Equity Estimation and Assessing Market Response

1993 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 437-451 ◽  
Author(s):  
Albert R. Wildt

Equity estimation has been proposed as a possibly superior technique for estimating market response functions in the presence of high predictor-variable collinearity. The relative performance of equity, ridge, and ordinary least squares (OLS) estimators is examined using simulation experiments. In part, findings are consistent with prior research and indicate that, under certain conditions, equity outperforms OLS and ridge on a number of important criteria, and equity yields coefficient estimates that assign more equal explanatory weight to correlated predictor variables than does OLS or ridge. As collinearity increases, this tendency becomes very pronounced, to the point where equity yields estimated standardized coefficients more equal in magnitude irrespective of other conditions, such as true coefficient values and model explanatory power.

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-34
Author(s):  
Eka Destiyani ◽  
Rita Rahmawati ◽  
Suparti Suparti

The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) is one of the most commonly used method to estimate linear regression parameters. If multicollinearity is exist within predictor variables especially coupled with the outliers, then regression analysis with OLS is no longer used. One method that can be used to solve a multicollinearity and outliers problems is Ridge Robust-MM Regression. Ridge Robust-MM  Regression is a modification of the Ridge Regression method based on the MM-estimator of Robust Regression. The case study in this research is AKB in Central Java 2017 influenced by population dencity, the precentage of households behaving in a clean and healthy life, the number of low-weighted baby born, the number of babies who are given exclusive breastfeeding, the number of babies that receiving a neonatal visit once, and the number of babies who get health services. The result of estimation using OLS show that there is violation of multicollinearity and also the presence of outliers. Applied ridge robust-MM regression to case study proves ridge robust regression can improve parameter estimation. Based on t test at 5% significance level most of predictor variables have significant effect to variable AKB. The influence value of predictor variables to AKB is 47.68% and MSE value is 0.01538.Keywords:  Ordinary  Least  Squares  (OLS),  Multicollinearity,  Outliers,  RidgeRegression, Robust Regression, AKB.


Author(s):  
Prem Bahadur Budhathoki ◽  
Chandra Kumar Rai

This study examined the impact of the debt ratio, total assets, and earnings growth rate on banks’ WACC. This study employed bank scope data of twenty-eight commercial banks during the single period of 2018. Altogether, there were 28 observations were made in the study. The ordinary least squares model was used to analyze the data. The results indicated that two predictor variables debt ratio and total assets significantly affected the bank’s WACC. But the predictor variable earnings growth rate did not significantly affect banks’ WACC. The results of this study could help bankers and policymakers to take effective action to reduce banks’ WACC.


1989 ◽  
Vol 19 (5) ◽  
pp. 664-673 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew J. R. Gillespie ◽  
Tiberius Cunia

Biomass tables are often constructed from cluster samples by means of ordinary least squares regression estimation procedures. These procedures assume that sample observations are uncorrelated, which ignores the intracluster correlation of cluster samples and results in underestimates of the model error. We tested alternative estimation procedures by simulation under a variety of cluster sampling methods, to determine combinations of sampling and estimation procedures that yield accurate parameter estimates and reliable estimates of error. Modified, generalized, and jack-knife least squares procedures gave accurate parameter and error estimates when sample trees were selected with equal probability. Regression models that did not include height as a predictor variable yielded biased parameter estimates when sample trees were selected with probability proportional to tree size. Models that included height did not yield biased estimates. There was no discernible gain in precision associated with sampling with probability proportional to size. Random coefficient regressions generally gave biased point estimates with poor precision, regardless of sampling method.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 24
Author(s):  
Pablo Solórzano-Taborga ◽  
Ana Belén Alonso-Conde ◽  
Javier Rojo-Suárez

Recent literature shows that market anomalies have significantly diminished, while research on market factors has largely improved the performance of asset pricing models. In this paper we study the extent to which data envelopment analysis (DEA) techniques can help improve the performance of multifactor models. Specifically, we test the explanatory power of the Fama and French three-factor model, combined with an additional factor based on DEA, on a sample of 2101 European equity funds, for the period from 2001 to 2016. Accordingly, we first form the fund portfolios that constitute our test assets and create the efficiency factor. Secondly, we estimate the prices of risk tied to the four factors using ordinary least squares (OLS) on a two-stage cross-sectional regression. Finally, we use the R-squared statistic estimated by generalized least squares (GLS), as well as the Gibbons Ross and Shanken test and the J-test for overidentifying restrictions in order to study the performance of the model, including and omitting the efficiency factor. The results show that the efficiency factor improves the performance of the model and reduces the pricing errors of the assets under consideration, which allows us to conclude that the efficiency index may be used as a factor in asset pricing models.


