scholarly journals Clinical Diagnosis has a High Negative Predictive Value in Evaluation of Malignant Skin Lesions

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
Maral Seyed Ahadi ◽  
Alireza Firooz ◽  
Hoda Rahimi ◽  
Mehrdad Jafari ◽  
Zohreh Tehranchinia
Keyword(s):  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Clinical Diagnosis ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Skin Lesions ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Response To Treatment ◽  
Likelihood Ratios ◽  
Malignant Skin ◽  
High Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Background. The increasing incidence of skin cancers in fair-skinned population and its relatively good response to treatment make its accurate diagnosis of great importance. We evaluated the accuracy of clinical diagnosis of malignant skin lesions by comparing the clinical diagnosis with histological diagnosis as the gold standard. Materials and Methods. In this retrospective study, we assessed all the pathology reports from specimens sent to a university hospital laboratory in 3 consecutive years from March 2008 to March 2010. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and positive and negative likelihood ratios were calculated for clinical diagnosis of malignant skin lesions stratified by their histological subtype. Results. A total 4,123 specimen were evaluated. The sensitivity and specificity for clinical diagnosis of malignancy were 90.48% and 82.85%, respectively, whereas the negative predictive value was shown to be 99.06%. The positive and negative likelihood ratios were 5.23 and 0.11, respectively. Conclusion. Pathological assessment of skin lesions remains the cornerstone of skin cancer diagnosis. The high NPV and the relatively low PPV indicate that clinical diagnosis is more efficient in ruling out malignancies rather than diagnosing them.

scholarly journals Could Negative Tc-99m-Methoxyisobutylisonitrile (MIBI) Scintigraphy Obviate the Need for Surgery for Bethesda III and IV Thyroid Nodules?

Surgeries ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 260-267
Author(s):  
Stella Armefti ◽  
Jasmin Mettler ◽  
Matthias Schmidt ◽  
Michael Faust ◽  
Marianne Engels ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Thyroid Nodules ◽  
Needle Aspiration ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Molecular Testing ◽  
High Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Indeterminate Cytology ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity ◽  
Mibi Scintigraphy

In about 20% of all cases, the fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) results are equivocal, delivering the two common categories of indeterminate cytology, Bethesda III and IV. The observed rates of malignancy vary widely among institutions, with the urgent need for a more precise risk stratification. 99mcTc methoxyisobutylisonitrile scintigraphy (MIBI) is less expensive than molecular testing and has been shown to have a high negative predictive value. For this reason, the results of MIBI scintigraphy in adult patients with indeterminate FNAC were collected, and correlated with the final pathology reports of surgical specimens. Patients receiving FNAC, MIBI scintigraphy and surgery for sonographic suspicious hypofunctional thyroid nodules between 2015 and 2019 at the University Hospital of Cologne, Germany were identified. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive and negative predictive value of MIBI scintigraphy were calculated. Seventy-eight patients with sonographic suspicious hypofunctional thyroid nodules underwent surgery after interdisciplinary case discussion of both FNAC and MIBI results. In 49 (62.5%) cases, FNAC consisted of Bethesda III and IV results. In 39 (79.6%) of these cases, MIBI scintigraphy resulted in mismatch and intermediary results, but in only 4 (10.2%) of these cases was a carcinoma diagnosed. The negative predictive value of MIBI scintigraphy was 90–100%, respectively. Relying on the negative predictive value of MIBI match results might have obviated the need for surgery in 20.4% cases; one papillary microcarcinoma, however, would have been missed. MIBI scintigraphy has an underused potential for improving the diagnostic precision of hypofunctional thyroid nodules.

