Therapeutic care in metastatic renal cell carcinoma during the follow-up phase of the RECORD-1 phase III trial

2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e17531-e17531
Author(s):  
D. Wiederkehr ◽  
R. Casciano ◽  
L. Stern ◽  
J. Zheng ◽  
J. Baladi
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Mtor Inhibitor ◽  
Kinase Inhibitors ◽  
Study Drug ◽  
Protein Kinase Inhibitors ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Study Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Trial Setting

e17531 Background: Following drug discontinuation for progression or adverse event in a clinical trial for relapsed or stage IV kidney cancer, supportive care including surgery, palliative radiotherapy, or bisphosphonates continue to be recommended by National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN). However, published data on active therapeutic agents given to patients following study drug discontinuation in recent clinical trials is limited. Methods: World Health Organization Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical codes or therapeutic names, captured from the follow-up phase in a phase III clinical trial (RECORD-1) of patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) patients, were used to describe antineoplastic therapies following discontinuation of study drug. Prior to trial, patients had progressed on at least one VEGFr-TKI therapy. Results: Of the 130 patients with follow-up after discontinuation of study drug, 78.5% received at least one of the following: corticosteroids, radiotherapy, protein kinase inhibitors, mTOR inhibitor, pyrimidine analogues, monoclonal antibodies, interferons, and investigational drugs. Among patients who received an active agent, nearly three-quarters (73.5%) utilized targeted therapy (protein kinase inhibitors, mTOR inhibitor, monoclonal antibodies). Conclusions: In a clinical trial setting with mRCC patients who have received several classes of systemic therapy, care delivered following study drug discontinuation often includes an active antineoplastic agent, despite the limited supportive evidence in this setting. While the placebo control with supportive care in a double-blind phase is acceptable to evaluate the efficacy and safety of a therapy for regulatory approval purposes, decision makers must also consider how these data may inform comparisons with the usual alternatives available to and used by physicians and patients in the non-trial setting. [Table: see text]

Economic evaluation of DVd versus VAd in the treatment of multiple myeloma: Results from a phase III multicenter randomized clinical trial

2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 6050-6050
Author(s):  
R. M. Rifkin ◽  
M. Hussein ◽  
R. Iskandar ◽  
A. O’Sullivan ◽  
D. Thompson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Multiple Myeloma ◽  
Economic Evaluation ◽  
Drug Administration ◽  
Study Drug ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Study Drug Administration ◽  
Reduced Dose ◽  
Hospitalization Costs

6050 Background: A randomized Phase III clinical trial of pegylated liposomal doxorubicin, vincristine, and reduced-dose dexamethasone (DVd) versus conventional doxorubicin, vincristine, and reduced-dose dexamethasone (VAd) found similar efficacy in the treatment of newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma (Cancer, in press). However, observed clinical advantages of DVd included less toxicity and supportive care. (Cancer In press). Methods: This economic evaluation was conducted as a piggyback to the clinical trial. Utilization data were collected prospectively for enrolled patients (DVd = 97; VAd = 95). Costs were estimated by applying standard US unit costs in 2004 to observed utilization. We compared resource utilization and costs for study drug administration, other care (hospitalizations due to AEs, tests, transfusions, and concomitant medications), and total costs during follow-up for patients receiving DVd versus VAd using 2-sided t-tests. Results: DVd patients required significantly fewer hospital (1.5 vs 8.5; p < 0.01) and clinic days (4.8 vs 14.4; p < 0.01) for study drug administration. Costs of study drug were significantly higher for DVd patients ($16,181 vs $788; p < 0.01), but lower hospitalization costs ($3,311 vs $18,492; p < 0.01) and clinic costs ($797 vs $2,412; p < 0.01) for drug administration more than offset these costs, resulting in nominally lower overall study drug administration costs for DVd versus VAd ($20,289 vs $21,692; p = 0.64). No other component of care differed significantly between the two groups (costs of other care: $14,152 for DVd vs $14,154 for VAd; p = 0.99) and overall treatment costs ($34,442 for DVd vs $35,846 for VAd; p = 0.76) were similar in the two groups. DVd patients had approximately 10 additional days of follow-up over the trial period (149.4 vs 139.2) versus VAd patients. Conclusions: Despite higher drug acquisition costs, use of DVd did not increase the overall cost of treatment compared to VAd. [Table: see text]

