A Comparison of Convective and Stratiform Precipitation Microphysics of the Record-Breaking Typhoon In-Fa (2021)

In July 2021, Typhoon In-Fa attacked eastern China and broke many records for extreme precipitation over the last century. Such an unrivaled impact results from In-Fa’s slow moving speed and long residence time due to atmospheric circulations. With the supports of 66 networked surface disdrometers over eastern China and collaborative observations from the advanced GPM satellite, we are able to reveal the unique precipitation microphysical properties of the record-breaking Typhoon In-Fa (2021). After separating the typhoon precipitation into convective and stratiform types and comparing the drop size distribution (DSD) properties of Typhoon In-Fa with other typhoons from different climate regimes, it is found that typhoon precipitation shows significant internal differences as well as regional differences in terms of DSD-related parameters, such as mass-weighted mean diameter (Dm), normalized intercept parameter (Nw), radar reflectivity (Z), rain rate (R), and intercept, shape, and slope parameters (N0, µ, Λ). Comparing different rain types inside Typhoon In-Fa, convective rain (Nw ranging from 3.80 to 3.96 mm−1 m−3) shows higher raindrop concentration than stratiform rain (Nw ranging from 3.40 to 3.50 mm−1 m−3) due to more graupels melting into liquid water while falling. Large raindrops occupy most of the region below the melting layer in convective rain due to a dominant coalescence process of small raindrops (featured by larger ZKu, Dm, and smaller N0, µ, Λ), while small raindrops account for a considerable proportion in stratiform rain, reflecting a significant collisional breakup process of large raindrops (featured by smaller ZKu, Dm, and larger N0, µ, Λ). Compared with other typhoons in Hainan and Taiwan, the convective precipitation of Typhoon In-Fa shows a larger (smaller) raindrop concentration than that of Taiwan (Hainan), while smaller raindrop diameter than both Hainan and Taiwan. Moreover, the typhoon convective precipitation measured in In-Fa is more maritime-like than precipitation in Taiwan. Based on a great number of surface disdrometer observational data, the GPM precipitation products were further validated for both rain types, and a series of native quantitative precipitation estimation relations, such as Z–R and R–Dm relations were derived to improve the typhoon rainfall retrieval for both ground-based radar and spaceborne radar.

Quantitative Precipitation Estimation over Antarctica Using Different Ze-SR Relationships Based on Snowfall Classification Combining Ground Observations

Snow plays a crucial role in the hydrological cycle and energy budget of the Earth, and remote sensing instruments with the necessary spatial coverage, resolution, and temporal sampling are essential for snowfall monitoring. Among such instruments, ground-radars have scanning capability and a resolution that make it possible to obtain a 3D structure of precipitating systems or vertical profiles when used in profiling mode. Radars from space have a lower spatial resolution, but they provide a global view. However, radar-based quantitative estimates of solid precipitation are still a challenge due to the variability of the microphysical, geometrical, and electrical features of snow particles. Estimations of snowfall rate are usually accomplished using empirical, long-term relationships between the equivalent radar reflectivity factor (Ze) and the liquid-equivalent snowfall rate (SR). Nevertheless, very few relationships take advantage of the direct estimation of the microphysical characteristics of snowflakes. In this work, we used a K-band vertically pointing radar collocated with a laser disdrometer to develop Ze-SR relationships as a function of snow classification. The two instruments were located at the Italian Antarctic Station Mario Zucchelli. The K-band radar probes the low-level atmospheric layers, recording power spectra at 32 vertical range gates. It was set at a high vertical resolution (35 m), with the first trusted range gate at a height of only 100 m. The disdrometer was able to provide information on the particle size distribution just below the trusted radar gate. Snow particles were classified into six categories (aggregate, dendrite aggregate, plate aggregate, pristine, dendrite pristine, plate pristine). The method was applied to the snowfall events of the Antarctic summer seasons of 2018–2019 and 2019–2020, with a total of 23,566 min of precipitation, 15.3% of which was recognized as showing aggregate features, 33.3% dendrite aggregate, 7.3% plates aggregate, 12.5% pristine, 24% dendrite pristine, and 7.6% plate pristine. Applying the appropriate Ze-SR relationship in each snow category, we calculated a total of 87 mm water equivalent, differing from the total found by applying a unique Ze-SR. Our estimates were also benchmarked against a colocated Alter-shielded weighing gauge, resulting in a difference of 3% in the analyzed periods.