381 Role of CT scans of abdomen and pelvis in management of patients with immunotherapy-induced colitis

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (Suppl 3) ◽  
pp. A406-A406
Author(s):  
Juan Ibarra Rovira ◽  
Raghunandan Vikram ◽  
Selvi Thirumurthi ◽  
Bulent Yilmaz ◽  
Heather Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Clinical Diagnosis ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Clinical Symptoms ◽  
Cytotoxic T Lymphocyte ◽  
Checkpoint Inhibitors ◽  
Ct Scans ◽  
Wall Thickening ◽  
Low Sensitivity ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

BackgroundColitis is one of the most common immune-related adverse event in patients who receive immune checkpoint inhibitors targeting cytotoxic T-lymphocyte antigen 4 (CTLA-4) and programmed cell death-1 (PD-1). Although radiographic changes are reported on computed tomography such as mild diffuse bowel thickening or segmental colitis, the utility of CT in diagnosis of patients with suspected immune-related colitis is not well studied.MethodsCT scans of the abdomen and pelvis of 34 patients on immunotherapy with a clinical diagnosis of immunotherapy induced colitis and 19 patients receiving immunotherapy without clinical symptoms of colitis (control) were enrolled in this retrospective study. Segments of the colon (rectum, sigmoid, descending, transverse, ascending and cecum) were assessed independently by two fellowship trained abdominal imaging specialists with 7 and 13 years‘ experience who were blinded to the clinical diagnosis. Each segment was assessed for mucosal enhancement, wall thickening, distension, peri-serosal fat stranding. Any disagreements were resolved in consensus. The degree of distension and the spurious assignment of wall thickening were the most common causes for disagreement. The presence of any of the signs was considered as radiographic evidence of colitis.ResultsCT evidence of colitis was seen in 16 of 34 patients with symptoms of colitis. 7 of 19 patients who did not have symptoms of colitis showed signs of colitis on CT. The sensitivity, specificity, Positive Predictive Value and Negative Predictive Value for colitis on CT is 47%, 63.2%, 69.5% and 40%, respectively.ConclusionsCT has a low sensitivity, specificity and negative predictive value for the diagnosis of immunotherapy-induced colitis. CT has no role in the diagnosis of patients suspected of having uncomplicated immune-related colitis and should not be used routinely for management.Trial RegistrationThis protocol is not registered on clinicaltrials.gov.Ethics ApprovalThis protocol was IRB approved on: 11/16/2015 - IRB 4 Chair Designee FWA #: 00000363 OHRP IRB Registration Number: IRB 4 IRB00005015ConsentThis protocol utilizes an IRB approved waiver of consent.

Isolated demyelinating syndromes: comparison of CSF oligoclonal bands and different MR imaging criteria to predict conversion to CDMS

2001 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 359-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
M Tintoré ◽  
A Rovira ◽  
L Brieva ◽  
E Grivé ◽  
R Jardí ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mr Imaging ◽  
Positive Predictive Value ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
High Sensitivity ◽  
Oligoclonal Bands ◽  
High Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Csf Oligoclonal Bands ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Aim of the study: To evaluate and compare the capacity of oligoclonal bands (OB) and three sets of MR imaging criteria to predict the conversion of clinically isolated syndromes (CIS) to clinically definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS). Patients and methods: One hundred and twelve patients with CIS were prospectively studied with MR imaging and determination of OB. Based on the clinical follow-up (conversion or not conversion to CDMS), we calculated the sensitivity, specificity accuracy, positive and negative predictive value of the OB, and MR imaging criteria proposed by Paty et al, Fazekas et al and Barkhof et al. Results: CDMS developed in 26 (23.2%) patients after a mean follow-up of 31 months (range 12-62). OB were positive in 70 (62.5%) patients and were associated with a higher risk of developing CDMS. OB showed a sensitivity of 81%, specificity of 43%, accuracy of 52%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 30% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 88%. Paty and Fazekas criteria showed the same results with a sensitivity of 77%, specificity of 51%, accuracy of 57%, positive predictive value of 32% and negative predictive value of 88%. Barkhof criteria showed a sensitivity of 65%, specificity of 70%, accuracy of 69%, PPV of 40% and NPV of 87%. The greatest accuracy was achieved when patients with positive OB and three or four Barkhof's criteria were selected. Conclusions: We observed a high prevalence of OB in CIS. OB and MR imaging (Paty's and Fazekas' criteria) have high sensitivity. Barkhof's criteria have a higher specificity. Both OB and MR imaging criteria have a high negative predictive value.

scholarly journals The assessment of general movements in term and late-preterm infants diagnosed with neonatal encephalopathy, as a predictive tool of cerebral palsy by 2 years of age—a scoping review

