Evaluating the Effectiveness of Macroeconomic Indicators to Influence the Stability of Jordanian Banking System

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 136-144
Author(s):  
Ali ، Mohammad Sami
Keyword(s):  
Banking System ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Stability

scholarly journals Towards a More Stable Banking Financial Position COVID-19 Impacts and IFRS 9 Post-Model Practices “Management Overlays”

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. p69
Author(s):  
Dr. Karim F. F. Mohamed
Keyword(s):  
Management Practices ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Vital Role ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
New Era ◽  
Main Research ◽  
Global Regulators ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Ifrs 9 ◽  
The Stability

In the repercussions of the latest worldwide financial crisis that have occurred due to the corona virus reasons (COVID-19); unprecedented stressful economic conditions prevailed, coupled with significant recessionary waves reasoned of the worldwide imposed strict lock downs that have adversely affected most of the economic sectors across the globe. Based on such adverse conditions, and as banks were used to calculate their Expected Credit Losses (ECLs) within the provisioning systems (IFRS 9); the forward looking projections embedded at the banks models fell short to predict the COVID-19 hit, as well as objectively reflect the widely spread governmental rescue plans, such as payment holidays and moratoria schemes. Consequently, and based on such unprecedented challenges, new risk management practices—Management Overlays—have risen to help in terms of overcoming such a systemic uncertainty situation that added more hurdles with regard to banks models and forecasting powers. The researcher is discussing how banks can start using the management overlays, or post-model adjustments, according to each and every bank’s portfolio composition, trends, and stress testing outcomes, where risks and uncertainties cannot be adequately reflected in existing models, until the global regulators (e.g., central banks, and external auditing bodies), as well as the main research and rating agencies can reach and agree on the new set of the updated macroeconomic indicators that can be utilized globally, and per region, reflecting the new era post COVID-19, and supporting in building the new robust IFRS 9 models across the world effectively. Therefore, management overlays can play such a vital role in terms of fortifying the stability of the banking system through: ascertaining the adequacy of the banking provisioning systems, and guaranteeing the sufficiency of holding appropriate capital levels for confronting such an adverse and unprecedented situation of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as similar situations in the future.

Does Islamic banking really strengthen financial stability? Empirical evidence from Pakistan

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 130-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdul Rashid ◽  
Saba Yousaf ◽  
Muhammad Khaleequzzaman
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Conventional Banks ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Underlying Variable ◽  
Empirical Framework

Purpose This paper aims to empirically assess the contribution of Islamic banks toward the financial stability of Pakistan. For this, the authors investigate the relative financial strength of Islamic banks and their contribution toward the financial stability. They also examine the relationship between the competitive conduct of banks and banking system stability. Design/methodology/approach The authors use quarterly data of ten conventional banks, four full-fledged Islamic banks and six standalone Islamic branches of conventional banks of Pakistan for the period 2006-2012. The z-score has been computed and used as the measure of stability of banks and the random effects estimator applied to quantify the impact of bank-specific variables and macroeconomic indicators on the financial stability. The empirical framework used in the paper enables the authors us to examine the differential effect of each underlying variable on the financial stability across Islamic and conventional banks. To check the robustness of the results, the authors have estimated several models with different specifications. Findings The regression results indicate that income diversity, profitability ratio, loan to asset ratio, asset size and the market concentration ratio of banks have significant effects on the stability of banks. Comparing Islamic and conventional banks, notable differential effects of the empirical determinants of financial stability for Islamic and conventional banks have been observed. The results suggest that Islamic banks have performed better as compared to conventional banks and contributed more effectively in the stability of financial sector. Overall, the results depict that the contribution of Islamic banks toward the financial stability has been reasonable and prospective. Practical implications The empirical results of the paper are very useful not only for banks’ managements but also for the investors, bank customers and policymakers. Specifically, the findings help in enhancing our understanding as to how the bank-specific variables and macroeconomic indicators are related to the financial stability of the banking system. The results also help understand the role of both Islamic and conventional banks in the financial stability. Further, the results suggest that the financial soundness can be enhanced by creating healthy competition in the banking industry. The results about macroeconomic indicators imply that protective measures are required to intensify (mitigate) the positive (negative) effect of gross domestic product (inflation) on banks’ financial stability. Originality/value This paper provides an overall comparative analysis of financial stability of both Islamic and conventional banks of Pakistan. First, the paper computes the z-score for each bank included in the sample, and then, it performs the regression analysis to study how bank-specific variables and macroeconomic factors are related to the financial stability of banks. Unlike the previous studies, our empirical framework enables the authors to examine the differential effect of each underlying variable on the financial stability across Islamic and conventional banks.

