scholarly journals Observed Influences of Autumn–Early Winter Eurasian Snow Cover Anomalies on the Hemispheric PNA-like Variability in Winter

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (7) ◽  
pp. 2017-2023 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qigang Wu ◽  
Haibo Hu ◽  
Lujun Zhang

Abstract The impact of the Eurasian snow cover extent on the Northern Hemisphere (NH) circulation is investigated by applying a lagged maximum covariance analysis (MCA) to monthly satellite-derived snow cover and NCEP reanalysis data. Wintertime atmospheric signals significantly correlated with persistently autumn–early winter snow cover anomalies are found in the leading two MCA modes. The first MCA mode indicates the effect of Eurasian snow cover anomalies on the Arctic Oscillation/North Atlantic Oscillation (AO/NAO). The second MCA mode corresponds with the forcing of Eurasian snow cover anomalies on the hemispheric Pacific–North America (PNA)-like atmospheric variations. This snow–atmosphere relationship may present a significant potential for wintertime predictability.

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (24) ◽  
pp. 6528-6539 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert J. Allen ◽  
Charles S. Zender

Abstract Throughout much of the latter half of the twentieth century, the dominant mode of Northern Hemisphere (NH) extratropical wintertime circulation variability—the Arctic Oscillation (AO)—exhibited a positive trend, with decreasing high-latitude sea level pressure (SLP) and increasing midlatitude SLP. General circulation models (GCMs) show that this trend is related to several factors, including North Atlantic SSTs, greenhouse gas/ozone-induced stratospheric cooling, and warming of the Indo-Pacific warm pool. Over the last approximately two decades, however, the AO has been decreasing, with 2009/10 featuring the most negative AO since 1900. Observational and idealized modeling studies suggest that snow cover, particularly over Eurasia, may be important. An observed snow–AO mechanism also exists, involving the vertical propagation of a Rossby wave train into the stratosphere, which induces a negative AO response that couples to the troposphere. Similar to other GCMs, the authors show that transient simulations with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 3 (CAM3) yield a snow–AO relationship inconsistent with observations and dissimilar AO trends. However, Eurasian snow cover and its interannual variability are significantly underestimated. When the albedo effects of snow cover are prescribed in CAM3 (CAM PS) using satellite-based snow cover fraction data, a snow–AO relationship similar to observations develops. Furthermore, the late-twentieth-century increase in the AO, and particularly the recent decrease, is reproduced by CAM PS. The authors therefore conclude that snow cover has helped force the observed AO trends and that it may play an important role in future AO trends.


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (19) ◽  
pp. 7599-7619 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guillaume Gastineau ◽  
Javier García-Serrano ◽  
Claude Frankignoul

Abstract The relationship between Eurasian snow cover extent (SCE) and Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation is studied in reanalysis during 1979–2014 and in CMIP5 preindustrial control runs. In observations, dipolar SCE anomalies in November, with negative anomalies over eastern Europe and positive anomalies over eastern Siberia, are followed by a negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) one and two months later. In models, this effect is largely underestimated, but four models simulate such a relationship. In observations and these models, the SCE influence is primarily due to the eastern Siberian pole, which is itself driven by the Scandinavian pattern (SCA), with a large anticyclonic anomaly over the Urals. The SCA is also responsible for a link between Eurasian SCE anomalies and sea ice concentration (SIC) anomalies in the Barents–Kara Sea. Increasing SCE over Siberia leads to a local cooling of the lower troposphere and is associated with warm conditions over the eastern Arctic. This is followed by a polar vortex weakening in December and January, which has an AO-like signature. In observations, the association between November SCE and the winter AO is amplified by SIC anomalies in the Barents–Kara Sea, where large diabatic heating of the lower troposphere occurs, but results suggest that the SCE is the main driver of the AO. Conversely, the sea ice anomalies have little influence in most models, which is consistent with the different SCA variability, the colder mean state, and the underestimation of troposphere–stratosphere coupling simulated in these models.