Abstract 078: Implications of Patient-Reported Treatment Satisfaction for Discontinuation of Rivaroxaban versus Warfarin in ROCKET-AF

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fatima Rodriguez ◽  
Leo Ungar ◽  
Anne Hellkamp ◽  
Richard C Becker ◽  
Scott D Berkowitz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Treatment Satisfaction ◽  
Patient Reported Outcomes ◽  
Study Drug ◽  
Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Women Patients ◽  
Double Blind ◽  
Loss To Follow Up ◽  
Patient Reported ◽  
Study Drug Discontinuation

Background: Patient-reported outcomes and satisfaction are important in both trials and clinical practice and may be associated with treatment adherence. Methods: ROCKET-AF was a randomized, double-blind trial of rivaroxaban versus warfarin for prevention of thromboembolism in patients with atrial fibrillation. In a substudy, we compared treatment satisfaction scores: Anti-Clot Treatment Scale (ACTS) and Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication version II (TSQM II). Patient-driven discontinuation included stopping study drugs due to withdrawal of consent, non-compliance, or loss to follow-up. Rates of discontinuation were calculated for participants above and below the median scores for each scale. Results: Of 14,264 patients in ROCKET AF, 1,181 (8.3%; median age 75 years; 34% women) patients completed both the ACTS and TSQM II questionnaires 4 weeks after starting the study drug. Over a median follow-up of 1.6 years, 450 premature study drug discontinuations occurred, 116 (26%) patient-driven. Patients less satisfied with treatment by the ACTS Benefits and Burdens and TSQM II scales had higher rates of study drug discontinuation ( Table ). Conclusions: Patient-reported satisfaction was lower in patients with study drug discontinuation, suggesting that collecting patient-reported outcomes early in clinical trials may guide interventions that improve adherence and clinical outcomes.

scholarly journals Sex, Permanent Drug Discontinuation, and Study Retention in Clinical Trials

Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (7) ◽  
pp. 685-695 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emily S. Lau ◽  
Eugene Braunwald ◽  
David A. Morrow ◽  
Robert P. Giugliano ◽  
Elliott M. Antman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Study Drug ◽  
Similar Proportion ◽  
Trial Participation ◽  
Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Random Effects Models ◽  
Cardiovascular Outcome Trials ◽  
Study Drug Discontinuation ◽  
The Individual

Background: Women are underrepresented across cardiovascular clinical trials. Whether women are more likely than men to prematurely discontinue study drug or withdraw consent once enrolled in a clinical trial is unknown. Methods: Eleven phase 3/4 TIMI (Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction) trials were included (135 879 men and 51 812 women [28%]). The association between sex and premature study drug discontinuation and withdrawal of consent were examined by multivariable logistic regression after adjusting for potential confounders in each individual trial and combining the individual point estimates in random effects models. Results: After adjusting for baseline differences, women had 22% higher odds of premature drug discontinuation (adjusted odds ratio [OR adj ], 1.22 [95% CI, 1.16–1.28]; P <0.001) compared with men. Qualitatively consistent results were observed for women versus men in the placebo arms (OR adj , 1.20 [95% CI, 1.13–1.27]) and active therapy arms (OR adj , 1.23 [95% CI, 1.17–1.30)]; there was some evidence for regional heterogeneity ( P interaction <0.001). Of those who stopped study drug prematurely, a similar proportion of men and women in the active arm stopped because of an adverse event (36% for both; P =0.60). Women were also more likely to withdraw consent compared with men (OR adj , 1.26 [95% CI, 1.17–1.36]; P <0.001). Conclusions: Women were more likely than men to prematurely discontinue study drug and withdraw consent across cardiovascular outcome trials. Premature study drug discontinuation was not explained by baseline differences by sex or a higher proportion of adverse events. Future trials should better capture reasons for drug discontinuation and withdrawal of consent to understand barriers to continued study drug use and clinical trial participation, particularly among women.

A phase III multicenter randomized clinical trial to compare cisplatin plus fluorouracil with or without docetaxel as the first-line induction chemotherapy for locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: Long-term outcomes update.

