Earthquakes and errors: Methods for industrial applications

Geophysics ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 76 (6) ◽  
pp. WC5-WC15 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gillian R. Foulger ◽  
Bruce R. Julian

The high accuracies and realistic confidence assessments demanded for seismic monitoring of hydraulic fracturing work require specialist experimental approaches. These include seismic network design based on quantitative modeling, high-quality instrument deployments, and accurate and detailed crustal models. Confidence estimates must take into account uncertainties about crustal structure, which may dominate error budgets. Earthquake size should be expressed in terms of scalar seismic moment or the associated moment magnitude [Formula: see text], which is related to fundamental physical source processes, and not as traditional earthquake magnitudes. Representing earthquake mechanisms in terms of seismic moment tensors allows for processes such as volume changes and complex types of shearing that are important in hydrocarbon and geothermal reservoirs. Traditional fault-plane solutions are based on simplifying assumptions such as shear slip on a planar faults, and isotropic crustal structures, which may introduce large uncertainties. Quantitative assessment of confidence regions for moment-tensor source mechanisms, a newly emerging field, is important for distinguishing computational artifacts from real physical phenomena. We review methods currently available for realistic error estimation for earthquake locations and moment tensors, with particular emphasis on surface sensor arrays in geothermal areas.


Author(s):  
Dana Křížová ◽  
Jiří Málek

Abstract West Bohemia is a region with a lot of mineral springs and gas outflows, which seems to be related to the remains of Quaternary volcanism in Central Europe. Earthquake swarms in shallow depths (less than 15 km) are very frequent there. We focused on the strongest earthquake over the past 30 yr (31 May, 2014 Mw∼3.8) and on two smaller ones (Mw∼2.9 and 2.5) from the same day. Seismograms from local and regional seismic stations were used to calculate the full and deviatoric moment tensors using low-frequency full-waveform inversion. The studied events have similar source mechanisms. The aforementioned earthquake sequence was selected to observe the isotropic part (negative value = implosion) of full moment tensors. It could relate to the motion and phase transition of fluids, especially water, and CO2. The main goal of this study is to contribute to clarification of the nature of earthquake swarms in the western edge of the Bohemian Massif. Negative value of the isotropic part of full moment tensor could be related to the closing of cracks and fissures during a rupture process.



2020 ◽  
Vol 223 (1) ◽  
pp. 161-179
Author(s):  
S Donner ◽  
M Mustać ◽  
B Hejrani ◽  
H Tkalčić ◽  
H Igel

SUMMARY Seismic moment tensors are an important tool and input variable for many studies in the geosciences. The theory behind the determination of moment tensors is well established. They are routinely and (semi-) automatically calculated on a global scale. However, on regional and local scales, there are still several difficulties hampering the reliable retrieval of the full seismic moment tensor. In an earlier study, we showed that the waveform inversion for seismic moment tensors can benefit significantly when incorporating rotational ground motion in addition to the commonly used translational ground motion. In this study, we test, what is the best processing strategy with respect to the resolvability of the seismic moment tensor components: inverting three-component data with Green’s functions (GFs) based on a 3-D structural model, six-component data with GFs based on a 1-D model, or unleashing the full force of six-component data and GFs based on a 3-D model? As a reference case, we use the inversion based on three-component data and 1-D structure, which has been the most common practice in waveform inversion for moment tensors so far. Building on the same Bayesian approach as in our previous study, we invert synthetic waveforms for two test cases from the Korean Peninsula: one is the 2013 nuclear test of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and the other is an Mw  5.4 tectonic event of 2016 in the Republic of Korea using waveform data recorded on stations in Korea, China and Japan. For the Korean Peninsula, a very detailed 3-D velocity model is available. We show that for the tectonic event both, the 3-D structural model and the rotational ground motion, contribute strongly to the improved resolution of the seismic moment tensor. The higher the frequencies used for inversion, the higher is the influence of rotational ground motions. This is an important effect to consider when inverting waveforms from smaller magnitude events. The explosive source benefits more from the 3-D structural model than from the rotational ground motion. Nevertheless, the rotational ground motion can help to better constraint the isotropic part of the source in the higher frequency range.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Elizabeth de Joux Robertson

