scholarly journals A Numerical Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Moisture Feedback on Convective Precipitation

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marika Koukoula ◽  
Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos ◽  
Jonilda Kushta ◽  
Nikolaos S. Bartsotas ◽  
George Kallos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Water Content ◽  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Atmospheric Modeling ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Of the boundary conditions that affect the simulation of convective precipitation, soil moisture is one of the most important. In this study, we explore the impact of the soil moisture on convective precipitation, and factors affecting it, through an extensive numerical experiment based on four convective precipitation events that caused moderate to severe flooding in the Gard region of southern France. High-spatial-resolution (1 km) weather simulations were performed using the integrated atmospheric model Regional Atmospheric Modeling System/Integrated Community Limited Area Modeling System (RAMS/ICLAMS). The experimental framework included comparative analysis of five simulation scenarios for each event, in which we varied the magnitude and spatial distribution of the initial volumetric water content using realistic soil moisture fields with different spatial resolution. We used precipitation and surface soil moisture from radar and satellite sensors as references for the comparison of the sensitivity tests. Our results elucidate the complexity of the relationship between soil moisture and convective precipitation, showing that the control of soil water content on partitioning land surface heat fluxes has significant impacts on convective precipitation. Additionally, it is shown how different soil moisture conditions affect the modeled microphysical structure of the clouds, which translates into further changes in the magnitude and distribution of precipitation.

scholarly journals Influence of Land Cover and Soil Moisture on the Horizontal Distribution of Sensible and Latent Heat Fluxes in Southeast Kansas during IHOP_2002 and CASES-97

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 68-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Margaret A. LeMone ◽  
Fei Chen ◽  
Joseph G. Alfieri ◽  
Mukul Tewari ◽  
Bart Geerts ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Latent Heat ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Field Experiments ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Horizontal Distribution ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Green Vegetation ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Analyses of daytime fair-weather aircraft and surface-flux tower data from the May–June 2002 International H2O Project (IHOP_2002) and the April–May 1997 Cooperative Atmosphere Surface Exchange Study (CASES-97) are used to document the role of vegetation, soil moisture, and terrain in determining the horizontal variability of latent heat LE and sensible heat H along a 46-km flight track in southeast Kansas. Combining the two field experiments clearly reveals the strong influence of vegetation cover, with H maxima over sparse/dormant vegetation, and H minima over green vegetation; and, to a lesser extent, LE maxima over green vegetation, and LE minima over sparse/dormant vegetation. If the small number of cases is producing the correct trend, other effects of vegetation and the impact of soil moisture emerge through examining the slope ΔxyLE/ΔxyH for the best-fit straight line for plots of time-averaged LE as a function of time-averaged H over the area. Based on the surface energy balance, H + LE = Rnet − Gsfc, where Rnet is the net radiation and Gsfc is the flux into the soil; Rnet − Gsfc ∼ constant over the area implies an approximately −1 slope. Right after rainfall, H and LE vary too little horizontally to define a slope. After sufficient drying to produce enough horizontal variation to define a slope, a steep (∼−2) slope emerges. The slope becomes shallower and better defined with time as H and LE horizontal variability increases. Similarly, the slope becomes more negative with moister soils. In addition, the slope can change with time of day due to phase differences in H and LE. These trends are based on land surface model (LSM) runs and observations collected under nearly clear skies; the vegetation is unstressed for the days examined. LSM runs suggest terrain may also play a role, but observational support is weak.

