scholarly journals A nomogram model for predicting prognosis of obstructive colorectal cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Lv ◽  
Yuan yuan Liu ◽  
Yi tao Jia ◽  
Jing li He ◽  
Guang yao Dai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Carcinoembryonic Antigen ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Obstructive Colorectal Cancer ◽  
N Stage ◽  
Good Concordance ◽  
Individualized Prediction ◽  
The Individual

Abstract Background The prognosis of obstructive colorectal cancer (oCRC) is worse than that of nonobstructive colorectal cancer. However, no previous study has established an individualized prediction model for the prognosis of patients with oCRC. We aimed to screen the factors that affect the prognosis of oCRC and to use these findings to establish a nomogram model that predicts the individual prognosis of patients with oCRC. Methods This retrospective study collected data of 181 patients with oCRC from three medical hospitals between February 2012 and December 2017. Among them, 129 patients from one hospital were used as the training cohort. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used in this training cohort to select independent risk factors that affect the prognosis of oCRC, and a nomogram model was established. The other 52 patients from two additional hospitals were used as the validation cohort to verify the model. Results Multivariate analysis showed that carcinoembryonic antigen level (p = 0.037, hazard ratio [HR] = 2.872 [1.065–7.740]), N stage (N1 vs. N0, p = 0.028, HR = 3.187 [1.137–8.938]; N2 vs. N0, p = 0.010, HR = 4.098 [1.393–12.051]), and surgical procedures (p = 0.002, HR = 0.299 [0.139–0.643]) were independent prognostic factors of overall survival in patients with oCRC. These factors were used to construct the nomogram model, which showed good concordance and accuracy. Conclusion Carcinoembryonic antigen, N stage, and surgical method are independent prognostic factors for overall survival in patients with oCRC, and the nomogram model can visually display these results.

scholarly journals A Nomogram Model for Predicting Prognosis of Obstructive Colorectal Cancer

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Lv ◽  
YuanYuan Liu ◽  
YiTao Jia ◽  
JingLi He ◽  
GuangYao Dai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Surgical Procedure ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Prognostic Indicators ◽  
Training Cohort ◽  
Obstructive Colorectal Cancer ◽  
N Stage ◽  
Individualized Prediction

Abstract Background: The prognosis of obstructive colorectal cancer (oCRC) is worse than non-obstructive CRC, but the individualized prediction model for the prognosis of oCRC patients has not been established. The aim of this study was to select prognostic predictors to built a Nomogram model to predic the prognosis of oCRC patients. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted on 181 oCRC partients between February 2012 to December 2017 from three medical hospitals. 129 patients in one of the hospitals were assigned to the training chort.Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to select independent prognostic indicators in a training cohort and a Nomogram model was constructed. 52 patients foom another two hospital were used as the testing cohort to validate the model.Results: Multivariate analysis illustrated the CEA [p=0.037, HR=2.872 (1.065-7.740)], N stage [N1 vs. N0, p=0.028, HR=3.187 (1.137-8.938) ; N2 vs. N0, p=0.010, HR=4.098 (1.393-12.051)] and surgical procedure [p=0.002, HR=0.299 (0.139-0.643)] were independent prognostic factors for OS of oCRC patients. These factors were used to construct the Nomogram model. Both internal and external validation shows it relatively accuracy.Conclusions: CEA, N stage and surgical procedure were independent prognostic factors for OS of oCRC patients, Which can be visually exhibited by Nomogram model.

scholarly journals Clinical and therapeutic features and prognostic factors of metastatic colorectal cancer over age 80: a retrospective study

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroyuki Hisada ◽  
Yu Takahashi ◽  
Manabu Kubota ◽  
Haruhisa Shimura ◽  
Ei Itobayashi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Elderly Patients ◽  
Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Carcinoembryonic Antigen ◽  
Prognostic Nutritional Index ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Elderly Group ◽  
Younger Patients ◽  
Nutritional Index

