scholarly journals A Coupled Decadal Prediction of the Dynamic State of the Kuroshio Extension System

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 1751-1764 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Qiu ◽  
Shuiming Chen ◽  
Niklas Schneider ◽  
Bunmei Taguchi
Keyword(s):  
Wind Stress ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Current System ◽  
Kuroshio Extension ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Dynamic State ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Wind Stress Curl ◽  
The Kuroshio

Abstract Being the extension of a wind-driven western boundary current, the Kuroshio Extension (KE) has long been recognized as a turbulent current system rich in large-amplitude meanders and energetic pinched-off eddies. An important feature emerging from recent satellite altimeter measurements and eddy-resolving ocean model simulations is that the KE system exhibits well-defined decadal modulations between a stable and an unstable dynamic state. Here the authors show that the decadally modulating KE dynamic state can be effectively defined by the sea surface height (SSH) anomalies in the 31°–36°N, 140°–165°E region. By utilizing the SSH-based KE index from 1977 to 2012, they demonstrate that the time-varying KE dynamic state can be predicted at lead times of up to ~6 yr. This long-term predictability rests on two dynamic processes: 1) the oceanic adjustment is via baroclinic Rossby waves that carry interior wind-forced anomalies westward into the KE region and 2) the low-frequency KE variability influences the extratropical storm tracks and surface wind stress curl field across the North Pacific basin. By shifting poleward (equatorward) the storm tracks and the large-scale wind stress curl pattern during its stable (unstable) dynamic state, the KE variability induces a delayed negative feedback that can enhance the predictable SSH variance on the decadal time scales.

On the Reset of the Wind-Forced Decadal Kuroshio Extension Variability in Late 2017

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (24) ◽  
pp. 10813-10828
Author(s):  
Bo Qiu ◽  
Shuiming Chen ◽  
Niklas Schneider ◽  
Eitarou Oka ◽  
Shusaku Sugimoto
Keyword(s):  
Wind Field ◽  
Kuroshio Extension ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Stable State ◽  
Storm Tracks ◽  
Dynamic State ◽  
Large Meander ◽  
Basin Scale ◽  
Kuroshio Large Meander ◽  
The Kuroshio

AbstractDecadal modulations of the Kuroshio Extension (KE) system between a stable and an unstable dynamic state in the western North Pacific have prevailed in the past three decades. This dominance of decadal variations is controlled by the negative feedback loop involving the wind-forced KE variability and its feedback onto the overlying extratropical storm tracks and the basin-scale surface wind field. The wind-forced decadal KE modulations were disrupted in August 2017 due to the development of the Kuroshio large meander south of Japan. By forcing the inflow KE paths northward and by avoiding overriding the shallow Izu Ridge, the Kuroshio large meander was able to compel the KE to change rapidly from the wind-forced, pre-existing, unstable state to a stable state. Following the large meander occurrence in late 2017, the stabilized KE change is found to affect the overlying storm tracks and the basin-scale wind field the same way as those generated by the wind-forced KE change prior to 2017. Given the consistent atmospheric response to both the large-meander-induced and wind-forced KE variability, we expect that the KE dynamic state will resume its decadal modulation after the phase reset relating to the 2017 large meander event.

scholarly journals Processes Shaping the Frontal-Scale Time-Mean Surface Wind Convergence Patterns around the Kuroshio Extension in Winter

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-25
Author(s):  
Ryusuke Masunaga ◽  
Hisashi Nakamura ◽  
Bunmei Taguchi ◽  
Takafumi Miyasaka
Keyword(s):  
Kuroshio Extension ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Boundary Currents ◽  
Sst Front ◽  
Atmospheric Structure ◽  
Mean Convergence ◽  
Daily Scale ◽  
The Kuroshio

AbstractHigh-resolution satellite observations and numerical simulations have revealed that climatological-mean surface wind convergence and precipitation are enhanced locally around the midlatitude warm western boundary currents (WBCs) with divergence slightly to their poleward side. While steep sea surface temperature (SST) fronts along the WBCs have been believed to play an important role in shaping those frontal-scale atmospheric structures, the mechanisms and processes involved are still under debate. The present study explores specific daily scale atmospheric processes that are essential for shaping the frontal-scale atmospheric structure around the Kuroshio Extension (KE) in winter, taking advantage of a new product of global atmospheric reanalysis. Cluster analysis and case studies reveal that a zonally extending narrow band of surface wind convergence frequently emerges along the KE, which is typically observed under the surface northerlies after the passage of a developed synoptic-scale cyclone. Unlike its counterpart around the cyclone center and associated cold front, the surface convergence tends to be in moderate strength and more persistent, contributing dominantly to the distinct time-mean convergence/divergence contrast across the SST front. Accompanying ascent and convective precipitation, the band of convergence is a manifestation of a weak stationary atmospheric front anchored along the SST front or generation of a weak meso-α-scale cyclone. By reinforcing the ascent and convergence, latent heating through convective processes induced by surface convergence plays an important role in shaping the frontal-scale atmospheric structure around the KE.

