Improved time-dependent seismic fragility estimates for deteriorating RC bridge substructures exposed to chloride attack

2020 ◽  
pp. 136943322095681
Author(s):  
Fengkun Cui ◽  
Huihui Li ◽  
Xu Dong ◽  
Baoqun Wang ◽  
Jin Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Service Life ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Steel Corrosion ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Exceedance Probability ◽  
Seismic Capacity ◽  
Bridge Substructures

RC bridge substructures exposed to chloride environments inevitably suffer from corrosion of reinforcement embodied in concrete. This deterioration issue leads to the loss of reinforcement areas and a reduction in seismic capacity of reinforced concrete (RC) bridge substructures. To quantify the effect of steel corrosion on seismic fragility estimates, this paper proposes an improved time-dependent seismic fragility framework by taking into account the increase in the corrosion rate after concrete cracking and the reduction in seismic capacity of RC bridge substructures during the service life. Additionally, an analytical method based on a back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) is proposed to provide probabilistic capacity estimates of deteriorating RC substructures. A three-span T-shaped girder bridge is selected as a case study bridge to provide improved time-dependent seismic fragility estimates that consider uncertainties in the material properties, geometric parameters, deterioration process and ground motions. The obtained fragility curves show that there is a nonlinear increase in the exceedance probability of deteriorating RC bridge substructures for different damage states during the service life. In addition, time-dependent seismic fragility analysis shows that the cases of considering only the effect of an increase in seismic demand or the reduction in seismic capacity as well as neither of them may lead to a significant underestimation of the seismic vulnerability of deteriorating RC bridge substructures.

Seismic Fragility Analysis of Hill Buildings with Uneven Ground Column Heights

2014 ◽  
Vol 638-640 ◽  
pp. 1848-1853
Author(s):  
Lin Qing Huang ◽  
Li Ping Wang ◽  
Chao Lie Ning
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Exceedance Probability ◽  
Considerable Influence ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
The Hill

The hill buildings sited on slopes have been widely constructed in mountainous regions. In order to estimate the seismic vulnerability of the hill buildings with uneven ground column heights under the effect of potential earthquakes, the exceedance probabilities of the hill buildings sited on different angle slopes in peak ground acceleration (PGA) are calculated and compared by using the incremental dynamic analysis method. The fragility curves show the slope angle has considerable influence on the seismic performance. Specifically, the exceedance probability increases with the increasing of the slope angle at the same performance level.

scholarly journals SEISMIC FRAGILITY ASSESSMENT AND RETROFIT OF A GOVERNMENT HOSPITAL BUILDING IN CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH

2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. AbulHasan ◽  
Md. Abdur Rahman Bhuiyan
Keyword(s):  
Ground Motion ◽  
Return Period ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Response Spectrum ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Earthquake Ground Motion ◽  
Type I ◽  
Type Ii ◽  
Ground Motion Records

Chittagong Medical College Hospital (CMCH) is one of the most important government hospitals in Bangladesh. It is located in the heart of Chittagong city, the only port city of Bangladesh. Bangladesh National Building Code (BNBC) is the only official document, which has been used since 1993 as guidelines for seismic design of buildings. As per the guidelines of BNBC, the CMCH building was designed for an earthquake ground motion having a return period of 200 years. However, the revised version of BNBC has suggested that the building structures shall be designed for an earthquake ground motion having a return period of 2475 years. It is mentioned that a single seismic performance objective, the life safety, of the building is considered in both versions of BNBC. Considering the significant importance of CMCH building in providing the emergency facilities during and after the earthquake, it is indispensable to evaluate its seismic vulnerability for the two types of earthquake ground motion records having return period of 200 (Type-I) and 2475 (Type-II) years. In this regard, this paper deals with the seismic vulnerability assessment of the existing ancillary building (AB) of CMCH. The seismic vulnerability of building is usually expressed in the form of fragility curves, which display the conditional probability that the structural demand (structural response) caused by various levels of ground shaking exceeds the structural capacity defined by a damage state. The analytical method based on elastic response spectrum analyses results is used in evaluating the seismic fragility curves of the building. To the end, 3-D finite element model of the building subjected to 18 ground motion records having PGA of 0.325g to 0.785g has been used in theresponse spectrum analysis in order to evaluate its inter-story-drift ratio (IDR), an engineeringdemand parameter (EDP) for developing fragility curves. The analytical results have shown thatstructural deficiencies exist in the existing ancillary building (AB) for the Type-II earthquakeground motion record, which requires the building to be retrofitted to ensure that the existingancillary building (AB) becomes functional during and after the Type-II earthquake groundmotion record.

