scholarly journals Nowcasting Rainfall Fields Derived from Specific Differential Phase

2012 ◽  
Vol 51 (11) ◽  
pp. 1950-1959 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evan Ruzanski ◽  
V. Chandrasekar

AbstractShort-term automated forecasting (nowcasting) of precipitation has traditionally been done using radar reflectivity data; recent research, however, indicates that using specific differential phase Kdp has several advantages over using reflectivity for estimating rainfall. This paper presents an evaluation of the characteristics of nowcasting Kdp-based rainfall fields using the Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere Kdp estimation and nowcasting methods applied to approximately 42 h of X-band radar network data. The results show that Kdp-based rainfall fields exhibit lifetimes of ~17 min as compared with ~15 min for rainfall fields derived from reflectivity Zh in a continuous (cross correlation based) sense. Categorical (skill score based) lifetimes of ~26 min were observed for Kdp-based rainfall fields as compared with ~30 min for Zh-based rainfall fields. Radar–rain gauge verification showed that Kdp-based rainfall estimates consistently outperformed Zh-based estimates out to a lead time of 30 min, but the difference between the two estimators decreased in terms of normalized standard error with increasing lead time.

2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (9) ◽  
pp. 2108-2120 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Lim ◽  
R. Cifelli ◽  
V. Chandrasekar ◽  
S. Y. Matrosov

Abstract This paper presents new methods for rainfall estimation from X-band dual-polarization radar observations along with advanced techniques for quality control, hydrometeor classification, and estimation of specific differential phase. Data collected from the Hydrometeorology Testbed (HMT) in orographic terrain of California are used to demonstrate the methodology. The quality control and hydrometeor classification are specifically developed for X-band applications, which use a “fuzzy logic” technique constructed from the magnitude of the copolar correlation coefficient and the texture of differential propagation phase. In addition, an improved specific differential phase retrieval and rainfall estimation method are also applied. The specific differential phase estimation is done for both the melting region and rain region, where it uses a conventional filtering method for the melting region and a self-consistency-based method that distributes the total differential phase consistent with the reflectivity factor for the rain region. Based on the specific differential phase, rainfall estimations were computed using data obtained from the NOAA polarimetric X-band radar for hydrometeorology (HYDROX) and evaluated using HMT rain gauge observations. The results show that the methodology works well at capturing the high-frequency rainfall variations for the events analyzed herein and can be useful for mountainous terrain applications.


1995 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 404-410 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Aydin ◽  
V. N. Bringi ◽  
L. Liu

Abstract Multiparameter radar measurements were made during a heavy rainfall event accompanied by hail in Colorado. Rainfall rates R and accumulation Σ for this event were estimated using S-band specific differential phase KDP, reflectivity factor ZH, and X-band specific attenuation AH3. These estimates were compared with measurements from a ground-based rain gauge. Both R–KDP and R–AH3 relations were in good agreement with the rain gauge data, that is, less than 10% difference in the rainfall accumulations. The R–Z relation produced similar results only when ZH was truncated at 55 dBZ. This study demonstrates the potential of KDP for estimating rainfall rates in severe storms that may have rain-hail mixtures.


2013 ◽  
Vol 52 (8) ◽  
pp. 1817-1835 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jordi Figueras i Ventura ◽  
Pierre Tabary

AbstractIn 2012 the Météo France metropolitan operational radar network consists of 24 radars operating at C and S bands. In addition, a network of four X-band gap-filler radars is being deployed in the French Alps. The network combines polarimetric and nonpolarimetric radars. Consequently, the operational radar rainfall algorithm has been adapted to process both polarimetric and nonpolarimetric data. The polarimetric processing chain is available in two versions. In the first version, now operational, polarimetry is only used to correct for attenuation and filter out clear-air echoes. In the second version there is a more extensive use of polarimetry. In particular, the specific differential phase Kdp is used to estimate rainfall rate in intense rain. The performance of the three versions of radar rainfall algorithms (conventional, polarimetric V1, and polarimetric V2) at different frequency bands (S, C, and X) is evaluated by processing radar data of significant events offline and comparing hourly radar rainfall accumulations with hourly rain gauge data. The results clearly show a superior performance of the polarimetric products with respect to the nonpolarimetric ones at all frequency bands, but particularly at higher frequency. The second version of the polarimetric product, which makes a broader use of polarimetry, provides the best overall results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 1479 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ji ◽  
Chen ◽  
Li ◽  
Chen ◽  
Xiao ◽  
...  