<p>The aim of this project is to enable accurate earthquake magnitudes (moment magnitude, MW) to be calculated routinely and in near real-time for New Zealand earthquakes. This would be done by inversion of waveform data to obtain seismic moment tensors. Seismic moment tensors also provide information on fault-type. I use a well-established seismic moment tensor inversion method, the Time-Domain [seismic] Moment Tensor Inversion algorithm (TDMT_INVC) and apply it to GeoNet broadband waveform data to generate moment tensor solutions for New Zealand earthquakes. Some modifications to this software were made. A velocity model can now be automatically used to calculate Green's functions without having a pseudolayer boundary at the source depth. Green's functions can be calculated for multiple depths in a single step, and data are detrended and a suitable data window is selected. The seismic moment tensor solution that has either the maximum variance reduction or the maximum double-couple component is automatically selected for each depth. Seismic moment tensors were calculated for 24 New Zealand earthquakes from 2000 to 2005. The Global CMT project has calculated CMT solutions for 22 of these, and the Global CMT project solutions are compared to the solutions obtained in this project to test the accuracy of the solutions obtained using the TDMT_INVC code. The moment magnitude values are close to the Global CMT values for all earthquakes. The focal mechanisms could only be determined for a few of the earthquakes studied. The value of the moment magnitude appears to be less sensitive to the velocity model and earthquake location (epicentre and depth) than the focal mechanism. Distinguishing legitimate seismic signal from background seismic noise is likely to be the biggest problem in routine inversions.</p>



2020 ◽  
Vol 221 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-88
Author(s):  
Sean R Ford ◽  
Gordon D Kraft ◽  
Gene A Ichinose

SUMMARY Event screening is an explosion monitoring practice that aims to identify an event as an explosion (‘screened in’) or not (‘screened out’). Confidence in event screening can be increased if multiple independent approaches are used. We describe a new approach to event screening using the seismic moment tensor and its representation on the hypersphere, specifically the 5-sphere of 6-degree unit vectors representing the normalized symmetric moment tensor. The sample of moment tensors from an explosion data set is unimodal on the 5-sphere and can be parametrized by the Langevin distribution, which is sometimes referred to as the Normal distribution on the hypersphere. Screening is then accomplished by finding the angle from the explosion population mean to any newly measured moment tensor and testing if that angle is in the tail of the Langevin distribution (conservatively quantified as greater than 99.9 per cent of the cumulative density). We apply the screen to a sample of earthquakes from the Western USA and the September 2017 explosion and subsequent collapse at the Pungyye-Ri Test Site in North Korea. All the earthquakes and the collapse screen out, but the explosion does not.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Savvaidis Alexandros ◽  
Roselli Pamela