1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tetsuzo Yasunari ◽  
Akio Kitoh ◽  
Tatsushi Tokioka

Observational studies have shown that Eurasian snow-cover anomalies during winter-through-spring seasons have a great effect on anomalies in atmospheric circulation and climate in the following summer season through snow albedo feedback (Hahn and Shukla, 1976; Dey and Bhanu Kumar, 1987). Morinaga and Yasunari (1987) have revealed that large-scale snow-cover extent over central Asia in late winter, which particularly has a great effect on the circulation over Eurasia in the following season, is closely related to the Eurasian pattern circulation (Wallace and Gutzler, 1981) in the beginning of winter. Some atmospheric general circulation models (GCM) have suggested that not only the albedo effect of the snow cover but also the snow-hydrological process are important in producing the atmospheric anomalies in the following seasons (Yeh and others, 1984; Barnett and others, 1988). However, more quantitative evaluations of these effects have not yet been examined. For example, it is not clear to what extent atmospheric anomalies are explained solely by snow-cover anomalies. Spatial and seasonal dependencies of these effects are supposed to be very large. Relative importance of snow cover over Tibetan Plateau should also be examined, particularly relevant to Asian summer monsoon anomalies. Moreover, these effects seem to be very sensitive to parameterizations of these physical processes (Yamazaki, 1988). This study focuses on these problems by using some versions of GCMs of the Meteorological Research Institute. The results include the evaluation of total snow-cover feedbacks as part of internal dynamics of climatic change from 12-year GCM integration, and of the effect of anomalous snow cover over Eurasia in late winter on land surface conditions and atmospheric circulations in the succeeding seasons.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dörthe Handorf ◽  
Klaus Dethloff ◽  
Sabine Erxleben ◽  
Ralf Jaiser ◽  
Michael V. Kurgansky

A quasi-geostrophic three-level T63 model of the wintertime atmospheric circulation of the Northern Hemisphere has been applied to investigate the impact of Arctic amplification (increase in surface air temperatures and loss of Arctic sea ice during the last 15 years) on the mid-latitude large-scale atmospheric circulation. The model demonstrates a mid-latitude response to an Arctic diabatic heating anomaly. A clear shift towards a negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation (AO−) during low sea-ice-cover conditions occurs, connected with weakening of mid-latitude westerlies over the Atlantic and colder winters over Northern Eurasia. Compared to reanalysis data, there is no clear model response with respect to the Pacific Ocean and North America.


1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 348
Author(s):  
Yuki Morinaga ◽  
Tetuzo Yasunari

Effects of Eurasian snow cover were first noted by Blanford (1884) who found an inverse relationship between summer monsoon rainfall over India and winter snow cover over the Himalayas. Hahn and Shukla (1976) confirmed it by using satellite-derived data and their work stimulated succeeding studies on the interaction between large-scale snow cover and atmosphere. Matson and Wiesnet (1981) showed that interannual variation of northern hemisphere snow cover is dominated by Eurasian snow cover, both showing similar trends and fluctuations during 1967–79. Recent studies (Barnett, 1988) also noted that Eurasian snow cover has a greater feedback potential than that of North America on hemispheric-scale climatic anomalies. Though the importance has been thus recognized, not many studies have been done on the interaction between Eurasian snow cover and large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies. Morinaga and Yasunari (1987) studied lag correlations between satellite-derived snow-cover extent over central Asia and the 500 mb-geopotential height field in the Northern Hemisphere (1967–84), and indicated that so-called Eurasian pattern (Wallace and Gutzler, 1981) in December brings large snow-cover extent in February; in turn, February snow cover has a considerable lingering effect on the atmosphere in April. This study present further results on the time-lag teleconnections of the atmosphere associated with Eurasian snow-cover anomalies and their physical implications including the evaluation of snow-hydrological process.


