Intravoxel incoherent motion MRI in evaluating inflammatory activity in ulcerative colitis: a pilot study

2020 ◽  
pp. 028418512093168
Author(s):  
Joanna Podgórska ◽  
Katarzyna Pasicz ◽  
Edyta Zagórowicz ◽  
Andrzej Mróz ◽  
Bogumił Gołębiewski ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ulcerative Colitis ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Inflammatory Activity ◽  
Intravoxel Incoherent Motion ◽  
Perfusion Fraction ◽  
Mayo Score ◽  
Grade Classification ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Bowel Segments

Background A non-invasive tool for the assessment of ulcerative colitis (UC) activity is needed for treatment control. Purpose To determine the efficacy of intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) in assessing inflammatory activity in UC. Material and Methods In this prospective study, 20 adult patients underwent 3.0-T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) IVIM diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) with 10 b-values (0–900 s/mm2) 0–6 days after biopsies entailing colonoscopy. The inflammatory activity of large bowel segments was graded on endoscopy with Mayo score and on pathology with a six‑grade classification system. IVIM‑derived parameters (f, D, and D*) calculated from regions of interest placed within the bowel wall were correlated with both scores (56 and 34 bowel segments, respectively). Radiologists were blinded to endoscopy and pathology results. A T-test and Wilcoxon rank sum test was used in comparisons and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed. Results Statistically significant differences were found between histopathologically inactive or mild activity and moderate to severe activity in f (respectively: mean = 0.19 and mean = 0.28, P = 0.024; area under the curve [AUC] = 0.723, sensitivity 0.82, specificity 0.59, accuracy 0.67 for a 0.185 cut-off value) and D (mean = 1.34 × 10−3mm2/s and mean = 1.07 × 10−3mm2/s, P = 0.0083; AUC = 0.735, sensitivity 0.91, specificity 0.54, accuracy 0.66 for cut-off value 1.24 × 10−3mm2/s). No significant difference in D* was noted. No significant correlation between Mayo endoscopic subscore, and f, D, nor D* was found. Conclusion IVIM perfusion fraction correlates with UC activity and might represent emerging tool in assessment of inflammatory activity.

scholarly journals Intravoxel Incoherent Motion Model in Differentiating the Pathological Grades of Esophageal Carcinoma: Comparison of Mono-Exponential and Bi-Exponential Fit Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nian Liu ◽  
Xiongxiong Yang ◽  
Lixing Lei ◽  
Ke Pan ◽  
Qianqian Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity And Specificity ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Exponential Model ◽  
Intravoxel Incoherent Motion ◽  
Imaging Method ◽  
Diagnostic Efficiency ◽  
Pathological Grade ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Exponential Fit

PurposeTo compare the diagnostic efficiency of the mono-exponential model and bi-exponential model deriving from intravoxel incoherent motion diffusion-weighted imaging (IVIM-DWI) in differentiating the pathological grade of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).MethodsFifty-four patients with ESCC were divided into three groups of poorly-differentiated (PD), moderately-differentiated (MD), and well-differentiated (WD), and underwent the IVIM-DWI scan. Mono-exponential (Dmono, D*mono, and fmono) and bi-exponential fit parameters (Dbi, D*bi, and fbi) were calculated using the IVIM data for the tumors. Mean parameter values of three groups were compared using a one-way ANOVA followed by post hoc tests. The receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn for differentiating pathological grade of ESCC. Correlations between pathological grades and IVIM parameters were analyzed.ResultsThere were significant differences in fmono and fbi among the PD, MD and WD ESCC groups (all p<0.05). The fmono were 0.32 ± 0.07, 0.23 ± 0.08, and 0.16 ± 0.05, respectively, and the fbi were 0.35 ± 0.08, 0.26 ± 0.10, and 0.18 ± 0.07, respectively. There was a significant difference in the Dmono between the WD and the PD group (1.48 ± 0.51* 10-3 mm2/s versus 1.05 ± 0.44*10-3 mm2/s, p<0.05), but there was no significant difference between the WD and MD groups, MD and PD groups (all p>0.05). The D*mono, Dbi, and D*bi showed no significant difference among the three groups (all p>0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of Dmono, fmono and fbi in differentiating WD from PD ESCC were 0.764, 0.961 and 0.932, and the sensitivity and specificity were 92.9% and 60%, 92.9% and 90%, 85.7% and 100%, respectively. The AUC of fmono and fbi in differentiating MD from PD ESCC were 0.839 and 0.757, and the sensitivity and specificity were 78.6% and 80%, 85.7% and 70%, respectively. The AUC of fmono and fbi in differentiating MD from WD ESCC were 0.746 and 0.740, and the sensitivity and specificity were 65% and 85%, 80% and 60%, respectively. The pathologically differentiated grade was correlated with all IVIM parameters (all p<0.05).ConclusionsThe mono-exponential IVIM model is superior to the bi-exponential IVIM model in differentiating pathological grades of ESCC, which may be a promising imaging method to predict pathological grades of ESCC.

