scholarly journals Early Determinants of Length of Hospital Stay: A Case Control Survival Analysis among COVID-19 Patients admitted in a Tertiary Healthcare Facility of East India

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 215013272110542
Author(s):  
Neeraj Agarwal ◽  
Bijit Biswas ◽  
Chandramani Singh ◽  
Rathish Nair ◽  
Gera Mounica ◽  
...  

Background: Length of hospital stay (LOS) for a disease is a vital estimate for healthcare logistics planning. The study aimed to illustrate the effect of factors elicited on arrival on LOS of the COVID-19 patients. Materials and Methods: It was a retrospective, record based, unmatched, case control study using hospital records of 334 COVID-19 patients admitted in an East Indian tertiary healthcare facility during May to October 2020. Discharge from the hospital (cases/survivors) was considered as an event while death (control/non-survivors) as right censoring in the case-control survival analysis using cox proportional hazard model. Results: Overall, we found the median LOS for the survivors to be 8 days [interquartile range (IQR): 7-10 days] while the same for the non-survivors was 6 days [IQR: 2-11 days]. In the multivariable cox-proportional hazard model; travel distance (>16 km) [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 0.69, 95% CI: (0.50-0.95)], mode of transport to the hospital (ambulance) [aHR: 0.62, 95% CI: (0.45-0.85)], breathlessness (yes) [aHR: 0.56, 95% CI: (0.40-0.77)], number of co-morbidities (1-2) [aHR: 0.66, 95% CI: (0.47-0.93)] (≥3) [aHR: 0.16, 95% CI: (0.04-0.65)], COPD/asthma (yes) [ [aHR: 0.11, 95% CI: (0.01-0.79)], DBP (<60/≥90) [aHR: 0.55, 95% CI: (0.35-0.86)] and qSOFA score (≥2) [aHR: 0.33, 95% CI: (0.12-0.92)] were the significant attributes affecting LOS of the COVID-19 patients. Conclusion: Factors elicited on arrival were found to be significantly associated with LOS. A scoring system inculcating these factors may be developed to predict LOS of the COVID-19 patients.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 215013272110002
Author(s):  
Gayathri Thiruvengadam ◽  
Marappa Lakshmi ◽  
Ravanan Ramanujam

Background: The objective of the study was to identify the factors that alter the length of hospital stay of COVID-19 patients so we have an estimate of the duration of hospitalization of patients. To achieve this, we used a time to event analysis to arrive at factors that could alter the length of hospital stay, aiding in planning additional beds for any future rise in cases. Methods: Information about COVID-19 patients was collected between June and August 2020. The response variable was the time from admission to discharge of patients. Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify the factors that were associated with the length of hospital stay. Results: A total of 730 COVID-19 patients were included, of which 675 (92.5%) recovered and 55 (7.5%) were considered to be right-censored, that is, the patient died or was discharged against medical advice. The median length of hospital stay of COVID-19 patients who were hospitalized was found to be 7 days by the Kaplan Meier curve. The covariates that prolonged the length of hospital stay were found to be abnormalities in oxygen saturation (HR = 0.446, P < .001), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (HR = 0.742, P = .003), levels of D-dimer (HR = 0.60, P = .002), lactate dehydrogenase (HR = 0.717, P = .002), and ferritin (HR = 0.763, P = .037). Also, patients who had more than 2 chronic diseases had a significantly longer length of stay (HR = 0.586, P = .008) compared to those with no comorbidities. Conclusion: Factors that are associated with prolonged length of hospital stay of patients need to be considered in planning bed strength on a contingency basis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 88
Author(s):  
Firda Anisa Fajarini ◽  
Mohamat Fatekurohman