&lt;p&gt;In the scope to investigate the possible interactions between injected fluids, subsurface geology, stress field and triggering earthquakes, we investigate seismic source parameters related to the seismicity in West Texas (USA). The analysis of seismic moment tensor is an excellent tool to understand earthquake source process kinematics; moreover, changes in the fluid volume during faulting leads to existence of non-double-couple (NDC) components (Frohlich, 1994; Julian et al., 1998; Miller et al., 1998). The NDC percentage in the source constitutes the sum of absolute ISO and CLVD components so that %NDC= % ISO + %CLVD and %ISO+%CLVD+%DC=100%. It is currently known that the presence of NDC implies more complex sources (mixed shear-tensile earthquakes) correlated to fluid injections, geothermal systems and volcano-seismology where induced and triggered seismicity is observed.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;With this hypothesis, we analyze the micro-earthquakes (M &lt;2 .7) recorded by the Texas Seismological Network (TexNet) and a temporary network constituted by 40 seismic stations (equipped by either broadband or 3 component geophones). Our study area is characterized by Northwest-Southeast faults that follow the local stress/field (SH&lt;sub&gt;max&lt;/sub&gt;) and the geological characteristic of the shallow basin structure of the study area. After a selection based on signal-to-noise ratio, we filter (1-50 Hz) the seismograms and estimate P-wave pulse polarities and the first P-wave ground displacement pulse in time domain. Then, we perform the full moment tensor analysis by using hybridMT technique (Andersen, 2001; Kwiatek et al., 2016) with a detailed 1D velocity model. The key parameter is the polarity/area of the first P-wave ground displacement pulse in time domain. Uncertainties of estimated moment tensors are expressed by normalized root-mean-square (RMS errors) between theoretical and estimated amplitudes (Vavricuk et al., 2014). We also evaluate the quality of the seismic moment tensors by bootstrap and resampling. In our preliminary results we obtain NDC percentage (in terms of %ISO and %CLVD components), Mw, seismic moment, P, T and B axes orientation for each source inverted.&lt;/p&gt;



2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kasemsak Saetang

The focal mechanisms of Mw 6.3 aftershocks, Chiang Rai Province, Northern Thailand, were determined by using a multistation waveform inversion. Three aftershocks were selected and their waveforms were inverted for moment tensor calculation. Waveform inversions were derived from three broadband stations with three components and epicentral distances less than 250 km after all seismic stations were considered. The deviatoric moment tensor inversion was used for focal mechanism calculations. Band-pass filtering in the range of 0.03–0.15 Hz was selected for reducing low- and high-frequency noise. Source positions were created by using a single-source inversion and a grid-search method computed to optimize the waveform match. The results showed stable moment tensors and fault geometries with the southwest azimuth in the northern part of the Payao Fault Zone (PFZ) with depths shallower than 10 km. Left-lateral strike-slip with a reverse component was detected. The tectonics of the PFZ is constrained by fault-plane solutions of earthquakes. WSW directional strikes are observed in the northern part of the PFZ.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Viktoriya Yarushina ◽  
Alexander Minakov

&lt;p&gt;The microseismic events can often be characterized by a complex non-double couple source mechanism. Recent laboratory studies recording the acoustic emission during rock deformation help connecting the components of the seismic moment tensor with the failure process. In this complementary contribution, we offer a mathematical model which can clarify these connections. We derive the seismic moment tensor based on classical continuum mechanics and plasticity theory. The moment tensor density can be represented by the product of elastic stiffness tensor and the plastic strain tensor. This representation of seismic sources has several useful properties: i) it accounts for incipient faulting as a microseismicity source mechanism, ii) it does not require a pre-defined fracture geometry, iii) it accounts for both shear and volumetric source mechanisms, iv) it is valid for general heterogeneous and anisotropic rocks, and v) it is consistent with elasto-plastic geomechanical simulators. We illustrate the new approach using 2D numerical examples of seismicity associated with cylindrical openings, analogous to wellbore, tunnel or fluid-rich conduit, and provide a simple analytic expression of the moment density tensor. We compare our simulation results with previously published data from laboratory and field experiments. &amp;#160;We consider three special cases corresponding to &quot;dry&quot; isotropic rocks, &quot;dry&quot; transversely isotropic rocks and &quot;wet&quot; isotropic rocks. The model highlights theoretical links between stress state, geomechanical parameters and conventional representations of the moment tensor such as Hudson source type parameters.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt;