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 6032-6032
Author(s):  
Wang Fang FangZheng
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma ◽  
Induction Chemotherapy ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Karnofsky Performance Score ◽  
Long Term Outcomes ◽  
First Line ◽  
Grade 3

6032 Background: A phase III multicenter prospective randomized controlled trial was conducted to compare cisplatin plus 5-fluorourcil with or without docetaxel as first-line induction chemotherapy in the patients with locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC). Here, we report on the long-term outcomes and late toxicities of the trial (NCT01536223). Methods: Patients with newly diagnosed LANPC, stage III-IV disease, Karnofsky performance score≥70, without metastasis were eligible and randomly assigned 1:1 to TPF versus PF for three cycles. The primary end point was progression-free survival; local control, OS and advent events were important key secondary end points. The Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test were used to conduct and compare the survival curves in this study. Results: Two hundred ninety-nine patients were enrolled. 276 patients (138 TPF and 138 PF) were evaluable. Baseline characteristics were well-balanced between two groups, and the median age was 48 (range, 18-60 years). The ORR rates after induction chemotherapy and chemoradiotherapy were 90.6% and 9797.8% in TPF group and 87.0% (P > 0.05) and 97.8% (P > 0.05), respectively. The median follow-up was 99 months. For all patients, the 5- and 8-year OS and PFS were 76.9% and 74.9%, 72.3% and 69.1%, respectively. PF was associated with a similar PFS versus TPF ( 5-year PFS of 72.4% versus 73.2%, P =.747), and an equivalent OS at 5 years ( 79.2% and 79.1%, P = 0.519). Treatment-related grade 3 to 4 advent events were less frequent with PF compared with TPF. Conclusions: With prolonged follow-up, the survival outcomes in the PF group were not non-inferiority to those in the TPF group, but grade 3 to 4 advent events were less frequent. Clinical trial information: NCT01536223.

scholarly journals 1374. Integrated Safety Summary of Omadacycline: A Novel Aminomethylcycline Antibiotic

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (suppl_1) ◽  
pp. S421-S421 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Opal ◽  
Thomas M File ◽  
Tom Van Der Poll ◽  
Paul McGovern ◽  
Evan Tzanis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Adverse Events ◽  
Fungal Infections ◽  
Vital Signs ◽  
Study Drug ◽  
Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Once Daily ◽  
Atypical Pathogens ◽  
Safety Parameters ◽  
Study Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Electrocardiogram Ecg

Abstract Background Omadacycline (OMC) is a novel aminomethylcycline with activity against Gram-positive, many Gram-negative, anaerobic, and atypical pathogens. It is in clinical development as once-daily oral (PO) and intravenous (IV) monotherapy for acute bacterial skin and skin structure infections (ABSSSI) and community-acquired bacterial pneumonia (CABP). Cumulative safety results from Phase 3 clinical trials are reported. Methods This pooled safety analysis is based on 2,150 subjects: OASIS-1 (N = 645), OASIS-2 (N = 735) in ABSSSI; OPTIC (N = 770) in CABP. Comparators were linezolid (LZD) 600 mg IV then PO in ABSSSI (n = 689); moxifloxacin (MOX) 400 mg IV then PO in CABP (n = 388). Safety parameters included treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs), laboratory evaluations, vital signs, and electrocardiogram (ECG) findings. Results A total of 1,073 subjects received OMC: 705 received OMC IV then PO (ABSSSI, n = 323; CABP, n = 382); 368 received OMC PO only for ABSSSI. Overall, 60.6% were male and 91.6% white; mean age ranges were 44.7–45.1 and 60.9–62.1 years in ABSSSI and CABP studies, respectively. TEAEs were observed in 47.5% (OMC), 41.2% (LZD), and 48.5% (MOX) of subjects, with gastrointestinal events the most common TEAEs. Serious TEAEs were low (3.6% OMC, 1.9% LZD, 6.7% MOX). Nausea (14.9% OMC, 8.7% LZD, 5.4% MOX) and vomiting (8.3% OMC, 3.9% LZD, 1.5% MOX) were the most frequently reported TEAEs. Diarrhea was observed in 2.4% OMC, 2.9% LZD, and 8.0% MOX subjects, with no cases of Clostridium difficile in OMC-treated subjects. Most TEAEs were mild to moderate and did not result in study drug discontinuation (3.1% OMC, 1.5% LZD, 7.0% MOX); 4 OMC, 1 LZD, and 0 MOX subjects discontinued for nausea and vomiting. Frequency of hepatic TEAEs was similar for OMC, LZD, and MOX: 4.3% OMC, 4.1% LZD, and 4.5% MOX subjects had post-baseline ALT &gt;3× upper limit of normal. Vital signs and ECGs had comparable clinically notable values post-baseline in each treatment group. Known tetracycline class adverse events such as fungal infections were similar in all groups. Conclusion Pooled analyses demonstrate a favorable OMC safety profile, consistent with its tetracycline heritage. OMC was generally well tolerated in subjects with ABSSSI and CABP, with infrequent treatment discontinuations. Disclosures T. M. File Jr., BioMerieux: Consultant, Consulting fee; Curetis: Consultant, Consulting fee; Melinta Therapeutics: Consultant, Consulting fee; Merck: Consultant, Consulting fee; Motif Bio: Consultant, Consulting fee; Nabriva Therapeutics: Consultant and Investigator, Consulting fee and Research grant; Paratek Pharmaceuticals: Consultant, Consulting fee; Pfizer: Consultant, Consulting fee. T. Van Der Poll, Paratek Pharmaceuticals: Consultant, Consulting fee. P. McGovern, Paratek Pharmaceuticals: Employee, Salary. E. Tzanis, Paratek Pharmaceuticals: Employee, Salary.