1984 ◽  
Vol 54 (2) ◽  
pp. 559-566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rashmi Garg

The ordinary least squares solution is generally applied to multiple regression problems in social sciences. When the intercorrelations among predictor variables are close to one, the estimates of regression coefficients obtained from ordinary least squares are very unstable. This situation is often referred to as near multicollinearity. When there is a problem of near mulricollinearity, the ridge regression provides an alternative to the ordinary least squares method. The ridge estimates are biased but more stable from sample to sample. The purpose of this article is to describe the method of ridge regression in a simple form and to provide examples of its application.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-36
Author(s):  
Andrea Tri Rian Dani ◽  
Narita Yuri Adrianingsih

ABSTRAKPendekatan regresi nonparametrik digunakan apabila hubungan antara variabel prediktor dan variabel respon tidak diketahui polanya. Spline truncated dan deret Fourier merupakan estimator dalam pendekatan nonparametrik yang terkenal, karena memiliki fleksibilitas yang tinggi dan mampu menyesuaikan terhadap sifat lokal data secara efektif. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendapatkan estimator model regresi nonparametrik terbaik menggunakan spline truncated dan deret Fourier. Metode estimasi kurva regresi nonparametrik dilakukan dengan menyelesaikan optimasi Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). Kriteria kebaikan model menggunakan GCV, R2 dan MSE. Pemodelan regresi nonparametrik diterapkan pada data Case Fatality Rate (CFR) akibat Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD) di Indonesia.  Berdasarkan hasil analisis, hasil estimasi dari pemodelan regresi nonparametrik menunjukkan bahwa estimator spline truncated memberikan performa yang lebih baik dibandingkan estimator deret Fourier. Hal ini ditunjukkan dengan nilai R2 dari estimator spline truncated yaitu sebesar 91,80% dan MSE sebesar 0,04, sedangkan dengan estimator deret Fourier diperoleh nilai R2 sebesar 65,44% dan MSE sebesar 0,19.ABSTRACTThe nonparametric regression approach is used when the relationship between the predictor variable and the response variable is unknown. Spline truncated and Fourier series are well-known estimators in the nonparametric approach because they have high flexibility and are able to adjust to the local properties of the data effectively. This study aims to obtain the best nonparametric regression model estimator using the truncated spline and the Fourier series. The nonparametric regression curve estimation method is done by completing the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) optimization. The criteria for the goodness of the model use GCV, R2, and MSE. Nonparametric regression modeling is applied to Case Fatality Rate (CFR) modeling due to Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DBD) in Indonesia. Based on the analysis, the estimation results from the nonparametric regression modeling show that the truncated spline estimator provides better performance than the Fourier series estimator. This is shown by the R2 value of the truncated spline estimator which is 91.80% and the MSE is 0.04, while the Fourier series estimator obtained an R2 value of 65.44% and MSE of 0.19.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-92
Author(s):  
Dhea Kurnia Mubyarjati ◽  
Abdul Hoyyi ◽  
Hasbi Yasin

Multiple Linear Regression can be solved by using the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). Some classic assumptions must be fulfilled namely normality, homoskedasticity, non-multicollinearity, and non-autocorrelation. However, violations of assumptions can occur due to outliers so the estimator obtained is biased and inefficient. In statistics, robust regression is one of method can be used to deal with outliers. Robust regression has several estimators, one of them is Scale estimator (S-estimator) used in this research. Case for this reasearch is fish production per district / city in Central Java in 2015-2016 which is influenced by the number of fishermen, number of vessels, number of trips, number of fishing units, and number of households / fishing companies. Approximate estimation with the Ordinary Least Squares occur in violation of the assumptions of normality, autocorrelation and homoskedasticity this occurs because there are outliers. Based on the t- test at 5% significance level can be concluded that several predictor variables there are the number of fishermen, the number of ships, the number of trips and the number of fishing units have a significant effect on the variables of fish production. The influence value of predictor variables to fish production is 88,006% and MSE value is 7109,519. GUI Matlab is program for robust regression for S-estimator to make it easier for users to do calculations. Keywords: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Outliers, Robust Regression, Fish Production, GUI Matlab.


