Development and validation of a Medicare health outcomes survey (MHOS) frailty index in multiple myeloma (MM).

2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e21519-e21519 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark A Fiala ◽  
Emily Jean Guerard ◽  
Mark A. Schroeder ◽  
Keith Stockerl-Goldstein ◽  
Ravi Vij ◽  
...  

e21519 Background: Increasing age is associated with poorer outcomes in MM. However, biological aging (BA) is heterogeneous and does not correlate perfectly with chronological age (CA). A recently developed frailty of CA, functional status, and comorbidities is more predictive of toxicity, progression-free and overall survival (OS) than CA alone (Palumbo et al Blood 2015). We sought to apply the Rockwood Accumulation of Deficits approach to develop and validate a frailty index (FI) for older adults with MM. Methods: MHOS, a random survey of HRQOL (health related quality of life) in Medicare Advantage HMO enrollees, data were obtained from 1,747,042 non-cancer patients (pts) and 340 with newly diagnosed MM 1997-2011 from the SEER-MHOS linked dataset. In creating the FI, we considered only variables available throughout all 4 survey versions used since its initiation in 1998. We identified 34 variables including items related to function/mobility, comorbidities, and mental health. The FI was calculated as the number of deficits present, divided by the number total number of possible deficits, with possible scores ranging from 0 to 1 and higher values indicating more frail. Missing data points were excluded from the FI calculation. Cox regression analysis was performed to determine the association of the FI with OS, controlling for CA, gender, and race. The FI was first derived in the non-cancer cohort then applied in the MM cohort. Results: The median age was 72 for non-cancer pts and 75 for pts with MM; the median FI was 0.308 and 0.368, respectively. Among non-cancer pts, each 10% increase in FI (~3-4 more deficits) was associated with a 35% increased risk for death (aHR 1.352, 95% CI 1.350-1.354, p < 0.001); among pts with MM it was associated with a 15% increased risk (aHR 1.147, 1.065-1.236, p < 0 .001). Median OS for pts with MM in the lowest tertile of FI was 48 months (95% CI 42-56) compared to 23 months (17-33) for the highest tertile. Conclusions: Here we present a MHOS-based FI. The FI was more prognostic among non-cancer pts than among pts with MM, presumably because stage and tumor characteristics also contribute to OS in MM pts. Further exploration of the MHOS-FI in MM and other cancers is warranted.

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Belkin ◽  
D Wussler ◽  
I Strebel ◽  
E Michou ◽  
N Kozhuharov ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Previous studies have shown the prognostic value of health-related quality of life (HRQL) in stable and ambulatory chronic heart failure patients. However, it is unknown whether HRQL can predict all-cause mortality in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) after acute onset of symptoms. In order to address this unmet need, the aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of HRQL in patients with acute dyspnea caused by acute heart failure (AHF) and other dyspnea aetiologies for 360-day mortality. Purpose To assess prognostic value of HRQL using the generic EQ-5D and visual analogue scale (EQ VAS) in patients with acute dyspnea. Methods Basics in Acute Shortness of Breath EvaLuation (BASEL V) is a prospective, multicenter, diagnostic study enrolling adult patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the ED. For this analysis, only patients with a complete set of variables necessary for calculation of EQ-5D (range 0–10; with higher score indicating worse HRQL) and EQ VAS (range 0–100; with 100 being the best imaginable health state) at baseline were included. The endpoint was the prognostic value of EQ-5D and EQ VAS at 360 days of follow-up regarding all-cause death. Prognostic accuracy was calculated using c-statistics. In a cox regression analysis EQ-5D was treated as both, a continuous and categorical variable. Adjustments were made for clinically relevant covariates (age, sex, orthopnoea, edema, level of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) at presentation, history of coronary artery disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diuretics, β-blockers and ACE-inhibitors at discharge). Results Among 2605 patients enrolled, 1141 (43,8%) had a complete set of variables allowing the calculation of EQ-5D and EQ VAS. Of these patients 594 (52.1%) had an adjudicated final diagnosis of AHF. 211 (18.5%) patients died within 360 days of follow-up. Median EQ-5D was 3 (interquartile range (IQR) 1.5–5) and median EQ VAS was 50 (IQR 40–70). The prognostic accuracy for 360-day mortality was 0.65 (95% confidence interval ((CI) 0.61–0.69) and 0.58 (95% CI 0.54–0.62) for EQ-5D and EQ VAS, respectively (p=0.002). After combining EQ-5D and EQ VAS in a logistic regression model c-statistics regarding all-cause mortality within 360 days did not improve. The prognostic accuracy of EQ-5D was comparable to that of NT-proBNP (c-statistics 0.69, p=0.385). In an adjusted cox regression analysis the hazard ratio for patients with EQ-5D &gt;4 was 2.2 (95% CI 1.7–2.9; p&lt;0.001). Conclusions In patients presenting with acute dyspnea HRQL is a strong prognostic instrument. Independently of the aetiology of the dyspnea the prognostic value of the generic EQ-5D for 360-day mortality is comparable to NT-proBNP. Patients with an EQ-5D &gt;4 are at significantly higher risk for mortality within 360 days. Figure 1. Prognostic value of HRQL Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation


Author(s):  
Sahrai Saeed ◽  
Anastasia Vamvakidou ◽  
Spyridon Zidros ◽  
George Papasozomenos ◽  
Vegard Lysne ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims It is not known whether transaortic flow rate (FR) in aortic stenosis (AS) differs between men and women, and whether the commonly used cut-off of 200 mL/s is prognostic in females. We aimed to explore sex differences in the determinants of FR, and determine the best sex-specific cut-offs for prediction of all-cause mortality. Methods and results Between 2010 and 2017, a total of 1564 symptomatic patients (mean age 76 ± 13 years, 51% men) with severe AS were prospectively included. Mean follow-up was 35 ± 22 months. The prevalence of cardiovascular disease was significantly higher in men than women (63% vs. 42%, P &lt; 0.001). Men had higher left ventricular mass and lower left ventricular ejection fraction compared to women (both P &lt; 0.001). Men were more likely to undergo an aortic valve intervention (AVI) (54% vs. 45%, P = 0.001), while the death rates were similar (42.0% in men and 40.6% in women, P = 0.580). A total of 779 (49.8%) patients underwent an AVI in which 145 (18.6%) died. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, each 10 mL/s decrease in FR was associated with a 7% increase in hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality (HR 1.07; 95% CI 1.03–1.11, P &lt; 0.001). The best cut-off value of FR for prediction of all-cause mortality was 179 mL/s in women and 209 mL/s in men. Conclusion Transaortic FR was lower in women than men. In the group undergoing AVI, lower FR was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, and the optimal cut-off for prediction of all-cause mortality was lower in women than men.


Author(s):  
Pernilla Lagergren ◽  
Asif Johar ◽  
Helen Rosenlund ◽  
Lars Arnberg ◽  
Lena Haglund ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose Esophagectomy for cancer is an extensive procedure often followed by severe complications. This study investigated whether patients with severe symptoms of reflux are more likely to have sleep disturbances and reduced health-related quality of life (HRQL) after esophagectomy. Methods This Swedish nationwide prospective cohort study encompassed all patients who had undergone esophagectomy for cancer between 2013 and 2018. One year after surgery, the patients responded to three questionnaires on reflux (EORTC QLQOG25), sleep disturbances (KSQ), and HRQL (EORTC QLQ-C30). Multivariable logistic regression provided odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for sleep disturbance/reduced HRQL between patients with and without reflux, adjusted for potential confounders. Results Among 241 esophagectomy patients, 66 (27%) reported severe reflux. Patients with reflux had an increased risk of sleep disturbances (OR 2.3, 95% CI: 1.3–4.3) compared to patients without reflux. More specifically, these patients were more likely to suffer from poor sleep quality (OR 4.9, 95% CI: 1.9–12.4). Patients with reflux and sleep disturbances reported reductions in global quality of life, role function, emotional function, social function, and more symptoms in all scales, except for dyspnea. Conclusions This study suggests that patients with severe symptoms of reflux after esophagectomy have an increased risk of sleep disturbances and poor sleep quality, which in turn are associated with reduced HRQL. Implications for Cancer Survivors Alleviating reflux after oesophageal cancer surgery is important, since this common symptom might reduce HRQL and well-being.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 1680
Author(s):  
Urban Berg ◽  
Annette W-Dahl ◽  
Anna Nilsdotter ◽  
Emma Nauclér ◽  
Martin Sundberg ◽  
...  