Irrigation in JULES Land-Only Simulations over South and East Asia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Todt ◽  
Pier Luigi Vidale ◽  
Patrick C. McGuire ◽  
Omar V. Müller
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
River Flow ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Irrigated Agriculture ◽  
Irrigation Season ◽  
Irrigation Scheme ◽  
The Impact

<p>Capturing soil moisture-atmosphere feedbacks in a weather or climate model requires realistic simulation of various land surface processes. However, irrigation and other water management methods are still missing in most global climate models today, despite irrigated agriculture being the dominant land use in parts of Asia. In this study, we test the irrigation scheme available in the land model JULES (Joint UK Land Environment Simulator) by running land-only simulations over South and East Asia driven by WFDEI (WATCH Forcing Data ERA-Interim) forcing data. Irrigation in JULES is applied on a daily basis by replenishing soil moisture in the upper soil layers to field capacity, and we use a version of the irrigation scheme that extracts water for irrigation from groundwater and rivers, which physically limits the amount of irrigation that can be applied. We prescribe irrigation for C3 grasses in order to simulate the effects of agriculture, albeit retaining the simpler, widely used 5-PFT (plant functional type) configuration in JULES. Irrigation generally increases soil moisture and evapotranspiration, which results in increasing latent heat fluxes and decreasing sensible heat fluxes. Comparison with combined observational/machine-learning products for turbulent fluxes shows that while irrigation can reduce biases, other biases in JULES, unrelated to irrigation, are larger than improvements due to the inclusion of irrigation. Irrigation also affects water fluxes within the soil, e.g. runoff and drainage into the groundwater level, as well as soil moisture outside of the irrigation season. We find that the irrigation scheme, at least in the uncoupled land-atmosphere setting, can rapidly deplete groundwater to the point that river flow becomes the main source of irrigation (over the North China Plain and the Indus region) and can have the counterintuitive effect of decreasing annual average soil moisture (over the Ganges plain). Subsequently, we will explore the impact of irrigation on regional climate by conducting coupled land-atmosphere simulations.</p>

Analysis of Soil Moisture Changes in Europe during a Single Growing Season in a New ECMWF Soil Moisture Assimilation System

2008 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 116-131 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bart van den Hurk ◽  
Janneke Ettema ◽  
Pedro Viterbo
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Growing Season ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Soil Moisture Data ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Assimilation System

Abstract This study aims at stimulating the development of soil moisture data assimilation systems in a direction where they can provide both the necessary control of slow drift in operational NWP applications and support the physical insight in the performance of the land surface component. It addresses four topics concerning the systematic nature of soil moisture data assimilation experiments over Europe during the growing season of 2000 involving the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model infrastructure. In the first topic the effect of the (spinup related) bias in 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40) precipitation on the data assimilation is analyzed. From results averaged over 36 European locations, it appears that about half of the soil moisture increments in the 2000 growing season are attributable to the precipitation bias. A second topic considers a new soil moisture data assimilation system, demonstrated in a coupled single-column model (SCM) setup, where precipitation and radiation are derived from observations instead of from atmospheric model fields. For many of the considered locations in this new system, the accumulated soil moisture increments still exceed the interannual variability estimated from a multiyear offline land surface model run. A third topic examines the soil water budget in response to these systematic increments. For a number of Mediterranean locations the increments successfully increase the surface evaporation, as is expected from the fact that atmospheric moisture deficit information is the key driver of soil moisture adjustment. In many other locations, however, evaporation is constrained by the experimental SCM setup and is hardly affected by the data assimilation. Instead, a major portion of the increments eventually leave the soil as runoff. In the fourth topic observed evaporation is used to evaluate the impact of the data assimilation on the forecast quality. In most cases, the difference between the control and data assimilation runs is considerably smaller than the (positive) difference between any of the simulations and the observations.

scholarly journals The impact of snow loss and soil moisture on convective precipitation over the Rocky Mountains under climate warming

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brendan Wallace ◽  
Justin R. Minder
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Snow Cover ◽  
Rocky Mountains ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Warm Season ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Precipitation Frequency ◽  
The Impact