Diagnostic efficacy of serum and urinary netrin-1 in the early detection of diabetic nephropathy

2021 ◽  
pp. jim-2021-001785
Author(s):  
Rasha A Elkholy ◽  
Reham L Younis ◽  
Alzahraa A Allam ◽  
Rasha Youssef Hagag ◽  
Muhammad Tarek Abdel Ghafar
Keyword(s):  
Diabetic Nephropathy ◽  
Early Detection ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Fasting Blood Glucose ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Diagnostic Value ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Diagnostic Efficacy ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Patients With Diabetes

This study aimed to assess the diagnostic value of serum and urinary netrin-1 in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) at different stages of diabetic nephropathy (DN) and to compare its efficacy of estimation in serum with that in the urine. This study was carried out on 135 patients with T2DM and 45 healthy subjects. The patients with diabetes were divided according to urinary albumin creatinine ratio (UACR) into: T2DM with normoalbuminuria, incipient DN with microalbuminuria, and overt DN with macroalbuminuria groups. Serum and urinary levels of netrin-1 were measured by ELISA. The mean levels of serum and urinary netrin-1 were significantly higher in the microalbuminuric and macroalbuminuric patients with DN than those in the normoalbuminuric patients with T2DM, with the highest values detected in macroalbuminuric patients with DN. Urinary netrin-1 level was significantly higher in the normoalbuminuric T2DM group than control group, whereas no significant difference existed regarding serum netrin-1 level. In T2DM groups, the urinary and serum netrin-1 correlated with each other and were independently related to fasting blood glucose, UACR, and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of urinary netrin-1 was 0.916 which is significantly higher than that of serum netrin-1 (0.812) for the detection of incipient DN and reached 0.938 on coestimation of both urinary and serum netrin-1. In conclusion, netrin-1 is a potential diagnostic marker for early detection of DN with its estimation in urine has higher accuracy than that of serum.

Procalcitonin and Conventional Markers of Inflammation in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients and Peritonitis

2006 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 240-248 ◽  
Author(s):  
Galip Guz ◽  
Bulent Colak ◽  
Kenan Hizel ◽  
Kadriye A. Reis ◽  
Yasemin Erten ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Peritoneal Dialysis ◽  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Hemodialysis Patients ◽  
Biochemical Tests ◽  
Reactive Protein ◽  
Markers Of Inflammation ◽  
Median Serum ◽  
Significant Difference