Abstract Background Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers in the world. The number of elderly patients with CRC increases due to aging of the population. There are few studies that examined chemotherapy and prognostic factors in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients aged ≥ 80 years. We assessed the efficacy of chemotherapy and prognostic factors among patients with mCRC aged ≥ 80 years. Methods We retrospectively analyzed clinical and laboratory findings of 987 patients newly diagnosed with CRC at Asahi General Hospital (Chiba, Japan) between January 2012 and December 2016. The Kaplan–Meier method was used for the overall survival (OS) and the log-rank test was used to identify difference between patients. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was performed to determine the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of prognostic factors among super-elderly patients. Results In total, 260 patients were diagnosed with mCRC (super-elderly group: n = 43, aged ≥ 80 years and younger group, n = 217, aged < 80 years). The performance status and nutritional status were worse in the super-elderly group than in the younger group. The OS of super-elderly patients who received chemotherapy was worse than that of younger patients (18.5 vs. 28.8 months; P = 0.052), although the difference was not significant. The OS of patients who received chemotherapy tended to be longer than that of those who did not; however, there were no significant differences in OS in the super-elderly group (18.5 vs. 8.4 months P = 0.33). Multivariate analysis revealed that carcinoembryonic antigen levels ≥ 5 ng/mL (hazard ratio: 2.27; 95% CI 1.09–4.74; P = 0.03) and prognostic nutritional index ≤ 35 (hazard ratio: 8.57; 95% CI 2.63–27.9; P = 0.0003) were independently associated with poor OS in the super-elderly group. Conclusions Patients with mCRC aged ≥ 80 years had lower OS than younger patients even though they received chemotherapy. Carcinoembryonic antigen and prognostic nutritional index were independent prognostic factors in super-elderly patients with mCRC, but chemotherapy was not. Trial registration: retrospectively registered.

scholarly journals Serum sE-selectin levels and carcinoembryonic antigen mRNA-expressing cells in peripheral blood as prognostic factors in colorectal cancer patients

Cancer ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 116 (12) ◽  
pp. 2913-2921 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrizia Ferroni ◽  
Mario Roselli ◽  
Antonella Spila ◽  
Roberta D'Alessandro ◽  
Ilaria Portarena ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Carcinoembryonic Antigen ◽  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Peripheral Blood ◽  
Colorectal Cancer Patients

The Clinical and Prognostic Significance of Protein Arginine Deiminases 2 and 4 in Colorectal Cancer

Pathobiology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Mohamed Gijon ◽  
Rachael L. Metheringham ◽  
Michael S. Toss ◽  
Samantha J. Paston ◽  
Lindy G. Durrant
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Survival Time ◽  
Patient Survival ◽  
Prognostic Significance ◽  
High Expression ◽  
Related Protein ◽  
Post Translational Modification

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Protein arginine deiminases (PADIs) are a family of enzymes that catalyse the post-translational modification of proteins. Association between PADI expression and clinicopathology, protein expression, and outcome was determined. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> PADI2 and PADI4 expression was assessed immunohistochemically in a cohort of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. <b><i>Results:</i></b> CRC tissues expressed variable levels of PADI2 which was mainly localised in the cytoplasm and correlated with patient survival (<i>p</i> = 0.005); high expression increased survival time from 43.5 to 67.6 months. Expression of cytoplasmic PADI2 correlated with the expression of nuclear β catenin, PADI4, and alpha-enolase. In contrast, expression of nuclear PADI2 correlated with a decrease in survival (<i>p</i> = 0.010), with high expression decreasing survival from 76.4 to 42.9 months. CRC tissues expressed variable levels of PADI4 in both the nucleus and cytoplasm. Expression of cytoplasmic PADI4 correlated with survival (<i>p</i> = 0.001) with high expression increasing survival time from 48.1 to 71.8 months. Expression of cytoplasmic PADI4 correlated with expression of nuclear β catenin, alpha-enolase (<i>p</i> ≤ 0.0001, <i>p</i> = 0.002), and the apoptotic related protein, Bcl-2. Expression of nuclear PADI4 also correlated with survival (<i>p</i> = 0.011), with high expression of nuclear PADI4 increasing survival time from 55.4 to 74 months. Expression of nuclear PADI4 correlated with p53, alpha-enolase, and Bcl-2. Multivariate analysis showed that TNM stage, cytoplasmic PADI2, and PADI4 remained independent prognostic factors in CRC. Both PADI2 and PADI4 are good prognostic factors in CRC. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> High expression of cytoplasmic PADI2, PADI4, and nuclear PADI4 were associated with an increase in overall survival.