scholarly journals Dynamic Damage Mechanism and Seismic Fragility Analysis of an Aqueduct Structure

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (24) ◽  
pp. 11709
Author(s):  
Xinyong Xu ◽  
Xuhui Liu ◽  
Li Jiang ◽  
Mohd Yawar Ali Khan
Keyword(s):  
Ground Motion ◽  
Structural Damage ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Seismic Analysis ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Fragility Analysis ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Exceedance Probability ◽  
Computation Efficiency

The Concrete Damaged Plasticity (CDP) constitutive is introduced to study the dynamic failure mechanism and the law of damage development to the aqueduct structure during the seismic duration using a large-scale aqueduct structure from the South-to-North Water Division Project (SNWDP) as a research object. Incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) and multiple stripe analysis (MSA) seismic fragility methods are introduced. The spectral acceleration is used as the scale of ground motion record intensity measure (IM), and the aqueduct pier top offset ratio quantifies the limit of structural damage measure (DM). The aqueduct structure’s seismic fragility evaluation curves are constructed with indicators of different seismic intensity measures to depict the damage characteristics of aqueduct structures under different seismic intensities through probability. The results show that penetrating damage is most likely to occur on both sides of the pier cap and around the pier shaft in the event of a rare earthquake, followed by the top of the aqueduct body, which requires the greatest care during an earthquake. The results of two fragility analysis methodologies reveal that the fragility curves are very similar. The aqueduct structure’s first limit state level (LS1) is quite steep and near the vertical line, indicating that maintaining the excellent condition without damage in the seismic analysis will be challenging. Except for individual results, the overall fragility results are in good agreement, and the curve change rule is the same. The exceedance probability in the case of any ground motion record IM may be estimated using only two factors when using the MSA approach, and the computation efficiency is higher. The study of seismic fragility analysis methods in this paper can provide a reference for the seismic safety evaluation of aqueducts and similar structures.

scholarly journals Seismic fragility curves based on the probability density evolution method

2017 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 177-189
Author(s):  
Thuat-Cong Dang ◽  
Thien-Phu Le ◽  
Pascal Ray
Keyword(s):  
Probability Density ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Fragility Curve ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Cumulative Probability ◽  
Density Evolution ◽  
Probability Density Evolution Method ◽  
Log Normal ◽  
Probability Density Evolution

A seismic fragility curve that shows the probability of failure of a structure in function of a seismic intensity, for example peak ground acceleration (PGA), is a powerful tool for the evaluation of the seismic vulnerability of the structures in nuclear engineering and civil engineering. The common assumption of existing approaches is that the fragility curve is a cumulative probability log-normal function. In this paper, we propose a new technique for construction of seismic fragility curves by numerical simulation using the Probability Density Evolution Method (PDEM). From the joint probability density function between structural response and random variables of a system and/or excitations, seismic fragility curves can be derived without the log-normal assumption. The validation of the proposed technique is performed on two numerical examples.

Seismic fragility assessment of multi-span concrete highway bridges in British Columbia considering soil–structure interaction

2021 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-51 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.H.M. Muntasir Billah ◽  
M. Shahria Alam
Keyword(s):  
British Columbia ◽  
Soil Structure ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Structural Characteristics ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Highway Bridges ◽  
System Level ◽  
Soil Structure Interaction ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Structure Interaction

Fragility curve is an effective tool for identifying the potential seismic risk and consequences during and after an earthquake. Recent seismic events have shown that bridges are highly sensitive and vulnerable during earthquakes. There has been limited research to evaluate the seismic vulnerability of the existing bridges in British Columbia (BC), which could help in the decision-making process for seismic upgrade. This study focuses on developing seismic fragility curves for typical multi-span continuous concrete girder bridges in BC. Ground motions compatible with the seismic hazard were used as input excitations for vulnerability assessment. Uncertainties in material and geometric properties were considered to represent the bridges with similar structural characteristics and construction period. The fragility of the bridge is largely attributable to the fragilities of the columns, and to a lesser extent, the abutment and bearing components. The results of this study show that, although not very significant, the soil–structure interaction has some effect on the component fragility where this effect is not very significant at the bridge system level.

