Random Forests Model Based Flood Process Simulation in the Qiushui River Basin

2018 ◽  
Vol 07 (05) ◽  
pp. 456-463
Author(s):  
甜甜 唐
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 670 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah Banks ◽  
Lori White ◽  
Amir Behnamian ◽  
Zhaohua Chen ◽  
Benoit Montpetit ◽  
...  

To better understand and mitigate threats to the long-term health and functioning of wetlands, there is need to establish comprehensive inventorying and monitoring programs. Here, remote sensing data and machine learning techniques that could support or substitute traditional field-based data collection are evaluated. For the Bay of Quinte on Lake Ontario, Canada, different combinations of multi-angle/temporal quad pol RADARSAT-2, simulated compact pol RADARSAT Constellation Mission (RCM), and high and low spatial resolution Digital Elevation and Surface Models (DEM and DSM, respectively) were used to classify six land cover classes with Random Forests: shallow water, marsh, swamp, water, forest, and agriculture/non-forested. Results demonstrate that high accuracies can be achieved with multi-temporal SAR data alone (e.g., user’s and producer’s accuracies ≥90% for a model based on a spring image and a summer image), or via fusion of SAR and DEM and DSM data for single dates/incidence angles (e.g., user’s and producer’s accuracies ≥90% for a model based on a spring image, DEM, and DSM data). For all models based on single SAR images, simulated compact pol data generally achieved lower accuracies than quad pol RADARSAT-2 data. However, it was possible to compensate for observed differences through either multi-temporal/angle data fusion or the inclusion of DEM and DSM data (i.e., as a result, there was not a statistically significant difference between multiple models). With a higher repeat-pass cycle than RADARSAT-2, RCM is expected to be a reliable source of C-band SAR data that will contribute positively to ongoing efforts to inventory wetlands and monitor change in areas containing the same land cover classes evaluated here.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (16) ◽  
pp. 1944 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jessica Esteban ◽  
Ronald McRoberts ◽  
Alfredo Fernández-Landa ◽  
José Tomé ◽  
Erik Nӕsset

Despite the popularity of random forests (RF) as a prediction algorithm, methods for constructing confidence intervals for population means using this technique are still only sparsely reported. For two regional study areas (Spain and Norway) RF was used to predict forest volume or aboveground biomass using remotely sensed auxiliary data obtained from multiple sensors. Additionally, the changes per unit area of these forest attributes were estimated using indirect and direct methods. Multiple inferential frameworks have attracted increased recent attention for estimating the variances required for confidence intervals. For this study, three different statistical frameworks, design-based expansion, model-assisted and model-based estimators, were used for estimating population parameters and their variances. Pairs and wild bootstrapping approaches at different levels were compared for estimating the variances of the model-based estimates of the population means, as well as for mapping the uncertainty of the change predictions. The RF models accurately represented the relationship between the response and remotely sensed predictor variables, resulting in increased precision for estimates of the population means relative to design-based expansion estimates. Standard errors based on pairs bootstrapping within or internal to RF were considerably larger than standard errors based on both pairs and wild external bootstrapping of the entire RF algorithm. Pairs and wild external bootstrapping produced similar standard errors, but wild bootstrapping better mimicked the original structure of the sample data and better preserved the ranges of the predictor variables.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
BO PENG ◽  
Shuo Liu ◽  
Lei Xu ◽  
Zhen He

Abstract Purpose: To predict and analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of combat attrition.Methods: Construct a combat process simulation and combat attrition forecasting model using system dynamics methods and introduce macroscopic attrition data to the attrition forecast model by using agents to decompose the attrition data, assigning battle wound information according to specific ratios.Results: Using the attrition forecast model, based on system dynamics, the causal loop and stock-flow relationship of the combat operation process may be constructed by combining the specific combat mission with an analysis of the factors that influence the operation, such as the lethality of the weapons and the defensive capability of the two sides. The damage levels of the various targets on the two sides in combat are converted into attrition data. Based on these data, an agent modeling method is used to extract the macroscopic attrition data derived from the battle attrition forecast model. By constructing a correspondence between the combat target damage level and the various types of battle injuries, the injury to each casualty may be modeled and assigned a value in order to complete the mapping from attrition to injury.Conclusions: This work establishes an attrition forecasting model based on system dynamics and an agent-based simulation model for the occurrence of casualties. It can estimate the temporal and spatial distribution of attrition in combat.


Author(s):  
Haewon BYEON

Background: We aimed to develop a model predicting the participation of the elderly in a cognitive health program using the random forest algorithm and presented baseline information for enhancing cognitive health. Methods: This study analyzed the raw data of Seoul Welfare Panel Study (SWPS) (20), which was surveyed by Seoul Welfare Foundation for the residents of Seoul from Jun 1st to Aug 31st, 2015. Subjects were 2,111 (879 men and 1232 women) persons aged 60 yr and older living in the community who were not diagnosed with dementia. The outcome variable was the intention to participate in a cognitive health promotion program. A prediction model was developed by the use of a Random forests and the results of the developed model were compared with those of a decision tree analysis based on classification and regression tree (CART). Results: The random forests model predicted education level, subjective health, subjective friendship, subjective family bond, mean monthly family income, age, smoking, living with a spouse or not, depression history, drinking, and regular exercise as the major variables. The analysis results of test data showed that the accuracy of the random forests was 72.3% and that of the CART model was 70.9%. Conclusion: It is necessary to develop a customized health promotion program considering the characteristics of subjects in order to implement a program effectively based on the developed model to predict participation in a cognitive health promotion program.


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