scholarly journals Tropical Clouds and Circulation Changes during the 2006/07 and 2009/10 El Niños

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 399-413 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Su ◽  
Jonathan H. Jiang

Abstract Changes in tropical cloud vertical structure, cloud radiative forcing (CRF), and circulation exhibit distinctly different characteristics during the 2006/07 and 2009/10 El Niños, revealed by CloudSat and Cloud–Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite (CALIPSO) observations and reanalysis data. On the tropical average, the 2009/10 has a decrease of clouds from 2 to 14 km, an increase of clouds in the boundary layer, and an increase of cirrus clouds above 14 km. The tropical-mean cloud anomalies in the middle to upper troposphere (6–14 km) for the 2006/07 El Niño are nearly opposite to those in 2009/10 El Niño. The tropical averaged net CRF anomaly at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) is 0.6–0.7 W m−2 cooling (0.02–0.5 W m−2 warming) for the 2009/10 (2006/07) El Niño. The 2009/10 El Niño is associated with a strengthening of tropical circulation, increased high (low) clouds in extremely strong ascending (descending) regimes, and decreased clouds in the middle and high altitudes in a broad range of moderate circulation regimes. The strengthening of tropical circulation is primarily caused by the enhancement of the Hadley circulation. The 2006/07 El Niño is associated with a weakening of the tropical circulation, primarily caused by the reduction of the Walker circulation. The cloud anomalies in each circulation regime are approximately opposite for these two El Niños. The analysis herein suggests that both the magnitude and pattern of sea surface temperature anomalies in the two events contribute to the differences in clouds and circulation anomalies, with magnitude playing a dominant role. The contrasting behaviors of the two El Niños highlight the nonlinear response of tropical clouds and circulation to El Niño SST forcing.

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (17) ◽  
pp. 13553-13569
Author(s):  
Minkang Du ◽  
Kaiming Huang ◽  
Shaodong Zhang ◽  
Chunming Huang ◽  
Yun Gong ◽  
...  

Abstract. Using radiosonde observations at five stations in the tropical western Pacific and reanalysis data for the 15 years from 2005 to 2019, we report an extremely negative anomaly in atmospheric water vapor during the super El Niño winter of 2015/16 and compare the anomaly with that in the other three El Niño winters of the period. A strong specific humidity anomaly is concentrated below 8 km of the troposphere with a peak at 2.5–3.5 km, and a column-integrated water vapor mass anomaly over the five radiosonde sites has a large negative correlation coefficient of −0.63 with the oceanic Niño3.4 index but with a lag of about 2–3 months. In general, the tropical circulation anomaly in the El Niño winter is characterized by divergence (convergence) in the lower troposphere over the tropical western (eastern) Pacific; thus, the water vapor decreases over the tropical western Pacific as upward motion is suppressed. The variability of the Hadley circulation is quite small and has little influence on the observed water vapor anomaly. The anomaly of the Walker circulation makes a considerable contribution to the total anomaly in all four El Niño winters, especially in the 2006/07 and 2015/16 eastern Pacific (EP) El Niño events. The monsoon circulation shows a remarkable change from one event to another, and its anomaly is large in the 2009/10 and 2018/19 central Pacific (CP) El Niño winters and small in the two EP El Niño winters. The observed water vapor anomaly is caused mainly by the Walker circulation anomaly in the super EP event of 2015/16 but is caused by the monsoon circulation anomaly in the strong CP event of 2009/10. The roles of the Hadley, Walker, and monsoon circulations in the EP and CP events are confirmed by the composite EP and CP El Niños based on the reanalysis data for 41 years. Owing to the anomalous decrease in upward transport of water vapor during the El Niño winter, lower cloud amounts and more outgoing longwave radiation over the five stations are clearly presented in satellite observation. In addition, a detailed comparison of water vapor in the reanalysis, radiosonde, and satellite data shows a fine confidence level for the datasets; nevertheless, the reanalysis seems to slightly underestimate the water vapor over the five stations in the 2009/10 winter.


