scholarly journals Assessment of Investment Projects Based on Economic Flow and Not in Cash Flows

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Halil Kukaj ◽  
Fisnik Morina

In terms of global competitiveness, taking the investments decisions has a great impact to remain in the market. For this, when evaluating the investing projects it is necessary to apply the methods of profitability and liquidity. However, the question arises, if the profitability evaluation of investing project should be made according to the cash flow or the data from the economical flow statement. The aim of this paper is to give arguments why the economical flow statement should be applied instead of cash flow statement for the evaluation of profitability of investing projects. The paper is based on a hypothetical example whereas arguments are derived while applying the indicators: the Net present value and internal norm of profitability.Keywords: Evaluation of investing project, economical flow, net present value, internal norm of profitability

Author(s):  
R. M. Myniv

Evaluation of investment efficiency is central to the process of justifying and selecting possible options for investing in investment projects, and is therefore a key to successful implementation of investment activities of agricultural enterprises. The main directions of financing of investment projects of agricultural enterprises are: purchase or construction of unfinished construction objects, new construction, expansion of existing enterprises, reconstruction of existing enterprises and technical re-equipment of existing enterprises. Two main groups of methods of assessing the cost-effectiveness of investment projects have become most widespread: static and dynamic. Static methods involve the calculation of indicators based on undiscounted cash flows. Dynamic methods, on the contrary, take into account the change in the value of money over time and imply bringing the values of all cash flows to the same period by discounting or compounding. Dynamic methods for assessing the effectiveness of investment projects include the following basic methods that rely on most modern Ukrainian enterprises, such as net present value cash flow (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), payback period (DPP) and project profitability index (PI). On their basis the basic methods of selection of investment projects of agricultural enterprises are formed. Net Present Value (NPV) calculation. is based on comparing what will be invested in the future with what is invested now. The Profitabale Index (PI) is directly related to net present value and is defined as the ratio of the discounted cash flow to initial investment. The IRR (Internal Rate of Return) is the discount rate at which the projected cash inflows are equal to the project's discounted cash flows. As indicators of the effect in calculating the overall efficiency of investments, it is advisable to use changes in the following values of growth: revenue from the sale of enterprise products; gross income; profit before tax; net profit; cash flow; clean products. Gross and net investment should be included in the costs. The use of qualitative methods in investment analysis is due to the following reasons: the subjectivity of the phenomena or characteristics studied; lack or lack of necessary information; inability to analyze objective and acceptable methods; lack of research object (to be created during project implementation). Quantitative methods for evaluating agricultural investment projects include methods of probability theory and mathematical statistics, as well as economic and statistical methods.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-103
Author(s):  
Lesia Chubuk

The purpose of th article is to substantiate the possibility of applying methods for assessing the effectiveness and risks of investing for the analysis of income in the strategic management of real property. Methodology. The methodical bases of sensitivity analysis and simulation modeling of cash flows of real property income are stated. Results. The critical factors of costs and revenues affecting net present value of total cash flow from grain elevator real property object have been revealed. It is evidenced that the most significant factors influencing the amount of cash flows are the volume of sales of grain elevator services, to a lesser extent the total costs and the lack of sensitivity of net present value to staff salary variations. Simulation modeling of the change in net present value due to the change of the most significant uncertain factors was performed, which confirmed the assumptions about the efficiency of the investigated real property. The key factors are the main services that generate net operating income and critical expenses. Namely, services: storage, drying, shipment by road and rail, costs: fuel for drying, electricity, fuel for transportation of grain, staff salaries. For each factor, the relevant limits of change were established (determined by experts taking into account the average annual growth rate of the indicator) and cash flow simulation was performed. Practical implications. Statistical analysis of the model's behavior under the influence of random factors shows that the most probable value of the net present value of cash flows will be positive, despite the simulation of a significant change (+/- 40%) in electricity and fuel consumption factors for grain transportation. The values of the simple and discounted payback period also confirm the efficiency of the elevator property functioning. The indicator of the stability level demonstrate the need of planning input cash flows sources to cover the output cash flows. Value/originality. The expected profitability of grain elevator real property is largely determined by the factor of the volume of basic services sales (storage, drying, shipment and transport of products). This creates the preconditions for the subsequent assessment of the value of grain elevator real property based on the methodology of the income approach.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vicente De Albornoz ◽  
Antonio Galera ◽  
Juan Millán

Public Private Partnerships (PPP) are viewed by the private sector as investment projects. An investment criterion, such as the internal rate of return (IRR), widely used by practitioners, is thus necessary in order to determine if the opportunity is sustainable from an economic point of view and worth pursuing. However, a cash flow may have multiple IRRs—is it appropriate in the context of PPPs to use this criterion? This paper provides a clear proposition to determine the potential number of real positive IRRs a cash flow may have, depending on the number of sign variations and the value of the net present value (NPV) calculated with a discount rate equal to 0 (NPV(r = 0)). This proposition can sometimes be used when other tests (such as Norstrom’s Criterion) are inconclusive to determine if a cash flow has a single real positive IRR. The proposition is generally met by the typical cash flow of a PPP project, validating the use of IRR as an investment criterion.