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Judy Seesahai ◽  
Maureen Luther ◽  
Paige Terrien Church ◽  
Patricia Maddalena ◽  
Elizabeth Asztalos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cerebral Palsy ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Late Preterm ◽  
Neonatal Encephalopathy ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Late Preterm Infants ◽  
High Negative Predictive Value ◽  
General Movements ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Abstract Background The General Movements Assessment is a non-invasive and cost-effective tool with demonstrated reliability for identifying infants at risk for cerebral palsy. Early detection of cerebral palsy allows for the implementation of early intervention and is associated with better functional outcomes. No review to date has summarized the utility of the General Movements Assessment to predict cerebral palsy in term and late-preterm infants diagnosed with neonatal encephalopathy. Methods We conducted a scoping review involving infants born greater than or equal to 34 weeks gestational age to identify all available evidence and delineate research gaps. We extracted data on sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values and described the strengths and limitations of the results. We searched five databases (MEDLINE, Embase, PsychINFO, Scopus, and CINAHL) and the General Movements Trust website. Two reviewers conducted all screening and data extraction independently. The articles were categorized according to key findings, and a critical appraisal was performed. Results Only three studies, a cohort and two case series, met all of the inclusion criteria. The total number of participants was 118. None of the final eligible studies included late-preterm neonates. All three studies reported on sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive and negative predictive values. An abnormal General Movement Assessment at 3–5 months has a high specificity (84.6–98%) for cerebral palsy with a similarly high negative predictive value (84.6–98%) when it was normal. Absent fidgety movements, in particular, are highly specific (96%) for moderate to severe cerebral palsy and carry a high negative predictive value (98%) when normal. In the time period between term and 4–5 months post-term, any cramped synchronized movements had results of 100% sensitivity and variable results for specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. Conclusions A normal General Movements Assessment at 3 months in a term high-risk infant is likely associated with a low risk for moderate/severe cerebral palsy. The finding of cramped synchronized General Movements is a strong predictor for the diagnosis of cerebral palsy by 2 years of age in the term population with neonatal encephalopathy. The deficit of high-quality research limits the applicability, and so the General Movements Assessment should not be used in isolation when assessing this population. Systematic review registration Title registration with Joanna Briggs Institute. URL: http://joannabriggswebdev.org/research/registered_titles.aspx.

2 × 2 Contingency table

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Harrison
Keyword(s):  
Emergency Medicine ◽  
Positive Predictive Value ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Contingency Table ◽  
Likelihood Ratios ◽  
Negative Results ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

This chapter describes the 2 × 2 contingency table as it applies to Emergency Medicine, and in particular the Primary FRCEM examination. The chapter outlines the key details of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, likelihood ratios for positive and negative results, and the 2 × 2 contingency table. This chapter is laid out exactly following the RCEM syllabus, to allow easy reference and consolidation of learning.

scholarly journals EVALUATION OF ACUTE APPENDICITIS USING ULTRASOUND

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (02) ◽  
pp. 315-321
Author(s):  
Abdullah Hamdan ◽  
◽  
Nasraldeen Alnaeem M. Alkhidir ◽  
Abdelmoneim Saeed ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Acute Appendicitis ◽  
Positive Predictive Value ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Clinical Diagnosis ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity ◽  
Histopathological Report

The diagnosis of acute appendicitis is mainly clinical and to confirm the clinical diagnosis ultrasonography (USG) of the abdomen is being used to help in diagnosis of the disease. To find out the role of USG in the diagnosis of acute appendicitis in clinically equivocal cases and to correlate USG findings with histopathological reports (HPR) of removed appendix.Total numbers of 100 patients were included in the study from 12March 2019 to 5 December 2019. Findings on ultrasound were finally compared with histopathological report of appendices removed on surgery. Those cases with alternate diagnosis were followed up and proved with other means of investigation. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and overall accuracy of ultrasound in diagnosis of acute appendicitis in our study were found to be 79 %, 84.20 %, 95.50%, 48.40% and 80% respectively.