Fourteen-month precipitation measurements from a second-generation PARSIVEL disdrometer deployed in Beijing, northern China, were analyzed to investigate the microphysical structure of raindrop size distribution and its implications on polarimetric radar applications. Rainfall types are classified and analyzed in the domain of median volume diameter D0 and the normalized intercept parameter Nw. The separation line between convective and stratiform rain is almost equivalent to rain rate at 8.6 mm h–1 and radar reflectivity at 36.8 dBZ. Convective rain in Beijing shows distinct seasonal variations in log10Nw–D0 domain. X-band dual-polarization variables are simulated using the T-matrix method to derive radar-based quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) estimators, and rainfall products at hourly scale are evaluated for four radar QPE estimators using collocated but independent rain gauge observations. This study also combines the advantages of individual estimators based on the thresholds on polarimetric variables. Results show that the blended QPE estimator has better performance than others. The rainfall microphysical analysis presented in this study is expected to facilitate the development of a high-resolution X-band radar network for urban QPE applications.


2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (6) ◽  
pp. 971-985 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seppo Pulkkinen ◽  
V. Chandrasekar ◽  
Ari-Matti Harri

AbstractNowcasts (short-term forecasts) of heavy rainfall causing flash floods are highly valuable in densely populated urban areas. In the Collaborative Adaptive Sensing of the Atmosphere (CASA) project, a high-resolution X-band radar network was deployed in the Dallas–Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex. The Dynamic and Adaptive Radar Tracking of Storms (DARTS) method was developed as a part of the CASA nowcasting system. In this method, the advection field is determined in the spectral domain using the discrete Fourier transform. DARTS was recently extended to include a filtering scheme for suppressing small-scale precipitation features that have low predictability. Building on the earlier work, Stochastic DARTS (S-DARTS), a probabilistic extension of DARTS, is developed and tested using the CASA DFW radar network. In this method, the nowcasts are stochastically perturbed in order to simulate uncertainties. Two novel features are introduced in S-DARTS. First, the scale filtering and perturbation based on an autoregressive model are done in the spectral domain in order to achieve high computational efficiency. Second, this methodology is extended to modeling the temporal evolution of the advection field. The performance and forecast skill of S-DARTS are evaluated with different precipitation intensity thresholds and ensemble sizes. It is shown that S-DARTS can produce reliable probabilistic nowcasts in the CASA DFW domain with 250-m spatial resolution up to 45 min for lower precipitation intensities (below 2 mm h−1). For higher intensities (above 5 mm h−1), adequate skill can be obtained up to 15 min.


Author(s):  
Ju-Yu Chen ◽  
Silke Trömel ◽  
Alexander Ryzhkov ◽  
Clemens Simmer

AbstractRecent advances demonstrate the benefits of radar-derived specific attenuation at horizontal polarization (AH) for quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) at S and X band. To date the methodology has, however, not been adapted for the widespread European C-band radars such as installed in the network of the German Meteorological Service (DWD, Deutscher Wetterdienst). Simulations based on a large dataset of drop size distributions (DSDs) measured over Germany are performed to investigate the DSD dependencies of the attenuation parameter αH for the AH estimates. The normalized raindrop concentration (Nw) and the change of differential reflectivity (ZDR) with reflectivity at horizontal polarization (ZH) are used to categorize radar observations into regimes for which scan-wise optimized αH values are derived. For heavier continental rain with ZH > 40 dBZ, the AH-based rainfall retrieval R(AH) is combined with a rainfall estimator using a substitute of specific differential phase (). We also assess the performance of retrievals based on specific attenuation at vertical polarization (AV). Finally, the regime-adapted hybrid QPE algorithms are applied to four convective cases and one stratiform case from 2017 to 2019, and compared to DWD’s operational RAdar-OnLine-ANeichung (RADOLAN) RW rainfall product, which is based on Zh only but adjusted to rain gauge measurements. For the convective cases, our hybrid retrievals outperform the traditional R(Zh) and pure R(AH/V) retrievals with fixed αH/V values when evaluated with gauge measurements and outperform RW when evaluated by disdrometer measurements. Potential improvements using ray-wise αH/V and segment-wise applications of the ZPHI method along the radials are discussed.


2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 744-764 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shakti P. C., ◽  
M. Maki ◽  
S. Shimizu ◽  
T. Maesaka ◽  
D.-S. Kim ◽  
...  

Abstract Two approaches to correcting the partial beam blockage of radar reflectivity in mountainous areas were evaluated using X-band dual polarization radar data from the Hakone mountain region, Kanto, Japan. The comparatively simple digital elevation model (DEM) method calculates the power loss in the received signal based on the geometrical relationship between radar beams and a DEM. The second approach, the modified DEM method, attempts to account for unknown power losses related to ground clutter, hardware calibration errors, etc. Comparison between ground data and reflectivity data corrected by both methods suggests that the DEM method alone was insufficient to correct beam blockage problems but that the modified DEM data were in generally good agreement with the ground data. The authors also estimated 10-min rainfall amounts using reflectivity corrected by the modified DEM method and compared these with data from a network of rain gauges in the mountainous region. In general, the results show good agreement between radar estimates and rain gauge measurements. On the basis of their results, the authors conclude that the modified DEM method offers a suitable solution to the problem of beam blockage in mountainous regions, provided that the beam blockage rate is less than 80%.