2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 5-16
Author(s):  
Katarína Belanová

In general, each project`s value is estimated using a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, and the opportunity with the highest value, as measured by the resultant net present value (NPV) will be selected. The problem with such NPV estimates is that they depend on projected future cash flows. If there are errors in those projections, then estimated net present values can be misleading (a forecasting risk). Basic approach to evaluating cash flow and NPV estimates involves asking “what – if” questions. Accordingly, the paper discusses some organized way s of going about a what – if analysis. Its goal in doing so is to assess the degree of forecasting risk and to identify those elements that are the most critical to the success or failure of an investment. However, as we show in examples, as well as in the practical study, though what – if analysis really allows us to obtain the certain idea of degree of forecasting risk, it does not tell us what to do about the possible errors.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Halkadri Fitra ◽  
Salma Taqwa ◽  
Charoline Cheisviyanny ◽  
Abel Tasman ◽  
Nurzi Sebrina

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat kelayakan aspek keuangan usaha grosir sembako Badan Usaha Milik Desa (Nagari) Kamang Hilia Sejahtera di Kenagarian Kamang Hilia Kecamatan Kamang Magek Kabupaten Agam Provinsi Sumatera Barat yang dilakukan pada tahun 2018. Penelitian bersifat deskriptif kuantitatif dengan menggunakan metode cash flow analysis, payback period, net present value, profitability index, internal rate of return, dan average rate of return. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa nilai net cash flow Badan Usaha Milik Desa (Nagari) Kamang Hilia Sejahtera adalah positif yaitu Rp.21.774.000, nilai payback period adalah 1,15 tahun, nilai net present value positif sebesar Rp.10.680.034,47, nilai profitability index adalah positif 1,37, sedangkan nilai internal rate of return adalah 46,7% dan nilai average rate of return adalah 57,23%. Berdasarkan standar penilaian maka semua metode yang digunakan memberikan kesimpulan bahwa usaha grosir sembako milik Badan Usaha Milik Desa (Nagari) Kamang Hilia Sejahtera dalam kategori layak untuk dilaksanakan.


1982 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas W. Jones ◽  
David Smith

Net present value and equivalent annual cost are two discounted cash flow criteria for comparing investment proposals. Why have accountants taken to net present value? Why do engineers readily use equivalent annual cost? This paper investigates the historical development of these principles to provide an explanation of why this is so.


2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 258-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyun A. Hong ◽  
Yongtae Kim ◽  
Gerald J. Lobo

This study examines the role of financial reporting conservatism in mitigating underinvestment problems. Recognizing that volatile cash flows increase the need to access external capital markets and that agency conflicts and information asymmetry make external capital costlier than internal capital, which leads managers to forgo valuable investment projects, Minton and Schrand document a negative relation between cash flow volatility and investment. We draw on Minton and Schrand’s framework to isolate underinvestment problems and hypothesize and document that conservatism mitigates the negative relation between cash flow volatility and investment and that this mitigative effect is more pronounced for firms with ex ante more severe agency conflicts. We also document that conservatism mitigates the sensitivity of investment to cash flow volatility by facilitating access to external capital.


Author(s):  
Miyase Karabulut ◽  
Sıtkı Sönmezer ◽  
Vedat Zeki Yenen ◽  
Zeynep Emir

Capital budgeting is crucial for firms that have projects to evaluate especially when the projects are mutually exclusive or financing is scarce. The aim of the study is to determining the most widely used methodologies in capital budgeting decisions and their effectiveness. A qualitative research will provide cement sector specific examples in assessing industry projects and compares the methods of Net Present Value, İnternal rate of Return, Pay-back period, discounted pay-back period and MIRR. Each method is briefly discussed and its drawbacks and advantages are mentioned in detail. Other sectors are also examined in terms of capital budgeting. Our preliminary results indicate that net present value method dominates capital budgeting decisions in the sectors under study.


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