scholarly journals 684. Cardiac Safety in Adults with Community-Acquired Bacterial Pneumonia (CABP) Treated with Lefamulin (LEF) or Moxifloxacin (MOX): Analysis of Lefamulin Evaluation Against Pneumonia (LEAP) 1 and LEAP 2 Study Results

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. S311-S311
Author(s):  
Borje Darpo ◽  
Anita F Das ◽  
Daniel Stein ◽  
Jennifer Schranz ◽  
Steven P Gelone
Keyword(s):  
Torsade De Pointes ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Study Drug ◽  
Qt Prolongation ◽  
Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Cardiac Safety ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Minute Interval ◽  
Clinically Significant ◽  
Study Drug Discontinuation

Abstract Background Preclinical data suggest potential effects of LEF on cardiac interval parameters. We therefore assessed LEF cardiac safety from the LEAP 1/2 trials. Methods In LEAP 1, PORT III–V patients received LEF 150mg IV q12h for 5–7 days or MOX 400mg IV q24h for 7 days, with optional IV-to-oral switch (600mg LEF q12h or 400 mg MOX q24h). In LEAP 2, PORT II–IV patients received oral LEF 600mg q12h for 5 days or oral MOX 400mg q24h for 7 days. Patients with known QT prolongation or on medication with potential to prolong the QT interval were excluded as per MOX label. After 5 minutes of rest in the supine position, triplicate 12-lead ECGs were obtained within a 5-minute interval at Screening in both studies, on Days 1/3 in LEAP 1 (predose and ≤15 minutes after first IV dose), and on Days 1/4 in LEAP 2 (predose and 1–3 hours after first oral dose), and sent to a central ECG reader for adjudication. Results Of 1,282 randomized/treated patients (n = 641/group), 1,274 had baseline (BL) and post-BL ECG data (n = 636 LEF, n = 638 MOX). Consistent with the resolution of infection, ECGs revealed mean reductions of 7–8 beats/minute for both groups in both studies. The largest mean change in QTcF from BL to post-BL was on Day 3 in LEAP 1 (13.6 and 16.4 msec with IV LEF and MOX, respectively) and on Day 4 in LEAP 2 (9.3 and 11.6 msec with oral LEF and MOX, respectively). The proportion of patients meeting potentially important post-BL QTcF values/changes was comparable between treatment groups (table). In the standardized MedDRA query of Torsade de pointes/QT prolongation (broad), the most common treatment-emergent adverse event was ECG QT prolonged (n = 4 LEF, n = 5 MOX). All events were nonserious and mild or moderate in severity. 6 events were considered study drug related (n = 4 LEF, n = 2 MOX). 5 events led to study drug discontinuation (n = 2 LEF, n = 3 MOX). In 2 patients with cardiovascular disease, 1 had ventricular arrhythmia on Day 20 (18 days after last LEF dose) and 1 had cardiac arrest on Day 18 (9 days after last MOX dose); both events were fatal and considered unrelated to study drug by investigator. Conclusion Mild prolongation of the QTcF interval was seen with LEF and MOX, with somewhat smaller effects seen with LEF. Given the small effect, LEF is unlikely to pose a clinically significant risk of ventricular proarrhythmia with appropriate precautions and use. Disclosures All authors: No reported disclosures.