Objectives To determine the significance of a newly described marker of inflammation procalcitonin (PCT), and to investigate its relationship to conventional markers of inflammation, such as C-reactive protein (CRP), fibrinogen, and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), in patients on peritoneal dialysis (PD) and with peritonitis. Design A prospective, observational clinical study. Setting The Nephrology Division of a University-affiliated teaching hospital. Patients and Methods 51 consecutive patients on PD were included in the study. Of this number, 16 developed peritonitis during the observational period. Baseline PCT, CRP, and fibrinogen concentrations and ESR of 51 PD patients were determined at a time point (TB) prior to any evidence of infection. These results were compared with laboratory values from 74 hemodialysis patients and 34 nonuremic control subjects. All PD patients then were followed prospectively for evidence of peritonitis. In addition to routine blood tests, including hemoglobin and leukocyte count, and routine biochemical tests, blood samples were taken to measure PCT, CRP, and fibrinogen concentrations and ESR at the time (T0) when patients first were diagnosed with PD peritonitis and also on the 4th (T4) and the 14th (T14) days after treatment for peritonitis was initiated. PCT was assayed by immunoluminometry. Results No significant difference was observed between baseline median serum PCT concentrations in PD and hemodialysis patients; however, in both groups, baseline median PCT concentrations were significantly higher than those of nonuremic controls ( p < 0.05). The 16 patients on PD who developed peritonitis had 21 PD peritonitis episodes during the study period. The increased PCT concentration observed at T0 in PD peritonitis episodes decreased with therapy, and this change was statistically significant ( p < 0.05). In a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for peritonitis, the area under the curve (AUC) for PCT was 0.80, which was significantly lower than the AUC for CRP and greater than the AUCs for fibrinogen and ESR. The sensitivity of PCT for peritonitis was lower than the sensitivity of conventional markers of inflammation; however, the specificity of PCT was higher. Conclusions Median serum PCT concentration in PD patients was significantly higher than in nonuremic controls but not hemodialysis patients. Serum PCT concentrations may serve as a useful adjunct to traditional markers of inflammation in detecting and monitoring inflammation and peritonitis in PD patients.

Differentiation of soft-tissue lymphoma from undifferentiated sarcoma: apparent diffusion coefficient histogram analysis

2020 ◽  
pp. 028418512095195
Author(s):  
Ji Hyun Hong ◽  
Won-Hee Jee ◽  
Sunyoung Whang ◽  
Chan-Kwon Jung ◽  
Yang-Guk Chung ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Coefficient ◽  
Soft Tissue ◽  
Apparent Diffusion Coefficient ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Histogram Analysis ◽  
Undifferentiated Sarcoma ◽  
Single Slice ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Apparent Diffusion

Background Making the preoperative diagnosis of soft-tissue lymphoma is important because the treatments for lymphoma and sarcoma are different. Purpose To determine the reliability and accuracy of single-slice and whole-tumor apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) histogram analysis when differentiating soft-tissue lymphoma from undifferentiated sarcoma. Material and Methods Patients with confirmed soft-tissue lymphoma or undifferentiated sarcoma who underwent 3-T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), including diffusion-weighted imaging, were included. Single-slice and whole-tumor ADC histogram analyses were performed using software. Mean, standard deviation (SD), 5th and 95th percentiles, skewness, and kurtosis were compared between groups, and a receiver operating characteristic curve with area under the curve (AUC) was obtained. Results Thirteen patients with soft-tissue lymphoma and 12 patients with undifferentiated sarcoma were included. ADC histogram analysis of single-slice and whole-tumor, mean, SD, and 5th and 95th percentiles was significantly lower in lymphoma than in undifferentiated sarcoma. Whole-tumor analysis kurtosis was significantly higher in lymphoma than in undifferentiated sarcoma. All AUCs were high in single-slice and whole-tumor analysis: 0.987 vs. 1.000 in mean; 0.821 vs. 0.782 in SD; 0.949 vs. 0.949 in 5th percentile; and 1.000 vs. 1.000 in 95th percentile without significant difference. AUC of kurtosis in whole-tumor ADC histogram analysis was 0.750. Conclusion Single-slice and whole-tumor ADC histogram analysis seems to be reliable and accurate for differentiating soft-tissue lymphoma from undifferentiated sarcoma.

scholarly journals OP24 Efficacy and safety of upadacitinib induction therapy in patients with Moderately to Severely Active Ulcerative Colitis: Results from the phase 3 U-ACHIEVE study

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S022-S024
Author(s):  
S Danese ◽  
S Vermeire ◽  
W Zhou ◽  
A Pangan ◽  
J Siffledeen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ulcerative Colitis ◽  
Clinical Response ◽  
Induction Therapy ◽  
Clinical Remission ◽  
Janus Kinase ◽  
Phase 3 ◽  
Mayo Score ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Endoscopic Remission ◽  
Secondary Endpoints

