scholarly journals Variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CCSM4

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (15) ◽  
pp. 5153-5172 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gokhan Danabasoglu ◽  
Steve G. Yeager ◽  
Young-Oh Kwon ◽  
Joseph J. Tribbia ◽  
Adam S. Phillips ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Low Frequency ◽  
Surface Flux ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Positive Density ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Control Simulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variability is documented in the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4) preindustrial control simulation that uses nominal 1° horizontal resolution in all its components. AMOC shows a broad spectrum of low-frequency variability covering the 50–200-yr range, contrasting sharply with the multidecadal variability seen in the T85 × 1 resolution CCSM3 present-day control simulation. Furthermore, the amplitude of variability is much reduced in CCSM4 compared to that of CCSM3. Similarities as well as differences in AMOC variability mechanisms between CCSM3 and CCSM4 are discussed. As in CCSM3, the CCSM4 AMOC variability is primarily driven by the positive density anomalies at the Labrador Sea (LS) deep-water formation site, peaking 2 yr prior to an AMOC maximum. All processes, including parameterized mesoscale and submesoscale eddies, play a role in the creation of salinity anomalies that dominate these density anomalies. High Nordic Sea densities do not necessarily lead to increased overflow transports because the overflow physics is governed by source and interior region density differences. Increased overflow transports do not lead to a higher AMOC either but instead appear to be a precursor to lower AMOC transports through enhanced stratification in LS. This has important implications for decadal prediction studies. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is significantly correlated with the positive boundary layer depth and density anomalies prior to an AMOC maximum. This suggests a role for NAO through setting the surface flux anomalies in LS and affecting the subpolar gyre circulation strength.

The effects of KT ≠ KS in a Stommel-like model of the upper Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation under steady surface flux forcing

2019 ◽  
Vol 77 (1) ◽  
pp. 243-266
Author(s):  
A.E. Gargett
Keyword(s):  
Steady State ◽  
Water Mass ◽  
Surface Flux ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
North Polar ◽  
Stratified Regime

This study examines a simple 6-box model of a single pole-to-pole ocean basin. Each of a northern "polar gyre," a southern "polar gyre," and an "equatorial gyre," consisting of north and south subtropical gyres plus the equatorial region, is represented by two boxes: a surface box receiving constant fluxes of both temperature (heat) and salt (freshwater) and a deep box. The model includes four dominant processes: surface flux forcing, horizontal meridional advection driven by Southern Ocean winds, horizontal eddy diffusion at gyre boundaries, and convection, as well as the process of vertical diffusion by small-scale processes. Provided that heat loss from the northern polar gyre is sufficiently larger than that from the southern polar gyre, a steady-state Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)-like system, i. e., one with sinking in the north polar gyre and upwelling in a weakly stratified southern polar gyre, is obtained at present values of RF ≡ βFS / αFT, the ratio of surface forcing by fluxes of temperature (T ) and salinity (S ) in the equatorial gyre. Despite the fact that vertical diffusive fluxes are much smaller than those associated with all the other processes, it is shown that implementation in this model of a simple water mass–based representation of different vertical diffusivities for T and S, the two water properties that, with pressure, determine the density of seawater, can lead to profound change in the steady-state modes of the system. With equal diffusivities, the AMOC-like mode with north polar convection shifts abruptly to a mode with equatorial convection at sufficiently large values of RF. With unequal diffusivities, this mode boundary is replaced by an intermediate region of RF values in which all three gyres are stratified. The existence and extent of this stratified regime is shown to result predominantly from the differences between vertical turbulent diffusivities of T and S in the "salt fingering" equatorial gyre. Existence of a stratified regime at values of RF somewhat larger that present implies a tendency towards stable stratification throughout the oceans if, under climate change, the equatorial diffusivity difference were to increase as a result of water mass changes in the subtropical gyres and/or an increase in RF as a result of increased atmospheric freshwater fluxes and/or decreased heat fluxes. This tendency towards an everywhere-stratified ocean is independent of that expected from increased freshwater addition to surface polar oceans due to ice melt.