MMRM vs joint modeling of longitudinal responses and time to study drug discontinuation in clinical trials using a “de jure” estimand

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 909-927
Author(s):  
Alberto García‐Hernandez ◽  
Teresa Pérez ◽  
María del Carmen Pardo ◽  
Dimitris Rizopoulos
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Study Drug ◽  
Joint Modeling ◽  
Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Study Drug Discontinuation

FOLFIRINOX in locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 313-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason Edward Faris ◽  
Theodore S. Hong ◽  
Shaunagh McDermott ◽  
Alexander R Guimaraes ◽  
Dushyant Sahani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Advanced Disease ◽  
Locally Advanced ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Metastatic Pancreatic Cancer ◽  
Clinical Trial Setting ◽  
Locally Advanced Disease ◽  
Grade 3 ◽  
Trial Setting

313 Background: The recently published Phase III trial of 5-FU, leucovorin, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin (FOLFIRINOX) demonstrated improved survival compared to gemcitabine in good performance status (PS) patients with metastatic pancreatic cancer (Conroy et al, NEJM 2011). Less is known about the efficacy and tolerability with FOLFIRINOX in the non-clinical trial setting. In this retrospective analysis, we report our institutional experience with FOLFIRINOX. Methods: 29 patients with locally advanced or metastatic pancreatic cancer treated with FOLFIRINOX between July 2010 and April 2011 were used for this analysis. Clinical characteristics, and gradeable toxicities were tabulated, and formal radiographic review performed to determine best overall response rates (ORR). Results: 17 patients received FOLFIRINOX for metastatic disease and 12 patients for locally advanced disease. The median age of patients was 60 (range 39-76). 22/29 patients were men. 18/29 patients had received no prior chemotherapy. There was one patient with PS 2; all others had PS 0 or 1. 8/29 patients had biliary stents. Overall, 11 partial responses (PR) were observed (ORR 38%); 10/11 partial responses were in chemo-naïve patients, who had an ORR of 56%. In the metastatic setting, there were 6 PR, for an ORR of 35%, and 7 patients with stable disease (SD). In the locally advanced setting, there were 5 PR (ORR 42%), and 7 patients with SD. Following treatment with FOLFIRINOX, one patient with locally advanced disease has subsequently undergone R0 resection. The median number of cycles performed was 8 in both the locally advanced and metastatic settings. 12/29 patients required an ED visit or hospitalization during treatment. Grade 3/4 neutropenia was observed in 10 patients; 7/10 had not received prophylactic growth factor treatment from the start of FOLFIRINOX. 4 patients developed febrile neutropenia, 4 patients developed grade 3/4 thrombocytopenia, and 1 patient developed grade 4 anemia. Conclusions: In a non-clinical trial setting, FOLFIRINOX demonstrated activity in both the metastatic and locally-advanced settings. FOLFIRINOX appears to be associated with manageable, but significant toxicities, with over 40% of patients requiring hospitalization.

10-yr follow-up results of NSABP B-32, a randomized phase III clinical trial to compare sentinel node resection (SNR) to conventional axillary dissection (AD) in clinically node-negative breast cancer patients.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1000-1000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas B. Julian ◽  
Stewart J. Anderson ◽  
David N. Krag ◽  
Seth P. Harlow ◽  
Joseph P. Costantino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Breast Cancer ◽  
Clinical Trial ◽  
Disease Free Survival ◽  
Outcome Data ◽  
Phase Iii ◽  
Absolute Difference ◽  
Breast Cancer Patients ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
M Estimates

