scholarly journals Observed and WRF-Simulated Low-Level Winds in a High-Ozone Episode during the Central California Ozone Study

2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (9) ◽  
pp. 2372-2394 ◽  
Author(s):  
J-W. Bao ◽  
S. A. Michelson ◽  
P. O. G. Persson ◽  
I. V. Djalalova ◽  
J. M. Wilczak
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Central Valley ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Central California ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Lateral Boundary Conditions ◽  
Downslope Flows ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Physical Reasons ◽  
The Impact

Abstract A case study is carried out for the 29 July–3 August 2000 episode of the Central California Ozone Study (CCOS), a typical summertime high-ozone event in the Central Valley of California. The focus of the study is on the low-level winds that control the transport and dispersion of pollutants in the Central Valley. An analysis of surface and wind profiler observations from the CCOS field experiment indicates a number of important low-level flows in the Central Valley: 1) the incoming low-level marine airflow through the Carquinez Strait into the Sacramento River delta, 2) the diurnal cycle of upslope–downslope flows, 3) the up- and down-valley flow in the Sacramento Valley, 4) the nocturnal low-level jet in the San Joaquin Valley, and 5) the orographically induced mesoscale eddies (the Fresno and Schultz eddies). A numerical simulation using the advanced research version of the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) reproduces the overall pattern of the observed low-level flows. The physical reasons behind the quantitative differences between the observed and simulated low-level winds are also analyzed and discussed, although not enough observations are available to diagnose thoroughly the model-error sources. In particular, hodograph analysis is applied to provide physical insight into the impact of the large-scale, upper-level winds on the locally forced low-level winds. It is found that the diurnal rotation of the observed and simulated hodographs of the local winds varies spatially in the Central Valley, resulting from the combining effect of topographically induced local forcing and the interaction between the upper-level winds and the aforementioned low-level flows. The trajectory analysis not only further confirms that WRF reproduces the observed low-level transport processes reasonably well but also shows that the simulated upper-level winds have noticeable errors. The results from this study strongly suggest that the errors in the WRF-simulated low-level winds are related not only to the errors in the model’s surface conditions and atmospheric boundary layer physics but also to the errors in the upper-level forcing mostly prescribed in the model’s lateral boundary conditions.

scholarly journals Sensitivity of Low-Level Winds Simulated by the WRF Model in California’s Central Valley to Uncertainties in the Large-Scale Forcing and Soil Initialization

2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (12) ◽  
pp. 3131-3149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara A. Michelson ◽  
Jian-Wen Bao
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
Spatial Variation ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Central Valley ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Atmospheric Forcing ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Lateral Boundary Conditions ◽  
Upper Level

Abstract The sensitivity of the Weather and Research Forecasting (WRF) model-simulated low-level winds in the Central Valley (CV) of California to uncertainties in the atmospheric forcing and soil initialization is investigated using scatter diagrams for a 5-day period in which meteorological conditions are typical of those associated with poor-air-quality events during the summer in the CV. It is assumed that these uncertainties can be approximated by two independent operational analyses. First, the sensitivity is illustrated using scatter diagrams and is measured in terms of the linear regression of the output from two simulations that differ in either the atmospheric forcing or the soil initialization. The spatial variation of the sensitivity is then investigated and is linked to the dominant low-level flows within the CV. The results from this case study suggest that the WRF-simulated low-level winds in the northern CV [i.e., the Sacramento Valley (SV)] are more sensitive to the uncertainties in the atmospheric forcing than to those in the soil initialization in the typical weather conditions during the summer that are prone to poor air quality in the CV. The simulated low-level winds in the southernmost part of the San Joaquin Valley (SJV) are more sensitive to the uncertainties in the soil initialization than they are in the SV. In the northern SJV, the simulated low-level winds are overall more sensitive to the uncertainties in the large-scale upper-level atmospheric forcing than to those in the soil initialization. This spatial variation in sensitivity reflects the important roles that the large-scale forcing, specified by the lateral boundary conditions and the local forcing associated with the soil state, play in controlling the low-level winds in the CV.