Purpose: We aimed to study the influence of fast-track care programs in total hip and total knee replacements (THR and TKR) at Swedish hospitals on the risk of revision and mortality within 2 years after the operation. Methods: Data were collected from the Swedish Hip and Knee Arthroplasty Registers (SHAR and SKAR), including 67,913 THR and 59,268 TKR operations from 2011 to 2015 on patients with osteoarthritis. Operations from 2011 to 2015 Revision and mortality in the fast-track group were compared with non-fast-track using Kaplan–Meier survival analysis and Cox regression analysis with adjustments. Results: The hazard ratio (HR) for revision within 2 years after THR with fast-track was 1.19 (CI: 1.03–1.39), indicating increased risk, whereas no increased risk was found in TKR (HR 0.91; CI: 0.79–1.06). The risk of death within 2 years was estimated with a HR of 0.85 (CI: 0.74–0.97) for TKR and 0.96 (CI: 0.85–1.09) for THR in fast-track hospitals compared to non-fast-track. Conclusions: Fast-track programs at Swedish hospitals were associated with an increased risk of revision in THR but not in TKR, while we found the mortality to be lower (TKR) or similar (THR) as compared to non-fast track.


2021 ◽  
pp. bjsports-2020-103555
Author(s):  
Francesco Della Villa ◽  
Martin Hägglund ◽  
Stefano Della Villa ◽  
Jan Ekstrand ◽  
Markus Waldén

BackgroundStudies on subsequent anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) ruptures and career length in male professional football players after ACL reconstruction (ACLR) are scarce.AimTo investigate the second ACL injury rate, potential predictors of second ACL injury and the career length after ACLR.Study designProspective cohort study.SettingMen’s professional football.Methods118 players with index ACL injury were tracked longitudinally for subsequent ACL injury and career length over 16.9 years. Multivariable Cox regression analysis with HR was carried out to study potential predictors for subsequent ACL injury.ResultsMedian follow-up was 4.3 (IQR 4.6) years after ACLR. The second ACL injury rate after return to training (RTT) was 17.8% (n=21), with 9.3% (n=11) to the ipsilateral and 8.5% (n=10) to the contralateral knee. Significant predictors for second ACL injury were a non-contact index ACL injury (HR 7.16, 95% CI 1.63 to 31.22) and an isolated index ACL injury (HR 2.73, 95% CI 1.06 to 7.07). In total, 11 of 26 players (42%) with a non-contact isolated index ACL injury suffered a second ACL injury. RTT time was not an independent predictor of second ACL injury, even though there was a tendency for a risk reduction with longer time to RTT. Median career length after ACLR was 4.1 (IQR 4.0) years and 60% of players were still playing at preinjury level 5 years after ACLR.ConclusionsAlmost one out of five top-level professional male football players sustained a second ACL injury following ACLR and return to football, with a considerably increased risk for players with a non-contact or isolated index injury.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marrco Vitolo ◽  
Vincenzo Livio Malavasi ◽  
Marco Proietti ◽  
Igor Diemberger ◽  
Laurent Fauchier ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Cardiac troponins (cTn) have been reported to be predictors for adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF), patients, but their actual use is still unclear. To assess the factors associated with cTn testing in routine clinical practice and to evaluate the association of elevated levels of cTn with adverse outcomes in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients. Methods and results Patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry were stratified into three groups according to cTn levels as (i) cTn not tested, (ii) cTn in range (≤99th percentile), and (iii) cTn elevated (&gt;99th percentile). The composite outcome of any thromboembolism/any acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death, defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause death were the main endpoints. 10 445 (94.1%) AF patients were included in this analysis [median age 71 years, interquartile range (IQR): 63–77; males 59.7%]. cTn were tested in 2834 (27.1%). Overall, cTn was elevated in 904 (8.7%) and in-range in 1930 (18.5%) patients. Patients in whom cTn was tested tended to be younger (P &lt; 0.001) and more frequently presenting with first detected AF and atypical AF-related symptoms (i.e. chest pain, dyspnoea, or syncope) (P &lt; 0.001). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, female sex, in-hospital enrollment, first-detected AF, CV risk factors, history of coronary artery disease (CAD), and atypical AF symptoms were independently associated with cTn testing. After a median follow-up of 730 days (IQR: 692–749), 957 (9.7%) composite endpoints occurred while all-cause death was 9.5%. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed a higher cumulative risk for both outcomes in patients with elevated cTn levels (Figure) (Log Rank tests, P &lt; 0.001). On adjusted Cox regression analysis, elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher risk for MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.40–2.16] and all-cause death (HR 1.45, 95% CI: 1.21–1.74). Elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher occurrence of MACE, all-cause death, any ACS, CV death and hospital readmission even after the exclusion of patients with history of CAD, diagnosis of ACS at discharge, those who underwent coronary revascularization during the admission and/or who were treated with oral anticoagulants plus antiplatelet therapy. Conclusions Elevated cTn levels were independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and adverse CV events, even after exclusion of CAD patients. Clinical factors that might enhance the need to rule out CAD were associated with cTn testing.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. e000339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fangfang Sun ◽  
Yi Chen ◽  
Wanlong Wu ◽  
Li Guo ◽  
Wenwen Xu ◽  
...  

