scholarly journals MON-LB79 Do Ultrasound Patterns and Clinical Parameters Modify the Probability of Thyroid Cancer Predicted by Molecular Testing in Thyroid Nodules With Indeterminate Cytology?

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
James J Figge ◽  
William E Gooding ◽  
Kenneth D Burman ◽  
Sarah Mayson ◽  
Randall P Scheri ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Molecular testing (MT) is commonly used to refine cancer probability in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology. Whether or not ultrasound (US) patterns and clinical parameters can further modify the risk of cancer in nodules predicted to be positive or negative by molecular testing remains unknown. Aim: To test if clinical parameters, including age, gender, nodule size (by US), Bethesda category (III, IV, V), US pattern (American Thyroid Association [ATA] system vs American College of Radiology TIRADS), radiation exposure, and family history of thyroid cancer (TC) can modify the probability of TC or NIFTP predicted by MT in thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology. Methods: We studied 257 thyroid nodules from 10 study centers with fine-needle aspiration (FNA) yielding indeterminate cytology and informative MT results using the ThyroSeq v3 genomic classifier (TSv3). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used for data analysis. Results: In this group of thyroid nodules, out of all parameters studied using univariate regression, patient gender, age, and Bethesda category were significantly associated with TC/NIFTP probability (P<0.05 for each). The ATA US patterns showed a positive trend (P=0.1211), whereas TIRADS was not predictive (P=0.3135). A multivariate regression model incorporating the four most informative covariates (gender, age, Bethesda category, and ATA US patterns) (model #1) yielded a C index=0.653; R2=0.108. Male gender and Bethesda category V significantly increased risk, and age demonstrated a nonlinear risk profile. When TSv3 was added to model #1, the C index increased to 0.888; R2=0.572. However, age (P=0.341), Bethesda category (P=0.272), and the ATA US patterns (P=0.264) had limited predictive ability in comparison with TSv3, which dominated the predictive performance (P<0.001). Gender was the only parameter showing tendency for significance beyond MT (P=0.095). The most parsimonious model incorporated gender and TSv3 (C index=0.889; R2=0.588). Conclusions: While often useful in selecting thyroid nodules for FNA, neither the ATA US nor the TIRADS scoring systems were informative in further predicting TC/NIFTP in thyroid nodules with indeterminate FNA cytology. Although age and Bethesda category were associated with TC/NIFTP probability on univariate analysis, they had limited incremental value above the high predictive ability of TSv3. Gender was the only parameter with potential contribution to predicting TC/NIFTP in addition to MT.

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thayse Lozovoy Madsen Barbosa ◽  
Cleo Otaviano Mesa Junior ◽  
Hans Graf ◽  
Teresa Cavalvanti ◽  
Marcus Adriano Trippia ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules currently present a challenge for clinical decision-making. The main aim of our study was to determine whether the classifications, American College of Radiology (ACR) TI-RADS and 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines, in association with The Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (TBSRTC), could be used to stratify the malignancy risk of indeterminate thyroid nodules and guide their clinical management. Methods The institutional review board approved this retrospective study of a cohort of 140 thyroid nodules in 139 patients who were referred to ultrasound-guided fine-needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) from January 2012 to June 2016 with indeterminate cytological results (44 Bethesda III, 52 Bethesda IV and 44 Bethesda V) and in whom pre-FNAC thyroid US images and histological results after surgery were available. Each included nodule was classified by one radiologist blinded to the cytological and histological diagnoses according to the ACR TIRADS scores and the US patterns as recommended in the 2015 ATA guidelines. The risk of malignancy was estimated for Bethesda, TI-RADS scores, ATA US patterns and their combination. Results Of the 140 indeterminate thyroid nodules examined, 74 (52.9%) were histologically benign. A different rate of malignancy (p < 0.001) among Bethesda III, IV and V was observed. The rate of malignancy increased according to the US suspicion categories (p < 0.001) in both US classifications (TI-RADS and ATA). Thyroid nodules classified as Bethesda III and the lowest risk US categories (very low, low and intermediate suspicion by ATA and 2, 3 and 4a by TI-RADS) displayed a sensitivity of 95.3% for both classifications and a negative predictive value of 94.3 and 94.1%, respectively. The highest risk US categories (high suspicion by ATA and 4b,4c and 5 by TI-RADS) were significantly associated with cancer (odds ratios [ORs] 14.7 and 9.8, respectively). Conclusions Ultrasound classifications, ACR TI-RADS and ATA guidelines, may help guide the management of indeterminate thyroid nodules, suggesting a conservative approach to nodules with low-risk US suspicion and Bethesda III, while molecular testing and surgery should be considered for nodules with high-risk US suspicion and Bethesda IV or V.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (16) ◽  
pp. 5629 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoon Young Cho ◽  
So Young Park ◽  
Jung Hee Shin ◽  
Young Lyun Oh ◽  
Jun-Ho Choe ◽  
...  

