing on Bangladesh. We show that rainfall and self-reported exposure are weak proxies for true flood exposure. These data allow us to study adaptation, giving accurate measures of both long-term averages and short term variation in exposure. This is important in studying climate change impacts, as people will not only experience new exposures, but also experience them differently.

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Impacts of national parks on tourism: a case study from a prominent alpine national park

ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT ◽

10.3280/efe2008-003005 ◽

2009 ◽

pp. 103-120

Author(s):

Michael Getzner

Keyword(s):

Development Strategy ◽

National Parks ◽

National Park ◽

Tourism Development ◽

Positive Trend ◽

The Difference ◽

The Impact ◽

Overnight Stays

-National parks and other categories of protected areas are often assumed to enhance regional economic development due to park tourism. The current study attempts to estimate the impact of the Hohe Tauern national park (Austria) on tourism by exploring whether and to what extent the national park may have had an influence on tourism development. For most national park communities, the results suggest that the establishment of the national park had some impact by enforcing an already positive trend or by weakening or reversing a negative trend of tourism. However, breakpoint tests exhibit turning points up to several years after the establishment of the park, indicating that taking a national park as the basis for tourism development is a medium to long term development strategy. In the short term, the impact of a national park on tourism is not measurable. Tourism increased by 1 to 3% annually after the breakpoint, indicating that the establishment of a national park has to be incorporated into the tourism and development strategy of a region right from the start. The causal relationship between the establishment of the national park and tourism development may be weak, in particular in communities where the difference between the actual and the forecast numbers of overnight stays is small. Marketing national park tourism and building up a brand or distinctive label may therefore contribute to regional development particularly in the long term.Key words: Tourism, national park, protected area, time series, stationarity, breakpoint test, ARIMA.JEL classifications: R110, L830, C220.Parole chiave: Turismo, parco nazionale, area protetta, serie temporale, stazionarietŕ, test di breakpoint, ARIMA.

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