scholarly journals Optimizing the Definition of a Sudden Stratospheric Warming

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 2337-2344 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy H. Butler ◽  
Edwin P. Gerber
Keyword(s):  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Systematic Analysis ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Stratospheric Temperature ◽  
Stratospheric Wind ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Access To Data ◽  
The Continuum

Various criteria exist for determining the occurrence of a major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW), but the most common is based on the reversal of the climatological westerly zonal-mean zonal winds at 60° latitude and 10 hPa in the winter stratosphere. This definition was established at a time when observations of the stratosphere were sparse. Given greater access to data in the satellite era, a systematic analysis of the optimal parameters of latitude, altitude, and threshold for the wind reversal is now possible. Here, the frequency of SSWs, the strength of the wave forcing associated with the events, changes in stratospheric temperature and zonal winds, and surface impacts are examined as a function of the stratospheric wind reversal parameters. The results provide a methodical assessment of how to best define a standard metric for major SSWs. While the continuum nature of stratospheric variability makes it difficult to identify a decisively optimal threshold, there is a relatively narrow envelope of thresholds that work well—and the original focus at 60° latitude and 10 hPa lies within this window.

Effect of Semidiurnal Lunar Tides Modulated by Quasi-2-Day Wave on Equatorial Electrojet during Three Sudden Stratospheric Warming events

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaxian Li ◽  
Gang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Lower Thermosphere ◽  
Equatorial Electrojet ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Wave Characteristics ◽  
Lunar Tides ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Mesosphere And Lower Thermosphere ◽  
Good Agreement

<p>We present an analysis of the perturbations and wave characteristics in equatorial electrojet (EEJ) and equatorial zonal winds in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere region during three sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events, based on the wind observations by two meteor radars in Indonesia and the geomagnetic field observations in India. During three SSWs, the shifting semidiurnal perturbations are consistently observed in the EEJ and accompanied with strong 2-day periodic perturbations simultaneously. The semidiurnal lunar (L2) tidal amplitudes in the EEJ and zonal winds show the prominent enhancements during the episodes of EEJ perturbations. The time-period spectra of the L2 tidal amplitudes in both the EEJ and zonal winds present the obvious quasi-2-day wave (QTDW) amplification with good agreement during these periods. Our results firstly reveal the important contributions of QTDW to EEJ perturbations during SSWs and the semidiurnal lunar tides modulated by QTDW serve as the main forcing agent therein</p>

scholarly journals Strengthening of the Tropopause Inversion Layer during the 2009 Sudden Stratospheric Warming: A MERRA-2 Study

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (5) ◽  
pp. 1871-1887 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krzysztof Wargan ◽  
Lawrence Coy
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation Model ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Inversion Layer ◽  
Vertical Component ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Residual Circulation ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Wave Forcing

Abstract The behavior of the tropopause inversion layer (TIL) during the 2009 sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) is analyzed using NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), and short-term simulations with the MERRA-2 general circulation model. Consistent with previous studies, it is found that static stability in a shallow layer above the polar tropopause sharply increases following the SSW, leading to a strengthening of the high-latitude TIL. Simultaneously, the height of the thermal tropopause decreases by around 1 km. Similar behavior is also detected during other major SSW events between the years 2004 and 2013. Using an ensemble of general circulation model forecasts initialized from MERRA-2, it is demonstrated that the primary cause of the strengthening of the TIL is an increased convergence of the vertical component of the stratospheric residual circulation in response to an SSW-induced acceleration of the mean downward motion between 75° and 90°N. In addition, ~6% of the strengthening in 2009 is attributed to an enhanced anticyclonic circulation at the tropopause. A preliminary analysis indicates that during other recent SSW events there was a significant increase in the convergence of the vertical residual wind velocity throughout the middle and lower stratosphere. The static stability increase simulated by the model during the 2009 SSW is 60%–80% of that seen in MERRA-2. The underestimate is traced back to a tendency for the forecasts to underestimate the resolved planetary wave forcing on the stratosphere compared to the reanalysis.

scholarly journals The sudden stratospheric warming of the Arctic winter 2009/2010: comparison to other recent warm winters

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 7243-7271 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Kuttippurath ◽  
G. Nikulin
Keyword(s):  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Mean Amplitude ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Ozone Loss ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
The Past ◽  
Large Vortex ◽  
A Minor