Molecular testing offers more objective information in the diagnosis and personalized decision making for thyroid nodules. In Korea, as the BRAF V600E mutation is detected in 70–80% of thyroid cancer specimens, its testing in fine-needle aspiration (FNA) cytology specimens alone has been used for the differential diagnosis of thyroid nodules until now. Thus, we aimed to develop a mutation panel to detect not only BRAF V600E, but also other common genetic alterations in thyroid cancer and to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of the mutation panel for thyroid nodules in Korea. For this prospective study, FNA specimens of 430 nodules were obtained from patients who underwent thyroid surgery for thyroid nodules. A molecular test was devised using real-time PCR to detect common genetic alterations in thyroid cancer, including BRAF, N-, H-, and K-RAS mutations and rearrangements of RET/PTC and PAX8/PPARr. Positive results for the mutation panel were confirmed by sequencing. Among the 430 FNA specimens, genetic alterations were detected in 293 cases (68%). BRAF V600E (240 of 347 cases, 69%) was the most prevalent mutation in thyroid cancer. The RAS mutation was most prevalently detected for indeterminate cytology. Among the 293 mutation-positive cases, 287 (98%) were diagnosed as cancer. The combination of molecular testing and cytology improved sensitivity from 72% (cytology alone) to 89% (combination), with a specificity of 93%. We verified the excellent diagnostic performance of the mutation panel applicable for clinical practice in Korea. A plan has been devised to validate its performance using independent FNA specimens.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Maxwell M Wang ◽  
Katrina Beckett ◽  
Michael Douek ◽  
Rinat Masamed ◽  
Maitraya Patel ◽  
...  

Abstract Objective Molecular testing can refine the diagnosis for the 20% of thyroid fine-needle aspiration biopsies that have indeterminate cytology. We assessed the diagnostic accuracy of molecular testing based on ultrasound risk classification. Methods This retrospective cohort study analyzed all thyroid nodules with indeterminate cytology at an academic US medical center (2012-2016). All indeterminate nodules underwent reflexive molecular testing with the Afirma Gene Expression Classifier (GEC). Radiologists performed blinded reviews to categorize each nodule according to the American Thyroid Association (ATA) ultrasound classification and the American College of Radiology Thyroid Imaging, Reporting and Data System. GEC results and diagnostic performance were compared across ultrasound risk categories. Results Of 297 nodules, histopathology confirmed malignancy in 65 (22%). Nodules by ATA classification were 8% high suspicion, 44% intermediate, and 48% low/very low suspicion. A suspicious GEC result was more likely in ATA high-suspicion nodules (81%) than in nodules of all other ATA categories (57%; P = .04). The positive predictive value (PPV) of GEC remained consistent across ultrasound categories (ATA high suspicion, 64% vs all other ATA categories, 48%; P = .39). The ATA high-suspicion category had higher specificity than a suspicious GEC result (93% vs 51%; P &lt; .01). A suspicious GEC result did not increase specificity for the ATA high-suspicion category. Conclusion The PPV of molecular testing remained consistent across ultrasound risk categories. However, a suspicious GEC result was very likely in ATA high-suspicion nodules and did not improve specificity in this sonographic category.


Endocrines ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 102-118
Author(s):  
Stefania Giuliano ◽  
Maria Mirabelli ◽  
Eusebio Chiefari ◽  
Margherita Vergine ◽  
Rita Gervasi ◽  
...  