scholarly journals Characterizing ERA-Interim and ERA5 surface wind biases using ASCAT

Ocean Science ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 831-852 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Belmonte Rivas ◽  
Ad Stoffelen
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Atmospheric Stability ◽  
Ocean Current ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Boundary Current ◽  
Wind Stress Curl ◽  
Meridional Winds ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Transient Wind

Abstract. This paper analyzes the differences between ERA-Interim and ERA5 surface winds fields relative to Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) ocean vector wind observations, after adjustment for the effects of atmospheric stability and density, using stress-equivalent winds (U10S) and air–sea relative motion using ocean current velocities. In terms of instantaneous root mean square (rms) wind speed agreement, ERA5 winds show a 20 % improvement relative to ERA-Interim and a performance similar to that of currently operational ECMWF forecasts. ERA5 also performs better than ERA-Interim in terms of mean and transient wind errors, wind divergence and wind stress curl biases. Yet, both ERA products show systematic errors in the partition of the wind kinetic energy into zonal and meridional, mean and transient components. ERA winds are characterized by excessive mean zonal winds (westerlies) with too-weak mean poleward flows in the midlatitudes and too-weak mean meridional winds (trades) in the tropics. ERA stress curl is too cyclonic in midlatitudes and high latitudes, with implications for Ekman upwelling estimates, and lacks detail in the representation of sea surface temperature (SST) gradient effects (along the equatorial cold tongues and Western Boundary Current (WBC) jets) and mesoscale convective airflows (along the Intertropical Convergence Zone and the warm flanks for the WBC jets). It is conjectured that large-scale mean wind biases in ERA are related to their lack of high-frequency (transient wind) variability, which should be promoting residual meridional circulations in the Ferrel and Hadley cells.

scholarly journals Sea Surface Temperature and Wind Stress Curl Variability near a Cape

2012 ◽  
Vol 42 (11) ◽  
pp. 2073-2087 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renato M. Castelao
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Current System ◽  
Empirical Orthogonal Functions ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Wind Stress Curl ◽  
California Current System

Abstract The coupling between sea surface temperature (SST), SST gradients, and wind stress curl variability near a cape off Brazil is investigated using satellite observations and several different SST high-resolution analyses. The cape is characterized by strong SST fronts year-round, associated with upwelling and advection of warm water offshore in a western boundary current. Observations reveal a strong coupling between crosswind SST gradients and wind stress curl variability, with the predominantly negative crosswind gradients leading to negative, upwelling favorable wind stress curl anomalies. The spatial correlation between empirical orthogonal functions (EOF) of those variables is ~0.6, while the correlation between the EOF amplitude time series of the wind stress curl and crosswind SST gradients is larger than 0.7. The coupling occurs during summer and winter and is strongly modulated by variations in the wind stress directional steadiness. The intensity of the coupling is weaker than around capes on the California Current system, presumably because of higher variability in wind direction off Brazil. During periods of high wind stress directional steadiness off Cape Frio, the coupling is intensified by up to 40%–75%. Wind stress curl is also correlated with SST itself, especially in the vicinity of the cape, although not as strongly as with crosswind SST gradients. The analyses suggest that the observed wind stress curl anomalies can lead to surface cooling of as much as 1°C. If the enhanced upwelling leads to further strengthening of the upwelling front, negative wind stress curl anomalies may be intensified in a positive feedback mechanism.

Revisit of the Occurrence of the Kuroshio Large Meander South of Japan

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Qiu ◽  
Shuiming Chen
Keyword(s):  
Kuroshio Extension ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Wind Forcing ◽  
Dynamic State ◽  
Large Meander ◽  
Subtropical Countercurrent ◽  
Eddy Generation ◽  
Anticyclonic Eddies ◽  
The Kuroshio