The Quantile-Matching Approach to Improving Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation in South China

Weather radar provides regional rainfall information with a very high spatial and temporal resolution. Because the radar data suffer from errors from various sources, an accurate quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) from a weather radar system is crucial for meteorological forecasts and hydrological applications. In the South China region, multiple weather radar networks are widely used, but the accuracy of radar QPE products remains to be analyzed and improved. Based on hourly radar QPE and rain gauge observation data, this study first analyzed the QPE error in South China and then applied the Quantile Matching (Q-matching) method to improve the radar QPE accuracy. The results show that the rainfall intensity of the radar QPE is generally larger than that determined from rain gauge observations but that it usually underestimates the intensity of the observed heavy rainfall. After the Q-matching method was applied to correct the QPE, the accuracy improved by a significant amount and was in good agreement with the rain gauge observations. Specifically, the Q-matching method was able to reduce the QPE error from 39–44%, demonstrating performance that is much better than that of the traditional climatological scaling method, which was shown to be able to reduce the QPE error from 3–15% in South China. Moreover, after the Q-matching correction, the QPE values were closer to the rainfall values that were observed from the automatic weather stations in terms of having a smaller mean absolute error and a higher correlation coefficient. Therefore, the Q-matching method can improve the QPE accuracy as well as estimate the surface precipitation better. This method provides a promising prospect for radar QPE in the study region.

Leveraging machine learning for quantitative precipitation estimation from Fengyun-4 geostationary observations and ground meteorological measurements

Deriving large-scale and high-quality precipitation products from satellite remote-sensing spectral data is always challenging in quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE), and limited studies have been conducted even using China's latest Fengyun-4A (FY-4A) geostationary satellite. Taking three rainstorm events over South China as examples, a machine-learning-based regression model was established using the random forest (RF) method to derive QPE from FY-4A observations, in conjunction with cloud parameters and physical quantities. The cross-validation results indicate that both daytime (DQPE) and nighttime (NQPE) RF algorithms performed well in estimating QPE, with the bias score, correlation coefficient and root-mean-square error of DQPE (NQPE) of 2.17 (2.42), 0.79 (0.83) and 1.77 mm h−1 (2.31 mm h−1), respectively. Overall, the algorithm has a high accuracy in estimating precipitation under the heavy-rain level or below. Nevertheless, the positive bias still implies an overestimation of precipitation by the QPE algorithm, in addition to certain misjudgements from non-precipitation pixels to precipitation events. Also, the QPE algorithm tends to underestimate the precipitation at the rainstorm or even above levels. Compared to single-sensor algorithms, the developed QPE algorithm can better capture the spatial distribution of land-surface precipitation, especially the centre of strong precipitation. Marginal difference between the data accuracy over sites in urban and rural areas indicate that the model performs well over space and has no evident dependence on landscape. In general, our proposed FY-4A QPE algorithm has advantages for quantitative estimation of summer precipitation over East Asia.

Application of Attenuation Correction to Quantitative Precipitation Estimation on C-Band Weather Radar in Bengkulu

A weather radar is an active system remote sensing tool that observes precipitation indirectly. Weather radar has an advantage in estimating precipitation because it has a high spatial resolution (up to 0.5 km). Reflectivity generated by weather radar still has signal interference caused by attenuation factors. Attenuation causes the Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) by the C-band weather radar to underestimate. Therefore attenuation correction on C-band weather radar is needed to eliminate precipitation estimation errors. This study aims to apply attenuation correction to determine Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) on the c-band weather radar in Bengkulu in December 2018. Gate-by-gate method attenuation correction with Kraemer approach has applied to c-band weather radar data from the Indonesian Agency for Meteorology and Geophysics (BMKG) weather radar network Bengkulu. This method uses reflectivity as the only input. Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) has obtained by comparing weather radar-based rain estimates to 10 observation rain gauges over a month with the Z-R relation equation. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) is used to calculate the estimation error. Weather radar data are processed using Python-based libraries Wradlib and ArcGIS 10.5. As a result, the calculation between the weather radar estimate precipitation and the observed rainfall obtained equation Z=2,65R1,3. The attenuation correction process with Kreamer's approach on the c-band weather radar has reduced error in the Qualitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE). Corrected precipitation has a smaller error value (r = 0.88; RMSE = 8.38) than the uncorrected precipitation (r = 0.83; RMSE = 11.70).

