Making the Future Visible: Psychology, Scenarios, and Strategy

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-13
Author(s):  
Hardin Tibbs
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Thinking ◽  
Visionary Leadership ◽  
The Future

Seeing the future as a psychological landscape clarifies the elements of strategy, provides insights into key areas of strategic thinking, and helps develop the strategic conviction essential for visionary leadership.

scholarly journals Strategic Thinking for Sustainability: A Review of 10 Strategies for Sustainable Mobility by Bus for Cities

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 4282 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gonzalo Fernandez-Sanchez ◽  
Alvaro Fernandez-Heredia
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Thinking ◽  
Sustainable Mobility ◽  
Compressed Natural Gas ◽  
Collective Transport ◽  
The Future ◽  
Urban Bus ◽  
Bus Service ◽  
Main Ideas

The sustainable mobility of the future comes about through sustainable ways of transport, such as walking, cycling, or collective transport. This includes the bus, the underground, and trains in big cities. This article reviews bus-related policies and initiatives worldwide. It also analyses ten cities looking at medium and long-term strategies for the urban bus service. The main ideas are: the forecasts for the use of the urban bus system indicate a significant increase in demand, therefore, there is a need for expanding the offered services; efforts to change the fleets towards Compressed Natural Gas and Electric vehicles; support of technological innovation for communication and accessibility; improving commercial speed and frequencies by infrastructure improvements, operation optimisation and technology; and, the link between these strategies and the air quality of cities. The transition towards a sustainable transport will happen based on the belief that the bus service is no longer the transport of the past or the present, but of the future.

scholarly journals Stratagem Rationality of Traditional China

2018 ◽  
pp. 38-50
Author(s):  
Andrey Krushinskiy
Keyword(s):  
Winning Strategy ◽  
Cognitive Status ◽  
Strategic Thinking ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Moral Metaphysics ◽  
The Future ◽  
Long Time ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Existential Choice ◽  
Classical Image

For a long time, leading European thinkers have denied systematic, theoretical and rational nature of Chinese traditional thinking, unpretentiously reading it as banal moralizing (“moral philosophy,” at best – “moral metaphysics,” etc.), not supported by any proper philosophical discourse. However, the habitual socioethical label conceals a much deeper problematic of strategic thinking. At its center, there is the question of choosing all sorts of strategies: from everyday life to special technical ones, from personal existential choice to fateful state decisions. The concept of a winning strategy is emblematized by the dramatic plot of a deadly risk (“stepping on a tiger’s tail”) but under certain conditions with guaranteed happy end. The strategy of harmony (he 和), which is miraculous in its effectiveness, is proposed as a exemplary strategy. It allows you to “step on the tiger’s tail” with impunity (lü hu wei履 虎尾). From the point of view of strategic thinking, the criterion of cognitive value of reasoning is its effectiveness (in the context of a particular game), and the most effective is unmistakable prediction, i.e. the ability to predict the outcome of future developments with the help of reasoning. In the ideal case (under certain conditions), prognostic reasoning becomes not just plausible but 100% reliable that is an apodictic true inference. Therefore, the highest cognitive status in the Chinese intellectual tradition is endowed with guaranteed error-free prognostic reasoning. This type of reasoning, where the reliability of foresight is guaranteed by the implementation of a certain winning strategy, can be called the prognostic form of deduction. As a result, the dynamism of Chinese logic, which relies on a deliberate staging of the future (sometimes with the help of stratagems of varying degrees of cunning), is strikingly different from the static nature of the classical image of logic (both traditional and modern), where logic is no more than a static guardian of correctness of reasoning. On the contrary, the Chinese concept of logic focuses on deriving consequences from strategic considerations regarding the future, actively and purposefully shaped by the subject who at the same time constructing both himself and the world around him.

scholarly journals The Future of HR

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cecile M. Schultz
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Thinking ◽  
Employment Relations ◽  
Workforce Management ◽  
The Future ◽  
Hr Managers ◽  
Hr Function ◽  
Hr Competencies ◽  
Shed Light ◽  
The Way

The HR function is currently dealing with a range of questions: How can HR prepare for the future? Which HR competencies will be needed? Which aspects should be focused upon? The way forward may start with capacitating HR managers to obtain the necessary competencies and be enlightened about which aspects should get specific attention in order to prepare for the future world of work. In order to progress towards a new understanding of workforce management within organisations, it is essential to shed light on HR competencies, future workspace, engagement, employment relations and resilience. Although engagement and employment relations are dated, it will still be relevant in the future, especially due to the man–machine connection, remote working and other future world of work challenges. The rebalancing of priorities and rethinking HR, so that resilience become just as important to strategic thinking as cost and efficiency, are important. It is essential that HR must go beyond the here and now in order to properly prepare for the future world of work.