scholarly journals UJI DIAGNOSTIK NT pro NATRIURETIC PEPTIDE (NTpro BNP) GAGAL JANTUNG KONGESTIF

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 48
Author(s):  
Dewi Indah Noviana Pratiwi ◽  
Suwarso Suwarso ◽  
Osman Sianipar
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Congestive Heart Failure ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Natriuretic Peptide ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Clinical Performance ◽  
Operating Characteristics ◽  
Likelihood Ratios ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Congestive Heart Failure (CHF) is a syndrome associated with disturbances of heart structure and function, as a result of various cardiovascular diseases. These disturbances decrease ventricle ability to pump or fill blood in physiological pressure, which causes limitation on the ability to excercise or daily activities without dyspnea and fatigue.Early diagnosis is important to initiate prompt treatment that can prevent further disease development. To measure heart hormone in this case, NT pro Natriuretic Peptide (NT pro BNP) can be use as a more ideal examination for early detection of CHF. The aim of this study is to investigate the clinical performance of NT pro BNP and assess the cut-off point 125 pg/mL compared to clinic (Framingham criteria) and or echocardiogram in the diagnosis CHF.The diagnostic test was carried out using clinical (Framingham criteria) and or echocardiography as reference methods. The subject of this research was patients with cardiac and blood vessel disorders complaints at risk of developing congestive heart failure, who came to the Emergency Department at Dr. Sardjito Hospital Yogyakarta, supported by clinical data, radiology, other laboratory test, electrocardiography and echocardiography. The diagnosis of CHF was obtained by conducting investigation toward echocardiography examination reading in patient’s medical record. Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was conducted using SPSS 13.0 program. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, accuracy and likelihood ratios were measured with 2x2 table by CAT marker program. Forty-six of fifty-seven specimens were from congestive heart failure (CHF). At 125 pg/mL as a cut-off point, regardless the interval between the onset of the symptoms and taking of blood samples, the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value and diagnostic accuracy are 96%, 36%, 86%, 67%, 84% respectively. Likelihood ratios for positive and negative results are 1.50 and 0.12. NT pro BNP measuring is expected to give more benefit than the conventional signal, so that an early diagnosis can be achieved accurately in a timely manner.

scholarly journals Endtidal carbonmonoxide and carboxyhemoglobin for prediction of significant hyperbilirubinemia in healthy Indian neonates >35 weeks of gestation

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 1225
Author(s):  
Gokul Krishnan R. ◽  
Mangalabharathi S. ◽  
Mohammed Sajjid ◽  
Ramya S.
Keyword(s):  
Positive Predictive Value ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Likelihood Ratio ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Neonatal Period ◽  
Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽  
Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽  
Likelihood Ratios ◽  
Early Neonatal Period ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Background: Endtidalcarbonmonoxide (ETCOc) and Carboxyhemoglobin (COHB) levels correlate well to bilirubin production and an availability of non-invasive point of care (POC) device in predicting significant hyperbilirubinemia is of great advantage when compared to measurement of serum bilirubin. Objective of the study is to measure a value of ETCOc and COHB in the early neonatal period for the prediction of significant hyperbilirubinemia.Methods: This was the descriptive Cross Sectional Study. ETCOc and COHB were measured 12th hourly for 72 hours followed by TSB in whom the TCB was >14mg/dl. Neonates were classified as jaundiced whose TSB values were in phototherapy range as per AAP Recommendations. Receiver Operative Curves (ROC) were created by appropriate statistical software for ETCOc and COHb to predict significant hyperbilirubinemia. The Sensitivity, Specificity, Positive predictive value, Negative predictive value and likelihood ratios of each was determined and the correlation between ETCOc and COHb levels, ETCOc and TCB, COHB and TCB at different hours of age was evaluated.Results: Among the total 320 infants, 156 of them developed significant hyperbilirubinemia. The ETCOc and COHB level at 60 hours of age was the most predictive of significant hyperbilirubinemia by ROC analysis. ETCOc cut-off of 1.65 ppm at 60 hours of age has a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio of 84.6%, 80.5%, 80.5% and 84.6%, 4.33 and 0.19. COHB cut-off of 1.32 ppm at 60 hours of age has a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio of 84.6%, 81%, 80% and 84.2%, 4.34 and 0.19.ETCOc had a maximum correlation with COHB at 48 hours of age.Conclusions: An increased level of Endtidalcarbonmonoxide and Carboxyhemoglobin in the early neonatal period is useful as a screening test for prediction of significant hyperbilirubinemia.