Evaluation and Improvement of FY-4A AGRI Quantitative Precipitation Estimation for Summer Precipitation over Complex Topography of Western China

Satellite quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) can make up for the insufficiency of ground observations for monitoring precipitation. Using an Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager (AGRI) on the FengYun-4A (FY-4A) satellite and rain gauges (RGs) for observations in the summer of 2020. The existing QPE of the FY-4A was evaluated and found to present poor accuracy over the complex topography of Western China. Therefore, to improve the existing QPE, first, cloud classification thresholds for the FY-4A were established with the dynamic clustering method to identify convective clouds. These thresholds consist of the brightness temperatures (TBs) of FY-4A water vapor and infrared channels, and their TB difference. Then, quantitative cloud growth rate correction factors were introduced to improve the QPE of the convective-stratiform technique. This was achieved using TB hourly variation rates of long-wave infrared channel 12, which is able to characterize the evolution of clouds. Finally, the dynamic time integration method was designed to solve the inconsistent time matching between the FY-4A and RGs. Consequently, the QPE accuracy of the FY-4A was improved. Compared with the existing QPE of the FY-4A, the correlation coefficient between the improved QPE of the FY-4A and the RG hourly precipitation increased from 0.208 to 0.492, with the mean relative error and root mean squared error decreasing from −47.4% and 13.78 mm to 8.3% and 10.04 mm, respectively. However, the correlation coefficient is not sufficiently high; thus, the algorithm needs to be further studied and improved.

Assessing the benefits of specific attenuation for quantitative precipitation estimation with a C-band radar network

Recent advances demonstrate the benefits of radar-derived specific attenuation at horizontal polarization (AH) for quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) at S and X band. To date the methodology has, however, not been adapted for the widespread European C-band radars such as installed in the network of the German Meteorological Service (DWD, Deutscher Wetterdienst). Simulations based on a large dataset of drop size distributions (DSDs) measured over Germany are performed to investigate the DSD dependencies of the attenuation parameter αH for the AH estimates. The normalized raindrop concentration (Nw) and the change of differential reflectivity (ZDR) with reflectivity at horizontal polarization (ZH) are used to categorize radar observations into regimes for which scan-wise optimized αH values are derived. For heavier continental rain with ZH > 40 dBZ, the AH-based rainfall retrieval R(AH) is combined with a rainfall estimator using a substitute of specific differential phase (). We also assess the performance of retrievals based on specific attenuation at vertical polarization (AV). Finally, the regime-adapted hybrid QPE algorithms are applied to four convective cases and one stratiform case from 2017 to 2019, and compared to DWD’s operational RAdar-OnLine-ANeichung (RADOLAN) RW rainfall product, which is based on Zh only but adjusted to rain gauge measurements. For the convective cases, our hybrid retrievals outperform the traditional R(Zh) and pure R(AH/V) retrievals with fixed αH/V values when evaluated with gauge measurements and outperform RW when evaluated by disdrometer measurements. Potential improvements using ray-wise αH/V and segment-wise applications of the ZPHI method along the radials are discussed.

Deep Learning for Polarimetric Radar Quantitative Precipitation Estimation during Landfalling Typhoons in South China

Heavy rain associated with landfalling typhoons often leads to disasters in South China, which can be reduced by improving the accuracy of radar quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE). At present, raindrop size distribution (DSD)-based nonlinear fitting (QPEDSD) and traditional neural networks are the main radar QPE algorithms. The former is not sufficient to represent the spatiotemporal variability of DSDs through the generalized Z–R or polarimetric radar rainfall relations that are established using statistical methods since such parametric methods do not consider the spatial distribution of radar observables, and the latter is limited by the number of network layers and availability of data for training the model. In this paper, we propose an alternative approach to dual-polarization radar QPE based on deep learning (QPENet). Three datasets of “dual-polarization radar observations—surface rainfall (DPO—SR)” were constructed using radar observations and corresponding measurements from automatic weather stations (AWS) and used for QPENetV1, QPENetV2, and QPENetV3. In particular, 13 × 13, 25 × 25, and 41 × 41 radar range bins surrounding each AWS location were used in constructing the datasets for QPENetV1, QPENetV2, and QPENetV3, respectively. For training the QPENet models, the radar data and AWS measurements from eleven landfalling typhoons in South China during 2017–2019 were used. For demonstration, an independent typhoon event was randomly selected (i.e., Merbok) to implement the three trained models to produce rainfall estimates. The evaluation results and comparison with traditional QPEDSD algorithms show that the QPENet model has a better performance than the traditional parametric relations. Only when the hourly rainfall intensity is less than 5 mm (R < 5 mm·h−1), the QPEDSD model shows a comparable performance to QPENet. Comparing the three versions of the QPENet model, QPENetV2 has the best overall performance. Only when the hourly rainfall intensity is less than 5 mm (R < 5 mm·h−1), QPENetV3 performs the best.