scholarly journals Organization of convective ascents in a warm conveyor belt

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Blanchard ◽  
Florian Pantillon ◽  
Jean-Pierre Chaboureau ◽  
Julien Delanoë
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Doppler Radar ◽  
Heavy Precipitation ◽  
Conveyor Belt ◽  
Isolated Cells ◽  
Low Level ◽  
The North ◽  
Low Level Jet ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) are warm, moist airstreams of extratropical cyclones leading to widespread clouds and heavy precipitation, where associated diabatic processes can influence midlatitude dynamics. Although WCBs are traditionally seen as continuous slantwise ascents, recent studies have emphasized the presence of embedded convection and the production of mesoscale bands of negative potential vorticity (PV), the impact of which on large-scale dynamics is still debated. Here, detailed cloud and wind measurements obtained with airborne Doppler radar provide unique information on the WCB of the Stalactite cyclone on 2 October 2016 during the North Atlantic Waveguide and Downstream Impact Experiment. The measurements are complemented by a convection-permitting simulation, enabling online Lagrangian trajectories and 3-D objects clustering. The simulation reproduces well the mesoscale structure of the cyclone shown by satellite infrared observations, while the location of trajectories rising by 150 hPa during a relatively short 12 h window matches the WCB region expected from high clouds. One third of those trajectories, categorized as fast ascents, further reach a 100 hPa (2h)−1 threshold during their ascent and follow the cyclonic flow mainly at lower levels. In agreement with radar observations, convective updrafts are found in the WCB and are characterized by moderate reflectivity values up to 20 dBz and vertical velocities above 0.3 m s−1. Updraft objects and fast ascents consistently show three main types of convection in the WCB: (i) frontal convection along the surface cold front and the western edge of the low-level jet; (ii) banded convection at about 2 km altitude along the eastern edge of the low-level jet; (iii) mid-level convection below the upper-level jet. Mesoscale PV dipoles with strong positive and negative values are located in the vicinity of convective ascents and appear to accelerate both low-level and upper-level jets. Both convective ascents and negative PV organize into structures with coherent shape, location and evolution, thus suggesting a dynamical linkage. The results show that convection embedded in WCBs occurs in a coherent and organized manner rather than as isolated cells.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the Summertime Low-Level Winds Simulated by MM5 in the Central Valley of California

2010 ◽  
Vol 49 (11) ◽  
pp. 2230-2245 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara A. Michelson ◽  
Irina V. Djalalova ◽  
Jian-Wen Bao
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Mesoscale Model ◽  
Central Valley ◽  
State University ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Fifth Generation ◽  
Southern Central ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
And Control

Abstract A season-long set of 5-day simulations between 1200 UTC 1 June and 1200 UTC 30 September 2000 are evaluated using the observations taken during the Central California Ozone Study (CCOS) 2000 experiment. The simulations are carried out using the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5), which is widely used for air-quality simulations and control planning. The evaluation results strongly indicate that the model-simulated low-level winds in California’s Central Valley are biased in speed and direction: the simulated winds tend to have a stronger northwesterly component than observed. This bias is related to the difference in the observed and simulated large-scale, upper-level flows. The model simulations also show a bias in the height of the daytime atmospheric boundary layer (ABL), particularly in the northern and southern Central Valley. There is evidence to suggest that this bias in the daytime ABL height is not only associated with the large-scale, upper-level bias but also linked to apparent differences in the surface forcing.

scholarly journals A CloudSat–CALIPSO View of Cloud and Precipitation Properties across Cold Fronts over the Global Oceans

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (17) ◽  
pp. 6743-6762 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catherine M. Naud ◽  
Derek J. Posselt ◽  
Susan C. van den Heever
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Cold Front ◽  
Conveyor Belt ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Scale Parameters ◽  
Convective Clouds ◽  
Cold Fronts ◽  
Surface Front ◽  
High Level ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The distribution of cloud and precipitation properties across oceanic extratropical cyclone cold fronts is examined using four years of combined CloudSat radar and CALIPSO lidar retrievals. The global annual mean cloud and precipitation distributions show that low-level clouds are ubiquitous in the postfrontal zone while higher-level cloud frequency and precipitation peak in the warm sector along the surface front. Increases in temperature and moisture within the cold front region are associated with larger high-level but lower mid-/low-level cloud frequencies and precipitation decreases in the cold sector. This behavior seems to be related to a shift from stratiform to convective clouds and precipitation. Stronger ascent in the warm conveyor belt tends to enhance cloudiness and precipitation across the cold front. A strong temperature contrast between the warm and cold sectors also encourages greater post-cold-frontal cloud occurrence. While the seasonal contrasts in environmental temperature, moisture, and ascent strength are enough to explain most of the variations in cloud and precipitation across cold fronts in both hemispheres, they do not fully explain the differences between Northern and Southern Hemisphere cold fronts. These differences are better explained when the impact of the contrast in temperature across the cold front is also considered. In addition, these large-scale parameters do not explain the relatively large frequency in springtime postfrontal precipitation.