Stress-testing Russian Banking System: Will Banks Need Government Assistance Again?

2010 ◽  
pp. 61-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Solntsev ◽  
A. Pestova ◽  
M. Mamonov
Keyword(s):  
Stress Testing ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stress Test ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Government Assistance ◽  
Methodological Issues ◽  
Loan Portfolio ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Remote Stress ◽  
Capital Injections

The article analyzes factors that affect growth of the share of non-performing loans in the loan portfolio of Russian banks and proposes approaches for this share forecasting on the basis of dynamics of macroeconomic indicators. It also deals with methodological issues of remote stress-test of lending agencies. Using the results of conducted stress-test of Russian banks the authors assess their perspective capital needs in 2010 and estimate the share of government assistance in capital injections. Furthermore, the authors define the scale of vulnerable banks groups in the Russian banking sector.

NPLs — The Solution Recipe for Albania

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 48
Author(s):  
Elona Shehu ◽  
Elona Meka
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
System A ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
Recent Financial Crisis ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Asset Quality ◽  
Macroeconomic Determinants

The quality of the loan portfolio in Albanian banking system is facing many obstacles during the last decade. In this paper we look at possible determinants of assets quality. During the recent financial crisis commercial banks were confronted with deteriorating asset quality that threatened not only the banking industry, but also the stability of the entire financial system. This study aims to examine the correlation between non-performing loans and the macroeconomic determinants in Albania during the last decade. NPLs are considered to be of a high importance as they represent the high risk exposure of banking system. A solid bank with healthy assets increases the market efficiency. Our approach is based on a panel data regression analysis technique from 2005-2015. Within this methodology this study finds robust evidence on the existing relationship between lending interest rate, real GDP growth and NPLs. We expect to find a negative relationship between lending interest rate and asset quality. Further we assume an inverse relationship between GDP growth and non-performing loans, suggesting that NPLs decrease if the economy is growing. Furthermore this study proposes a solution platform, which looks deeper into the possibility of creating a secondary active market for troubled loans, restructuring the banking system or implementing the Podgorica model. This research paper opens a new lieu of discussion in terms of academic debates and decision-making policies.

scholarly journals Efficiency of Commercial Banking in Developing Countries

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (14) ◽  
pp. 1597
Author(s):  
Violeta Cvetkoska ◽  
Katerina Fotova Čiković ◽  
Marija Tasheva
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Feasible Solution ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Efficiency Score ◽  
Commercial Banking ◽  
Real Situation ◽  
Super Efficiency ◽  
Bank Management ◽  
The Stability

The aim of this paper is to evaluate the relative efficiency of commercial banks in three developing countries in Europe (North Macedonia, Serbia, and Croatia) in the period from 2015 to 2019, and to provide targets for improvement for the inefficient banks by using DEA. The variables are selected under the income-based approach. Based on the output-oriented BCC model, unusual results are obtained for a few commercial banks in each country, that is, they are BCC relative efficient, which is contrary to the real situation. In order to identify outliers that can affect the efficiency results, a super-efficiency procedure is applied so that banks with a super-efficiency score higher than 1.2 (outliers) or for which a feasible solution was not found are considered in detail and removed, and then the output-oriented BCC model is rerun. Based on the obtained results, the Macedonian commercial banking system shows the highest efficiency (91.1%), followed by the Croatian (90.9%) and the Serbian (81.9%) banking system. The estimated targets for improvement of the inefficient commercial banks could help their top bank management in better resource allocation and making fact-based and faster decisions by which they can improve the operation of the banks they lead and contribute to the stability of the financial system.

