Statistical Relationships Between Two Types of Heavy Rainfall and Low-Level Jets in South China

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-53
Author(s):  
Xiaoqing Li ◽  
Yu Du
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Northern South China Sea ◽  
Early Morning ◽  
Land Breeze ◽  
Beibu Gulf ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Warm Sector ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
Statistical Relationships

AbstractTwo types of heavy rainfall, namely warm-sector and frontal heavy rainfall, coexist in South China during the pre-summer rainy season and manifest as varying mechanisms and features. They both exhibit close relationships with two types of low-level jets (LLJs): the boundary layer jet (BLJ) and synoptic-system-related low-level jet (SLLJ), but in different ways. The motivation of the present study is to elucidate the statistical relations between two types of heavy rainfall and LLJs over South China using TRMM rainfall data and ERA5 reanalysis. Generally, warm-sector heavy rainfall mainly occurs over coastal areas and during the early morning, which is primarily caused by the interaction between the nocturnal BLJ and land breeze. In contrast, frontal heavy rainfall is mostly concentrated in inland regions and modulated by distinct diurnal forcings at different locations. Statistical analysis indicates that 76% (62%) of the warm-sector (frontal) heavy rainfall events are associated with LLJs. In the presence of heavy rainfall, low-level winds are often strengthened over Beibu Gulf, northern South China Sea, and the south side of fronts, corresponding to two branches of southerly BLJs at ~950 hPa over the ocean and the southwesterly SLLJs at ~850–700 hPa on land, respectively. Furthermore, BLJs are shown to be linked to both types of heavy rainfall and with the most frequent occurrences of rainfall in their exit region, whereas SLLJs are more closely associated with frontal heavy rainfall. The left side (entrance) of the SLLJ axis is favorable for frontal (warm-sector) heavy rainfall production. The regional rainfall distributions are affected by the structures and locations of LLJs.

scholarly journals A 7-Year Climatology of Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfall over South China during the Pre-Summer Months

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 914
Author(s):  
Tao Chen ◽  
Da-Lin Zhang
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Convective Available Potential Energy ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Atmospheric Parameter ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Warm Sector

In view of the limited predictability of heavy rainfall (HR) events and the limited understanding of the physical mechanisms governing the initiation and organization of the associated mesoscale convective systems (MCSs), a composite analysis of 58 HR events over the warm sector (i.e., far ahead of the surface cold front), referred to as WSHR events, over South China during the months of April to June 2008~2014 is performed in terms of precipitation, large-scale circulations, pre-storm environmental conditions, and MCS types. Results show that the large-scale circulations of the WSHR events can be categorized into pre-frontal, southwesterly warm and moist ascending airflow, and low-level vortex types, with higher frequency occurrences of the former two types. Their pre-storm environments are characterized by a deep moist layer with >50 mm column-integrated precipitable water, high convective available potential energy with the equivalent potential temperature of ≥340 K at 850 hPa, weak vertical wind shear below 400 hPa, and a low-level jet near 925 hPa with weak warm advection, based on atmospheric parameter composite. Three classes of the corresponding MCSs, exhibiting peak convective activity in the afternoon and the early morning hours, can be identified as linear-shaped, a leading convective line adjoined with trailing stratiform rainfall, and comma-shaped, respectively. It is found that many linear-shaped MCSs in coastal regions are triggered by local topography, enhanced by sea breezes, whereas the latter two classes of MCSs experience isentropic lifting in the southwesterly warm and moist flows. They all develop in large-scale environments with favorable quasi-geostrophic forcing, albeit weak. Conceptual models are finally developed to facilitate our understanding and prediction of the WSHR events over South China.

scholarly journals Heavy Rainfall Associated with Double Low-Level Jets over Southern China. Part II: Convection Initiation

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (2) ◽  
pp. 543-565 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Du ◽  
Guixing Chen
Keyword(s):  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Mesoscale Model ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Northern South China Sea ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
The South ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
Convection Initiation