Author(s):  
Boris Rösler ◽  
Seth Stein ◽  
Bruce D. Spencer

Abstract Catalogs of moment tensors form the foundation for a wide variety of seismological studies. However, assessing uncertainties in the moment tensors and the quantities derived from them is difficult. To gain insight, we compare 5000 moment tensors in the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the Global Centroid Moment Tensor (Global CMT) Project catalogs for November 2015–December 2020 and use the differences to illustrate the uncertainties. The differences are typically an order of magnitude larger than the reported errors, suggesting that the errors substantially underestimate the uncertainty. The catalogs are generally consistent, with intriguing differences. Global CMT generally reports larger scalar moments than USGS, with the difference decreasing with magnitude. This difference is larger than and of the opposite sign from what is expected due to the different definitions of the scalar moment. Instead, the differences are intrinsic to the tensors, presumably in part due to different phases used in the inversions. The differences in double-couple components of source mechanisms and the fault angles derived from them decrease with magnitude. Non-double-couple (NDC) components decrease somewhat with magnitude. These components are moderately correlated between catalogs, with correlations stronger for larger earthquakes. Hence, small earthquakes often show large NDC components, but many have large uncertainties and are likely to be artifacts of the inversion. Conversely, larger earthquakes are less likely to have large NDC components, but these components are typically robust between catalogs. If so, these can indicate either true deviation from a double couple or source complexity. The differences between catalogs in scalar moment, source geometry, or NDC fraction of individual earthquakes are essentially uncorrelated, suggesting that the differences reflect the inversion rather than the source process. Despite the differences in moment tensors, the location and depth of the centroids are consistent between catalogs. Our results apply to earthquakes after 2012, before which many moment tensors were common to both catalogs.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefanie Donner

Seismic moment tensors are an important tool in geosciences on all spatial scales and for a broad range of applications. The basic underlying theory is established since decades. However, various factors influence the reliability of the inversion result, several of them are mutually dependent. Hence, a reliable retrieval of seismic moment tensors is still hampered in many cases, especially at regional event-receiver distances.To sample the entire wavefield due to a seismic source we need six components: three translational and three rotational ones. Up to now, only translational ground motion recordings were used for moment tensor retrieval, missing out valuable information. Using rotational in addition to the classical translational ground motions during waveform inversion for moment tensors mainly adds information on the vertical displacement gradient to the inversion problem. Furthermore, having available six instead of only three components per receiver location provides additional constraints on the sampling of the radiation pattern. As a result, the moment tensor components are resolved with higher precision and accuracy, even when the number of recording receivers is considerably reduced. Especially, components with a dependence to depth as well as the centroid depth can benefit significantly from additional rotational ground motion. Up to the time of writing this review only a few studies are published on the topic. Here, I summarise their findings and provide an overview over the possible capabilities of including rotational ground motion measurements to waveform inversion for seismic moment tensor retrieval.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Elizabeth de Joux Robertson

<p>The aim of this project is to enable accurate earthquake magnitudes (moment magnitude, MW) to be calculated routinely and in near real-time for New Zealand earthquakes. This would be done by inversion of waveform data to obtain seismic moment tensors. Seismic moment tensors also provide information on fault-type. I use a well-established seismic moment tensor inversion method, the Time-Domain [seismic] Moment Tensor Inversion algorithm (TDMT_INVC) and apply it to GeoNet broadband waveform data to generate moment tensor solutions for New Zealand earthquakes. Some modifications to this software were made. A velocity model can now be automatically used to calculate Green's functions without having a pseudolayer boundary at the source depth. Green's functions can be calculated for multiple depths in a single step, and data are detrended and a suitable data window is selected. The seismic moment tensor solution that has either the maximum variance reduction or the maximum double-couple component is automatically selected for each depth. Seismic moment tensors were calculated for 24 New Zealand earthquakes from 2000 to 2005. The Global CMT project has calculated CMT solutions for 22 of these, and the Global CMT project solutions are compared to the solutions obtained in this project to test the accuracy of the solutions obtained using the TDMT_INVC code. The moment magnitude values are close to the Global CMT values for all earthquakes. The focal mechanisms could only be determined for a few of the earthquakes studied. The value of the moment magnitude appears to be less sensitive to the velocity model and earthquake location (epicentre and depth) than the focal mechanism. Distinguishing legitimate seismic signal from background seismic noise is likely to be the biggest problem in routine inversions.</p>



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