The stability–concentration relationship in the Brazilian banking system

2008 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 388-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
E.J. Chang ◽  
S.M. Guerra ◽  
E.J.A. Lima ◽  
B.M. Tabak
Keyword(s):  
Banking System ◽  
The Stability

Was the Bank Holiday of 1933 Caused by a Run on the Dollar?

1987 ◽  
Vol 47 (3) ◽  
pp. 739-755 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barrie A. Wigmore
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Federal Reserve ◽  
Deposit Insurance ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Domestic Currency ◽  
New Information ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Specific Timing

International, rather than domestic, causes of both the Bank Holiday of 1933 and the calm in the banking system that followed are emphasized here. New information on gold losses by the New York Federal Reserve, rather than domestic currency hoarding, serve to explain the Bank Holiday's specific timing. Expectations that Roosevelt would devalue the dollar stimulated much of the gold loss. I also argue that Roosevelt's restrictions on gold holdings and foreign exchange dealings and his devaluation of the dollar by 60 percent were more important to the stability of the banking system after the Bank Holiday than was deposit insurance.

scholarly journals Political risk and banking sector performance in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Adefemi A. Obalade ◽  
Babatunde Lawrence ◽  
Joseph Olorunfemi Akande
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Political Risk ◽  
Political Systems ◽  
Business Outcomes ◽  
Stage System ◽  
The Stability

Political risk is prevalent in Nigeria and tends to influence business outcomes and the stability of the banking system. As a result of this study, it was determined whether political risk matters to the performance of the banking sector in Nigeria. The effect of political risk on different banks’ performance measures, such as return on assets, return on invested capital, credit risk and stock price, were examined in a panel of 12 selected commercial banks for the period 2006–2018. Data was analyzed using a two-stage system of generalized method of moments. The results provided evidence that the effect of political risk on bank performance depends on the performance proxies. Specifically, political risk was found to be negatively related to banks’ returns on invested capital and positively related to deteriorating credit risk. Hence, it can be concluded that political risk induces poor banking system performance in Nigeria. The study provides a critical insight into the management of a country’s political systems in terms of their potential to create unfavorable conditions for banking systems to thrive.

scholarly journals Influence of the Average per Capita Income on Credit and Savings Behavior of the Population in Russia

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-66
Author(s):  
Valerij Gamukin ◽  
Olga Miroshnichenko
Keyword(s):  
Banking System ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Graphical Analysis ◽  
Behavioral Approach ◽  
Savings Behavior ◽  
Savings Bank ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Negative Balance ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Relationship

The successful functioning of the national economy is largely determined by the stability of its banking system. The article is aimed at studying the features of credit and savings behavior of the population based on the reporting data of the Central Bank of Russia and Rosstat for the period 01.02.2011 – 01.08.2020. It is proposed to characterize the features of such behavior based on an analysis of the relationship between the volumes of deposit and credit transactions of the population. The theoretical part of the article considers various aspects of determining the behavioral approach to savings: bank contribution, as a form of realization of investments; conservation as a form of reaction to instability; appeal to the bank as part of the fight against the economic crisis, etc. In the practical part of the study, using comparison and graphical analysis methods, 3 periods of transformation of these types of population behavior were identified based on a change in the relationship between the volume of debt on loans and the volume of deposits. Absolute parameters of marginal sizes of fluctuations of indicators of deposit and credit transactions for use in prognostic purposes were evaluated. The value of the deposit volume shift was calculated, which ensured a reduction in the size of the negative balance of deposit and loan operations in the domestic banking system during the crisis of 2015–2016, which contributed to the stability of this system. The analysis of the compared indicators showed the comparability of the dynamics of the change in the ratio of deposits and debt on loans with the dynamics of the average per capita monetary income of the population. The study revealed a stable increase in the volume of deposits of the population in most monthly indicators, which allows us to expect the stability of the banking system of Russia in terms of a balanced subsystem of deposit and credit operations.

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