scholarly journals Mortality risk prediction in high-risk patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting: Are traditional risk scores accurate?

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. e0255662
Author(s):  
Maxim Goncharov ◽  
Omar Asdrúbal Vilca Mejia ◽  
Camila Perez de Souza Arthur ◽  
Bianca Maria Maglia Orlandi ◽  
Alexandre Sousa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
New York ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Artery Bypass ◽  
Nyha Class ◽  
Heart Association ◽  
Receiver Operating Curve ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients

Background The performance of traditional scores is significantly limited to predict mortality in high-risk cardiac surgery. The aim of this study was to compare the performance of STS, ESII and HiriSCORE models in predicting mortality in high-risk patients undergoing CABG. Methods Cross-sectional analysis in the international prospective database of high-risk patients: HiriSCORE project. We evaluated 248 patients with STS or ESII (5–10%) undergoing CABG in 8 hospitals in Brazil and China. The main outcome was mortality, defined as all deaths occurred during the hospitalization in which the operation was performed, even after 30 days. Five variables were selected as predictors of mortality in this cohort of patients. The model’s performance was evaluated through the calibration-in-the-large and the receiver operating curve (ROC) tests. Results The mean age was 69.90±9.45, with 52.02% being female, 25% of the patients were on New York Heart Association (NYHA) class IV and 49.6% had Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) class 4 angina, and 85.5% had urgency or emergency status. The mortality observed in the sample was 13.31%. The HiriSCORE model showed better calibration (15.0%) compared to ESII (6.6%) and the STS model (2.0%). In the ROC curve, the HiriSCORE model showed better accuracy (ROC = 0.74) than the traditional models STS (ROC = 0.67) and ESII (ROC = 0.50). Conclusion Traditional models were inadequate to predict mortality of high-risk patients undergoing CABG. However, the HiriSCORE model was simple and accurate to predict mortality in high-risk patients.

Minimally Invasive Direct Coronary Artery Bypass in High-Risk Patients with Multivessel Disease

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grischa Hoffmann ◽  
Christine Friedrich ◽  
Katharina Huenges ◽  
Rainer Petzina ◽  
Astrid-Mareike Vogt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Minimally Invasive ◽  
Coronary Artery Bypass ◽  
Artery Bypass ◽  
Multivessel Disease ◽  
Complete Revascularization ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients

Abstract Background High-risk patients with multivessel disease (MVD) including a complex stenosis of the left anterior descending coronary may not be ideal candidates for guideline compliant therapy by coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) regarding invasiveness and perioperative complications. However, they may benefit from minimally invasive direct coronary artery bypass (MIDCAB) grafting and hybrid revascularization (HCR). Methods A logistic European system for cardiac operative risk evaluation score (logES) >10% defined high risk. In high-risk patients with MVD undergoing MIDCAB or HCR, the incidence of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) after 30 days and during midterm follow-up was evaluated. Results Out of 1,250 patients undergoing MIDCAB at our institution between 1998 and 2015, 78 patients (logES: 18.5%; age, 76.7 ± 8.6 years) met the inclusion criteria. During the first 30 days, mortality and rate of MACCE were 9.0%; early mortality was two-fold overestimated by logES. Complete revascularization as scheduled was finally achieved in 64 patients (82.1%). Median follow-up time reached 3.4 (1.2–6.5) years with a median survival time of 4.7 years. Survival after 1, 3, and 5 years was 77, 62, and 48%. Conclusion In high-risk patients with MVD, MIDCAB is associated with acceptable early outcome which is better than predicted by logES. Taking the high-risk profile into consideration, midterm follow-up showed satisfying results, although scheduled HCR was not realized in a relevant proportion. In selected cases of MVD, MIDCAB presents an acceptable alternative for high-risk patients.

scholarly journals Preventing acute kidney injury in high-risk patients by temporarily discontinuing medication – an observational study in general practice

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suzanne J Faber ◽  
Nynke Scherpbier ◽  
Hans Peters ◽  
Annemarie Uijen
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Acute Kidney Injury ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Kidney Injury ◽  
Cross Sectional Study ◽  
Fluid Loss ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Raas Inhibitors