<p>Cox proportional hazard model is a regression model that is used to see the factors that cause an event. The survival analysis used in this research is the period of time the client is able to pay the life insurance premium using Cox proportional hazard model with Breslow method.The purpose of this research is to know how sex, age, insured money, job, method of payment of premium, premium, and type of product can influence the level of ability of client to make payment of life insurance premium based on customer data from PT. BRI Life Insurance Branch of Jember in 2007.The result of this research is the final model of Cox proportional hazard obtained from several variables which have significant influence with simultaneous and partial significance test is the variable of insured money (<em>X<sub>3</sub></em>), variable of payment method of premium (<em>X<sub>5</sub></em>), premium variable (<em>X<sub>6</sub></em>) , and insurance product variable (<em>X<sub>7</sub></em>) . The four variables are said to have a significant effect on the model, so that the final model of Cox proportional hazard is obtained that consists of the parameter estimation (<em>β</em>) value of each variable</p><p> </p><p><strong>Keywords</strong><strong> : </strong>survival analysis; cox proportional hazard model; breslow method; life insurance.</p>


Blood ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 117 (10) ◽  
pp. 2778-2782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laurent Arnaud ◽  
Baptiste Hervier ◽  
Antoine Néel ◽  
Mohamed A. Hamidou ◽  
Jean-Emmanuel Kahn ◽  
...  

Abstract Erdheim-Chester disease (ECD) is a rare form of non-Langerhans histiocytosis, with noncodified therapeutic management and high mortality. No treatment has yet been shown to improve survival in these patients. We conducted a multicenter prospective observational cohort study to assess whether extraskeletal manifestations and interferon-α treatment would influence survival in a large cohort of ECD patients. To achieve this goal, we thoroughly analyzed the clinical presentation of 53 patients with biopsy-proven ECD, and we performed a survival analysis using Cox proportional hazard model. Fifty-three patients (39 men and 14 women) with biopsy-proven ECD were followed up between November 1981 and November 2010. Forty-six patients (87%) received interferon-α and/or PEGylated interferon-α. Multivariate survival analysis using Cox proportional hazard model revealed that central nervous system involvement was an independent predictor of death (hazard ratio = 2.51; 95% confidence interval, 1.28-5.52; P = .006) in our cohort. Conversely, treatment with interferon-α was identified as an independent predictor of survival (hazard ratio = 0.32; 95% confidence interval, 0.14-0.70; P = .006). Although definitive confirmation would require a randomized controlled trial, these results suggest that interferon-α improves survival in ECD patients. This may be seen as a significant advance, as it is the first time a treatment is shown to improve survival in this multisystemic disease with high mortality.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Solana Archuleta ◽  
Amal A. Gharamti ◽  
Stefan Sillau ◽  
Paula Castellanos ◽  
Sindhu Chadalawada ◽  
...  

AbstractBackgroundDiabetes mellitus is an established risk factor for bacterial infections, but its role in Cryptococcosis is unclear. The study aimed to determine whether uncontrolled diabetes (HbA1c >7%) was an independent risk factor for mortality in cryptococcosis.MethodsA retrospective case-control study partially matched by age and gender was performed in patients tested for Cryptococcus infection at the University of Colorado Hospital from 2000-2019. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify mortality predictors. Cox proportional hazard model was used for survival analysis.ResultsWe identified 96 cases of Cryptococcosis and 125 controls. Among cases, cryptococcal meningitis (49.0%) and pneumonia (36.5%) constituted most infections. Cases with pulmonary cryptococcosis had a higher mortality at 10 weeks (50% vs 7%, p=0.006) and one year (66.7% vs 13.8%, p=0.005). Unadjusted Cox proportional hazard model found an increased rate of death for uncontrolled diabetes at 10-weeks (hazard ratio 8.4, CI: 1.4-50.8, p=0.02), and 1-year (hazard ratio 7.0, CI: 1.7-28.4, p=0.007) among pulmonary cryptococcosis cases. Multivariable analysis showed a significantly increased odds of 10-weeks (OR=4.3, CI: 1.1-16.5, p=0.035) and one-year (OR=5.9, CI: 2.2-15.8, p=0.014) mortality for uncontrolled diabetes among pulmonary cryptococcosis cases. After adjustment for gender, age, and case/control, for every 1% increase in HbA1c levels, the odds of pulmonary cryptococcosis mortality at one-year increased by 11% (OR = 1.6, CI 95%: 1.1-2.3, p= 0.006).ConclusionUncontrolled diabetes is associated with worse outcomes in pulmonary cryptococcosis, including a 4-fold and 6-fold increased odds of death at 10-weeks and 1-year, respectively. Glucose control interventions should be explored to improve clinical outcomes in patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis.