scholarly journals The Stroke Assessment of Fall Risk (SAFR): predictive validity in inpatient stroke rehabilitation

2014 ◽  
Vol 28 (12) ◽  
pp. 1218-1224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terry P Breisinger ◽  
Elizabeth R Skidmore ◽  
Christian Niyonkuru ◽  
Lauren Terhorst ◽  
Grace B Campbell
Keyword(s):  
Positive Predictive Value ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Fall Risk ◽  
Stroke Rehabilitation ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
University Hospital ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity ◽  
Stroke Assessment

Objective: To evaluate relative accuracy of a newly developed Stroke Assessment of Fall Risk (SAFR) for classifying fallers and non-fallers, compared with a health system fall risk screening tool, the Fall Harm Risk Screen. Design and setting: Prospective quality improvement study conducted at an inpatient stroke rehabilitation unit at a large urban university hospital. Participants: Patients admitted for inpatient stroke rehabilitation ( N = 419) with imaging or clinical evidence of ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke, between 1 August 2009 and 31 July 2010. Interventions: Not applicable. Main outcome measure(s): Sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve for Receiver Operating Characteristic Curves of both scales’ classifications, based on fall risk score completed upon admission to inpatient stroke rehabilitation. Results: A total of 68 (16%) participants fell at least once. The SAFR was significantly more accurate than the Fall Harm Risk Screen ( p < 0.001), with area under the curve of 0.73, positive predictive value of 0.29, and negative predictive value of 0.94. For the Fall Harm Risk Screen, area under the curve was 0.56, positive predictive value was 0.19, and negative predictive value was 0.86. Sensitivity and specificity of the SAFR (0.78 and 0.63, respectively) was higher than the Fall Harm Risk Screen (0.57 and 0.48, respectively). Conclusions: An evidence-derived, population-specific fall risk assessment may more accurately predict fallers than a general fall risk screen for stroke rehabilitation patients. While the SAFR improves upon the accuracy of a general assessment tool, additional refinement may be warranted.

scholarly journals Superiority of Siriraj Stroke Score Over Guy’s Hospital Score in Diagnosing Acute Hemorrhagic Stroke at Bedside

KYAMC Journal ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 142-146
Author(s):  
Raseul Kabir ◽  
Md Amjad Hossain Pramanik ◽  
SM Emdadul Haque ◽  
Muhatarima Tabassum ◽  
Fateha Sultana
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Positive Predictive Value ◽  
Ct Scan ◽  
Negative Predictive Value ◽  
Clinical Diagnosis ◽  
Predictive Value ◽  
Kappa Statistic ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Simple Method ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity

Background: The clinical diagnosis of stroke in a patient admitted in the intensive care unit (ICU) is undeniably challenging. Several point-based risk scores have been developed to predict clinical outcomes after ischemic stroke. Objective: To assess the Siriraj stroke score and Guy’s Hospital stroke score in the clinical diagnosis of acute stroke. Materials and Methods: All patients were subjected to Computed tomography (CT) scan head within 72 hours of admission. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value was calculated for both the scores. Comparability between the scores and CT scan head finding was determined with the help of Kappa statistic program. Results: Sensitivity of Guy’s Hospital stroke score for ischemic stroke is 100%, specificity is 96.4%, accuracy 97.1%, positive predictive value of 87.5% and negative predictive value 100%. The sensitivity of Guy’s Hospital stroke score for hemorrhage stroke is 96.4%, specificity is 100%, accuracy 97.1%, positive predictive value of 100% and negative predictive value 87.5% Conclusion: Siriraj stroke score as a simple method of screening patients for intracerebral hemorrhage, as it is easier to use at bedside and has a greater accuracy in diagnosing hemorrhage than Guy’s Hospital score. KYAMC Journal. 2021;12(3): 142-146

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