Observations, Simulations, and Dynamics of Jet Stream Variability and Annular Modes

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (23) ◽  
pp. 6186-6199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Kidston ◽  
D. M. W. Frierson ◽  
J. A. Renwick ◽  
G. K. Vallis
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Source Region ◽  
Baroclinic Instability ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Annular Modes ◽  
Real Atmosphere ◽  
The Mean

Abstract The characteristics of the dominant pattern of extratropical variability (the so-called annular modes) are examined in the context of the theory that eddy-driven jets are self-maintaining. It is shown that there is genuine hemispheric symmetry in the variation of the zonal wind in the Southern Hemisphere but not the Northern Hemisphere. The annular mode is shown to be baroclinic in nature; it is associated with changes in the baroclinic eddy source latitude, and the latitude of the eddy source region is organized by the mean flow. This behavior is expected if there is a baroclinic feedback that encourages the maximum baroclinic instability to be coincident with the maximum zonal wind speed, and discourages the meridional vacillation of the eddy-driven jet stream. It is shown that the strength of the thermally indirect circulation that gives rise to the baroclinic feedback appears to influence the time scale of the annular mode. When the thermally indirect circulation is stronger the annular mode has a longer e-folding time in a simplified GCM. Preliminary results indicate that the same dynamics are important in the real atmosphere.

scholarly journals Southern “Annular Modes” Simulated by a Climate Model—Patterns, Mechanisms, and Uses

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (9) ◽  
pp. 3113-3131 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. G. Watterson
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Momentum Equation ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Annular Modes ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
Mean Climate

Abstract Both high-latitude (HLM) and low-latitude modes (LLM) of variability of zonal wind in the Southern Hemisphere have been identified. Through an analysis of a simulation for 1871–2200 by the CSIRO Mark 3 climate model, the extent to which these might both be described as “annular modes,” based on their statistical patterns, physical mechanisms, and usefulness in climate study, is assessed. The modes are determined as EOF1 and EOF2 of vertically integrated zonal and monthly mean zonal wind, for 1871–1970. These match well those from ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA) data and also from the earlier Mark 2 model. The mode index time series relate to largely annular patterns of local wind and surface pressure anomalies [with HLM giving the familiar southern annular mode (SAM)], and other simulated quantities. While modes calculated from 90° sectors are only moderately correlated (mostly in the polar region) for HLM, the link increases with time scale. There is little such relationship for LLM. A momentum equation analysis using daily data confirms that both zonal modes are driven by eddies, but only HLM features a positive eddy–mean flow feedback. Variation in feedback and surface damping through the seasonal cycle relate well to that in index autocorrelation, with the HLM being more persistent in summer. Stratospheric winds feature a long-lived component that tends to lead the HLM. The HLM drives sea surface temperature anomalies that persist for months, and coupling with the ocean increases variability on longer time scales. The annular variability in the warmer climate of the twenty-second century is barely changed, but the mean climate change in the far south projects strongly on the HLM. The LLM features some statistical annularity and may have some uses. However, only the HLM can be considered to be a physically based mode—the zonal-wind equivalent to the one southern annular mode.

scholarly journals Asian Monsoon Forcing of Subtropical Easterlies in the Community Atmosphere Model: Summer Climate Implications for the Western Atlantic

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (9) ◽  
pp. 2741-2755 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Kelly ◽  
Brian Mapes
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Source Region ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
The South ◽  
Western Atlantic ◽  
Wave Source ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Community Atmosphere Model ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Atmosphere Model

Abstract The effects of a progressively enhanced Asian summer monsoon on the mean zonal wind are examined in a series of experiments using the Community Atmosphere Model version 4 (CAM4). The response of the barotropic mean zonal wind varies in a linear fashion with the forcings of 5, 10, and 20 W m−2 in net radiation over South Asia. The authors increase the strength of the monsoon by making the South Asian land surface hotter (via lower soil albedo). This leads to an enhanced Rossby wave source region over the Balkan Peninsula at 45°N, northwest of the upper-level Tibetan high (TH). Equatorward propagation of Rossby waves causes stationary eddy momentum flux divergence (SEMFD) to the south of this source region. This local area of SEMFD produces easterly tendencies of the barotropic part of the mean zonal wind in the subtropics. As the easterly mean flow strengthens, so do low-level easterlies across the subtropical Atlantic, leading to a westward displacement of the North Atlantic subtropical high (NASH) on its equatorward flank. The western intensification of the NASH causes drying in the west Atlantic and neighboring land masses primarily because of near-surface wind divergence in the anticyclone. These modeling results confirm the mechanisms deduced in the authors’ recent observational analysis of the mean seasonal cycle’s midsummer drought.