Abstract. The Arctic winter 2009/10 was moderately cold in December. A minor warming occurred around mid-December due to a wave 2 amplification split the lower stratospheric vortex into two lobes. The vortices merged again and formed a relatively large vortex in a few days. The temperatures began to rise by mid-January and triggered a major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) by the reversal of westerlies in late (24–26) January, driven by a planetary wave 1 with a peak amplitude of about 100 m2 s−2 at 60° N/10 hPa. The momentum flux associated with this warming showed the largest value in the recent winters, about 450 m2 s−2 at 60° N/10 hPa. The associated vortex split confined to altitudes below 10 hPa and hence, the major warming (MW) was a vortex displacement event. Large amounts of Eliassen-Palm (EP) and wave 2 EP fluxes (3.9 ×105 kg s−2) are found shortly before the MW event at 100 hPa over 45–75° N, suggesting a tropospheric preconditioning of the MW event. We observe an increase in SSWs in the Arctic in recent years, as there were 6 MWs in 6 out of the 7 winters of 2003/04–2009/10, which confirms the conclusions of previous studies on the SSWs in winters prior to 2003/04. Each MW event was unique as far as its evolution and related polar processes were concerned. As compared to the MWs in the recent Arctic winters, the strongest MW was observed in 2008/09 and was initiated by a wave 2 event. A detailed diagnosis of ozone loss during the past fifteen years shows that the loss is inversely proportional to the intensity and timing of SSWs in each winter, where early MWs lead to minimal loss. The ozone loss shows a good correlation with the zonal mean amplitude of zonal winds in January over 60–90° N, suggesting a proxy for MWs in the Arctic winters.

scholarly journals The Role of Eddy-Eddy Interactions in Sudden Stratospheric Warming Formation

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Anders Lindgren ◽  
Aditi Sheshadri
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Wave Number ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Wave Numbers ◽  
Tropospheric Heating ◽  
Wave Flux

Abstract. The effects of eddy-eddy interactions on sudden stratospheric warming formation are investigated using an idealized atmospheric general circulation model, in which tropospheric heating perturbations of zonal wave numbers 1 and 2 are used to produce planetary scale wave activity. Eddy-eddy interactions are removed at different vertical extents of the atmosphere in order to examine the sensitivity of stratospheric circulation to local changes in eddy-eddy interactions. We show that the effects of eddy-eddy interactions on sudden warming formation, including sudden warming frequencies, are strongly dependent on the wave number of the tropospheric forcing and the vertical levels where eddy-eddy interactions are removed. Significant changes in sudden warming frequencies are evident when eddy-eddy interactions are removed even when the lower stratospheric wave forcing does not change, highlighting the fact that the upper stratosphere is not a passive recipient of wave forcing from below. We find that while eddy-eddy interactions are required in the troposphere and lower stratosphere to produce displacements when wave number 2 heating is used, both splits and displacements can be produced without eddy-eddy interactions in the troposphere and lower stratosphere when the model is forced by wave number 1 heating. We suggest that the relative strengths of wave numbers 1 and 2 vertical wave flux entering the stratosphere largely determine the split and displacement ratios when wave number 2 forcing is used, but not wave number 1.

scholarly journals Hindcasting the January 2009 Arctic Sudden Stratospheric Warming and Its Influence on the Arctic Oscillation with Unified Parameterization of Orographic Drag in NOGAPS. Part I: Extended-Range Stand-Alone Forecast

2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 1628-1644 ◽  
Author(s):  
Young-Joon Kim ◽  
Maria Flatau
Keyword(s):  
Arctic Oscillation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Stratospheric Temperature ◽  
Extended Range ◽  
Tropospheric Circulation ◽  
The Arctic Oscillation ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Orographic Drag

Abstract A very strong Arctic major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event occurred in late January 2009. The stratospheric temperature climbed abruptly and the zonal winds reversed direction, completely splitting the polar stratospheric vortex. A hindcast of this event is attempted by using the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS), which includes the full stratosphere with its top at around 65 km. As Part I of this study, extended-range (3 week) forecast experiments are performed using NOGAPS without the aid of data assimilation. A unified parameterization of orographic drag is designed by combining two parameterization schemes; one by Webster et al., and the other by Kim and Arakawa and Kim and Doyle. With the new unified orographic drag scheme implemented, NOGAPS is able to reproduce the salient features of this Arctic SSW event owing to enhanced planetary wave activity induced by more comprehensive subgrid-scale orographic drag processes. The impact of the SSW on the tropospheric circulation is also investigated in view of the Arctic Oscillation (AO) index, which calculated using 1000-hPa geopotential height. The NOGAPS with upgraded orographic drag physics better simulates the trend of the AO index as verified by the Met Office analysis, demonstrating its improved stratosphere–troposphere coupling. It is argued that the new model is more suitable for forecasting SSW events in the future and can serve as a tool for studying various stratospheric phenomena.

scholarly journals Coupling in the middle atmosphere related to the 2013 major sudden stratospheric warming

2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 309-319 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. de Wit ◽  
R. E. Hibbins ◽  
P. J. Espy ◽  
E. A. Hennum
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Global Perspective ◽  
Coupling Mechanism ◽  
Temperature Structure ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
High Northern Latitude ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Summer Hemisphere