A Diagnostic Indicator of the Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CCSM3

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (6) ◽  
pp. 1926-1938 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Liu ◽  
Zhengyu Liu
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Atlantic Basin ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Freshwater Transport ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Diagnostic Indicator

Abstract A diagnostic indicator ΔMov is proposed in this paper to monitor the stability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). The ΔMov is a diagnostic for a basinwide salt-advection feedback and defined as the difference between the freshwater transport induced by the AMOC across the southern border of the Atlantic Ocean and the overturning liquid freshwater transport from the Arctic Ocean to the North Atlantic. As validated in the Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3), for an AMOC in the conveyor state, a positive ΔMov (freshwater convergence) in the Atlantic basin indicates a monostable AMOC and a negative ΔMov (freshwater divergence) indicates a bistable AMOC. Based on ΔMov, the authors investigate the AMOC stability in the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and analyze the modulation of the AMOC stability by an open/closed Bering Strait. Moreover, the authors estimate that the real AMOC is likely to be bistable in the present day, since some observations suggest a negative ΔMov (freshwater divergence) is currently in the Atlantic basin. However, this estimation is very sensitive to the choice of the observational data.

scholarly journals Sensitivity of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Variability to Parameterized Nordic Sea Overflows in CCSM4

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 2077-2103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Yeager ◽  
Gokhan Danabasoglu
Keyword(s):  
Deep Ocean ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Order Effect ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Boundary Current ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Frequency Space ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract The inclusion of parameterized Nordic Sea overflows in the ocean component of the Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4) results in a much improved representation of the North Atlantic tracer and velocity distributions compared to a control CCSM4 simulation without this parameterization. As a consequence, the variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) on decadal and longer time scales is generally lower, but the reduction is not uniform in latitude, depth, or frequency–space. While there is dramatically less variance in the overall AMOC maximum (at about 35°N), the reduction in AMOC variance at higher latitudes is more modest. Also, it is somewhat enhanced in the deep ocean and at low latitudes (south of about 30°N). The complexity of overturning response to overflows is related to the fact that, in both simulations, the AMOC spectrum varies substantially with latitude and depth, reflecting a variety of driving mechanisms that are impacted in different ways by the overflows. The usefulness of reducing AMOC to a single index is thus called into question. This study identifies two main improvements in the ocean mean state associated with the overflow parameterization that tend to damp AMOC variability: enhanced stratification in the Labrador Sea due to the injection of dense overflow waters and a deepening of the deep western boundary current. Direct driving of deep AMOC variance by overflow transport variations is found to be a second-order effect.

A Note on the Stability Indicator of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 969-975 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Liu ◽  
Zhengyu Liu
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
System Model ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Freshwater Transport ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
Freshwater Export ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Generalized Indicator

Abstract This study examines the validity of the net freshwater transport ΔMov as a stability indicator of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in a low-resolution version of the NCAR Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3). It is shown that the sign of ΔMov indicates the monostability or bistability of the AMOC, which is based on a hypothesis that a collapsed AMOC induces a zero net freshwater transport. In CCSM3, this hypothesis is satisfied in that the collapsed AMOC, with a nonzero strength, induces a zero net freshwater transport ΔMov across the Atlantic basin by generating equivalent freshwater export MovS and freshwater import MovN at the southern and northern boundaries, respectively. Because of the satisfaction of the hypothesis, ΔMov is consistent with a generalized indicator L for a slowly evolving AMOC, both of which correctly monitor the AMOC stability.

scholarly journals Exploring Mechanisms of Variability and Predictability of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in Two Coupled Climate Models

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (12) ◽  
pp. 4067-4080 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ross Tulloch ◽  
John Marshall
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Center Frequency ◽  
Driving Mechanism ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Western Margin ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
Key Variables ◽  
Q Factors

Abstract Multidecadal variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) of the ocean is diagnosed in the NCAR Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3), and the GFDL Coupled Model (CM2.1). Common diagnostic approaches are applied to draw out similarities and differences between the two models. An index of AMOC variability is defined, and the manner in which key variables covary with it is determined. In both models the following is found. (i) AMOC variability is associated with upper-ocean (top 1 km) density anomalies (dominated by temperature) on the western margin of the basin in the region of the Mann eddy with a period of about 20 years. These anomalies modulate the trajectory and strength of the North Atlantic Current. The importance of the western margin is a direct consequence of the thermal wind relation and is independent of the mechanisms that create those density anomalies. (ii) Density anomalies in this key region are part of a larger-scale pattern that propagates around the subpolar gyre and acts as a “pacemaker” of AMOC variability. (iii) The observed variability is consistent with the primary driving mechanism being stochastic wind curl forcing, with Labrador Sea convection playing a secondary role. Also, “toy models” of delayed oscillator form are fitted to power spectra of key variables and are used to infer “quality factors” (Q-factors), which characterize the bandwidth relative to the center frequency and hence AMOC predictability horizons. The two models studied here have Q-factors of around 2, suggesting that prediction is possible out to about two cycles, which is likely larger than the real AMOC.