A Role for Barotropic Eddy–Mean Flow Feedbacks in the Zonal Wind Response to Sea Ice Loss and Arctic Amplification

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (21) ◽  
pp. 7469-7481 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bryn Ronalds ◽  
Elizabeth A. Barnes
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Arctic Amplification ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Jet Streams ◽  
The North ◽  
Wind Response ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract Previous studies have suggested that, in the zonal mean, the climatological Northern Hemisphere wintertime eddy-driven jet streams will weaken and shift equatorward in response to Arctic amplification and sea ice loss. However, multiple studies have also pointed out that this response has strong regional differences across the two ocean basins, with the North Atlantic jet stream generally weakening across models and the North Pacific jet stream showing signs of strengthening. Based on the zonal wind response with a fully coupled model, this work sets up two case studies using a barotropic model to test a dynamical mechanism that can explain the differences in zonal wind response in the North Pacific versus the North Atlantic. Results indicate that the differences between the two basins are due, at least in part, to differences in the proximity of the jet streams to the sea ice loss, and that in both cases the eddies act to increase the jet speed via changes in wave breaking location and frequency. Thus, while baroclinic arguments may account for an initial reduction in the midlatitude winds through thermal wind balance, eddy–mean flow feedbacks are likely instrumental in determining the final total response and actually act to strengthen the eddy-driven jet stream.

An Eddy-Feedback Model for Propagating Annular Modes

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandro Lubis ◽  
Pedram Hassanzadeh
Keyword(s):  
Low Frequency ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Wave Source ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Annular Modes ◽  
The North ◽  
Feedback Model ◽  
Low Frequency Variability ◽  
Extratropical Circulation

<p>Some types of extreme events<span> in the extratropics are often associated with anomalous jet behaviors. A well-known example is the annular mode, wherein its variation e.g., the meandering in the north-south direction of the jet, disrupts the normal eastward migration of troughs and ridges.</span> <span>Since the seminal works of Lorenz and Hartmann, the annular mode has been mostly analyzed based on single EOF mode. However, a recent study showed that the first and second leading EOFs are strongly correlated at long lags and are manifestations of a single oscillatory decaying-mode. This means that the first and second leading EOF modes interact and exert feedbacks on each other. The purpose of this study is to develop an eddy-feedback model for the extratropical low-frequency variability that includes these cross-EOF feedbacks to better isolate the eddy momentum/heat flux changes with time- and/or zonal-mean flow. Our results show that, in the presence of the poleward-propagation regime, the first and second leading EOF modes interact and exert positive feedbacks at lags ~10 (~20) days about ~0.07 (~0.16) day</span><span><sup>-1</sup></span><span> in the reanalysis (idealized GCM). This feedback is often ignored in the previous studies, and in fact, the magnitude is nearly double the feedback exerted by the single EOF mode. We found that this apparent positive eddy feedback is a result of the effect of jet pulsation (strengthening and weakening) in zonal flow variability (z</span><span><sub>2</sub></span><span>) on the eddy momentum flux due to the meandering in the north-south direction of the jet (m</span><span><sub>1</sub></span><span>). A finite-amplitude eddy-mean flow interaction diagnostic has been performed to demonstrate the dynamics governing the positive feedback in the propagating regime of the annular modes. It is shown that the poleward propagation is caused by an orchestrated combination of equatorward propagation of wave activity (baroclinic process), nonlinear wave breaking (barotropic processes), and radiative relaxation. The latter two processes follow the first one, and as such, the meridional propagation of Rossby wave activity (likely generated by an enhanced baroclinic wave source at a low level) is the central mechanism. Finally, our model calculations suggest the rule of thumb that the propagating annular modes (i.e., when EOF1 and EOF2 together represent quasi-periodic poleward propagation of zonal-mean flow anomalies) exist if the ratio of the fractional variance and decorrelation time-scale of EOF2 to that of EOF1 exceeds 0.5 or the two leading PCs showing maximum correlations at larger lags. These criteria can be used to assess the predictability of preferred modes of extratropical circulation in GCMs. The present study advances and potentially transforms the state of our understanding of the low-frequency variability of the extratropical circulation.</span></p>

scholarly journals Meridional Rossby Wave Generation and Propagation in the Maintenance of the Wintertime Tropospheric Double Jet

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (5) ◽  
pp. 2179-2201 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda K. O’Rourke ◽  
Geoffrey K. Vallis
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Momentum Flux ◽  
Baroclinic Instability ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Wind Maximum ◽  
Short Waves ◽  
Instability Theory ◽  
Distinct Features ◽  
Two Jets