Abstract. The previously reported observation of anomalous eastward gravity wave forcing at mesopause heights around the onset of the January 2013 major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) over Trondheim, Norway (63° N, 10° E), is placed in a global perspective using Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) temperature observations from the Aura satellite. It is shown that this anomalous forcing results in a clear cooling over Trondheim about 10 km below mesopause heights. Conversely, near the mesopause itself, where the gravity wave forcing was measured, observations with meteor radar, OH airglow and MLS show no distinct cooling. Polar cap zonal mean temperatures show a similar vertical profile. Longitudinal variability in the high northern-latitude mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) is characterized by a quasi-stationary wave-1 structure, which reverses phase at altitudes below ~ 0.1 hPa. This wave-1 develops prior to the SSW onset, and starts to propagate westward at the SSW onset. The latitudinal pole-to-pole temperature structure associated with the major SSW shows a warming (cooling) in the winter stratosphere (mesosphere) which extends to about 40° N. In the stratosphere, a cooling extending over the equator and far into the summer hemisphere is observed, whereas in the mesosphere an equatorial warming is noted. In the Southern Hemisphere mesosphere, a warm anomaly overlaying a cold anomaly is present, which is shown to propagate downward in time. This observed structure is in accordance with the temperature perturbations predicted by the proposed interhemispheric coupling mechanism for cases of increased winter stratospheric planetary wave activity, of which major SSWs are an extreme case. These results provide observational evidence for the interhemispheric coupling mechanism, and for the wave-mean flow interaction believed to be responsible for the establishment of the anomalies in the summer hemisphere.

scholarly journals A Continuum of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings

2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (2) ◽  
pp. 531-540 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Coughlin ◽  
L. J. Gray
Keyword(s):  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Cluster Technique ◽  
Annular Mode ◽  
Northern Annular Mode ◽  
Zonal Winds ◽  
Warm State

Abstract The k-means cluster technique is used to examine 43 yr of daily winter Northern Hemisphere (NH) polar stratospheric data from the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40). The results show that the NH winter stratosphere exists in two natural well-separated states. In total, 10% of the analyzed days exhibit a warm disturbed state that is typical of sudden stratospheric warming events. The remaining 90% of the days are in a state typical of a colder undisturbed vortex. These states are determined objectively, with no preconceived notion of the groups. The two stratospheric states are described and compared with alternative indicators of the polar winter flow, such as the northern annular mode. It is shown that the zonally averaged zonal winds in the polar upper stratosphere at ∼7 hPa can best distinguish between the two states, using a threshold value of ∼4 m s−1, which is remarkably close to the standard WMO criterion for major warming events. The analysis also determines that there are no further divisions within the warm state, indicating that there is no well-designated threshold between major and minor warmings, nor between split and displaced vortex events. These different manifestations are simply members of a continuum of warming events.

scholarly journals Observations of gravity wave forcing of the mesopause region during the January 2013 major Sudden Stratospheric Warming

2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (13) ◽  
pp. 4745-4752 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. J. Wit ◽  
R. E. Hibbins ◽  
P. J. Espy ◽  
Y. J. Orsolini ◽  
V. Limpasuvan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Mesopause Region ◽  
Wave Forcing

scholarly journals The role of wave–wave interactions in sudden stratospheric warming formation

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 93-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik A. Lindgren ◽  
Aditi Sheshadri
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Wave Number ◽  
Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Sudden Stratospheric Warming ◽  
Wave Interactions ◽  
Wave Forcing ◽  
Tropospheric Heating ◽  
Wave Flux

Abstract. The effects of wave–wave interactions on sudden stratospheric warming formation are investigated using an idealized atmospheric general circulation model, in which tropospheric heating perturbations of zonal wave numbers 1 and 2 are used to produce planetary-scale wave activity. Zonal wave–wave interactions are removed at different vertical extents of the atmosphere in order to examine the sensitivity of stratospheric circulation to local changes in wave–wave interactions. We show that the effects of wave–wave interactions on sudden warming formation, including sudden warming frequencies, are strongly dependent on the wave number of the tropospheric forcing and the vertical levels where wave–wave interactions are removed. Significant changes in sudden warming frequencies are evident when wave–wave interactions are removed even when the lower-stratospheric wave forcing does not change, highlighting the fact that the upper stratosphere is not a passive recipient of wave forcing from below. We find that while wave–wave interactions are required in the troposphere and lower stratosphere to produce displacements when wave number 2 heating is used, both splits and displacements can be produced without wave–wave interactions in the troposphere and lower stratosphere when the model is forced by wave number 1 heating. We suggest that the relative strengths of wave number 1 and 2 vertical wave flux entering the stratosphere largely determine the split and displacement ratios when wave number 2 forcing is used but not wave number 1.

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