On the Relationship between the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and the Surface-Forced Overturning Streamfunction

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (19) ◽  
pp. 4989-5002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeremy P. Grist ◽  
Robert Marsh ◽  
Simon A. Josey
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Surface Flux ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Transformation Theory ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
The North ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract The influence of surface thermohaline forcing on the variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) at mid–high latitudes is investigated using output from three Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) coupled climate models. The method employed is an extension of the surface-forced streamfunction approach, based on water mass transformation theory, used in an earlier study by Marsh (2000). The maximum value of the MOC at 48°N is found to have a significant lagged relationship with the maximum surface-forced streamfunction in the region north of 48°N with a surface density greater than σ0 = 27.5 kg m−3. This correlation peaks when the index of the surface-forced streamfunction leads the MOC by 2–4 yr, depending on the coupled model considered. A method for estimating the MOC variability solely from the surface forcing fields is developed and found to be in good agreement with the actual model MOC variability in all three of the models considered when a past averaging window of 10 yr is employed. This method is then applied with NCEP–NCAR reanalysis surface flux fields for the period 1949–2007 to reconstruct MOC strength over 1958–2007. The reconstructed MOC shows considerable multidecadal variability but no discernible trend over the modern observational era.

Low frequency variability and sensitivity of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in selected IPCC climate models

2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 341-350 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrey Gritsun
Keyword(s):  
Climate Models ◽  
Thermohaline Circulation ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Low Frequency Variability ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
Analysis Of Stability

Abstract The structure of main modes of the decadal and multidecadal variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is analyzed for the climate models INM-CM5 (INM RAS), CCSM4 (NCAR), MPI-LR and MPI-MR (MPI). It is shown that oscillations with characteristic periods of 25–35 and 50–70 years are recognized in the models, and the corresponding spatial structures are variations of the intensity and position of the AMOC. Relations connecting changes of thermohaline circulation with external impacts on the system are constructed for the above models. The analysis of stability of calculations relative to the length of data series used for calculations is performed. The optimal impacts leading to the greatest response of the AMOC and influence functions causing its response along the leading modes of low-frequency variability are constructed. The optimal impacts have the form of density anomalies localized in the North Atlantic, and the structures of the corresponding responses are dominated by leading low-frequency modes of variability. The structure of optimal impacts varies greatly from model to model.

scholarly journals Locally and Remotely Forced Subtropical AMOC Variability: A Matter of Time Scales

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (12) ◽  
pp. 5155-5172
Author(s):  
Quentin Jamet ◽  
William K. Dewar ◽  
Nicolas Wienders ◽  
Bruno Deremble ◽  
Sally Close ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Scales ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Open Boundary ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Decadal Scale ◽  
Meridional Overturning

AbstractMechanisms driving the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variability at low frequency are of central interest for accurate climate predictions. Although the subpolar gyre region has been identified as a preferred place for generating climate time-scale signals, their southward propagation remains under consideration, complicating the interpretation of the observed time series provided by the Rapid Climate Change–Meridional Overturning Circulation and Heatflux Array–Western Boundary Time Series (RAPID–MOCHA–WBTS) program. In this study, we aim at disentangling the respective contribution of the local atmospheric forcing from signals of remote origin for the subtropical low-frequency AMOC variability. We analyze for this a set of four ensembles of a regional (20°S–55°N), eddy-resolving (1/12°) North Atlantic oceanic configuration, where surface forcing and open boundary conditions are alternatively permuted from fully varying (realistic) to yearly repeating signals. Their analysis reveals the predominance of local, atmospherically forced signal at interannual time scales (2–10 years), whereas signals imposed by the boundaries are responsible for the decadal (10–30 years) part of the spectrum. Due to this marked time-scale separation, we show that, although the intergyre region exhibits peculiarities, most of the subtropical AMOC variability can be understood as a linear superposition of these two signals. Finally, we find that the decadal-scale, boundary-forced AMOC variability has both northern and southern origins, although the former dominates over the latter, including at the site of the RAPID array (26.5°N).

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