AbstractA unique characteristic by the Kuroshio off the southern coast of Japan is its bimodal path variations. In contrast to its straight path that follows coastline, the Kuroshio takes a large meander (LM) path when its axis detours southward by as much as 300 km. Since 1950, eight Kuroshio LM events took place and their occurrences appeared random. By synthesizing available in-situ/satellite observations and atmospheric reanalysis product, this study seeks to elucidate processes conducive for the LM occurrence. We find both changes in the inflow Kuroshio transport from the East China Sea and in the downstream Kuroshio Extension dynamic state are not determinant factors. Instead, intense anticyclonic eddies with transport > 20 Sv emanated from the Subtropical Countercurrent (STCC) are found to play critical roles in interacting with Kuroshio path perturbations southeast of Kyushu that generate positive relative vorticities along the coast and lead the nascent path perturbation to form a LM. Occurrence of this intense cyclonic{anticyclonic eddy interaction is favored when surface wind forcing over the STCC is anticyclonic during the positive phasing of Pacific decadal oscillations (PDOs). Such wind forcing strengthens the meridional Ekman flux convergence and enhances eddy generation by the STCC, and seven of the past eight LM events are found to be preceded by 1 ~ 2 years by the persistent anticyclonic wind forcings over the STCC. Rather than a fully random phenomenon, we posit that the LM occurrence is regulated by regional wind forcing with a positive PDO imprint.

scholarly journals Interannual to Decadal Variability of the Upper-Ocean Heat Content in the Western North Pacific and Its Relationship to Oceanic and Atmospheric Variability

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (13) ◽  
pp. 5107-5125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanna Na ◽  
Kwang-Yul Kim ◽  
Shoshiro Minobe ◽  
Yoshi N. Sasaki
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Decadal Variability ◽  
Kuroshio Extension ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Delayed Response ◽  
Atmospheric Variability ◽  
Wind Stress Curl

Three-dimensional oceanic thermal structures and variability in the western North Pacific (NP) are examined on the interannual to decadal time scales and their relationship to oceanic and atmospheric variability is discussed by analyzing observation and reanalysis data for 45 years (1964–2008), which is much longer than the satellite-altimetry period. It is shown that the meridional shift of the Kuroshio Extension (KE) and subarctic frontal zone (SAFZ) is associated with the overall cooling/warming over the KE and SAFZ region (KE–SAFZ mode). It appears, however, that changes in KE strength induce different signs of thermal anomalies to the south and north of the KE, not extended to the SAFZ (KE mode), possibly contributing to noncoherent variability between the KE and SAFZ. Thus, the KE and SAFZ are dependent on each other in the context of the KE–SAFZ mode, while the KE is independent of the SAFZ in terms of the KE mode. This intricate relationship is associated with different linkages to atmospheric variability; the KE–SAFZ mode exhibits a relatively fast response to the large-scale wind stress curl forcing in the NP, whereas the KE mode is related to a delayed response to the atmospheric forcing via jet-trapped baroclinic Rossby wave propagation. It is suggested that further knowledge of the underlying mechanisms of the two modes would contribute to understanding ocean–atmosphere feedback as well as potential predictability over the western boundary current region in the NP.

scholarly journals High-Resolution Satellite Measurements of the Atmospheric Boundary Layer Response to SST Variations along the Agulhas Return Current

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (14) ◽  
pp. 2706-2723 ◽  
Author(s):  
Larry W. O’Neill ◽  
Dudley B. Chelton ◽  
Steven K. Esbensen ◽  
Frank J. Wentz
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Atmospheric Boundary Layer ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Sensible Heat Flux ◽  
Wind Stress Curl ◽  
Return Current ◽  
Short Scale ◽  
Sst Gradient

Abstract The marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) response to sea surface temperature (SST) perturbations with wavelengths shorter than 30° longitude by 10° latitude along the Agulhas Return Current (ARC) is described from the first year of SST and cloud liquid water (CLW) measurements from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR) on the Earth Observing System (EOS) Aqua satellite and surface wind stress measurements from the QuikSCAT scatterometer. AMSR measurements of SST at a resolution of 58 km considerably improves upon a previous analysis that used the Reynolds SST analyses, which underestimate the short-scale SST gradient magnitude over the ARC region by more than a factor of 5. The AMSR SST data thus provide the first quantitatively accurate depiction of the SST-induced MABL response along the ARC. Warm (cold) SST perturbations produce positive (negative) wind stress magnitude perturbations, leading to short-scale perturbations in the wind stress curl and divergence fields that are linearly related to the crosswind and downwind components of the SST gradient, respectively. The magnitudes of the curl and divergence responses vary seasonally and spatially with a response nearly twice as strong during the winter than during the summer along a zonal band between 40° and 50°S. These seasonal variations closely correspond to seasonal and spatial variability of large-scale MABL stability and surface sensible heat flux estimated from NCEP reanalysis fields. SST-induced deepening of the MABL over warm water is evident in AMSR measurements of CLW. Typical annual mean differences in cloud thickness between cold and warm SST perturbations are estimated to be about 300 m.

scholarly journals Test and evaluation of a simple parameterization to enhance air-sea coupling in a global coupled model

