scholarly journals Corruption and Economic Growth: The Case of Portugal

2019 ◽  
pp. 11-33
Author(s):  
Pedro Bação ◽  
Inês Gaspar ◽  
Marta Simões

In this paper we investigate the impact of corruption on economic growth in Portugal over the period 1980-2018. The empirical approach makes use of a VAR model inspired by the standard Cobb-Douglas aggregate production function. The VAR model includes the capital stock, hours worked, total factor productivity and the corruption perceptions index (CPI) of Transparency International. The CPI combines several sources of information on the level of corruption in each country. The scale of this index goes from 0, the highest level of corruption, to 10, the lowest level. The magnitude of the estimated effect of corruption on economic growth in the unrestricted VAR model is large (and positive), but statistically not significantly different from zero. However, the results from the estimation of a structural VAR model with economically plausible long-run restrictions indicate modest gains from reducing corruption.

2011 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 184-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessio Moro

In this paper I show that the intensity at which intermediate goods are used in the production process affects aggregate total factor productivity (TFP). To do this, I construct an input–output model economy in which firms produce gross output by means of a production function in capital, labor, and intermediate goods. This production function is subject, together with the standard neutral technical change, to intermediates-biased technical change. Positive (negative) intermediates-biased technical change implies a decline (increase) in the elasticity of gross output with respect to intermediate goods. In equilibrium, this elasticity appears as an explicit part of TFP in the value added aggregate production function. In particular, when the elasticity of gross output with respect to intermediates increases, aggregate TFP declines. I use the model to quantify the impact of intermediates-biased technical change for measured TFP growth in Italy. The exercise shows that intermediates-biased technical change can account for the productivity slowdown observed in Italy from 1994 to 2004.


2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 253-284
Author(s):  
Ranjan Kumar Mohanty ◽  
Sidheswar Panda

The study investigates the macroeconomic effects of public debt in India during 1980–2017 using a structural vector autoregression framework. The objective is to examine the impact of public debt on the interest rate, investment, inflation and economic growth in India. The results of the impulse response functions show that public debt has an adverse impact on economic growth but a positive impact on the long-term interest rate in the short run and a mixed effect (both negative and positive) on investment and inflation. We also find that domestic debt has a more adverse impact on the economy than external debt. The estimated variance decomposition analysis finds that much of the variation in selected macro variables are explained by public debt and growth in India. This study suggests that public debt especially domestic debt should be controlled and channelled productively to have a favourable impact on the economy. JEL Classification: H63, O40, C40


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3165
Author(s):  
Eva Litavcová ◽  
Jana Chovancová

The aim of this study is to examine the empirical cointegration, long-run and short-run dynamics and causal relationships between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in 14 Danube region countries over the period of 1990–2019. The autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing methodology was applied for each of the examined variables as a dependent variable. Limited by the length of the time series, we excluded two countries from the analysis and obtained valid results for the others for 26 of 36 ARDL models. The ARDL bounds reliably confirmed long-run cointegration between carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in Austria, Czechia, Slovakia, and Slovenia. Economic growth and energy consumption have a significant impact on carbon emissions in the long-run in all of these four countries; in the short-run, the impact of economic growth is significant in Austria. Likewise, when examining cointegration between energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in the short-run, a significant contribution of CO2 emissions on energy consumptions for seven countries was found as a result of nine valid models. The results contribute to the information base essential for making responsible and informed decisions by policymakers and other stakeholders in individual countries. Moreover, they can serve as a platform for mutual cooperation and cohesion among countries in this region.


Economies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Songling ◽  
Muhammad Ishtiaq ◽  
Bui Thi Thanh

In the developing economy, tourism is the most visible and steadiest growing facade. Tourism is considered one of the rapidly increasing elements for economic development from the last two decades. Therefore, the proposed study used vector autoregression (VAR) model, error correction model (ECM), and the Granger causality to check the relationship between the tourism industry and economic growth based on the data of the Beijing municipal bureau of statistics from 1994 to 2015. Gross domestic product (GDP) is used as a replacement variable for the economic growth index, while internal tourism revenue is used as a tourism industry indicator. The study supports the tourism-led growth hypothesis proposed in the existing literature in a different survey of tourism and economic development. The results show that there is a strong relationship in the tourism industry and economic growth in the context of Beijing, and at the same time, tourism creates a more significant increase in long run local real economic accomplishments. The results of the VAR model confirm that in the long run, Beijing’s economic growth is affected by domestic tourism, while the ECM model shows unidirectional results in the short term. Similarly, there is a one-way causal relationship between the tourism industry and economic growth in Beijing, China. The empirical results are in strong support of the concept that tourism causes growth.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiří Mihola