Weekly Irinotecan in Patients with Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Failing 5-Fluorouracil-Based Chemotherapy: Efficacy and Prognostic Factors

2003 ◽  
Vol 89 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-145 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aziz Karaoğrlu ◽  
Suayib Yalcin ◽  
Gülten Tekuzman ◽  
Ayse Kars ◽  
Ismail Çelik ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Objective Response ◽  
Response Duration ◽  
Response To Treatment ◽  
Time To Progression ◽  
Median Response ◽  
Poor Prognostic Factor ◽  
Histologic Subtype

Aims and background We evaluated the efficacy and tolerability of weekly irinotecan as a second-line treatment in patients with colorectal cancer failing 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy and searched for predictive and prognostic factors. Methods A total of 36 patients were included. Median age was 53 years (range, 33-72). One treatment cycle consisted of irinotecan, 100 mg/m2 weekly, for 4 weeks followed by a 2-week rest. Gender, age, primary site, number of metastatic sites, histologic subtype, differentiation, pretreatment CEA, CA 19-9 and lactate dehydrogenase levels and marker response to treatment were investigated as predictive factors for response to treatment and as prognostic factors in the overall survival and time to progression of the patients. Results A total of 120 cycles (median, 3 cycles) was delivered. An overall 14% objective response rate (1 complete and 4 partial responses) was achieved. The median response duration was 4 months (range, 2-7). Another 36% of the patients had stable disease for a median duration of 4 months (range, 2-8). Median time-to-disease progression was 4 months and overall median survival was 12 months (95% confidence interval, 9-15). Pretreatment serum CA 19-9 level and marker response to two courses of treatment were found to be clinically significant in time to progression and overall survival. Younger age (≤45 years) was a poor prognostic factor associated with a shorter time to progression. The major toxicity was grade 3-4 diarrhea, which occurred in 28% of the patients, and treatment was discontinued in 3 (8%) patients due to toxicity. Other hematological and non-hematological toxicities were mild and manageable. Conclusions We concluded that weekly irinotecan at the dose of 100 mg/m2 is an effective and tolerable treatment option, with a 50% disease control rate, for patients with colorectal cancer failing previous 5-fluorouracil-based chemotherapy.

Prognostic factors (PF) influencing overall survival (OS) in stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC).

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e14021-e14021 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. S. Yu ◽  
R. Woods ◽  
C. Speers ◽  
S. Gill ◽  
H. F. Kennecke
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Stage Iv ◽  
Stage Iv Colorectal Cancer

scholarly journals Bridge to Surgery Using a Self-Expandable Metallic Stent for Stages II–III Obstructive Colorectal Cancer

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katsuya Ohta ◽  
Masakazu Ikenaga ◽  
Masami Ueda ◽  
Kiyotsugu Iede ◽  
Yujiro Tsuda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Venous Invasion ◽  
Stage Ii ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Metallic Stent ◽  
Bridge To Surgery ◽  
Sems Placement ◽  
Obstructive Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Expandable Metallic Stent

Abstract Background: Bridge to surgery (BTS) using a self-expandable metallic stent (SEMS) for the treatment of obstructive colorectal cancer improves the patient’s quality of life. This study aimed to examine prognostic factors of obstructive colorectal cancer. Methods: We analyzed stage II-III resectable colon cancer cases (Cur A) retrospectively registered between January 2005 and 2017. We encountered Cur A cases after BTS with SEMS placement (BTS group). We compared surgical results and prognoses between the two groups. Results: A total of 50 patients underwent endoscopic SEMS placement, which technical success of 96% and morbidity rate of 18%. Overall, 117 patients were evaluated: 67 of them underwent emergency surgery (ES) and 50 underwent BTS. Primary anastomosis rates were 77.6% in ES and 95.7% in BTS (p < 0.001); postoperative complication, 46.3% in ES and 10.5% in BTS (p < 0.001); pathological findings of lymphatic invasion, 66.7% in ES and 100% in BTS (p < 0.001); venous invasion were 66.8% in ES and 92% in BTS (p = 0.04); and recurrence of 25.4% in ES and 39.1% in BTS. The 3-year overall survival was significantly different between two groups (ES, 86.8%:BTS, 58.8%), BTS is worse than ES (log-rank test; p < 0.001). Venous invasion independently predicted worsened recurrence-free and overall survival. Conclusions: The vascular invasiveness was correlated with tumor progression after SEMS placement, and the survival rate was lower in BTS. SEMS potentially worsens prognostic outcomes in stage II–III obstructive colorectal cancer.

