The potential impact of COVID-19 in refugee camps in Bangladesh and beyond:  A modeling study

Some Indonesians in refugee camps in Syria state they want to return to Indonesia. The plan to repatriate the Indonesian ex-ISIS then raises the pros and cons. Some consider that Indonesian citizen who have joined ISIS deserve to be given the opportunity to improve themselves and have a right to be returned to Indonesia if they really want to repent. Some are worried that the repatriation of Indonesian citizen who join ISIS would create new problems in Indonesia. The problem is that among them there are dozens of children, and they are not combatants who took up arms against Iraq and Syria. They just follow where their parents go. Using the normative juridical study method, this paper explains the potential impact that can arise on national security if the Indonesian government adopts a policy of repatriating Indonesian children who used to join ISIS. The results in this study then provide a prescription that should be carried out by the Indonesian government towards Indonesian children who used to join ISIS

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The potential impact of vaccine passports on inclination to accept COVID-19 vaccinations in the United Kingdom: Evidence from a large cross-sectional survey and modeling study

EClinicalMedicine ◽

10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.101109 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 101109

Author(s):

Alexandre de Figueiredo ◽

Heidi J. Larson ◽

Stephen D. Reicher

Keyword(s):

United Kingdom ◽

Cross Sectional Survey ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

The United Kingdom ◽

Potential Impact ◽

Modeling Study

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The potential impact of an HIV vaccine with limited protection on HIV incidence in Thailand: A modeling study

Vaccine ◽

10.1016/j.vaccine.2011.06.048 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 29 (36) ◽

pp. 6079-6085 ◽

Cited By ~ 15

Author(s):

Nico J.D. Nagelkerke ◽

Jan A.C. Hontelez ◽

Sake J. de Vlas

Keyword(s):

Hiv Vaccine ◽

Hiv Incidence ◽

Potential Impact ◽

Modeling Study

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The potential impact of case-area targeted interventions in response to cholera outbreaks: A modeling study

PLoS Medicine ◽

10.1371/journal.pmed.1002509 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 15 (2) ◽

pp. e1002509 ◽

Cited By ~ 20

Author(s):

Flavio Finger ◽

Enrico Bertuzzo ◽

Francisco J. Luquero ◽

Nathan Naibei ◽

Brahima Touré ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Targeted Interventions ◽

Potential Impact ◽

Modeling Study

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Mathematical Model for COVID-19 Management in Crowded Settlements and High-Activity Areas

10.21203/rs.3.rs-85312/v2 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Amos Ssematimba ◽

Juliet Nakakawa ◽

Joseph Ssebuliba ◽

Joseph Y. T Mugisha

Keyword(s):

Mathematical Model ◽

Population Density ◽

Disease Burden ◽

Contact Tracing ◽

Refugee Camps ◽

Habitat Area ◽

Effective Contact ◽

Reproduction Numbers ◽

Potential Impact ◽

Activity Areas

Abstract This paper develops and analyses a population density-dependent mathematical model to study the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in crowded settlements such as refugee camps, schools, markets and churches. The model quantifies the potential impact of physical/social distancing and population density on the disease burden. Results reveal that with no fatalities and no infected entrants, the reproduction numbers associated with asymptomatic and symptomatic cases are inversely proportional to; the habitat area size, and the efforts employed in tracing and hospitalising these cases. The critical habitat area below which the disease dies out is directly proportion to the time taken to identify and hospitalise infected individuals. Results also show that disease persistence in the community is guaranteed even with minimal admission of infected individuals. Our results further show that as the level of compliance to standard operating procedures (SOPs) increases, then the disease prevalence peaks are greatly reduced and delayed. Therefore, proper adherence to SOPs such as use of masks, physical distancing measures and effective contact tracing should be highly enforced in crowded settings if COVID-19 is to be mitigated.