2012 ◽  
Vol 47 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 421-435 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuezhi Bai ◽  
Jia Wang

Atmospheric teleconnection circulation patterns associated with severe and mild ice cover over the Great Lakes are investigated using the composite analysis of lake ice data and National Center of Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis data for the period 1963–2011. The teleconnection pattern associated with the severe ice cover is the combination of a negative North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) or Arctic Oscillation (AO) and negative phase of Pacific/North America (PNA) pattern, while the pattern associated with the mild ice cover is the combination of a positive PNA (or an El Niño) and a positive phase of the NAO/AO. These two extreme ice conditions are associated with the North American ridge–trough variations. The intensified ridge–trough system produces a strong northwest-to-southeast tilted ridge and trough and increases the anomalous northwesterly wind, advecting cold, dry Arctic air to the Great Lakes. The weakened ridge–trough system produces a flattened ridge and trough, and promotes a climatological westerly wind, advecting warm, dry air from western North America to the Great Lakes. Although ice cover for all the individual lakes responds roughly linearly and symmetrically to both phases of the NAO/AO, and roughly nonlinearly and asymmetrically to El Niño and La Niña events, the overall ice cover response to individual NAO/AO or Niño3.4 index is not statistically significant. The combined NAO/AO and Niño3.4 indices can be used to reliably project severe ice cover during the simultaneous –NAO/AO and La Niña events, and mild ice cover during the simultaneous +NAO/AO and El Niño events.


2021 ◽  
pp. 5-23
Author(s):  
M. A. Kolennikova ◽  
◽  
P. N. Vargin ◽  
D. Yu. Gushchina ◽  
◽  
...  

The response of the Arctic stratosphere to El Nio is studied with account of its Eastern and Central Pacific types for the period of 1950-2005. The study is based on the regression and composite analysis using the simulations with six CMIP5 coupled climate models and reanalysis data.


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 693-725 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dimitrios Giannakis ◽  
Joanna Slawinska

The coupled atmosphere–ocean variability of the Indo-Pacific domain on seasonal to multidecadal time scales is investigated in CCSM4 and in observations through nonlinear Laplacian spectral analysis (NLSA). It is found that ENSO modes and combination modes of ENSO with the annual cycle exhibit a seasonally synchronized southward shift of equatorial surface zonal winds and thermocline adjustment consistent with terminating El Niño and La Niña events. The surface winds associated with these modes also generate teleconnections between the Pacific and Indian Oceans, leading to SST anomalies characteristic of the Indian Ocean dipole. The family of NLSA ENSO modes is used to study El Niño–La Niña asymmetries, and it is found that a group of secondary ENSO modes with more rapidly decorrelating temporal patterns contributes significantly to positively skewed SST and zonal wind statistics. Besides ENSO, fundamental and combination modes representing the tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO) are found to be consistent with mechanisms for seasonally synchronized biennial variability of the Asian–Australian monsoon and Walker circulation. On longer time scales, a multidecadal pattern referred to as the west Pacific multidecadal mode (WPMM) is established to significantly modulate ENSO and TBO activity, with periods of negative SST anomalies in the western tropical Pacific favoring stronger ENSO and TBO variability. This behavior is attributed to the fact that cold WPMM phases feature anomalous decadal westerlies in the tropical central Pacific, as well as an anomalously flat zonal thermocline profile in the equatorial Pacific. Moreover, the WPMM is found to correlate significantly with decadal precipitation over Australia.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minkang Du ◽  
Kaiming Huang ◽  
Shaodong Zhang ◽  
Chunming Huang ◽  
Yun Gong ◽  
...  

Abstract. Using radiosonde observations at five stations in the tropical western Pacific and reanalysis data for 15 years from 2005 to 2019, we report an extremely negative anomaly in atmospheric water vapor during the super El Niño winter of 2015/16, and compare the anomaly with that in the other three El Niño winters. Strong specific humidity anomaly is concentrated below 8 km of the troposphere with a peak at 2.5–3.5 km, and column integrated water vapor mass anomaly over the five radiosonde sites has a large negative correlation coefficient of −0.63 with oceanic Niño3.4 index, but with a lag of about 2–3 months. In general, the tropical circulation anomaly in the El Niño winter is characterized by divergence (convergence) in the lower troposphere over the tropical western (eastern) Pacific, thus the water vapor decreases over the tropical western Pacific as upward motion is suppressed. The variability of the Hadley circulation is quite small and has little influence on the observed water vapor anomaly. The anomaly of the Walker circulation makes a considerable contribution to the total anomaly in all the four El Niño winters, especially in the 2006/07 and 2015/16 eastern-Pacific (EP) El Niño events. The monsoon circulation shows a remarkable change from one to the other event, and its anomaly is large in the 2009/10 and 2018/19 central-Pacific (CP) El Niño winters and small in the two EP El Niño winters. The observed water vapor anomaly is caused mainly by the Walker circulation anomaly in the supper EP event of 2015/16 but by the monsoon circulation anomaly in the strong CP event of 2009/10. Owing to the anomalous decrease in upward transport of water vapor during the El Niño winter, less cloud amount and more outgoing longwave radiation over the five stations are clearly presented in satellite observation.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haosu Tang ◽  
Kaiming Hu ◽  
Gang Huang ◽  
Ya Wang ◽  
Weichen Tao