Abstract Heavy rainfall that occurred at the south coast of China on 10–11 May 2014 was associated with a synoptic-system-related low-level jet (SLLJ) and a boundary layer jet (BLJ). To clarify the role of the double low-level jets in convection initiation (CI), we perform convective-permitting simulations using a nonhydrostatic mesoscale model. The simulations reproduce the occurrence location and mesoscale evolution of new convective cells as well as their small-scale wavelike structures at the elevated layers, which are generally consistent with radar observations despite some differences in their orientation. The nighttime BLJ over the northern South China Sea strengthens the convergence at ~950 hPa near the coast where the BLJ’s northern terminus reaches the coastal terrain. Meanwhile, the SLLJ to the south of the inland cold front provides divergence at ~700 hPa near the SLLJ’s entrance region. Such low-level convergence and midlevel divergence collectively produce strong mesoscale lifting for CI at the coast. In addition to the enhanced mesoscale lifting, the double low-level jets also provide favorable conditions for the superimposed small-scale disturbances that can serve as effective moistening mechanisms of the lower troposphere during CI. In a sensitivity experiment with coastal terrain removed, CI still occurs near the coast but is delayed and weaker compared to the control run. This latter experiment suggests that double low-level jets and their coupling indeed exert key effects on CI, while the BLJ colliding with terrain may enhance coastal convergence for amplifying CI. These findings provide new insights into the occurrence of coastal heavy rainfall in the warm sector far ahead of the fronts.

The Crucial Role of Synoptic Pattern in Determining the Spatial Distribution and Diurnal Cycle of Heavy Rainfall over the South China Coast

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-47
Author(s):  
Chenli Wang ◽  
Kun Zhao ◽  
Anning Huang ◽  
Xingchao Chen ◽  
Xiaona Rao
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Early Morning ◽  
The South ◽  
Synoptic Patterns ◽  
Low Level ◽  
South China Coast ◽  
China Coast

AbstractSouth China coast suffers frequent heavy rainfall every warm-season. Based on the objective classification method of principle components analysis, the key role of synoptic pattern in determining the heavy rainfall processes occurred over the South China coast in warm season during 2008-2018 is examined in this study. We found heavy rainfall occurs most frequently under three typical synoptic patterns (P1-P3 hereafter) characterized by strong low-level onshore winds. P1 and P3 are featured by a prevailing southwesterly monsoonal flow in the lower troposphere, with heavy rainfall frequently occurring over the inland windward region in the afternoon associated with the orographic lifting and solar heating. The onshore wind of P3 is stronger than P1 as the western Pacific subtropical high extends more westward to 122°E, which induces stronger low-level convergence along the coastline than P1 when the ageostrophic wind veers from offshore to onshore direction in the early morning. Hence, a secondary early morning rainfall peak can be found along the coastline. P2 is characterized by a low-level vortex located over the southwest of south China. Heavy rainfall under P2 usually initiate over the western part of the coastal region in the morning and then propagate towards inland in the afternoon. Overall, the synoptic patterns strongly determine the spatial distribution and diurnal cycle of heavy rainfall over the South China coast. It is closely related to the diurnally varying low-level onshore winds rather than the low-level jets, as well as the different interactions between the low-level onshore winds and the local orography, coastline and land-sea breeze circulations under different synoptic patterns.

scholarly journals Observational Analysis of the Characteristics of the Synoptic Situation and Evolution of the Organized Warm-Sector Rainfall in the Coastal Region of South China in the Pre-Summer Rainy Season

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 722
Author(s):  
Zhaoming Liang ◽  
Robert G. Fovell ◽  
Ying Liu
Keyword(s):  
South China ◽  
Rainy Season ◽  
Yangtze River Basin ◽  
Northern South China Sea ◽  
Coastal Region ◽  
Windward Side ◽  
Synoptic Situation ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Warm Sector ◽  
Upper Level