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fanghua Xu 1
Keyword(s):  
Wind Stress ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Current System ◽  
Surface Wind ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Surface Wind Stress ◽  
Gyre Circulation

A simple temperature-dependent wind stress scheme is implemented in National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Earth System Model (CESM), aiming to enhance positive wind stress and sea surface temperature (SST) correlation in SST-frontal regions. A series of three-year coupled experiments are conducted to determine a proper coupling coefficient for the scheme based on the agreement of surface wind stress and SST at oceanic mesoscale between model simulations and observations. Afterwards, 80-year simulations with/without the scheme are conducted to explore its effects on simulated ocean states and variability. The results show that the new scheme indeed improves the positive correlation between SST and wind stress magnitude near the large oceanic fronts. With more realistic surface heat flux and wind stress, the global SST biases are reduced. The global ocean circulation represented by barotropic stream function exhibits a weakened gyre circulation close to the western boundary separation, in agreement with previous studies. The simulation of equatorial Pacific current system is improved as well. The overestimated El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) magnitude in original CESM is reduced by ~30% after using the new scheme with an improved period.

scholarly journals Kuroshio Extension Variability and Forcing of the Pacific Decadal Oscillations: Responses and Potential Feedback

2003 ◽  
Vol 33 (12) ◽  
pp. 2465-2482 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Qiu
Keyword(s):  
Pacific Ocean ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
North Pacific Ocean ◽  
Kuroshio Extension ◽  
Atmospheric Forcing ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Wind Stress Curl ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Kuroshio

Abstract A forcing mechanism is sought for the large-scale circulation changes in the Kuroshio Extension region of the western North Pacific Ocean as inferred by TOPEX/Poseidon sea surface height (SSH) data. The low-frequency signal of the Kuroshio Extension over the last decade was characterized by a modulation in its zonal mean flow intensity: the mean Kuroshio Extension jet weakened progressively from 1993 to 1996 and this trend reversed after 1997. The ability to simulate the major trends in the observed SSH signals with linear vorticity dynamics leads the authors to conclude that the modulation in the zonal mean jet was remotely forced by wind stress curl anomalies in the eastern North Pacific Ocean related to the Pacific decadal oscillations (PDOs). To be specific, the weakening (strengthening) trend in 1993–96 (1997–2001) was caused by westward expansions of negative (positive) SSH anomalies south of the Kuroshio Extension and positive (negative) SSH anomalies north of the Kuroshio Extension. Emergence of oppositely signed SSH anomalies on the two sides of the Kuroshio Extension jet is due to the different propagating speeds of the baroclinic Rossby waves, which carry the wind-induced SSH anomalies generated in the eastern North Pacific at different phases of the PDOs. Hindcasting the Kuroshio Extension jet strength over the last 45 years reveals that the jet modulation has a dominant timescale of ∼12 yr. Given the location of the Kuroshio Extension jet relative to the maximum atmospheric forcing, it is found that this dominant timescale is consistent with the preferred timescale under a stochastic white-noise atmospheric forcing. It is hypothesized that this connection between the Kuroshio Extension strength and the latitudinally dependent baroclinic adjustment contributes to an increase in variance and persistence of the North Pacific midlatitude coupled system on the decadal timescale.

scholarly journals Intrinsic low-frequency variability and predictability of the Kuroshio Current and of its extension

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Pierini ◽  
Henk A. Dijkstra ◽  
Mu Mu
Keyword(s):  
Particle Filtering ◽  
Current System ◽  
Kuroshio Extension ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Kuroshio Current ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Boundary Current ◽  
Model Studies ◽  
Low Frequency Variability ◽  
The Kuroshio

Investigations of the intrinsic low-frequency variability and predictability of the Kuroshio Current and of its extension jet (the Kuroshio Extension, KE) are reviewed. The Kuroshio and KE in the North Pacific constitute a western boundary current system of great relevance from climatological and ecological viewpoints. Both the Kuroshio south of Japan and the KE display remarkable changes of bimodal character on interannual time scales that are believed to be intrinsic, i.e., basically generated by nonlinear oceanic mechanisms rather than by direct atmospheric forcing. Model studies of the Kuroshio and KE with climatological forcing are thus reviewed. Moreover, as these changes are chaotic, their predictability requires peculiar mathematical approaches: theoretical results concerning this important issue are therefore reviewed as well. Model studies aimed at determining the optimal precursors and optimally growing initial errors for the Kuroshio are described. Techniques based on Lyapunov exponents (including their Lagrangian extension) and on data assimilation techniques (namely, sequential importance sampling using a particle-filtering approach) are reviewed for the KE. The key problem of how to identify the areas where targeted observations can improve the forecast is also addressed. The role of wind forcing in triggering the KE oscillations is finally considered.

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