The monograph develops the theory of production functions and their systematic typology. It looks at the relationship between inputs and outputs as a universal relationship that is used not only in economics but also in other disciplines. In addition to the static production function, special attention is paid to the dynamization of individual quantities and the issue of expressing the effect of changes in these quantities on the change in production. It is explained why in the aggregate production function expressed through aggregate factor input and aggregate factor productivity it is necessary to use a multiplicative relationship, why the multiplicative link is also suitable in terms of total input factor and why the share of weights in labor and capital should be the same. The use of the production function is demonstrated on the development of the economies of the USA, China and India and on the ten largest economies of the world in terms of absolute GDP, on cryptocurrencies and on the so-called farming role.In addition to a comprehensive overview of production functions, the monograph also enriches new ideas that arose during long-term computational and analytical activities of economic and business. Particularly innovative is the generalization of the production function to any system with variable inputs and outputs. The production function can thus be recognized in many identities. The original intention of the research was to examine the intensity of economic development, but it turned out that it is closely related to production functions. The impetus for this research comes from Prof. Ing. František Brabec, DrSc. a genius mathematician, designer, economist and manager, former general director of Škoda in Pilsen and later rector of ČVÚT.The presented typology of production functions is not limited to one area of economics, but goes beyond it. The monograph respects the definition of the static production function as the maximum amount of production that can be produced with a given number of production factors. On this function, which can be effectively displayed using polynomial functions of different orders,significant points can be systematically defined, ie the inflection point, the point of maximum efficiency, the point of maximum profit and the point of maximum production. The purpose is to optimize the number of inserted production factors. The text is preferred the point with the greatest effectiveness. If this quantity does not correspond, for example, to demand, it is possible to choose another technology, which will be reflected in a shift in the static production function. At the same time, the important points of these functions describe the trajectory, which has the nature of a dynamic production function. For a dynamic production function, the crucial question is how the change in individual factors contributes to the overall change in output. If the production function is expressed through inputs and their efficiency, dynamic parameters of extensibility and intensity can be defined, which exactly express the effect of changes in inputs and the effect of changes in efficiency on changes in outputs for all possible situations. Special attention is paid to the aggregate production function. It explains why it should be expressed as the product of the aggregate input factor (TIF) and aggregate factor productivity (TFP), or why the term TIF should be expressed as a weighted product of labor and capital, in which the value of labor and capital weights could be and identical. The monograph here surpasses the traditional additive view of the multi-factor production function by proposing a multiplicative link, which also allows the derivation of growth accounting, but with a new interpretation of weights and (1-), which do not need to be calculated for each subject and each year.The time production function is used to forecast the GDP development of the US, China and India economies until 2030 and 2050, respectively. It is also predicted an increase in the absolute GDP of Indonesia, a stable position of Russia and the loss of the elite position of Japan and Germany.The monograph also deals with the hitherto unresolved question of whether, even in economics, it is also necessary in certain circumstances to take into account a phenomenon called quantization in physics. It turns out that quantization is a common thing in economics, which is documented on specific forms of production functions that respect quantization in economics.The monograph also deals with the relationship between the efficiency of an individual given the use of a certain point on a specific static production function and common efficiency, ie all actors together. These examples assume limited resources. The sum of the outputs of all actors depends on how the actors share these limited resources. It can be expected that there will be at least one method of distribution that will bring the highest sum of outputs (products, crops) of all actors. This result, however, also depends on the shape of the production functions. This is investigated using EDM, i.e.elementary distribution models. EDM for polynomial production functions of the 2nd to 5th order are not yet published in summary. Of the new findings, they are the most interesting. When using two polynomial production functions, the EDM boundary becomes linear if the inflection point is used for both production functions. If we are above the inflection point, the EDM is properly concave. It turned out that the "bending" of the production function in the region of the inflection point can be modeled using a quantity of the order of the respective polynomial. The higher the order of the polynomial, the higher the deflection can be achieved. This proved to be a very important finding in modeling specific production functions. This effect cannot be achieved by combining other parameters.


2021 ◽  
pp. 097491012110616
Author(s):  
Natalia I. Doré ◽  
Aurora A. C. Teixeira

The factors required to achieve sustainable economic growth in a country are debated for decades, and empirical research in this regard continues to grow. Given the relevance of the topic and the absence of a comprehensive, systematic literature review, we used bibliometric techniques to examine and document several aspects in the empirical literature related to growth, from 1991 to 2020. Five main results are worth highlighting: (a) the share of empirical articles on economic growth show a clear upward trend; (b) among all the groups of countries considered, the emerging economies (EEs) have received the most scientific attention; (c) the economic growth processes of the Latin American and Caribbean EEs have observed negligible scientific attention; (d) the very long-run studies comprise a residual share among the empirical literature on growth; (e) the extant empirical studies on economic growth have addressed mainly the impact of “macroeconomic conditions.” Our findings suggest there is a need to redirect the empirical growth agenda, so as to encourage more scientific attention devoted to the analysis of key determinants of economic growth in the very long run. There should also be increased scrutiny of the processes of economic growth in Latin American and Caribbean EEs


2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 23-38
Author(s):  
Talknice Saungweme ◽  
Nicholas M. Odhiambo

Abstract This paper contributes to the ongoing debate on the impact of public debt service on economic growth; and it provides an evidence-based approach to public policy formulation in Zimbabwe. The empirical analysis was performed by applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique to annual time-series data from 1970 to 2017. The study findings reveal that the impact of public debt service on economic growth in Zimbabwe is negative in the short run but positive in the long run. The results are suggestive of the existence of a crowding-out effect of public debt service in Zimbabwe in the short run and a crowding-in effect in the long run. In view of these findings, the government should consider fiscal and financial policies that promote a constant supply of long-term finance, long-term fixed investments, and extension of a government securities maturity structure so as to ensure sustainable short- and long-term public debt service expenditures. The study further recommends the strengthening of non-distortionary revenue mobilisation reforms to reduce market distortions and boost domestic investment.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Usman

The goal of this study is to explore the impact of high tech exports on economic growth of Pakistan. To examine this relationship, data are collected from World Bank database, State Bank of Pakistan data source and Statistical Bureau of Pakistan. Time span of study is consisting of 20 years from 1995 to 2014. By using ordinary least square (OLS) with robust standard error, results confirm that there is a positive and statistically significant impact of high tech exports on economic growth. Although Pakistan is an agriculture country and its economic growth is largely depend upon farming, but for long run economic growth, Pakistan has to increase its high tech exports.


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