Response of Orographic Precipitation to Subsaturated Low-Level Layers

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shizuo Fu ◽  
Richard Rotunno ◽  
Huiwen Xue
Keyword(s):  
Critical Value ◽  
Vapor Transport ◽  
Orographic Precipitation ◽  
Surface Precipitation ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Nondimensional Parameter ◽  
Transport Effect ◽  
Width Effect ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
The Impact

<p>Orographic precipitation is, on the one hand, an important source of fresh water, and on the other hand, a potential cause of floods and other disasters. Previous studies have focused on the situation where the whole atmosphere is saturated and nearly moist-neutral. However, there are times when subsaturated low-level layers are observed to be below saturated, nearly moist-neutral, upper-level layers.</p><p>A series of idealized two-dimensional simulations are performed here to investigate the impact of this subsaturated low-level layer on orographic precipitation. It is found that the impact is mainly controlled by a nondimensional parameter and two competing effects. The nondimensional parameter is N<sub>2</sub>z<sub>t</sub>/U, where N<sub>2</sub> and z<sub>t</sub> are, respectively, the dry Brunt–Väisälä frequency and depth of the subsaturated low-level layer, and U the cross-mountain wind speed. When the nondimensional parameter exceeds a critical value, the decelerated region on the upwind side of the mountain moves upwind, resulting in weak surface precipitation near the mountain peak. When it is smaller than the critical value, surface precipitation occurs near the mountain peak.</p><p>The two competing effects are: 1) the vapor-transport effect, meaning that increasing z<sub>t</sub> decreases the amount of vapor transported to the mountain, and hence tends to decrease surface precipitation; and 2) the updraft width effect, meaning that increasing z<sub>t</sub> enhances flow blocking, producing a wider updraft over the upwind slope, and hence tends to increase surface precipitation. When the vapor-transport effect dominates, surface precipitation decreases with z<sub>t</sub>. When the updraft-width effect dominates, surface precipitation increases with z<sub>t</sub>.</p>

The impacts of ENSO and PNA teleconnections on upper-level coupling to the Great Plains low-level jet

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Alex Burrows ◽  
Craig Ferguson ◽  
Shubhi Agrawal ◽  
Lance Bosart
Keyword(s):  
Great Plains ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
The United States ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
Frequency Distributions ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Low Level Jet ◽  
Upper Level

<p>The United States (U.S.) Great Plains southerly low-level jet (GPLLJ) is a ubiquitous feature of the summertime climatological flow in the central U.S. contributing to a large percentage of mean and extreme summertime rainfall, the generation of vast quantities of U.S. renewable wind energy, and severe weather outbreaks.  Like other LLJs across the globe, the GPLLJ can be 1) vertically coupled to the large-scale cyclone-anticyclone flow pattern associated with an upper-level jet stream or 2) uncoupled to the large-scale flow but sustained in response to various local land-atmosphere coupling mechanisms.  Many studies have focused on the interactions between teleconnection patterns and associated GPLLJ variability, treating the GPLLJ as a singular phenomenon.  Here, we treat the GPLLJ as two phenomena, coupled and uncoupled to the upper-level flow, and explore the multiscale impacts of SST forced and internally generated modes of variability on the GPLLJ.  With mounting evidence for the low-frequency control on higher frequency GPLLJ variability, the current study analyzes the contribution of the Pacific/North America (PNA) pattern on sub-seasonal timescales and ENSO on interannual timescales to changes in the frequency distributions of both coupled and uncoupled GPLLJs.</p><p> </p><p>This analysis utilizes 1) the Coupled ERA 20th Century (CERA-20C; 1901-2010) reanalysis from ECMWF which provides a large sample of teleconnection conditions and their impacts on GPLLJ variability and 2) a recently developed automated technique to differentiate those GPLLJs that are coupled or uncoupled to the upper-level flow.  Many studies have already shown that two distinct synoptic regimes dominate GPLLJ variability, a western U.S. trough and a central U.S. ridge.  This leads to changes in the frequency ratio of coupled and uncoupled GPLLJ events and ultimately in the location and intensity of precipitation across the GP.  Recently, Burrows et al. (2019) showed that during the Dust Bowl period of 1932-1938, the central and northern GP experienced anomalously high (low) uncoupled (coupled) GPLLJ event frequencies that coincided with a multi-year dry period across the entire region.  Understanding the upscale and lower frequency forcing patterns that lead to these distinct synoptic regimes would lead to greater predictability and forecasting skill.  On sub-seasonal timescales, it is shown that the negative phase of the PNA, which is associated with a southerly displaced Pacific jet stream and a western U.S. trough, leads to increases in the frequency of GPLLJs that are coupled to the upper-level flow, increases in Gulf of Mexico moisture flux and a redistribution of GP precipitation.  On interannual timescales, the location of ENSO events, i.e., eastern or central Pacific, is explored to determine the relationship between tropical forced variability and upper-level coupling to the GPLLJ.  In line with recent studies, it is hypothesized that central Pacific ENSO events may lead to increases in coupled GPLLJ events and precipitation, particularly in the southern GP.</p>