The characteristics of the synoptic situation and the evolution of the organized warm-sector rainfalls (OWSRs) in the coastal region of South China in the pre-summer rainy season were investigated, using a period (2011–2016) of high-resolution observational data and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis Interim (ERA-Interim) data. The results show that a strong southwesterly low-level jet (LLJ) ahead of a trough over southwestern China with a marked boundary-layer jet (BLJ) over the northern South China Sea (synoptic situation SWLLJ) or a prominent, low-level anticyclone over the Yangtze River Basin (synoptic situation ACR) is present when the OWSRs occur in the coastal region of South China. The OWSRs are prone to initiate on the windward side of the coastal mountains, owing to the convergence enhanced by the colliding of the BLJ with the mountains and the coupling of double LLJs near the coast (for SWLLJ), or due to the convergence between northerly and southeasterly winds near the coastal mountains (for ACR). The OWSRs present a long extension when the LLJ axis is nearby. The translation of the LLJ itself also promotes the long extension of the OWSRs. In contrast, the OWSRs show a short extension when the LLJ axis is farther away or ACR occurs. Meanwhile, the OWSRs are directed northeastward in Guangxi Province and more eastward in Guangdong Province, probably owing to the orientation difference of the LLJ in these two provinces. The rainfall systems in the ACR situation tend to move eastward, whereas those in the SWLLJ situation are prone to move eastward when equivalently strong or much-stronger upper-level winds overlay the LLJ, but move northeastward when much weaker upper-level winds couple with the LLJ.

scholarly journals Heavy Rainfall Associated with Double Low-Level Jets over Southern China. Part I: Ensemble-Based Analysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (11) ◽  
pp. 3827-3844 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Du ◽  
Guixing Chen
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Northern Region ◽  
Maximum Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Component ◽  
Maximum Wind ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Warm Sector ◽  
Low Level Jets

Abstract Heavy rainfall occurred at both the inland frontal zone and coastal warm sector in southern China during 10–11 May 2014, which is a typical pattern in the early-summer rainy season. To clarify the key factors controlling the rainfall, we conduct an ensemble-based analysis using the operational global ensemble forecasts from ECMWF. The forecasts of frontal (warm sector) rainfall have a relatively small (large) spread and a small (large) bias of ensemble-mean amount, suggesting an obvious difference in the predictability. It is shown that double low-level jets (LLJs) in the southwesterly moist flow play a significant role in the heavy rainfall over southern China. The inland frontal rainband is closely related to the synoptic-system-related low-level jet (SLLJ) with maximum wind speed at 850–700 hPa, especially for its meridional wind component. The more intense cold front is accompanied by the stronger southwesterly SLLJ on the adjacent south side, favoring more precipitation near the front. The warm-sector heavy rainfall, a few hundred kilometers away from the front, is associated with the boundary layer jet (BLJ) at 925 hPa. The southerly BLJ occurs over the northern region of the South China Sea and reaches its maximum wind speed in the early morning. The variations of the BLJ are mainly induced by the surface low and related upper-level short-wave trough upstream. The large pressure gradient to the southeast of the surface low can accelerate the BLJ by increasing the geostrophic winds. The diurnal cycle of the low-level winds, seen in the climatology, also contributes in part to the development of the BLJ at night.

scholarly journals Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfall in Southern China and Its WRF Simulation Evaluation: A Low-Level-Jet Perspective

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (12) ◽  
pp. 4461-4480 ◽  
Author(s):  
Murong Zhang ◽  
Zhiyong Meng
Keyword(s):  
Heavy Rainfall ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Beibu Gulf ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Warm Sector ◽  
The North ◽  
Simulation Evaluation ◽  
Close Relationship

Abstract Warm-sector heavy rainfall in southern China refers to the heavy rainfall that occurs within the warm sector hundreds of kilometers south of a front or without a front during April–June, characterized by poor predictability and a close relationship with low-level jets (LLJs). Based on 45 warm-sector heavy rainfall episodes in 2013 and 2014 in southern China, this study examines their general characteristics and evaluates the performance of convection-permitting WRF Model simulations from an LLJ perspective. The results show that 64% of the warm-sector heavy rainfall episodes are associated with an LLJ (LLJ type) and 36% are not (no-LLJ type). The LLJ type is distinct from the no-LLJ type, with large rainfall accumulation along the coastal area. It is more common for LLJs to occur at both 800 and 925 hPa in the LLJ type, where there is a wide 800-hPa LLJ west of Guangdong Province and two 925-hPa LLJs over Beibu Gulf and the South China Sea (SCS). The coastal convergence associated with the terminus of the LLJ on 925 hPa is conducive to the coastal rainfall. WRF generally presents lower QPF skill in the LLJ type than in the no-LLJ type, due to the severe underestimation of coastal rainfall. The QPF skill of the LLJ type is significantly correlated with the forecast accuracy of LLJs, especially at 925 hPa. The north bias of the simulated LLJ on 925 hPa over the SCS and the associated overestimation of wind speed below ~900 hPa over the inland region weaken the coastal convergence and eventually lead to the underestimation in coastal precipitation.