Abstract The eddy-driven and subtropical jets are two dynamically distinct features of the midlatitude upper-troposphere circulation that are often merged into a single zonal wind maximum. Nonetheless, the potential for a distinct double-jet state in the atmosphere exists, particularly in the winter hemisphere, and presents a unique zonal-mean flow with two waveguides and an interjet region with a weakened potential vorticity gradient upon which Rossby waves may be generated, propagate, reflect, and break. The authors investigate the interaction of two groups of atmospheric waves—those with wavelengths longer and shorter than the deformation radius—within a double-jet mean flow in an idealized atmospheric model. Patterns of eddy momentum flux convergence for long and short waves differ greatly. Short waves behave following classic baroclinic instability theory such that their eddy momentum flux convergence is centered at the eddy-driven jet core. Long waves, on the other hand, reveal strong eddy momentum flux convergence along the poleward flank of the eddy-driven jet and within the interjet region. This pattern is enhanced when two jets are present in the zonal-mean zonal wind.

scholarly journals Preferred Modes of Variability and Their Relationship with Climate Change

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (10) ◽  
pp. 2063-2075 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seok-Woo Son ◽  
Sukyoung Lee
Keyword(s):  
Recent Trend ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Primitive Equation ◽  
Climate Predictability ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Annular Modes ◽  
Modes Of Variability ◽  
Orthogonal Function ◽  
Flow Response

Abstract Spatial structure of annular modes shows a remarkable resemblance to that of the recent trend in the observed circulation (Thompson et al.). This study performs a series of multilevel primitive equation model simulations to examine the extent to which the annular mode is capable of predicting changes in the zonal-mean flow response to external heat perturbations. Each of these simulations represents a statistically steady state and differs from each other in the values of the imposed tropical heating (ℋ) and high-latitude cooling (𝒞). Defining the annular mode as the first empirical orthogonal function (EOF1) of zonal-mean tropospheric zonal wind, it is found that the “climate predictability” is generally high in the small 𝒞–large ℋ region of the parameter space, but is markedly low in the large 𝒞–small ℋ region. In the former region, EOF1 represents meridional meandering of the midlatitude jet, while in the latter region, EOF1 and EOF2 combine to represent coherent poleward propagation of zonal-mean flow anomalies. It is also found that the climate predictability tends to be higher with respect to changes in 𝒞 than to changes in ℋ. The implications of these findings for the Southern Hemisphere climate predictability are also presented.

Annular Mode–Like Variation in a Multilayer Quasigeostrophic Model

2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (10) ◽  
pp. 2940-2958 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Zhang ◽  
Xiu-Qun Yang ◽  
Yu Nie ◽  
Gang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Channel Model ◽  
Phase Speed ◽  
Surface Friction ◽  
Zonal Flow ◽  
Lower Phase ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Annular Modes ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Different Response

Abstract Eddy–zonal flow interactions in the annular modes are investigated in this study using a modified beta-plane multilayer quasigeostrophic (QG) channel model. This study shows the different response of high- and low-phase-speed (frequency) eddies to the zonal wind anomalies and suggests a baroclinic mechanism through which the two eddies work symbiotically maintaining the positive eddy feedback in the annular modes. Analysis also indicates that the different roles played by these two eddies in the annular modes are related to the differences in their critical line distributions. Eddies with higher phase speeds experience a low-level critical layer at the center of the jet. They drive the zonal wind anomalies associated with the annular mode but weaken the baroclinicity of the jet in the process. Lower-phase-speed eddies encounter low-level critical lines on the jet flanks. While their momentum fluxes are not as important for the jet shift, they play an important role by restoring the lower-level baroclinicity at the jet center, creating a positive feedback loop with the fast eddies that extends the persistence of the jet shift. The importance of the lower-level baroclinicity restoration by the low-phase-speed eddies in the annular modes is further demonstrated in sensitivity runs, in which surface friction on eddies is increased to selectively damp the low-phase-speed eddies. For simulations in which the low-phase-speed eddies become inactive, the leading mode of the zonal wind variability shifts from the position fluctuation to a pulsing of the jet intensity. Further studies indicate that the response of the lower-level baroclinicity to the zonal wind anomalies caused by the low-phase-speed eddies can be crucial in maintaining the annular mode–like variations.

scholarly journals On Baroclinic Instability over Continental Shelves: Testing the Utility of Eady-Type Models

2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-33
Author(s):  
Shih-Nan Chen ◽  
Chiou-Jiu Chen ◽  
James A. Lerczak
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Phase Locking ◽  
Baroclinic Instability ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Ekman Pumping ◽  
Horizontal Shear ◽  
Bottom Slope ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Model Calculations ◽  
The Mean