AbstractWarm season moist diurnal convection can be particularly sensitive to changes in land surface characteristics such as snow cover and soil moisture. Over regions of mountainous terrain, climate change is expected to reduce snow cover along the low-elevation seasonal snowpack margin. These snow reductions alter surface albedo and soil moisture content, leading to changes in surface fluxes and alterations in mesoscale orographic circulations that act to transport moisture and provide ascent. A set of convection-permitting regional climate simulations centered on the Rocky Mountains of Colorado are conducted from April through July across a period of 12 years (2002–2013). These include a reanalysis forced control run (CTR), a pseudo global warming run (PGW), and an additional altered land surface run (DSURF) used to isolate the effects of the snow albedo and soil moisture changes on orographic convection. Over the mountains, daytime hourly precipitation accumulation (0900–1800 MST) decreased in PGW by an average of 4.2% while precipitation in DSURF increased by 12.5%. On days with weak synoptic forcing, the PGW response more closely follow the DSURF response with daytime hourly increases averaging 29.7% for PGW and 28.7% for DSURF. For PGW, hourly daytime precipitation intensity increases of up to 82% overcome reductions in precipitation frequency to produce higher accumulations. DSURF shows smaller increases in intensity of up to 23% and broad increases in daytime frequency indicating that surface changes act to moderate reductions in the frequency of convective precipitation. Reduced snow cover contributes to this convective response by increasing convective instability and boundary layer moisture and decreasing lifting condensation level over the high terrain. Alterations in orographic thermal circulations contribute to this response by converging moisture over the high terrain and enhancing mesoscale ascent.

scholarly journals Data assimilation for continuous global assessment of severe conditions over terrestrial surfaces

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (9) ◽  
pp. 4291-4316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clément Albergel ◽  
Yongjun Zheng ◽  
Bertrand Bonan ◽  
Emanuel Dutra ◽  
Nemesio Rodríguez-Fernández ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Surface States ◽  
Extreme Weather ◽  
Open Loop ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Assimilation System

Abstract. LDAS-Monde is a global offline land data assimilation system (LDAS) that jointly assimilates satellite-derived observations of surface soil moisture (SSM) and leaf area index (LAI) into the ISBA (Interaction between Soil Biosphere and Atmosphere) land surface model (LSM). This study demonstrates that LDAS-Monde is able to detect, monitor and forecast the impact of extreme weather on land surface states. Firstly, LDAS-Monde is run globally at 0.25∘ spatial resolution over 2010–2018. It is forced by the state-of-the-art ERA5 reanalysis (LDAS_ERA5) from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The behaviour of the assimilation system is evaluated by comparing the analysis with the assimilated observations. Then the land surface variables (LSVs) are validated with independent satellite datasets of evapotranspiration, gross primary production, sun-induced fluorescence and snow cover. Furthermore, in situ measurements of SSM, evapotranspiration and river discharge are employed for the validation. Secondly, the global analysis is used to (i) detect regions exposed to extreme weather such as droughts and heatwave events and (ii) address specific monitoring and forecasting requirements of LSVs for those regions. This is performed by computing anomalies of the land surface states. They display strong negative values for LAI and SSM in 2018 for two regions: north-western Europe and the Murray–Darling basin in south-eastern Australia. For those regions, LDAS-Monde is forced with the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) high-resolution operational analysis (LDAS_HRES, 0.10∘ spatial resolution) over 2017–2018. Monitoring capacities are studied by comparing open-loop and analysis experiments, again against the assimilated observations. Forecasting abilities are assessed by initializing 4 and 8 d LDAS_HRES forecasts of the LSVs with the LDAS_HRES assimilation run compared to the open-loop experiment. The positive impact of initialization from an analysis in forecast mode is particularly visible for LAI that evolves at a slower pace than SSM and is more sensitive to initial conditions than to atmospheric forcing, even at an 8 d lead time. This highlights the impact of initial conditions on LSV forecasts and the value of jointly analysing soil moisture and vegetation states.

