The Impact of the Demographic Change on Work

Abstract. Effective disaster management is a core feature for the protection of communities against natural disasters such as floods. Disaster management organizations (DMOs) are expected to contribute to ensuring this protection. However, what happens when their resources to cope with a flood are at stake or the intensity and frequency of the event exceeds their capacities? Many cities in the Free State of Saxony, Germany, were strongly hit by several floods in the last years and are additionally challenged by demographic change, with an ageing society and out-migration leading to population shrinkage in many parts of Saxony. Disaster management, which is mostly volunteer-based in Germany, is particularly affected by this change, leading to a loss of members. We propose an agent-based simulation model that acts as a "virtual lab" to explore the impact of various changes on disaster management performance. Using different scenarios we examine the impact of changes in personal resources of DMOs, their access to operation relevant information, flood characteristics as well as differences between geographic regions. A loss of DMOs and associated manpower caused by demographic change has the most profound impact on the performance. Especially in rural, upstream regions population decline in combination with very short lead times can put disaster management performance at risk.

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The impact of demographic change on human capital accumulation

Labour Economics ◽

10.1016/j.labeco.2009.08.005 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 16 (6) ◽

pp. 659-668 ◽

Cited By ~ 6

Author(s):

Michael Fertig ◽

Christoph M. Schmidt ◽

Mathias G. Sinning

Keyword(s):

Human Capital ◽

Demographic Change ◽

Capital Accumulation ◽

Human Capital Accumulation ◽

The Impact

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Transport Infrastructure in Shrinking (East) Germany

German Politics & Society ◽

10.3167/gps.2008.260205 ◽

2008 ◽

Vol 26 (2) ◽

pp. 76-92 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Weert Canzler

Keyword(s):

Public Sphere ◽

Demographic Change ◽

Government Regulation ◽

Transportation Policy ◽

Transport Infrastructure ◽

Government Action ◽

The Public ◽

Legal Foundations ◽

The Public Sphere ◽

The Impact

Policy on transport infrastructure in Germany will come under increasing pressure thanks to considerable changes in basic conditions. Demographic change, shifts in economic and regional structures, continued social individualization, and the chronic budget crisis in the public sphere are forcing a readjustment of government action. At root, the impact of the changes in demographics and economic structures touches on what Germans themselves think their postwar democracy stands for. Highly consensual underlying assumptions about Germany as a model are being shaken. The doctrine that development of infrastructure is tantamount to growth and prosperity no longer holds. The experience in eastern Germany shows that more and better infrastructure does not automatically lead to more growth. Moreover, uniform government regulation is hitting limits. If the differences between boom regions and depopulated zones remain as large as they are, then it makes no sense to have the same regulatory maze apply to both cases. In transportation policy, that shift would mean recasting the legal foundations of public transport.

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The impact of demographic change on transfers of care and associated well-being

10.4054/mpidr-wp-2020-022 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Denys Dukhovnov ◽

Joan Ryan ◽

Emilio Zagheni

Keyword(s):

Demographic Change ◽

Well Being ◽

Transfers Of Care ◽

The Impact

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The Effect of Demographic Change on Financial Stability

Jurnal Intelek ◽

10.24191/ji.v14i2.222 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 14 (2) ◽

pp. 80-93

Author(s):

Asma' Rashidah Idris ◽

Muzafar Shah Habibullah ◽

Ranjanee Kaliappan

Keyword(s):

Old Age ◽

Demographic Change ◽

Financial Stability ◽

Labour Force ◽

Developed Countries ◽

Low Fertility ◽

Ageing Population ◽

Fertility Level ◽

Demographic Changes ◽

The Impact

This study investigates the effect of fertility on financial stability and its determinant particularly therelevance of demographic changes. This is motivated by the huge impact of demographic changes(increasing ageing population and low fertility level). Population ageing and low fertility tend to lowerboth labour- force participation and saving rates (change bank business model), thereby raising concernson a future slowing economic growth and financial instability. The system GMM results show that thefertility level somehow acts as a buffer and reflects to the degree of stability to the financial system. Anincrease in fertility and old-age population will contribute to lowering the financial stability. As a matterof policy implication, the nations, financial sectors, and economies should take pro-active active stepsand enhance policies in handling the inter-related issue of the ageing population, decreasing fertility, andfinancial stability especially in developed countries, but not necessarily to overlook the impact of theissues in developing countries. Keywords: Demographic change, old-age population, fertility, financial stability

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Peripheralisation: The Missing Link in Dealing with Demographic Change?

Comparative Population Studies ◽

10.12765/cpos-2017-02 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 41 (3-4) ◽

Author(s):

Tim Leibert ◽

Sophie Golinski

Keyword(s):

Demographic Change ◽

Service Providers ◽

Adaptation Strategies ◽

General Interest ◽

Spatial Process ◽

Rural Regions ◽

The Future ◽

Provision Of Services ◽

Long Time ◽

The Impact

Demographic change is an uneven spatial process in Germany. Depopulation and ageing have become pressing issues in most rural regions. In connection with low population densities and the financial difficulties of municipalities and service providers in rural regions, these demographic trends have led to a discussion about the future provision of services of general interest and – more broadly – the postulate of equal living conditions which was for a long time the basic principle of spatial development in Germany. In this paper, we argue that the peripheralisation approach is a helpful tool to better understand how interaction of out-migration, dependence, disconnection and stigmatisation shape the future of rural regions. We also discuss the impact of peripheralisation on the development and implementation of adaptation strategies. Based on the 3R-model (retrenchment, repositioning, reorganisation), we argue that adaptation strategies can reinforce (retrenchment) peripheralisation processes, but also serve as groundwork for the formulation of policies aiming at de-peripheralisation.

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Household and Family in Finnish Coastal Societies 1635-1895

Journal of Family History ◽

10.1177/036319909301800407 ◽

1993 ◽

Vol 18 (4) ◽

pp. 395-414 ◽

Cited By ~ 18

Author(s):

Beatrice Moring

Keyword(s):

Demographic Change ◽

Coastal Communities ◽

Household Formation ◽

Population Development ◽

Nuclear System ◽

Family And Household ◽

Economic Constraints ◽

The Impact ◽

Household System

The aim of this study is to analyze in a long-term perspective the transition from a basically patrilocal and extended household system to a neolocal and nuclear system in a number of coastal communities subjected to legal and economic constraints. Several parishes located in the archipelago of southwestern Finland have been studied for the period 1635-1895 to determine the impact of the abolition of various restrictions on family and household formation and composition, population development, and demographic change.

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