1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 364-364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tetsuzo Yasunari ◽  
Akio Kitoh ◽  
Tatsushi Tokioka

Observational studies have shown that Eurasian snow-cover anomalies during winter-through-spring seasons have a great effect on anomalies in atmospheric circulation and climate in the following summer season through snow albedo feedback (Hahn and Shukla, 1976; Dey and Bhanu Kumar, 1987). Morinaga and Yasunari (1987) have revealed that large-scale snow-cover extent over central Asia in late winter, which particularly has a great effect on the circulation over Eurasia in the following season, is closely related to the Eurasian pattern circulation (Wallace and Gutzler, 1981) in the beginning of winter.Some atmospheric general circulation models (GCM) have suggested that not only the albedo effect of the snow cover but also the snow-hydrological process are important in producing the atmospheric anomalies in the following seasons (Yeh and others, 1984; Barnett and others, 1988).However, more quantitative evaluations of these effects have not yet been examined. For example, it is not clear to what extent atmospheric anomalies are explained solely by snow-cover anomalies. Spatial and seasonal dependencies of these effects are supposed to be very large. Relative importance of snow cover over Tibetan Plateau should also be examined, particularly relevant to Asian summer monsoon anomalies. Moreover, these effects seem to be very sensitive to parameterizations of these physical processes (Yamazaki, 1988).This study focuses on these problems by using some versions of GCMs of the Meteorological Research Institute. The results include the evaluation of total snow-cover feedbacks as part of internal dynamics of climatic change from 12-year GCM integration, and of the effect of anomalous snow cover over Eurasia in late winter on land surface conditions and atmospheric circulations in the succeeding seasons.


1990 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 348-348
Author(s):  
Yuki Morinaga ◽  
Tetuzo Yasunari

Effects of Eurasian snow cover were first noted by Blanford (1884) who found an inverse relationship between summer monsoon rainfall over India and winter snow cover over the Himalayas. Hahn and Shukla (1976) confirmed it by using satellite-derived data and their work stimulated succeeding studies on the interaction between large-scale snow cover and atmosphere. Matson and Wiesnet (1981) showed that interannual variation of northern hemisphere snow cover is dominated by Eurasian snow cover, both showing similar trends and fluctuations during 1967–79. Recent studies (Barnett, 1988) also noted that Eurasian snow cover has a greater feedback potential than that of North America on hemispheric-scale climatic anomalies.Though the importance has been thus recognized, not many studies have been done on the interaction between Eurasian snow cover and large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies. Morinaga and Yasunari (1987) studied lag correlations between satellite-derived snow-cover extent over central Asia and the 500 mb-geopotential height field in the Northern Hemisphere (1967–84), and indicated that so-called Eurasian pattern (Wallace and Gutzler, 1981) in December brings large snow-cover extent in February; in turn, February snow cover has a considerable lingering effect on the atmosphere in April.This study present further results on the time-lag teleconnections of the atmosphere associated with Eurasian snow-cover anomalies and their physical implications including the evaluation of snow-hydrological process.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 454
Author(s):  
Andrew R. Jakovlev ◽  
Sergei P. Smyshlyaev ◽  
Vener Y. Galin

The influence of sea-surface temperature (SST) on the lower troposphere and lower stratosphere temperature in the tropical, middle, and polar latitudes is studied for 1980–2019 based on the MERRA2, ERA5, and Met Office reanalysis data, and numerical modeling with a chemistry-climate model (CCM) of the lower and middle atmosphere. The variability of SST is analyzed according to Met Office and ERA5 data, while the variability of atmospheric temperature is investigated according to MERRA2 and ERA5 data. Analysis of sea surface temperature trends based on reanalysis data revealed that a significant positive SST trend of about 0.1 degrees per decade is observed over the globe. In the middle latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, the trend (about 0.2 degrees per decade) is 2 times higher than the global average, and 5 times higher than in the Southern Hemisphere (about 0.04 degrees per decade). At polar latitudes, opposite SST trends are observed in the Arctic (positive) and Antarctic (negative). The impact of the El Niño Southern Oscillation phenomenon on the temperature of the lower and middle atmosphere in the middle and polar latitudes of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres is discussed. To assess the relative influence of SST, CO2, and other greenhouse gases’ variability on the temperature of the lower troposphere and lower stratosphere, numerical calculations with a CCM were performed for several scenarios of accounting for the SST and carbon dioxide variability. The results of numerical experiments with a CCM demonstrated that the influence of SST prevails in the troposphere, while for the stratosphere, an increase in the CO2 content plays the most important role.


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