scholarly journals Prognostic nomogram to predict the overall survival of patients with early-onset colorectal cancer: a population-based analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junxian Wu ◽  
Linbin Lu ◽  
Hong Chen ◽  
Yihong Lin ◽  
Huanlin Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colorectal Cancer ◽  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Early Onset ◽  
Clinical Decision Making ◽  
Staging System ◽  
Tnm Staging ◽  
Discriminative Ability ◽  
Tnm Staging System ◽  
Early Onset Colorectal Cancer

Abstract Purpose The present study aimed to identify independent clinicopathological and socio-economic prognostic factors associated with overall survival of early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) patients and then establish and validate a prognostic nomogram for patients with EO-CRC. Methods Eligible patients with EO-CRC diagnosed from 2010 to 2017 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were randomly divided into a training cohort and a testing cohort. Independent prognostic factors were obtained using univariate and multivariate Cox analyses and were used to establish a nomogram for predicting 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS). The discriminative ability and calibration of the nomogram were assessed using C-index values, AUC values, and calibration plots. Results In total, 5585 patients with EO-CRC were involved in the study. Based on the univariate and multivariate analyses, 15 independent prognostic factors were assembled into the nomogram to predict 3- and 5-year OS. The nomogram showed favorable discriminatory ability as indicated by the C-index (0.840, 95% CI 0.827–0.850), and the 3- and 5-year AUC values (0.868 and 0.84869 respectively). Calibration plots indicated optimal agreement between the nomogram-predicted survival and the actual observed survival. The results remained reproducible in the testing cohort. The C-index of the nomogram was higher than that of the TNM staging system (0.840 vs 0.804, P < 0.001). Conclusion A novel prognostic nomogram for EO-CRC patients based on independent clinicopathological and socio-economic factors was developed, which was superior to the TNM staging system. The nomogram could facilitate postoperative individual prognosis prediction and clinical decision-making.

scholarly journals Development and Validation of Nomograms to Predict Prognosis of Oral and Oropharyngeal Mucoepidermoid Carcinoma: A SEER-Based Study

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
muyuan liu ◽  
Litian Tong ◽  
Manbin Xu ◽  
Xiang Xu ◽  
Bin Liang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Overall Survival ◽  
Prognostic Factors ◽  
Mucoepidermoid Carcinoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Seer Database ◽  
Disease Specific Survival ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
T Stage ◽  
N Stage ◽  
Disease Specific

Abstract Background: Due to the low incidence of mucoepidermoid carcinoma, there lacks sufficient studies for determining optimal treatment and predicting prognosis. The purpose of this study was to develop prognostic nomograms, to predict overall survival and disease-specific survival (DSS) of oral and oropharyngeal mucoepidermoid carcinoma patients, using the National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Methods: Clinicopathological and follow-up data of patients diagnosed with oral and oropharyngeal mucoepidermoid carcinoma between 2004 and 2017 were collected from the SEER database. The Kaplan-Meier method with the log-rank test was employed to identify single prognostic factors. Multivariate Cox regression was utilized to identify independent prognostic factors. C-index, area under the ROC curve (AUC) and calibration curves were used to assess performance of the prognostic nomograms. Results: A total of 1230 patients with oral and oropharyngeal mucoepidermoid carcinoma were enrolled in the present study. After multivariate Cox regression analysis, age, sex, tumor subsite, T stage, N stage, M stage, grade and surgery were identified as independent prognostic factors for overall survival. T stage, N stage, M stage, grade and surgery were identified as independent prognostic factors for disease-specific survival. Nomograms were constructed to predict the overall survival and disease-specific survival based on the independent prognostic factors. The fitted nomograms possessed excellent prediction accuracy, with a C-index of 0.899 for OS prediction and 0.893 for DSS prediction. Internal validation by computing the bootstrap calibration plots, using the validation set, indicated excellent performance by the nomograms. Conclusion: The prognostic nomograms developed, based on individual clinicopathological characteristics, in the present study, accurately predicted the overall survival and disease-specific survival of patients with oral and oropharyngeal mucoepidermoid carcinoma.

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