Abstract Background Elderly, patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and patients with heart failure who continue using renin-angiotensin-aldosterone-system (RAAS) inhibitors, diuretics, or non-steroidal-anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) during times of fluid loss have a high risk of developing complications like acute kidney injury (AKI). The aim of this study was to assess how often advice to discontinue high-risk medication was offered to high-risk patients consulting the general practitioner (GP) with increased fluid loss. Furthermore, we assessed the number and nature of the complications that occurred after GP consultation. Methods We performed a cross-sectional study with patients from seven Dutch general practices participating in the Family Medicine Network between 1-6-2013 and 1-7-2018. We included patients who used RAAS-inhibitors, diuretics, or NSAIDs, and had at least one of the following risk factors: age ≥70 years, CKD, or heart failure. From this population, we selected patients with a ‘dehydration-risk’ episode (vomiting, diarrhoea, fever, chills, or gastrointestinal infection). We manually checked their electronic patient files and assessed the percentage of episodes in which advice to discontinue the high-risk medication was offered and whether a complication occurred in three months after the ‘dehydration-risk’ episode. Results We included 3607 high-risk patients from a total of 44.675 patients (8.1%). We found that patients were advised to discontinue the high-risk medication in 38 (4.6%) of 816 ‘dehydration-risk’ episodes. In 59 of 816 episodes (7.1%) complications (mainly AKI) occurred. Conclusions Dutch GPs do not frequently advise high-risk patients to discontinue high-risk medication during ‘dehydration-risk’ episodes. Complications occur frequently. Timely discontinuation of high-risk medication needs attention.

Cardiovascular risk assessment in diabetes and pre-diabetes

ESC CardioMed ◽  
2018 ◽  
pp. 923-924
Author(s):  
Nikolaus Marx
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Target Organ Damage ◽  
Risk Scores ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Patients With Diabetes ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Artery Disease ◽  
Very High

Patients with diabetes exhibit an increased propensity to develop cardiovascular disease with an increased mortality. Early risk assessment, especially for coronary artery disease, is important to initiate therapeutic strategies to reduce cardiovascular risk. This chapter reviews the current literature on risk scores in patients with type 1 and type 2 diabetes and summarizes the role of risk assessment based on biomarkers and different imaging strategies. Current guidelines recommend that patients with diabetes are characterized as high-risk or very high-risk patients. In the presence of target organ damage or other risk factors such as smoking, marked hypercholesterolaemia, or hypertension, patients with diabetes are classified as very high-risk patients while most other people with diabetes are categorized as high-risk patients.

Miniaturized versus conventional cardiopulmonary bypass in high-risk patients undergoing coronary artery bypass surgery

Perfusion ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 65-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simo-Pekka Koivisto ◽  
Jan-Ola Wistbacka ◽  
Riikka Rimpiläinen ◽  
Juha Nissinen ◽  
Pertti Loponen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cardiopulmonary Bypass ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Coronary Artery Bypass ◽  
Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery ◽  
Bypass Surgery ◽  
Artery Bypass ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients

scholarly journals Prophylactic Application of an Intra-Aortic Balloon Pump in High-Risk Patients Undergoing Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting

Cardiology ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 131 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
WenJun Ding ◽  
Qiang Ji ◽  
Qiang Wei ◽  
YunQing Shi ◽  
RunHua Ma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Artery Bypass ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Bypass Grafting ◽  
Surgical Mortality ◽  
Low Cardiac Output ◽  
Off Pump ◽  
High Risk Patients ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Pump Coronary Artery Bypass

Background: An intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) is the most commonly used circulatory assist device in cardiac surgery. We hypothesized that prophylactic application of an IABP improves early clinical outcome of high-risk patients undergoing scheduled off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCABG). Methods: From January 2010 to December 2013, hemodynamically stable, high-risk patients undergoing scheduled OPCABG with preincision use of an IABP were recruited to the IABP group. Using the propensity score-matching method, every patient in the IABP group was matched with another patient (the control group) with a similar propensity score who received an IABP on an as-needed basis during or after OPCABG. Surgical mortality and major morbidity rates were compared between groups. Results: A total of 116 patient pairs were included in this study. In patients in the IABP group, postoperative low cardiac output and respiratory as well as renal failure were less frequent, intensive care unit stay was shorter, and surgical mortality was lower compared to patients in the control group. In multivariate logistic regression, timing of IABP implantation, as an independent risk factor, was associated with postoperative low cardiac output (OR = 2.02, 95% CI 1.28-5.76), respiratory failure (OR = 1.86, 95% CI 1.19-4.27), renal failure (OR = 2.96, 95% CI 1.51-6.63) and surgical mortality (OR = 2.45, 95% CI 1.42-6.07). Conclusions: Prophylactic application of an IABP improves postoperative cardiac performance, reduces respiratory and renal complications, and consequently lowers surgical mortality in high-risk patients undergoing scheduled OPCABG.

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