scholarly journals Innovation Indicators and Growth in the United Arab Emirates

2017 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Abdelkader Mazouz ◽  
◽  
Loay Alnaji ◽  
Riadh Jeljeli ◽  
Fayez Al-Shdaifat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United Arab Emirates ◽  
Visionary Leadership ◽  
Necessary Condition ◽  
Gulf Region ◽  
Engine Model ◽  
The Future ◽  
Innovation Indicators ◽  
Three Components ◽  
Innovative Industries

Innovation and leadership are so closely interrelated that leadership thinks of the future and innovation is the fruit of leadership in the future. This paper aims to determine whether leadership leads to innovation. Under visionary leadership, innovation can progress and bear fruit. An appropriate framework to provide a platform for innovation is a necessary condition and requires the appropriate leadership to guide its flow in that direction. Competency for innovation arrises from two main cores: interior and exterior. The exterior core has three components: culture, resources, and habitat; the interior core also has three components: knowledge, attitude, and imagination. The components of, the exterior core, relates to the outside world and one’s surroundings whereas the components of the interior core relate to us as individuals. The job of leadership is to create a platform wherein the inner forces synchonize with the outside forces. This paper uses Seelig’s Innovation Engine, model to measure innovation progress in multiple industries in the Gulf region and to identify the most innovative industries. A survey, distributed to leaders in several major industries, was collected, analyzed, and presented.

Adolescents’ Development of New Skills for Prospective Cognition: Learning to Anticipate, Plan, and Think Strategically

2014 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 232-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reed W. Larson ◽  
Shawn Lampkins-Uthando ◽  
Jessica Armstrong
Keyword(s):  
Case Studies ◽  
Real World ◽  
Youth Programs ◽  
Strategic Thinking ◽  
Leadership Programs ◽  
Specific Medium ◽  
The Future ◽  
Strategic Skills

Adolescence is an important age period for the development of prospective cognition. Teenagers become able to reason about the future, including anticipating events and formulating plans to reach goals. This article focuses on adolescents’ development of skills for strategic thinking: for anticipating possible scenarios in a plan and formulating flexible plans that take these into account. We have studied teens’ work on projects within youth programs (such as arts, leadership programs) because they provide real-world-like contexts for understanding development of these skills. Two case studies demonstrate the complexity of strategic skills and how they are learned. Effective strategic thinking requires learning to anticipate the particularities of the contexts and people involved in reaching a goal, for example, how to communicate effectively with a specific audience through a specific medium. It also requires learning general “meta” concepts and strategies that apply across situations, such as formulating plans that take uncertainties into account.

The Future of Management in a World of Electronic Brains

2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 260-263 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xavier Ferràs-Hernández
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Social Interaction ◽  
Data Processing ◽  
Cognitive Abilities ◽  
Strategic Thinking ◽  
Computational Power ◽  
The Future ◽  
Social Interaction Skills ◽  
Interaction Skills

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is surpassing humans in data processing and computational power. But it also progresses in strategic thinking, creativity, and social interaction skills, bearing almost human cognitive abilities. How long does it take to see digital CEOs running corporations? Will management become a commodity developed by electronic brains?

scholarly journals Threatcasting: a framework and process to model future operating environments

2018 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-88
Author(s):  
Natalie Vanatta ◽  
Brian David Johnson
Keyword(s):  
Real Life ◽  
Technical Note ◽  
Strategic Thinking ◽  
Futures Studies ◽  
Detailed Explanation ◽  
Operating Environments ◽  
The Future ◽  
Novel Method ◽  
The Impact

Threatcasting, a new foresight methodology, draws from futures studies and military strategic thinking to provide a novel method to model the future. The methodology fills gaps in existing military futures thinking and provides a process to specify actionable steps as well as progress indicators. Threatcasting also provides an ability to anticipate future threats and develop strategies to reduce the impact of any event. This technical note provides a detailed explanation of the Threatcasting methodology. It provides the reader with its connections to the current body of work within the foresight community and then explains the four phase methodology through the use of a real-life example.

A STRATEGIC ADVOCACY ROLE IN SEA FOR SUSTAINABILITY

2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (01) ◽  
pp. 1550015 ◽  
Author(s):  
MARIA ROSARIO PARTIDARIO
Keyword(s):  
Research Agenda ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Strategic Thinking ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Mutual Understanding ◽  
Future Research Agenda ◽  
Strategic Processes ◽  
The Future ◽  
Advocacy Role

In this paper I advocate SEA as an instrument of change towards more sustainable patterns of behaviour and development, by following strategic thinking and constructive approaches. I recommend that the future research agenda of SEA should contribute to make SEA a matured, full-fleshed instrument with a clear identity, and coherent functions and forms. This may be achieved by exploring how to engage all actors in a fundamental new attitude in understanding and addressing the complexity of strategic processes, enabling dialogues towards mutual understanding, offering flexibility, ensuring a long-term and large scale perspectives when exploring development options.

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