Traffic Flow Forecasting Using Machine Learning Techniques

Congestion due to traffic, results in wasted fuel, increase in pollution level, increase in travel time and vehicular queuing. Smart city initiatives are aimed to improve the quality of urban life. Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) provides solution for many smart city projects, as they capture real time data without any fixed infrastructure. The real-time prediction of traffic flow aids in alleviating congestion. Accurate and timely prediction on the future traffic flow helps individual travellers, public transport, and transport planning. Existing systems are designed to predict specific traffic parameters like weekday, weekend, and holidays. This research presents a machine learning based traffic flow forecasting for the city of Bloomington, US not with any precise parameter. The day-wise dataset for the 5 areas is taken from Jan 1, 2017 to Dec 31, 2019. The algorithm used for implementation is Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). LSTM algorithm provides better traffic prediction with least root means square error value.

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Using Machine Learning Algorithms on Prediction of Stock Price

Journal of Modeling and Optimization ◽

10.32732/jmo.2020.12.2.84 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 12 (2) ◽

pp. 84-99

Author(s):

Li-Pang Chen

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Stock Price ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Support Vector ◽

Short Term ◽

Learning Techniques ◽

Historical Database ◽

Long Short Term Memory

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.

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A Machine Learning View on Momentum and Reversal Trading

Algorithms ◽

10.3390/a11110170 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 11 (11) ◽

pp. 170 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Zhixi Li ◽

Vincent Tam

Keyword(s):

Neural Network ◽

Machine Learning ◽

Stock Market ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Predictive Ability ◽

Trading Strategies ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Support Vector ◽

Learning Approaches ◽

Learning Techniques

Momentum and reversal effects are important phenomena in stock markets. In academia, relevant studies have been conducted for years. Researchers have attempted to analyze these phenomena using statistical methods and to give some plausible explanations. However, those explanations are sometimes unconvincing. Furthermore, it is very difficult to transfer the findings of these studies to real-world investment trading strategies due to the lack of predictive ability. This paper represents the first attempt to adopt machine learning techniques for investigating the momentum and reversal effects occurring in any stock market. In the study, various machine learning techniques, including the Decision Tree (DT), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network (MLP), and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) were explored and compared carefully. Several models built on these machine learning approaches were used to predict the momentum or reversal effect on the stock market of mainland China, thus allowing investors to build corresponding trading strategies. The experimental results demonstrated that these machine learning approaches, especially the SVM, are beneficial for capturing the relevant momentum and reversal effects, and possibly building profitable trading strategies. Moreover, we propose the corresponding trading strategies in terms of market states to acquire the best investment returns.

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Sentiment Analysis of Lithuanian Texts Using Traditional and Deep Learning Approaches

Computers ◽

10.3390/computers8010004 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 8 (1) ◽

pp. 4 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Jurgita Kapočiūtė-Dzikienė ◽

Robertas Damaševičius ◽

Marcin Woźniak

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Deep Learning ◽

Sentiment Analysis ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Support Vector ◽

Learning Approaches ◽

Full Dataset ◽

Learning Techniques ◽

Long Short Term Memory

We describe the sentiment analysis experiments that were performed on the Lithuanian Internet comment dataset using traditional machine learning (Naïve Bayes Multinomial—NBM and Support Vector Machine—SVM) and deep learning (Long Short-Term Memory—LSTM and Convolutional Neural Network—CNN) approaches. The traditional machine learning techniques were used with the features based on the lexical, morphological, and character information. The deep learning approaches were applied on the top of two types of word embeddings (Vord2Vec continuous bag-of-words with negative sampling and FastText). Both traditional and deep learning approaches had to solve the positive/negative/neutral sentiment classification task on the balanced and full dataset versions. The best deep learning results (reaching 0.706 of accuracy) were achieved on the full dataset with CNN applied on top of the FastText embeddings, replaced emoticons, and eliminated diacritics. The traditional machine learning approaches demonstrated the best performance (0.735 of accuracy) on the full dataset with the NBM method, replaced emoticons, restored diacritics, and lemma unigrams as features. Although traditional machine learning approaches were superior when compared to the deep learning methods; deep learning demonstrated good results when applied on the small datasets.