scholarly journals The 23–26 September 2012 U.K. Floods: Using PV Surgery to Quantify Sensitivity to Upper-Level Forcing

2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (10) ◽  
pp. 4055-4079 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sam Hardy ◽  
David M. Schultz ◽  
Geraint Vaughan
Keyword(s):  
United Kingdom ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Extreme Event ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Initial Position ◽  
River Flooding ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Accumulated Rainfall ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
The Impact

Major river flooding affected the United Kingdom in late September 2012 as a slow-moving extratropical cyclone brought over 150 mm of rain to parts of northern England and north Wales. The cyclone deepened over the United Kingdom on 24–26 September as a potential vorticity (PV) anomaly approached from the northwest, elongated into a PV streamer, and wrapped around the cyclone. The strength and position of the PV anomaly is modified in the initial conditions of Weather Research and Forecasting Model simulations, using PV surgery, to examine whether different upper-level forcing, or different phasing between the PV anomaly and cyclone, could have produced an even more extreme event. These simulations reveal that quasigeostrophic (QG) forcing for ascent ahead of the anomaly contributed to the persistence of the rainfall over the United Kingdom. Moreover, weakening the anomaly resulted in lower rainfall accumulations across the United Kingdom, suggesting that the impact of the event might be proportional to the strength of the upper-level QG forcing. However, when the anomaly was strengthened, it rotated cyclonically around a large-scale trough over Iceland rather than moving eastward as in the verifying analysis, with strongly reduced accumulated rainfall across the United Kingdom. A similar evolution developed when the anomaly was moved farther away from the cyclone. Conversely, moving the anomaly nearer to the cyclone produced a similar solution to the verifying analysis, with slightly increased rainfall totals. These counterintuitive results suggest that the verifying analysis represented almost the highest-impact scenario possible for this flooding event when accounting for sensitivity to the initial position and strength of the PV anomaly.

Cyclogenesis Simulation of Typhoon Prapiroon (2000) Associated with Rossby Wave Energy Dispersion*

2010 ◽  
Vol 138 (1) ◽  
pp. 42-54 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuyang Ge ◽  
Tim Li ◽  
Melinda S. Peng
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
Wave Energy ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Energy Dispersion ◽  
Sensitivity Experiment ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Filtering Technique ◽  
Upper Level

Abstract The genesis of Typhoon Prapiroon (2000), in the western North Pacific, is simulated to understand the role of Rossby wave energy dispersion of a preexisting tropical cyclone (TC) in the subsequent genesis event. Two experiments are conducted. In the control experiment (CTL), the authors retain both the previous typhoon, Typhoon Bilis, and its wave train in the initial condition. In the sensitivity experiment (EXP), the circulation of Typhoon Bilis was removed based on a spatial filtering technique of Kurihara et al., while the wave train in the wake is kept. The comparison between these two numerical simulations demonstrates that the preexisting TC impacts the subsequent TC genesis through both a direct and an indirect process. The direct process is through the conventional barotropic Rossby wave energy dispersion, which enhances the low-level wave train, the boundary layer convergence, and the convection–circulation feedback. The indirect process is through the upper-level outflow jet. The asymmetric outflow jet induces a secondary circulation with a strong divergence tendency to the left-exit side of the outflow jet. The upper-level divergence boosts large-scale ascending motion and promotes favorable environmental conditions for a TC-scale vortex development. In addition, the outflow jet induces a well-organized cyclonic eddy angular momentum flux, which acts as a momentum forcing that enhances the upper-level outflow and low-level inflow and favors the growth of the new TC.

scholarly journals Pesticide contamination of milkweeds across the agricultural, urban, and open spaces of low elevation Northern California

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher A. Halsch ◽  
Aimee Code ◽  
Sarah M. Hoyle ◽  
James A. Fordyce ◽  
Nicolas Baert ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Agricultural Landscape ◽  
Sublethal Effects ◽  
Biological Effects ◽  
Central Valley ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Migration Route ◽  
Pesticide Use ◽  
The Impact

AbstractMonarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus) are in decline in the western United States and are encountering a range of anthropogenic stressors. Pesticides are among the factors that likely contribute to this decline, though the concentrations of these chemicals in non-crop plants is not well documented, especially in complex landscapes with a diversity of crop types and land uses. In this study, we collected 227 milkweed (Asclepias spp.) leaf samples from 19 sites representing different land use types across the Central Valley of California. We also sampled plants purchased from two stores that sell to home gardeners. We found 64 pesticides (25 insecticides, 27 fungicides, and 11 herbicides, as well as 1 adjuvant) out of a possible 262 in our screen. Pesticides were detected in every sample, even at sites with little or no pesticide use based on information from landowners. On average, approximately 9 compounds were detected per plant across all sites, with a range of 1 to 25 compounds in any one sample. For the vast majority of pesticides detected, we do not know the biological effects on monarch caterpillars that consume these plants, however we did detect a few compounds for which effects on monarchs have been experimentally investigated. Chlorantraniliprole in particular was identified in 91% of our samples and found to exceed a tested LD50 for monarchs in 58 out of 227 samples. Our primary conclusion is the ubiquity of pesticide presence in milkweeds in an early-summer window of time that monarch larvae are likely to be present in the area. Thus, these results are consistent with the hypothesis that pesticide exposure could be a contributing factor to monarch declines in the western United States. This both highlights the need for a greater understanding of the lethal and sublethal effects of these compounds (individually, additively, and synergistically) and suggests the urgent need for strategies that reduce pesticide use and movement on the landscape.Contribution to the FieldInsects are facing multifaceted stressors in the Anthropocene and are in decline in many parts of the world. The widespread use of pesticides is believed to be an important part of the problem. In particular, the monarch butterfly is in sharp decline in the western United States. Here we show that milkweeds in the Central Valley of California, a large urban and agricultural landscape that is part of the monarch breeding and migration route, are contaminated with a diverse array of pesticides. We found a few in high concentrations and many in trace amounts. We do not know how these compounds act together and with other large-scale stressors to cause declines, but it is clear that monarchs and other non-target insects are encountering these pesticides. These results provide critical insight into the growing literature on the impact of pesticides on butterflies specifically and non-target insects more broadly. We hope these field realistic concentrations will aid in the design of further experiments in the field and the lab.

scholarly journals Impact of Lagrangian transport on lower-stratospheric transport timescales in a climate model

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (23) ◽  
pp. 15227-15245
Author(s):  
Edward J. Charlesworth ◽  
Ann-Kristin Dugstad ◽  
Frauke Fritsch ◽  
Patrick Jöckel ◽  
Felix Plöger
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Lagrangian Model ◽  
Trace Gas ◽  
Lagrangian Transport ◽  
Transport Barriers ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. We investigate the impact of model trace gas transport schemes on the representation of transport processes in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. Towards this end, the Chemical Lagrangian Model of the Stratosphere (CLaMS) was coupled to the ECHAM/MESSy Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) model and results from the two transport schemes (Lagrangian critical Lyapunov scheme and flux-form semi-Lagrangian, respectively) were compared. Advection in CLaMS was driven by the EMAC simulation winds, and thereby the only differences in transport between the two sets of results were caused by differences in the transport schemes. To analyze the timescales of large-scale transport, multiple tropical-surface-emitted tracer pulses were performed to calculate age of air spectra, while smaller-scale transport was analyzed via idealized, radioactively decaying tracers emitted in smaller regions (nine grid cells) within the stratosphere. The results show that stratospheric transport barriers are significantly stronger for Lagrangian EMAC-CLaMS transport due to reduced numerical diffusion. In particular, stronger tracer gradients emerge around the polar vortex, at the subtropical jets, and at the edge of the tropical pipe. Inside the polar vortex, the more diffusive EMAC flux-form semi-Lagrangian transport scheme results in a substantially higher amount of air with ages from 0 to 2 years (up to a factor of 5 higher). In the lowermost stratosphere, mean age of air is much smaller in EMAC, owing to stronger diffusive cross-tropopause transport. Conversely, EMAC-CLaMS shows a summertime lowermost stratosphere age inversion – a layer of older air residing below younger air (an “eave”). This pattern is caused by strong poleward transport above the subtropical jet and is entirely blurred by diffusive cross-tropopause transport in EMAC. Potential consequences from the choice of the transport scheme on chemistry–climate and geoengineering simulations are discussed.

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