AbstractThis study examines the utility of Eady-type theories as applied to understanding baroclinic instability in coastal flows where depth variations and bottom drag are important. The focus is on the effects of nongeostrophy, boundary dissipation, and bottom slope. The approach compares theoretically derived instability properties against numerical model calculations, for experiments designed to isolate the individual effects and justified to have Eady-like basic states. For the nongeostrophic effect, the theory of Stone (1966) is shown to give reasonable predictions for the most unstable growth rate and wavelength. It is also shown that the growing instability in a fully nonlinear model can be interpreted as boundary-trapped Rossby wave interactions—that is, wave phase locking and westward phase tilt allow waves to be mutually amplified. The analyses demonstrate that both the boundary dissipative and bottom slope effects can be represented by vertical velocities at the lower boundary of the unstable interior, via inducing Ekman pumping and slope-parallel flow, respectively, as proposed by the theories of Williams and Robinson (1974; referred to as the Eady–Ekman problem) and Blumsack and Gierasch (1972). The vertical velocities, characterized by a friction parameter and a slope ratio, modify the bottom wave and thus the scale selection. However, the theories have inherent quantitative limitations. Eady–Ekman neglects boundary layer responses that limit the increase of bottom stress, thereby overestimating the Ekman pumping and growth rate reduction at large drag. Blumsack and Gierasch’s (1972) model ignores slope-induced horizontal shear in the mean flow that tilts the eddies to favor converting energy back to the mean, thus having limited utility over steep slopes.

scholarly journals Decadal Changes of Wind Stress over the Southern Ocean Associated with Antarctic Ozone Depletion

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (14) ◽  
pp. 3395-3410 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao-Yi Yang ◽  
Rui Xin Huang ◽  
Dong Xiao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Zonal Wind ◽  
Ozone Depletion ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Southern Annular Mode ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Surface Wind Stress ◽  
Antarctic Ozone

Abstract Using 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40) data and in situ observations, the positive trend of Southern Ocean surface wind stress during two recent decades is detected, and its close linkage with spring Antarctic ozone depletion is established. The spring Antarctic ozone depletion affects the Southern Hemisphere lower-stratospheric circulation in late spring/early summer. The positive feedback involves the strengthening and cooling of the polar vortex, the enhancement of meridional temperature gradients and the meridional and vertical potential vorticity gradients, the acceleration of the circumpolar westerlies, and the reduction of the upward wave flux. This feedback loop, together with the ozone-related photochemical interaction, leads to the upward tendency of lower-stratospheric zonal wind in austral summer. In addition, the stratosphere–troposphere coupling, facilitated by ozone-related dynamics and the Southern Annular Mode, cooperates to relay the zonal wind anomalies to the upper troposphere. The wave–mean flow interaction and the meridional circulation work together in the form of the Southern Annular Mode, which transfers anomalous wind signals downward to the surface, triggering a striking strengthening of surface wind stress over the Southern Ocean.

On the non-separable baroclinic parallel flow instability problem

1970 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
pp. 273-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael E. McIntyre
Keyword(s):  
Flow Instability ◽  
Baroclinic Instability ◽  
Short Wave ◽  
Perturbation Series ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Horizontal Shear ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Wave Regime ◽  
Parallel Flows ◽  
The Mean

Perturbation series are developed and mathematically justified, using a straightforward perturbation formalism (that is more widely applicable than those given in standard textbooks), for the case of the two-dimensional inviscid Orr-Sommerfeld-like eigenvalue problem describing quasi-geostrophic wave instabilities of parallel flows in rotating stratified fluids.The results are first used to examine the instability properties of the perturbed Eady problem, in which the zonal velocity profile has the formu=z+ μu1(y,z) where, formally, μ [Lt ] 1. The connexion between baroclinic instability theories with and without short wave cutoffs is clarified. In particular, it is established rigorously that there is instability at short wavelengths in all cases for which such instability would be expected from the ‘critical layer’ argument of Bretherton. (Therefore the apparently conflicting results obtained earlier by Pedlosky are in error.)For the class of profiles of formu=z+ μu1(y) it is then shown from an examination of theO(μ) eigenfunction correction why, under certain conditions, growing baroclinic waves will always produce a counter-gradient horizontal eddy flux of zonal momentum tending to reinforce the horizontal shear of such profiles. Finally, by computing a sufficient number of the higher corrections, this first-order result is shown to remain true, and its relationship to the actual rate of change of the mean flow is also displayed, for a particular jet-like form of profile withfinitehorizontal shear. The latter detailed results may help to explain at least one interesting feature of the mean flow found in a recent numerical solution for the wave régime in a heated rotating annulus.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document