The fine needle aspiration (FNA) cytology is the gold standard for the preoperative diagnosis of thyroid cancer. However, up to 30% of FNA examinations yield nondiagnostic or indeterminate results and this complicates patient management. Clinical features and ultrasound (US) patterns, including US risk stratification systems, could be useful in the preoperative diagnostic workup and prediction of malignancy, but the evidences are not univocal. Methods: 400 consecutive patients subjected to thyroid surgery were retrospectively enrolled at our institution in Calabria, Southern Italy. Preoperative US and FNA cytological descriptions, formulated according to the “Italian consensus for reporting thyroid fine-needle aspiration cytology” (ICCRTC) classification and three US risk stratification systems (those developed by the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists, American College of Endocrinology and Associazione Medici Endocrinologi (AACE/ACE/AME), American Thyroid Association (ATA), and American College of Radiology (ACR-TIRADS)), were collected, along with histological results. Results: 147 thyroid cancer cases, in large majority papillary carcinomas, were detected on final histological examination. Almost two-thirds of patients subjected to thyroid surgery for either benign or malignant lesions were female. Patient’s age ≤20 years and between 21–30 years were clinical features associated with increased risk of thyroid cancer in logistic regression analyses. US features associated with thyroid cancer included irregular margins, solid composition, microcalcifications, and marked hypoechogenicity. The AACE/ACE/AME, ATA, and ACR-TIRADS risk categories, corresponding to specific US patterns, were strong predictors of malignancy in both genders, but not in nodules with indeterminate cytology. A measured difference between the longitudinal (L) and the anteroposterior (AP) diameter >5 mm, a proxy for a parallel-oriented oval shape of a nodule, emerged as a robust protective factor against thyroid cancer (OR 0.288 (95%CI 0.817–0.443); p < 0.001), regardless of cytological risk. Conclusions: Some, but not all, well-established predictors of TC have been confirmed in this study. Controversy surrounds the diagnostic performance of US risk stratification systems for the detection of thyroid cancer in the subgroup of nodules with indeterminate cytology, suggesting their use only to set the thresholds for FNA. A measured difference between L and AP diameters >5 mm may represent an additional and practical tool for ruling out malignancy in thyroid nodules, with the potential to reduce unnecessary surgical procedures.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Weiqing Liu ◽  
Shumin Ma ◽  
Lei Liang ◽  
Zhiyong Kou ◽  
Hongbin Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Studies on the XRCC3 rs1799794 polymorphism show that this polymorphism is involved in a variety of cancers, but its specific relationships or effects are not consistent. The purpose of this meta-analysis was to investigate the association between rs1799794 polymorphism and susceptibility to cancer. Methods PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, Web of Science, and Scopus were searched for eligible studies through June 11, 2019. All analyses were performed with Stata 14.0. Subgroup analyses were performed by cancer type, ethnicity, source of control, and detection method. A total of 37 studies with 23,537 cases and 30,649 controls were included in this meta-analysis. Results XRCC3 rs1799794 increased cancer risk in the dominant model and heterozygous model (GG + AG vs. AA: odds ratio [OR] = 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.00–1.08, P = 0.051; AG vs. AA: OR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.00–1.01, P = 0.015). The existence of rs1799794 increased the risk of breast cancer and thyroid cancer, but reduced the risk of ovarian cancer. In addition, rs1799794 increased the risk of cancer in the Caucasian population. Conclusion This meta-analysis confirms that XRCC3 rs1799794 is related to cancer risk, especially increased risk for breast cancer and thyroid cancer and reduced risk for ovarian cancer. However, well-designed large-scale studies are required to further evaluate the results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kristen Kobaly ◽  
Caroline S. Kim ◽  
Susan J. Mandel

Thyroid nodules are common in the general population, with higher prevalence in women and with advancing age. Approximately 5% of thyroid nodules are malignant; the majority of this subset represents papillary thyroid cancer. Ultrasonography is the standard technique to assess the underlying thyroid parenchyma, characterize the features of thyroid nodules, and evaluate for abnormal cervical lymphadenopathy. Various risk stratification systems exist to categorize the risk of malignancy based on the ultrasound appearance of a thyroid nodule. Nodules are selected for fine-needle aspiration biopsy on the basis of ultrasound features, size, and high-risk clinical history. Cytology results are classified by the Bethesda system into six categories ranging from benign to malignant. When cytology is indeterminate, molecular testing can further risk-stratify patients for observation or surgery. Surveillance is indicated for nodules with benign cytology, indeterminate cytology with reassuring molecular testing, or non-biopsied nodules without a benign sonographic appearance. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Medicine, Volume 73 is January 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.


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