Abstract Background An unmet therapeutic need remains in patients with ulcerative colitis (UC). U-ACHIEVE is one of two phase 3 induction trials evaluating the safety and efficacy of the selective Janus kinase–1 inhibitor upadacitinib (UPA) 45 mg once daily (QD) in adults with UC. Methods U-ACHIEVE is a multicentre, double-blind, placebo (PBO)–controlled trial (NCT02819635) that randomized patients with moderately to severely active UC 2:1 to UPA 45 mg QD or PBO for 8 weeks. Patients were stratified by response to biologic therapy (inadequate vs non–inadequate responder), baseline corticosteroid use (yes or no), and baseline adapted Mayo score (≤7 or &gt;7). The primary endpoint was proportion of patients achieving clinical remission (per adapted Mayo Score) at week 8.Ranked secondary endpoints included endoscopic improvement, endoscopic remission, and clinical response per adapted Mayo Score at week 8; clinical response per partial adapted Mayo Score at week 2; and histologic-endoscopic mucosal improvement at week 8. Non-responder imputation incorporating multiple imputations for missing data due to COVID-19 are reported. Safety was assessed through week 8. Results 474 patients were randomized (UPA, n=319; PBO, n=155). Baseline characteristics were well balanced between groups (Table 1). A significantly higher proportion of patients receiving UPA (26.1%) vs PBO (4.8%) achieved clinical remission at week 8 (adjusted treatment difference [95% CI], 21.6% [15.8, 27.4]; P&lt;0.001; Figure 1). For all ranked secondary endpoints, UPA was superior to PBO (P&lt;0.001; Figure 1). A significant difference in clinical response favouring UPA vs PBO was seen as early as week 2 (60.1% vs 27.3%) and was sustained over 8 weeks (79.0% vs 41.6%; Figure 2). There were more serious adverse events (AEs), severe AEs, and AEs leading to study drug discontinuation with PBO (Table 2). The most common AEs were acne, creatine phosphokinase elevation, and nasopharyngitis with UPA and worsening of UC and anaemia with PBO. Incidence of serious infection was similar between UPA and PBO. Neutropenia and lymphopenia were reported more frequently with UPA vs PBO (Table 2).No adjudicated gastrointestinal perforation, major cardiovascular AEs, or thrombotic events and no active tuberculosis, malignancy, or deaths were reported. Conclusion In patients with moderately to severely active UC, UPA 45 mg QD induction therapy was superior to PBO in inducing clinical remission/response, and endoscopic remission/response over 8 weeks; responses were significant and rapid. UPA 45 mg QD was well tolerated; safety was comparable with the known safety profile of UPA, and no new safety signals were identified.

scholarly journals Cut-off value of serum homocysteine in relation to increase of coronary artery calcification

2020 ◽  
pp. jim-2020-001478
Author(s):  
Nam-Seok Joo ◽  
Susie Jung ◽  
Yu-Na Kim ◽  
Beom-Hee Choi
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Coronary Artery Calcification ◽  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Homocysteine Concentration ◽  
Serum Homocysteine ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Operating Characteristic Curve ◽  
Age And Sex

A recent study reported that coronary artery calcification (CAC) and serum homocysteine were well associated; however, no report is available for the cut-off value of serum homocysteine according to increase of coronary-artery calcification volume score (CVS). The data of 469 out of 777 subjects in 1 health promotion center located in Seoul were selected after exclusion of the missing data of serum homocysteine and CVS. CVS was categorized into 2 groups: CVS=0 and CVS>0. Serum homocysteine according to the CVS groups was compared, and the cut-off value of serum homocysteine according to the increase of CVS (>0) was calculated using the receiver operating characteristic curve. Mean age was 54.5 years and the proportion of females was 22.2%. Mean serum homocysteine concentration and CVS were 11.2 μmol/L and 50.4, respectively. After adjustments for age and sex, serum homocysteine was associated with CVS (r=0.167, p=0.001), and Log(Homocysteine) also showed a significant difference according to the CVS groups. The cut-off value of serum homocysteine according to the increase of CVS (>0) was 9.45 μmol/L (area under the curve=0.569 (95% CI 0.512 to 0.625), p=0.015). The cut-off value of serum homocysteine was 9.45 μmol/L according to the increase of coronary-artery CVS.