2013 ◽  
pp. 155-160
Author(s):  
Angéla Soltész

The paper studies two nucleus pig farms in the Great Plain region of Hungary which have same management, same feeding system but different breeding technology (Farm A had solid floor with straw and Farm B had slatted floor without straw). The genetics of sows were crossbred Dutch Large White and Dutch Landrace. The comparative examination was based on the causes of culling according to the different floor type. To the analysis of culling reasons was applied the methods of survival analysis. In the analysis there were used the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox Proportional Hazard model to the estimate the difference between the farms. The results of survival analysis showed significant difference (p<0.05) between the lifespan of sows that caused the difference between the survival probabilities of sows culled due to lameness. Furthermore there was showed that the sows kept on solid floor with straw have stayed in production longer than on slatted floor without straw. The hazard ratio was 1.434 that means that the culling due to lameness is 1.434 times higher by the slatted floor without straw facing by solid floor with straw.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 204993612110043
Author(s):  
Solana Archuleta ◽  
Amal A. Gharamti ◽  
Stefan Sillau ◽  
Paula Castellanos ◽  
Sindhu Chadalawada ◽  
...  

Background: Diabetes mellitus is an established risk factor for bacterial infections, but its role in cryptococcosis is unclear. The study aimed to determine whether uncontrolled diabetes (HbA1c >7%) was an independent risk factor for mortality in cryptococcosis. Methods: A retrospective case–control study partially matched by age and gender was performed in patients tested for Cryptococcus infection at the University of Colorado Hospital from 2000 to 2019. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify mortality predictors. Cox proportional hazard model was used for survival analysis. Results: We identified 96 cases of cryptococcosis and 125 controls. Among cases, cryptococcal meningitis (49.0%) and pneumonia (36.5%) constituted most infections. Cases with pulmonary cryptococcosis with uncontrolled diabetes had a higher mortality at 10 weeks (50% versus 7%, p = 0.006) and 1 year (66.7% versus 13.8%, p = 0.005) compared to pulmonary cases with controlled or no diabetes. Unadjusted Cox proportional hazard model found an increased rate of death for uncontrolled diabetes at 10 weeks [hazard ratio 8.4, confidence interval (CI): 1.4–50.8, p = 0.02] and 1 year (hazard ratio 7.0, CI: 1.7–28.4, p = 0.007) among pulmonary cryptococcosis cases. Multivariable analysis showed a significantly increased odds of 10 weeks [odds ratio (OR) = 4.3, CI: 1.1–16.5, p = 0.035] and 1 year (OR = 5.0, CI: 1.4–18.3, p = 0.014) mortality for uncontrolled diabetes among pulmonary cryptococcosis cases. After adjustment for gender, age, and case/control, for every 1% increase in HbA1c levels, the odds of pulmonary cryptococcosis mortality at 1 year increased by 11% (OR = 1.6, CI 95%: 1.1–2.3, p = 0.006). Conclusion: Uncontrolled diabetes is associated with worse outcomes in pulmonary cryptococcosis, including a 4-fold and 6-fold increased odds of death at 10 weeks and 1 year, respectively. Glucose control interventions should be explored to improve clinical outcomes in patients with pulmonary cryptococcosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 80 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 947.1-947
Author(s):  
K. S. K. MA ◽  
L. T. Wang