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Effects of Gender, Parental Role, and Time on Infant- and Adult-Directed Read and Spontaneous Speech

Journal of Speech Language and Hearing Research ◽

10.1044/2019_jslhr-s-19-0047 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 62 (11) ◽

pp. 4001-4014

Author(s):

Melanie Weirich ◽

Adrian Simpson

Keyword(s):

Parental Involvement ◽

Gender Identity ◽

Spontaneous Speech ◽

First Year ◽

Space Size ◽

Vowel Space ◽

Potential Impact ◽

Phonetic Features ◽

And Gender ◽

Description Task

Purpose The study sets out to investigate inter- and intraspeaker variation in German infant-directed speech (IDS) and considers the potential impact that the factors gender, parental involvement, and speech material (read vs. spontaneous speech) may have. In addition, we analyze data from 3 time points prior to and after the birth of the child to examine potential changes in the features of IDS and, particularly also, of adult-directed speech (ADS). Here, the gender identity of a speaker is considered as an additional factor. Method IDS and ADS data from 34 participants (15 mothers, 19 fathers) is gathered by means of a reading and a picture description task. For IDS, 2 recordings were made when the baby was approximately 6 and 9 months old, respectively. For ADS, an additional recording was made before the baby was born. Phonetic analyses comprise mean fundamental frequency (f0), variation in f0, the 1st 2 formants measured in /i: ɛ a u:/, and the vowel space size. Moreover, social and behavioral data were gathered regarding parental involvement and gender identity. Results German IDS is characterized by an increase in mean f0, a larger variation in f0, vowel- and formant-specific differences, and a larger acoustic vowel space. No effect of gender or parental involvement was found. Also, the phonetic features of IDS were found in both spontaneous and read speech. Regarding ADS, changes in vowel space size in some of the fathers and in mean f0 in mothers were found. Conclusion Phonetic features of German IDS are robust with respect to the factors gender, parental involvement, speech material (read vs. spontaneous speech), and time. Some phonetic features of ADS changed within the child's first year depending on gender and parental involvement/gender identity. Thus, further research on IDS needs to address also potential changes in ADS.

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Exploring the Potential Impact of Sentence-Level Comprehension and Sentence-Level Fluency on Deaf Students' Passage Comprehension

Journal of Speech Language and Hearing Research ◽

10.1044/2020_jslhr-19-00205 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 63 (7) ◽

pp. 2281-2292

Author(s):

Ying Zhao ◽

Xinchun Wu ◽

Hongjun Chen ◽

Peng Sun ◽

Ruibo Xie ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Independent Predictor ◽

Vocabulary Knowledge ◽

Group Differences ◽

Regression Analyses ◽

Deaf Students ◽

Mediating Role ◽

Sentence Level ◽

Mediating Mechanisms ◽

Potential Impact ◽

The Relationship

Purpose This exploratory study aimed to investigate the potential impact of sentence-level comprehension and sentence-level fluency on passage comprehension of deaf students in elementary school. Method A total of 159 deaf students, 65 students ( M age = 13.46 years) in Grades 3 and 4 and 94 students ( M age = 14.95 years) in Grades 5 and 6, were assessed for nonverbal intelligence, vocabulary knowledge, sentence-level comprehension, sentence-level fluency, and passage comprehension. Group differences were examined using t tests, whereas the predictive and mediating mechanisms were examined using regression modeling. Results The regression analyses showed that the effect of sentence-level comprehension on passage comprehension was not significant, whereas sentence-level fluency was an independent predictor in Grades 3–4. Sentence-level comprehension and fluency contributed significant variance to passage comprehension in Grades 5–6. Sentence-level fluency fully mediated the influence of sentence-level comprehension on passage comprehension in Grades 3–4, playing a partial mediating role in Grades 5–6. Conclusions The relative contributions of sentence-level comprehension and fluency to deaf students' passage comprehension varied, and sentence-level fluency mediated the relationship between sentence-level comprehension and passage comprehension.

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