scholarly journals Preoperative CT-Based Radiomics Combined With Nodule Type to Predict the Micropapillary Pattern in Lung Adenocarcinoma of Size 2 cm or Less: A Multicenter Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meirong Li ◽  
Yachao Ruan ◽  
Zhan Feng ◽  
Fangyu Sun ◽  
Minhong Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Prediction Performance ◽  
High Resolution Computed Tomography ◽  
Preoperative Prediction ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Validation Set ◽  
Micropapillary Pattern

PurposeTo construct an optimal radiomics model for preoperative prediction micropapillary pattern (MPP) in adenocarcinoma (ADC) of size ≤ 2 cm, nodule type was used for stratification to construct two radiomics models based on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) images.Materials and MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed patients with pathologically confirmed ADC of size ≤ 2 cm who presented to three hospitals. Patients presenting to the hospital with the greater number of patients were included in the training set (n = 2386) and those presenting to the other two hospitals were included in the external validation set (n = 119). HRCT images were used for delineation of region of interest of tumor and extraction of radiomics features; dimensionality reduction was performed for the features. Nodule type was used to stratify the data and the random forest method was used to construct two models for preoperative prediction MPP in ADC of size ≤ 2 cm. Model 1 included all nodule types and model 2 included only solid nodules. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to assess the prediction performance of the two models and independent validation was used to assess its generalizability.ResultsBoth models predicted ADC with MPP preoperatively. The area under the curve (AUC) of prediction performance of models 1 and 2 were 0.91 and 0.78, respectively. The prediction performance of model 2 was lower than that of model 1. The AUCs in the external validation set were 0.81 and 0.72, respectively. The DeLong test showed statistically significant differences between the training and validation sets in model 1 (p = 0.0296) with weak generalizability. There was no statistically significant difference between the training and validation sets in model 2 (p = 0.2865) with some generalizability.ConclusionNodule type is an important factor that affects the performance of radiomics predictor model for MPP with ADC of size ≤ 2 cm. The radiomics prediction model constructed based on solid nodules alone, can be used to evaluate MPP and may contribute to proper surgical planning in patients with ADC of size ≤ 2 cm.

Evaluation of Scoring Systems for Airway Management After Oral Cancer Surgery: A Retrospective Study

2021 ◽  
pp. 000348942098435
Author(s):  
Atsushi Abe ◽  
Eri Umemura ◽  
Hiroki Hayashi ◽  
Yu Ito ◽  
Moriyasu Adachi
Keyword(s):  
Oral Cancer ◽  
Airway Management ◽  
Airway Obstruction ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Scoring Systems ◽  
Tumor Stage ◽  
Cancer Surgery ◽  
Significant Difference

Objective: Postoperative airway obstruction following oral cancer surgery is difficult to predict. Scoring systems used to assess the need for tracheotomy use risk factors as criteria. We aimed to examine whether these clinical scoring systems can predict airway obstruction following oral cancer surgery. Methods: We assessed 95 patients who underwent oral cancer surgery without tracheotomy under general anesthesia between January 2007 and April 2019. We reviewed multiple factors from the patients’ medical records, including age, sex, tumor site, body mass index, tumor stage, type of surgery, airway management method, Cameron and Gupta scores, and postoperative airway complications. Results: Tumors were located in the maxilla ( n = 14), buccal mucosa ( n = 13), mandible ( n = 14), floor of the mouth ( n = 6), and tongue ( n = 48). Twenty-seven patients (28.4%) were graded as Stage 1, 37 patients (38.9%) as Stage 2, 9 patients (9.5%) as Stage 3, and 3 (3.2%) patients as Stage 4. Nine patients (9.5%) had local recurrences, and ten patients (10.5%) had neck metastases. Postoperative oxygen administration alone failed to improve dyspnea in 4 patients (4.2%). The median Cameron scores between patients with and without airway trouble were not significantly different ( P = 0.226). However, a significant difference was observed in median Gupta scores between patients with and without airway trouble ( P = 0.01). We created a receiver operating characteristic curve to predict postoperative airway trouble based on the preoperative Gupta score; the area under the curve was 0.856 (95% confidence interval: 0.61-1). A Gupta score cutoff value of 3.0 had a sensitivity of 92.3% and specificity of 75.0%. Conclusions: Screening based on the Gupta score appears to be effective in predicting postoperative airway obstruction. We propose that this screening tool can be used to better plan tracheotomy and other airway management strategies during preoperative patient assessment.