1000 Background: NSABP B-32, the largest surgical prospective randomized phase III trial was designed to compare overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and morbidity between SNR alone vs SNR + AD in SN negative (-) pts. We present 10 yr outcome data for primary endpoints as well as updated data on the effect of occult metastases, found later in the SN by central, detailed pathologic analysis. Methods: 5,611 women with operable, clinically N0, invasive breast cancer were randomized to SNR + AD (Group [Grp] 1) or to SNR alone with AD only if SNs were positive (Grp2). 3,989 (71.1%) of 5,611 pts were SN-. 3,986 (99.9%) of these SN- pts had follow-up information: Grp 1: 1,975, Grp 2:2,011. Median time on study was 9.4 yrs. Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for study stratification variables were used to compare OS and DFS between the two groups. Two-sided p values were used. HR values > 1 indicate a more favorable outcome in Grp 1 Results: At 10 yrs, there continues to be no significant difference in OS between the two groups (HR: 1.11, p = 0.27). 10 yr Kaplan-Meier (K-M) estimates for OS are 87.8% for SNR alone and 88.9% for SNR + AD. There continues to be no significant difference in DFS between the two groups (HR: 1.01, p=0.92). 10-yr K-M estimates for DFS were 76.9% for both groups. Occult nodal disease was originally detected in 3,884 pts (15.8%) with SN- on initial H and E analysis. Comparisons between the groups with and without occult disease yielded an adjusted HR for OS: 1.25 (p = 0.08) with an absolute difference at 10 yrs of 2.8% and a HR for DFS: 1.24 (p = 0.018) with an absolute difference of 4.1%. The cumulative incidences of local-regional events were low (10-yr values: SNR 4.0%, SNR+AD, 4.3%) and not significant (HR: 0.95, p = 0.77). Conclusions: At 10 yrs there continues to be no significant differences in OS and DFS between SNR and SNR + AD in pts with negative SN. The relative increase in risk of DFS and OS for pts with occult SN metastases remains stable. Support: PHS grants: NSABP: U10CA-12027, U10CA-37377, U10CA-69651, U10CA-69974; VT Ca Cntr: P30 CA22435; DNK: 5RO1CA074137 NCI Dpt HHS. Clinical trial information: NCT00003830.

scholarly journals Comparison of Time-to-First Event and Recurrent-Event Methods in Randomized Clinical Trials

Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 138 (6) ◽  
pp. 570-577 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian Claggett ◽  
Stuart Pocock ◽  
L.J. Wei ◽  
Marc A. Pfeffer ◽  
John J.V. McMurray ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Statistical Power ◽  
Recurrent Events ◽  
Randomized Clinical Trials ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Study Drug ◽  
Recurrent Event ◽  
Drug Discontinuation ◽  
Patient Heterogeneity ◽  
Study Drug Discontinuation

Background: Most phase-3 trials feature time-to-first event end points for their primary and secondary analyses. In chronic diseases, where a clinical event can occur >1 time, recurrent-event methods have been proposed to more fully capture disease burden and have been assumed to improve statistical precision and power compared with conventional time-to-first methods. Methods: To better characterize factors that influence statistical properties of recurrent-event and time-to-first methods in the evaluation of randomized therapy, we repeatedly simulated trials with 1:1 randomization of 4000 patients to active versus control therapy, with true patient-level risk reduction of 20% (ie, relative risk=0.80). For patients who discontinued active therapy after a first event, we assumed their risk reverted subsequently to their original placebo-level risk. Through simulation, we varied the degree of between-patient heterogeneity of risk and the extent of treatment discontinuation. Findings were compared with those from actual randomized clinical trials. Results: As the degree of between-patient heterogeneity of risk increased, both time-to-first and recurrent-event methods lost statistical power to detect a true risk reduction and confidence intervals widened. The recurrent-event analyses continued to estimate the true relative risk (0.80) as heterogeneity increased, whereas the Cox model produced attenuated estimates. The power of recurrent-event methods declined as the rate of study drug discontinuation postevent increased. Recurrent-event methods provided greater power than time-to-first methods in scenarios where drug discontinuation was ≤30% after a first event, lesser power with drug discontinuation rates of ≥60%, and comparable power otherwise. We confirmed in several actual trials of chronic heart failure that treatment effect estimates were attenuated when estimated via the Cox model and that increased statistical power from recurrent-event methods was most pronounced in trials with lower treatment discontinuation rates. Conclusions: We find that the statistical power of both recurrent-events and time-to-first methods are reduced by increasing heterogeneity of patient risk, a parameter not included in conventional power and sample size formulas. Data from real clinical trials are consistent with simulation studies, confirming that the greatest statistical gains from use of recurrent-events methods occur in the presence of high patient heterogeneity and low rates of study drug discontinuation.

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