Influence of land cover on lightning and convective precipitation over the European continent

2019 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 352-364 ◽  
Author(s):  
L Rivas Soriano ◽  
JM Sánchez Llorente ◽  
A González Zamora ◽  
F de Pablo Dávila
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Bare Soil ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
General Effect ◽  
Convective Activity ◽  
European Continent ◽  
High Soil Moisture ◽  
The Impact

The impact of land cover on lightning and convective precipitation in the summertime over Europe was analysed using five-year data. Lightning data were obtained with the Optical Transient Detector (OTD) at a 0.5° × 0.5° spatial resolution and the convective precipitation data were calculated by the NCEP/DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis at a ∼1.9° × 1.9° spatial resolution. Data concerning land cover were obtained from the Global Land Cover Facility, although the original 14 categories were grouped into seven categories (water, forest, shrubland, grassland, cropland, bare ground and urban). For all latitude ranges, forested areas tend to increase convective activity during the warm period of the year, and the general effect of shrubland areas is to suppress convective activity. The behaviour of convection in relation to grasslands and croplands depends on latitude. At low latitudes both vegetation types tend to increase convection during the summer. At high latitudes, grassland and cropland areas appear to be associated with the opposite effect in relation to convection: grass suppresses and crops enhance it. Finally, bare soil tends to decrease convective activity. These results seem to be related to the impact of vegetation on soil moisture and roughness. In general, vegetation areas associated with high soil moisture contents and high values in roughness length tend to enhance convective activity.

scholarly journals Estimates of Global Surface Hydrology and Heat Fluxes from the Community Land Model (CLM4.5) with Four Atmospheric Forcing Datasets

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (9) ◽  
pp. 2493-2510 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aihui Wang ◽  
Xubin Zeng ◽  
Donglin Guo
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Atmospheric Forcing ◽  
Surface Hydrology ◽  
Community Land Model ◽  
Global Land ◽  
Ensemble Mean ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Global land surface hydrology and heat fluxes can be estimated by running a land surface model (LSM) driven by the atmospheric forcing dataset. Previous multimodel studies focused on the impact of different LSMs on model results. Here the sensitivity of the Community Land Model, version 4.5 (CLM4.5), results to the atmospheric forcing dataset is documented. Together with the model default global forcing dataset (CRU–NCEP, hereafter CRUNCEP), three newly developed, reanalysis-based, near-surface meteorological datasets (i.e., MERRA, CFSR, and ERA-Interim) with the precipitation adjusted by the Global Precipitation Climatology Project monthly product were used to drive CLM4.5. All four simulations were run at 0.5° × 0.5° grids from 1979 to 2009 with the identical initialization. The simulated monthly surface hydrology variables, fluxes, and the forcing datasets were then evaluated against various observation-based datasets (soil moisture, runoff, snow depth and water equivalent, and flux tower measurements). To partially avoid the mismatch between model gridbox values and point measurements, three approaches were taken. The model simulations based on three newly constructed forcing datasets are overall better than the simulation from CRUNCEP, in particular for soil moisture and snow quantities. The ensemble mean from the CLM4.5 simulations using the four forcing datasets is generally superior to individual simulations, and the ensemble mean latent and sensible heat fluxes over global land (60°S–90°N) are 42.8 and 40.3 W m−2, respectively. The differences in both precipitation and other atmospheric forcing variables (e.g., air temperature and downward solar radiation) contribute to the differences in simulated results. The datasets are available from the authors for further evaluation and for various applications.

Effect of Land–Atmosphere Interactions on the IHOP 24–25 May 2002 Convection Case