scholarly journals A comparative study of methods for determining Intravoxel incoherent motion parameters in cervix cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xue Wang ◽  
Jiao Song ◽  
Shengfa Zhou ◽  
Yi Lu ◽  
Wenxiao Lin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Normal Tissue ◽  
Cervix Cancer ◽  
Intravoxel Incoherent Motion ◽  
Planar Imaging ◽  
Normal Tissues ◽  
Perfusion Fraction ◽  
Fitting Method ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Simultaneous Fitting ◽  
Motion Parameters

Abstract Background To compare different fitting methods for determining IVIM (Intravoxel Incoherent Motion) parameters and to determine whether the use of different IVIM fitting methods would affect differentiation of cervix cancer from normal cervix tissue. Methods Diffusion-weighted echo-planar imaging of 30 subjects was performed on a 3.0 T scanner with b-values of 0, 30, 100, 200, 400, 1000 s/mm2. IVIM parameters were estimated using the segmented (two-step) fitting method and by simultaneous fitting of a bi-exponential function. Segmented fitting was performed using two different cut-off b-values (100 and 200 s/mm2) to study possible variations due to the choice of cut-off. Friedman’s test and Student’s t-test were respectively used to compare IVIM parameters derived from different methods, and between cancer and normal tissues. Results No significant difference was found between IVIM parameters derived from the segmented method with b-value cutoff of 200 s/mm2 and the simultaneous fitting method (P>0.05). Tissue diffusivity (D) and perfusion fraction (f) were significantly lower in cervix cancer than normal tissue (P< 0.05). Conclusions IVIM parameters derived using fitting methods with small cutoff b-values could be different, however, the segmented method with b-value cutoff of 200 s/mm2 are consistent with the simultaneous fitting method and both can be used to differentiate between cervix cancer and normal tissue.

scholarly journals Performance of the EuroSCORE II and the STS score for cardiac surgery in octogenarians

2021 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 174-182
Author(s):  
Hüseyin Kuplay ◽  
Sevinç Bayer Erdoğan ◽  
Murat Baştopçu ◽  
Eren Karpuzoğlu ◽  
Halit Er
Keyword(s):  
Cardiac Surgery ◽  
Scoring System ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Mortality Prediction ◽  
Urgent Surgery ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Sts Score ◽  
The Mean

Background: We aimed to investigate the predictive value of Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) and European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE II) scores for mortality in octogenarian cardiac surgery patients. Methods: Between January 2016 and December 2019, cardiac operations performed in 116 octogenarian patients (73 males, 43 females; mean age: 82.9±3.1 years; range, 80 to 97 years) were retrospectively analyzed. The patients with and without mortality were compared for their demographic and operative factors. The STS and EuroSCORE II scores, and observed mortality rates were assessed. Results: Mean STS score was 3.7±11.1 and mean EuroSCORE II was 5.2±5.4. For any operation type, the mean EuroSCORE II was significantly higher (8.1±7.4 vs. 4.1±4.0, respectively; p=0.006) in the patients with mortality. For elective operations, the mean EuroSCORE II was higher in cases with mortality (7.2±7.3 vs. 3.7±3.9, respectively; p=0.006); however, for urgent cases, there was no significant difference between the scores. Using the receiver operating characteristic curve, the EuroSCORE II had a higher area under the curve for all cases and elective cases than the STS scores. Conclusion: The EuroSCORE II performed better than the STS score for mortality prediction in octogenarians, whereas the predictions of either scoring system was unsatisfactory for urgent surgery and combined procedures. Population-based validation studies are needed for a better risk scoring system in this age group.

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