1995 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 480-485
Author(s):  
Arvind Rangaswamy ◽  
Lakshman Krishnamurthi

The authors use a simulation that explores the same factors used by Wildt (1993), but provides results that refute several of the findings reported in that study. The authors maintain that, under conditions of multi-collinearity, the Equity estimator provides estimates that are typically closer to the true parameters than the ordinary least squares and Ridge estimates.


1991 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 27-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
John E. Jackson

The ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator gives biased coefficient estimates if coefficients are not constant for all cases but vary systematically with the explanatory variables. This article discusses several different ways to estimate models with systematically and randomly varying coefficients using estimated generalized least squares and maximum likelihood procedures. A Monte Carlo simulation of the different methods is presented to illustrate their use and to contrast their results to the biased results obtained with ordinary least squares. Several applications of the methods are discussed and one is presented in detail. The conclusion is that, in situations with variables coefficients, these methods offer relatively easy means for overcoming the problems.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 63
Author(s):  
Ahmad Samsudin ◽  
Ulul Azmi Afrizal Rizqi

Degree of population health in an area can be illustrated by morbidity rate. Java Island is one area that has good health quality. The population of Java Island has the best degree of health compared to other regions. During the last two years there are still a number of provinces in Java whose morbidity is quite high or even higher than the national figures, including Central Java Province. The goal of this study is to analyze the morbidity rate and explore the factors that influence the morbidity in 35 district/city in Central Java 2018. Descriptive analysis was used with thematic maps and Inferential analysis using spatial autocorrelation analysis. Spatial autocorrelation was measured through the Lagrange Multiplier test. Based on spatial dependency test, seen that no spatial autocorrelation occurs, therefore Ordinary Least Squares model was used. With OLS model, found that the poverty level predictor variable and the open unemployment rate significantly affect morbidity rate at alpha 5 percent. Poverty and Open unemployment rate have a significant effect on morbidity rate in Central Java in 2018 without including spatial effects. Keywords: autocorrelation; morbidity; poverty; unemployment ABSTRAK Derajat kesehatan penduduk di suatu wilayah dapat digambarkan dengan angka morbiditas. Pulau Jawa merupakan salah satu daerah yang memiliki kualitas kesehatan yang baik. Penduduk Pulau Jawa memiliki derajat kesehatan yang paling baik dibandingkan daerah lain. Dalam dua tahun terakhir masih terdapat beberapa provinsi di Jawa yang angka morbiditasnya cukup tinggi atau bahkan lebih tinggi dari angka nasional, salah satunya Jawa Tengah. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah menganalisis angka morbiditas dan menggali faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi morbiditas di 35 kabupaten / kota di Jawa Tengah tahun 2018. Analisis deskriptif digunakan dengan peta tematik dan analisis inferensial menggunakan analisis autokorelasi spasial. Autokorelasi spasial diukur melalui uji Lagrange Multiplier. Berdasarkan uji ketergantungan spasial, terlihat tidak terjadi autokorelasi spasial, oleh karena itu digunakan model Ordinary Least Squares. Dengan model OLS ditemukan bahwa variabel prediktor tingkat kemiskinan dan tingkat pengangguran terbuka berpengaruh signifikan terhadap angka morbiditas pada alpha 5 persen. Tingkat kemiskinan dan pengangguran terbuka berpengaruh signifikan terhadap angka morbiditas di Jawa Tengah tahun 2018 tanpa menyertakan efek spasial. Kata kunci: autokorelasi; kemiskinan; morbiditas; pengangguran


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