Abstract The Northwest Pacific (NWP) anomalous anticyclone (AAC) intensifies and extends northward from El Niño decaying early to mid- summer despite the dissipating sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Indian Ocean, North Atlantic and tropical NWP. The present study investigates these two intraseasonal variations of AAC from the perspective of energetics. The efficiency of dry energy conversion from background mean flow to perturbations in the El Niño decaying mid-summer is high and well explains the intensification of El Niño-induced circulation anomalies over the East Asia (EA)-NWP. The baroclinic energy conversion plays a more dominant role in this process than barotropic energy conversion. Besides, mean state changes over the EA-NWP from early to mid- summer are found in favor of the northward shift of the preferred latitude of the circulation anomalies. Thus, the El Niño induced circulation anomalies over the EA-NWP are more northward-extended in the later period. Empirical orthogonal function analyses further confirm that the northward extension of El Niño-induced circulation anomalies over the EA-NWP stems from local optimal mode change from early to mid- summer.


Author(s):  
A.S. Lubkov ◽  
◽  
E.N. Voskresenskaya ◽  
O.V. Marchukova ◽  
◽  
...  

Comparative study of El Nino classification after different authors results and approaches. The preferences of objective spatio-temporal classification which done earlier by the authors of present paper were shown for climate manifestation study over the Atlanic-Eurasian region. Using of NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data on sea level pressure in 1948-2016 the El-Nino types manifestations were estimated in Azor high, Iceland low and Siberian anticyclone. On this basis, appropriate prognostic estimates of typical climate anomalies in the Atlantic-Eurasian region are made. Next, the previous predictions of typical climate anomalies in the Atlantic-Eurasian region associated with El Nino types were done in the paper.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-54
Author(s):  
Jake W. Casselman ◽  
Andréa S. Taschetto ◽  
Daniela I.V. Domeisen

AbstractEl Niño-Southern Oscillation can influence the Tropical North Atlantic (TNA), leading to anomalous sea surface temperatures (SST) at a lag of several months. Several mechanisms have been proposed to explain this teleconnection. These mechanisms include both tropical and extratropical pathways, contributing to anomalous trade winds and static stability over the TNA region. The TNA SST response to ENSO has been suggested to be nonlinear. Yet the overall linearity of the ENSO-TNA teleconnection via the two pathways remains unclear. Here we use reanalysis data to confirm that the SST anomaly (SSTA) in the TNA is nonlinear with respect to the strength of the SST forcing in the tropical Pacific, as further increases in El Niño magnitudes cease to create further increases of the TNA SSTA. We further show that the tropical pathway is more linear than the extratropical pathway by sub-dividing the inter-basin connection into extratropical and tropical pathways. This is confirmed by a climate model participating in the CMIP5. The extratropical pathway is modulated by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the location of the SSTA in the Pacific, but this modulation insufficiently explains the nonlinearity in TNA SSTA. As neither extratropical nor tropical pathways can explain the nonlinearity, this suggests that external factors are at play. Further analysis shows that the TNA SSTA is highly influenced by the preconditioning of the tropical Atlantic SST. This preconditioning is found to be associated with the NAO through SST-tripole patterns.


2020 ◽  
Vol 55 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 3413-3429
Author(s):  
Jing Chai ◽  
Fei Liu ◽  
Chen Xing ◽  
Bin Wang ◽  
Chaochao Gao ◽  
...  

Abstract After each of the 1963 Agung, 1982 El Chichón, and 1991 Pinatubo eruptions, an El Niño was observed. The increased likelihood of an El Niño after a tropical eruption has also been found in long-term reconstructed proxy data. Through examining simulations over the last millennium by 11 different models, we show that a tropical volcano eruption can robustly excite a western-to-central equatorial Pacific (WCEP) westerly anomaly at 850 hPa in eight out of the 11 models; such a westerly anomaly is favorable for El Niño development. Under the volcanic forcing, there are significant extratropical continent surface cooling and tropical drying with negative precipitation anomalies over the South–South East Asia (SSEA), West African monsoon, and Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) regions. This common precipitation suppression response occurs in most of the models. Sensitivity experiments show that a WCEP westerly anomaly can be excited by the tropical land cooling, especially the SSEA cooling induced precipitation suppression rather than by the extratropical land surface cooling. Theoretical results show that a WCEP westerly anomaly is excited due to a Gill response to reduced precipitation over the SSEA and West African monsoon regions; and the SSEA contributes more than the West African monsoon does. The ITCZ weakening, however, excites an easterly wind anomaly. The models with more sensitive convective feedback tend to simulate an El Niño more easily, while a failed simulation of an El Niño after a robust westerly anomaly in some models calls for further studies on these models’ delayed responses to radiative forcing induced by volcano eruptions.


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