ObjectiveTo explore whether varicella zoster virus (VZV) infection could increase the risk of disease flares in patients with SLE.MethodsPatients who had VZV reactivations between January 2013 and April 2018 were included from the SLE database (n=1901) of Shanghai Ren Ji Hospital, South Campus. Matched patients with SLE were selected as background controls with a 3:1 ratio. Patients with SLE with symptomatic bacterial infections of the lower urinary tract (UTI) were identified as infection controls. Baseline period and index period were defined as 3 months before and after infection event, respectively. Control period was the following 3 months after the index period. Flare was defined by SELENA SLEDAI Flare Index. Kaplan-Meier analysis, Cox regression model and propensity score weighting were applied.ResultsPatients with VZV infections (n=47), UTI controls (n=28) and matched SLE background controls (n=141) were included. 16 flares (34%) in the VZV group within the index period were observed, as opposed to only 7.1% in UTI controls and 9.9% in background controls. Kaplan-Meier curve revealed that patients with a VZV infection had a much lower flare-free survival within the index period compared with the controls (p=0.0003). Furthermore, after adjusting for relevant confounders including baseline disease activity and intensity of immunosuppressive therapy, Cox regression analysis and propensity score weighting confirmed that VZV infection within 3 months was an independent risk factor for SLE flares (HR 3.70 and HR 4.16, respectively).ConclusionsIn patients with SLE, recent VZV infection within 3 months was associated with increased risk of disease flares.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. e463-e473 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura C. Pinheiro ◽  
Stephanie B. Wheeler ◽  
Katherine E. Reeder-Hayes ◽  
Cleo A. Samuel ◽  
Andrew F. Olshan ◽  
...  

Purpose: Endocrine therapy (ET) underuse puts women at increased risk for breast cancer (BC) recurrence. Our objective was to determine if health-related quality of life (HRQOL) subgroups were associated with underuse. Methods: Data came from the third phase of the Carolina Breast Cancer Study. We included 1,599 women with hormone receptor–positive BC age 20 to 74 years. HRQOL was measured, on average, 5 months postdiagnosis. Subgroups were derived using latent profile (LP) analysis. Underuse was defined as not initiating or adhering to ET by 36 months postdiagnosis. Multivariable logistic regression models estimated adjusted odds ratios (ORs) between HRQOL LPs and underuse. The best HRQOL LP was the reference. Chemotherapy- and race-stratified models were estimated, separately. Results: Initiation analyses included 953 women who had not begun ET by their 5-month survey. Of these, 154 never initiated ET. Adherence analyses included 1,114 ET initiators, of whom 211 were nonadherent. HRQOL was not significantly associated with noninitiation, except among nonchemotherapy users, with membership in the poorest LP associated with increased odds of noninitiation (adjusted OR, 5.5; 95% CI, 1.7 to 17.4). Membership in the poorest LPs was associated with nonadherence (LP1: adjusted OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2 to 4.0 and LP2: adjusted OR,1.9; 95% CI, 1.1 to 3.6). Membership in the poorest LP was associated with nonadherence among nonchemotherapy users (adjusted OR, 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2 to 5.1). Conclusion: Our results suggest women with poor HRQOL during active treatment may be at increased risk for ET underuse. Focusing on HRQOL, a modifiable factor, may improve targeting of future interventions early in the BC continuum to improve ET initiation and adherence and prevent BC recurrence.


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