2005 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 248-262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sergey Y. Matrosov ◽  
David E. Kingsmill ◽  
Brooks E. Martner ◽  
F. Martin Ralph

Abstract The utility of X-band polarimetric radar for quantitative retrievals of rainfall parameters is analyzed using observations collected along the U.S. west coast near the mouth of the Russian River during the Hydrometeorological Testbed project conducted by NOAA’s Environmental Technology and National Severe Storms Laboratories in December 2003 through March 2004. It is demonstrated that the rain attenuation effects in measurements of reflectivity (Ze) and differential attenuation effects in measurements of differential reflectivity (ZDR) can be efficiently corrected in near–real time using differential phase shift data. A scheme for correcting gaseous attenuation effects that are important at longer ranges is introduced. The use of polarimetric rainfall estimators that utilize specific differential phase and differential reflectivity data often provides results that are superior to estimators that use fixed reflectivity-based relations, even if these relations were derived from the ensemble of drop size distributions collected in a given geographical region. Comparisons of polarimetrically derived rainfall accumulations with data from the high-resolution rain gauges located along the coast indicated deviation between radar and gauge estimates of about 25%. The ZDR measurements corrected for differential attenuation were also used to retrieve median raindrop sizes, D0. Because of uncertainties in differential reflectivity measurements, these retrievals are typically performed only for D0 > 0.75 mm. The D0 estimates from an impact disdrometer located at 25 km from the radar were in good agreement with the radar retrievals. The experience of operating the transportable polarimetric X-band radar in the coastal area that does not have good coverage by the National Weather Service radar network showed the value of such radar in filling the gaps in the network coverage. The NOAA X-band radar was effective in covering an area up to 40–50 km in radius offshore adjacent to a region that is prone to flooding during wintertime landfalling Pacific storms.


2017 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 725-732 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomer Burg ◽  
Kimberly L. Elmore ◽  
Heather M. Grams

Abstract Previous work has shown that the Rapid Refresh (RAP) model severely underrepresents ice pellets in its grid, with a skill near zero and a very low bias. An ice pellet diagnostic upgrade was devised at the Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL) to resolve this issue. Parallel runs of the experimental ESRL-RAP with the fix and the operational NCEP-RAP without the fix provide an opportunity to assess whether this upgrade has improved the overall performance and the performance of the individual precipitation types of the ESRL-RAP. Verification was conducted using the mobile Phenomena Identification Near the Ground (mPING) project. The overall Gerrity skill score (GSS) for the ESRL-RAP was improved relative to the NCEP-RAP at a 3-h lead time but degraded with increasing lead time; the difference is significant at p < 0.05. Whether this difference is practically significant for users is unknown. Some improvement was found in the bias and skill scores of ice pellets and snow in the ESRL-RAP, although the model continues to underrepresent ice pellets, while rain and freezing rain were generally the same or slightly worse with the fix. The ESRL-RAP was also found to depict a more realistic spatial distribution of precipitation types in transition zones involving ice pellets and freezing rain.


2011 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1024-1039 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Borowska ◽  
D. Zrnić ◽  
A. Ryzhkov ◽  
P. Zhang ◽  
C. Simmer

Abstract The authors evaluate rainfall estimates from the new polarimetric X-band radar at Bonn, Germany, for a period between mid-November and the end of December 2009 by comparison with rain gauges. The emphasis is on slightly more than 1-month accumulations over areas minimally affected by beam blockage. The rain regime was characterized by reflectivities mainly below 45 dBZ, maximum observed rain rates of 47 mm h−1, a mean rain rate of 0.1 mm h−1, and brightband altitudes between 0.6 and 2.4 km above the ground. Both the reflectivity factor and the specific differential phase are used to obtain the rain rates. The accuracy of rain total estimates is evaluated from the statistics of the differences between radar and rain gauge measurements. Polarimetry provides improvement in the statistics of reflectivity-based measurements by reducing the bias and RMS errors from −25% to 7% and from 33% to 17%, respectively. Essential to this improvement is separation of the data into those attributed to pure rain, those from the bright band, and those due to nonmeteorological scatterers. A type-specific (rain or wet snow) relation is applied to obtain the rain rate by matching on the average the contribution by wet snow to the radar-measured rainfall below the bright band. The measurement of rain using specific differential phase is the most robust and can be applied to the very low rain rates and still produce credible accumulation estimates characterized with a standard deviation of 11% but a bias of −25%. A composite estimator is also tested and discussed.


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