Background:Juvenile Idiopathic Arthritis (JIA), an autoimmune disease, has been proposed to be comorbid with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA).Objectives:We aimed at identifying the relationship between JIA and OSA.Methods:We performed a cohort study including JIA and OSA patients from 1999 to 2013. A total of 2791 patients diagnosed with OSA after JIA onset were recruited, which 11,164 eligible individuals without JIA history were selected as matched-controls. A Cox proportional hazard model was developed to estimate the risk of OSA in JIA patients. A cumulative probability model was adopted to assess the time-dependent effect of JIA on OSA development, implying the casual link of the association. To identify whether JIA patients have higher risks for developing temporomandibular joint (TMJ) disorders, craniofacial anomalies and deformities than non-JIA individuals, subgroup analyses was conducted. Finally, Ingenuity Systems Pathway Analysis (IPA) was conducted to identify underlying mechanisms of the above disease correlation among peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from rheumatic factor (RF)-positive and RF-negative JIA patients, and subcutaneous fat tissues from OSA patients, using p-value visualization for RNA-seq analyses.Results:The Cox proportional hazard model showed that JIA patients were more likely to have OSA than non-JIA individuals (adjusted hazard ratio =1.949, 95% CI =1.264–3.005). The incidence of developing OSA was particularly high among patients who developed JIA aged 18-30 years old (aHR= 2.034, 95% CI=1.305-3.169) and males (aHR=1.82, 95% CI=1.121-2.954). The risk of developing OSA increased within 0-36 months (aHR = 2.216, 95% CI = 1.001 – 4.907) and over 60 months (aHR = 2.558, 95% CI = 1.346 – 4.860) of follow-up duration after JIA onset. Subgroup analyses showed that JIA patients were more likely to have TMJ disorders (relative risk = 2.047, 95% CI = 1.446-2.898) and to receive treatment for craniofacial deformities (RR = 1.722, 95% CI = 1.38-2.148) than non-JIA controls. IPA analyses suggested that the underlying mechanisms involved activation of antigen presentation pathway followed by antigen presentation to CD4+ and CD8+ T lymphocytes, as well as B cell development.Conclusion:Our findings identified high risks of developing OSA, TMJ disorders, and craniofacial deformities following JIA onset, which the underlying mechanisms may involve both cellular and humoral immunity.Disclosure of Interests:None declared


2017 ◽  
Vol 05 (04) ◽  
pp. E291-E296
Author(s):  
Nobuhiko Fukuba ◽  
Shunji Ishihara ◽  
Hiroki Sonoyama ◽  
Noritsugu Yamashita ◽  
Masahito Aimi ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and study aims Recurrence of common bile duct stones (CBDS) in patients treated with endoscopic sphincterotomy (ES) can lead to deterioration in their quality of life. Although the pathology and related factors are unclear, we speculated that proton pump inhibiter (PPI) administration increases the risk of CBDS recurrence by altering the bacterial mixture in the bile duct. Patients and methods The primary endpoint of this retrospective study was recurrence-free period. Several independent variables considered to have a relationship with CBDS recurrence including PPI use were analyzed using a COX proportional hazard model, with potential risk factors then evaluated by propensity score matching analysis. Results A total of 219 patients were analyzed, with CBDS recurrence found in 44. Analysis of variables using a COX proportional hazard model demonstrated that use of PPIs and ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), as well as the presence of periampullary diverticula (PD) each had a hazard ratio (HR) value greater than 1 (HR 2.2, P = 0.007; HR 2.0, P = 0.02; HR 1.9, P = 0.07; respectively). Furthermore, propensity score matching analysis revealed that the mean recurrence-free period in the oral PPI cohort was significantly shorter as compared with the non-PPI cohort (1613 vs. 2587 days, P = 0.014). In contrast, neither UDCA administration nor PD presence was found to be a significant factor in that analysis (1557 vs. 1654 days, P = 0.508; 1169 vs. 2011 days, P = 0.121; respectively). Conclusion Our results showed that oral PPI administration is a risk factor for CBDS recurrence in patients who undergo ES.


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