scholarly journals Seismic Vulnerability Assessment of Hybrid Mold Transformer Based on Dynamic Analyses

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (15) ◽  
pp. 3180
Author(s):  
Ngoc Hieu Dinh ◽  
Joo-Young Kim ◽  
Seung-Jae Lee ◽  
Kyoung-Kyu Choi
Keyword(s):  
Analytical Model ◽  
Degrees Of Freedom ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Shaking Table ◽  
Exceedance Probability ◽  
Shaking Table Tests ◽  
Performance Levels ◽  
Analytical Results ◽  
Dynamic Analyses

In the present study, the seismic vulnerability of a hybrid mold transformer was investigated using a dynamic analytical approach incorporating the experimental results of shaking table tests. The analytical model consisted of linear springs and plastic beam elements, and it has six degrees of freedom simulating the hybrid mold transformer. The dynamic characteristics of the analytical model were determined based on the shaking table tests. The reliability of the analytical model was verified by comparing the test results and analytical results. In order to assess the seismic vulnerability, three critical damage states observed during the shaking table tests were investigated by incorporating the three performance levels specified in ASCE 41-17. Comprehensive dynamic analyses were performed with a set of twenty earthquakes in consideration of the variation of the uncertain parameters (such as the effective stiffness and coil mass) of the mold transformer. Based on the analytical results, fragility curves were established to predict the specified exceedance probability of the mold transformer according to the performance levels.

scholarly journals Vulnerability Analysis of Ancient Timber Architecture by Considering the Correlation of Different Failure Modes

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junhong Huan ◽  
Donghui Ma ◽  
Wei Wang
Keyword(s):  
Ming Dynasty ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Failure Modes ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Seismic Fragility ◽  
Occurrence Probability ◽  
Joint Distribution Function ◽  
First Order ◽  
Innovative Method

The paper proposes an innovative method of analyzing the seismic fragility of ancient timber architecture. The method is based on the Copulas, in which correlation between different failure modes is considered. This method is applied to assess the vulnerability of ancient timber architecture in Ming dynasty. The assessment includes four steps. In the first step, the incremental dynamic analysis is employed to establish seismic vulnerability curves of different failure modes for the structure. After that, Copula joint distribution function is used to analyze the correlation among different failure modes. In the third step, fragility curves considering correlation among different failure modes are established. In the last step, the fragility curves are compared with those obtained by first-order bound method. The results show that seismic vulnerability of ancient timber architecture based on the Copulas is greater than that of any single failure modes. Moreover, the occurrence probability ranges between the upper and lower boundaries of the first-order bound method, but is close to the lower boundary.

Stochastic Time-Dependent Deterioration Models for Estimating Residual Service Life of Offshore Jacket-Type Platforms

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ishwarya Srikanth ◽  
M. Arockiasamy
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Service Life ◽  
Transition Probability ◽  
Steel Corrosion ◽  
Transition Probability Matrix ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
Residual Service Life ◽  
Jacket Platform ◽  
Offshore Jacket Platform ◽  
Residual Service

Abstract This paper presents deterioration models for maintenance planning of offshore jacket platform based on two methods: i) stochastic Markov-chain based model and ii) stochastic-mechanistic deterioration models based on steel corrosion rates. Markov-chain models require the estimation of transition probability matrix (TPM), which is typically derived from the inspection data. The global structural health condition of the jacket is computed based on the condition of individual elements and their criticality in terms of failure consequence. The criticality factors are established based on nonlinear static redundancy analyses. This method can model deterioration when routine inspection records of jacket members are available. When there is scarcity of inspection records, stochastic-mechanistic deterioration modeling approach can be used. Monte-Carlo simulations with established corrosion wastage models are utilized to estimate the time-dependent deterioration of jacket legs, horizontal and diagonal bracings in splash and immersion zones. This method is proposed when there is scarcity of inspection records. The deterioration models are further utilized to predict the timing for Maintenance, Repair and Rehabilitation (MRR) actions, and estimate the residual service life of the jacket platform. This study demonstrates the application of the proposed deterioration modeling approaches with a case study of a typical 4-legged offshore jacket platform.

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