2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (1) ◽  
pp. 113-133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Teddy R. Holt ◽  
Dev Niyogi ◽  
Fei Chen ◽  
Kevin Manning ◽  
Margaret A. LeMone ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Air Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Weather Forecasting ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Atmospheric Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Numerical simulations are conducted using the Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) to investigate the impact of land–vegetation processes on the prediction of mesoscale convection observed on 24–25 May 2002 during the International H2O Project (IHOP_2002). The control COAMPS configuration uses the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version of the Noah land surface model (LSM) initialized using a high-resolution land surface data assimilation system (HRLDAS). Physically consistent surface fields are ensured by an 18-month spinup time for HRLDAS, and physically consistent mesoscale fields are ensured by a 2-day data assimilation spinup for COAMPS. Sensitivity simulations are performed to assess the impact of land–vegetative processes by 1) replacing the Noah LSM with a simple slab soil model (SLAB), 2) adding a photosynthesis, canopy resistance/transpiration scheme [the gas exchange/photosynthesis-based evapotranspiration model (GEM)] to the Noah LSM, and 3) replacing the HRLDAS soil moisture with the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) 40-km Eta Data Assimilation (EDAS) operational soil fields. CONTROL, EDAS, and GEM develop convection along the dryline and frontal boundaries 2–3 h after observed, with synoptic-scale forcing determining the location and timing. SLAB convection along the boundaries is further delayed, indicating that detailed surface parameterization is necessary for a realistic model forecast. EDAS soils are generally drier and warmer than HRLDAS, resulting in more extensive development of convection along the dryline than for CONTROL. The inclusion of photosynthesis-based evapotranspiration (GEM) improves predictive skill for both air temperature and moisture. Biases in soil moisture and temperature (as well as air temperature and moisture during the prefrontal period) are larger for EDAS than HRLDAS, indicating land–vegetative processes in EDAS are forced by anomalously warmer and drier conditions than observed. Of the four simulations, the errors in SLAB predictions of these quantities are generally the largest. By adding a sophisticated transpiration model, the atmospheric model is able to better respond to the more detailed representation of soil moisture and temperature. The sensitivity of the synoptically forced convection to soil and vegetative processes including transpiration indicates that detailed representation of land surface processes should be included in weather forecasting models, particularly for severe storm forecasting where local-scale information is important.

scholarly journals Land surface controls on afternoon precipitation diagnosed from observational data: uncertainties, confounding factors and the possible role of vegetation interception

2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 29137-29201 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. P. Guillod ◽  
B. Orlowsky ◽  
D. Miralles ◽  
A. J. Teuling ◽  
P. Blanken ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Forest Cover ◽  
Remote Sensing Data ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Turbulent Heat ◽  
Seasonal Forecasts ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The feedback between soil moisture and precipitation has long been a topic of interest due to its potential for improving weather and seasonal forecasts. The generally proposed mechanism assumes a control of soil moisture on precipitation via the partitioning of the surface turbulent heat fluxes, as assessed via the Evaporative Fraction, EF, i.e. the ratio of latent heat to the sum of latent and sensible heat, in particular under convective conditions. Our study investigates the poorly understood link between EF and precipitation by investigating the impact of before-noon EF on the frequency of afternoon precipitation over the contiguous US, using a statistical analysis of the relationship between multiple datasets of EF and precipitation. We analyze remote sensing data products (EF from GLEAM, Global Land Evaporation: the Amsterdam Methodology, based on satellite observations; and radar precipitation from NEXRAD, the NEXt generation weather RADar system), FLUXNET station data, and the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR). While most datasets agree on the existence of regions of positive relationship between between EF and precipitation in the Eastern and Southwestern US, observation-based estimates (GLEAM, NEXRAD and to some extent FLUXNET) also indicate a strong relationship in the Central US which is not found in NARR. Investigating these differences, we find that much of these relationships can be explained by precipitation persistence alone, with ambiguous results on the additional role of EF in causing afternoon precipitation. Regional analyses reveal contrasting mechanisms over different regions. Over the Eastern US, our analyses suggest that the apparent EF-precipitation coupling takes place on a short day-to-day time scale and is either atmospherically controlled (from precipitation persistence and potential evaporation) or driven by vegetation interception and subsequent re-evaporation (rather than soil moisture and related plant transpiration/bare soil evaporation), in line with the high forest cover and the wet regime of that region. Over the Central and Southwestern US, the impact of EF on convection triggering is additionally linked to soil moisture variations, owing to the soil moisture–limited climate regime.

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