scholarly journals Budgets of rotational and divergent kinetic energy in the warm-sector torrential rains over South China: a case study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shui-Xin Zhong ◽  
Wei-Guang Meng ◽  
Fu-You Tian
Keyword(s):  
Kinetic Energy ◽  
Energy Budget ◽  
South China ◽  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Warm Sector ◽  
Kinetic Energy Budget ◽  
Rotational Components ◽  
The Pearl River

AbstractThe contributions of divergent and rotational wind components to the kinetic energy budget during a record-breaking rainstorm on 7 May 2017 over South China are examined. This warm-sector extreme precipitation caused historical maximum of 382.6 mm accumulated rainfall in 3 h over the Pearl River Delta (PRD) regions in South China. Results show that there was a high low-level southerly wind-speed tongue stretching into the PRD regions from the northeast of the South China Sea (SCS) during this extreme precipitation. The velocity potential exhibited a low-value center as well as a low-level divergence-center over the SCS. The rotational components of the kinetic energy (KR)-related terms were the main contribution-terms of the kinetic energy budget. The main contribution-terms of KR and the divergent component of kinetic energy (KD) were the barotropical and baroclinic processes-related terms due to cross-contour flow and the vertical flux divergence.

scholarly journals The Moisture Sources and Transport Processes for a Sudden Rainstorm Associated with Double Low-Level Jets in the Northeast Sichuan Basin of China

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 160 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fangli Zhang ◽  
Guoping Li ◽  
Jun Yue
Keyword(s):  
South China Sea ◽  
South China ◽  
Moisture Transport ◽  
Sichuan Basin ◽  
Arabian Sea ◽  
Low Level ◽  
China Sea ◽  
Northeast Sichuan Basin ◽  
Low Level Jets ◽  
Low Level Jet

A sudden rainstorm that occurred in the northeast Sichuan Basin of China in early May 2017 was associated with a southwest low-level jet (SWLJ) and a mountainous low-level jet (MLLJ). This study investigates the impact of the double low-level jets (LLJs) on rainfall diurnal variation by using the data from ERA5 reanalysis, and explores the characteristics of water vapor transport, including the main paths and sources of moisture, by using the HYSPLIT-driven data of the ERA—interim, GDAS (Global Data Assimilation System), and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. The analysis shows that the sudden rainstorm in the mountain terrain was located at the left side of the large-scale SWLJ at 700 hPa, and at the exit region of the meso-scale MLLJ at 850 hPa. The double LLJs provide favorable moisture conditions, and the enhancement (weakening) of the LLJs is ahead of the start (end) of the rainstorm. The capacity of the LLJ at 850 hPa with respect to moisture convergence is superior to that at 700 hPa, especially when the MLLJ and the southerly LLJ at 850 hPa appear at the same time. The HYSPLIT backward trajectory model based on Lagrangian methods has favorable applicability in the event of sudden rainstorms in mountainous terrain, and there is no special path of moisture transport in this precipitation event. The main moisture sources of this process are the East China Sea–South China Sea, the Arabian Sea–Indian Peninsula, the Bay of Bengal, and the Middle East, accounting for 38%, 34%, 17% and 11% of the total moisture transport, respectively. Among them, the moisture transport in the Bay of Bengal and the South China Sea–East China Sea is mainly located in the lower troposphere, which is below 900 hPa, while the moisture transport in the Arabian Sea–Indian Peninsula and the Middle East is mainly in the middle and upper layers of the troposphere. The moisture changes of the transport trajectories are affected by the topography, especially the high mountains around the Sichuan Basin.

Oil spill recorded by skeletal δ13C of Porites corals in Weizhou Island, Beibu Gulf, Northern South China Sea

2018 ◽  
Vol 207 ◽  
pp. 338-344 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shendong Xu ◽  
Kefu Yu ◽  
Yinghui Wang ◽  
Tao Liu ◽  
Wei Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South China Sea ◽  
Oil Spill ◽  
South China ◽  
Northern South China Sea ◽  
Beibu Gulf ◽  
China Sea
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