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Study on Urban Intersection Traffic Flow Forecasting and Traffic Signal Control

Applied Mechanics and Materials ◽

10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.135-136.969 ◽

2011 ◽

Vol 135-136 ◽

pp. 969-974 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Yong Feng Ju ◽

Xiao Wei Wei

Keyword(s):

Real Time ◽

Traffic Flow ◽

Traffic Control ◽

Road Network ◽

Intelligent Transportation ◽

Traffic Signal Control ◽

Time Data ◽

Urban Road ◽

Traffic Flow Forecasting ◽

Short Time

Short-traffic flow forecasting is an important part of ITS, and its accuracy and real-time is directly related to the effect of traffic control and traffic induce. Gathering and analyzing the real-time data of urban road network ,short-time traffic flow forecasting could estimate the state of traffic flow for a few minutes in future and provide support to intelligent transportation control, so it is one of the important premise for ITS.

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Gap, techniques and evaluation: traffic flow prediction using machine learning and deep learning

Journal Of Big Data ◽

10.1186/s40537-021-00542-7 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 8 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Noor Afiza Mat Razali ◽

Nuraini Shamsaimon ◽

Khairul Khalil Ishak ◽

Suzaimah Ramli ◽

Mohd Fahmi Mohamad Amran ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Traffic Flow ◽

Traffic Congestion ◽

Intelligent Transportation System ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Smart Cities ◽

Experimental Studies ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Traffic Flow Prediction ◽

Flow Prediction

AbstractThe development of the Internet of Things (IoT) has produced new innovative solutions, such as smart cities, which enable humans to have a more efficient, convenient and smarter way of life. The Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is part of several smart city applications where it enhances the processes of transportation and commutation. ITS aims to solve traffic problems, mainly traffic congestion. In recent years, new models and frameworks for predicting traffic flow have been rapidly developed to enhance the performance of traffic flow prediction, alongside the implementation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods such as machine learning (ML). To better understand how ML implementations can enhance traffic flow prediction, it is important to inclusively know the current research that has been conducted. The objective of this paper is to present a comprehensive and systematic review of the literature involving 39 articles published from 2016 onwards and extracted from four main databases: Scopus, ScienceDirect, SpringerLink and Taylor & Francis. The extracted information includes the gaps, approaches, evaluation methods, variables, datasets and results of each reviewed study based on the methodology and algorithms used for the purpose of predicting traffic flow. Based on our findings, the common and frequent machine learning techniques that have been applied for traffic flow prediction are Convolutional Neural Network and Long-Short Term Memory. The performance of their proposed techniques was compared with existing baseline models to determine their effectiveness. This paper is limited to certain literature pertaining to common databases. Through this limitation, the discussion is more focused on (and limited to) the techniques found on the list of reviewed articles. The aim of this paper is to provide a comprehensive understanding of the application of ML and DL techniques for improving traffic flow prediction, contributing to the betterment of ITS in smart cities. For future endeavours, experimental studies that apply the most used techniques in the articles reviewed in this study (such as CNN, LSTM or a combination of both techniques) can be accomplished to enhance traffic flow prediction. The results can be compared with baseline studies to determine the accuracy of these techniques.

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Parallel SMO for Traffic Flow Forecasting

Applied Mechanics and Materials ◽

10.4028/www.scientific.net/amm.20-23.843 ◽

2010 ◽

Vol 20-23 ◽

pp. 843-848 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Fan Wang ◽

Guo Zhen Tan ◽

Chao Deng

Keyword(s):

Real Time ◽

Traffic Flow ◽

Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽

Good Method ◽

Transportation Systems ◽

Training Data ◽

Support Vector ◽

Training Time ◽

The Real ◽

Traffic Flow Forecasting

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is crucial to the development of intelligent transportation systems and advanced traveler information systems. Since Support Vector Machine (SVM)have better generalization performance and can guarantee global minima for given training data, it is believed that SVR is an effective method in traffic flow forecasting. But with the sharp increment of traffic data, traditional serial SVM can not meet the real-time requirements of traffic flow forecasting. Parallel processing has been proved to be a good method to reduce training time. In this paper, we adopt a parallel sequential minimal optimization (Parallel SMO) method to train SVM in multiple processors. Our experimental and analytical results demonstrate this model can reduce training time, enhance speed-up ratio and efficiency and better satisfy the real-time demands of traffic flow forecasting.

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A Real-Time Data Analysis Platform for Short-Term Water Consumption Forecasting with Machine Learning

Forecasting ◽

10.3390/forecast3040042 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 3 (4) ◽

pp. 682-694

Author(s):

Aida Boudhaouia ◽

Patrice Wira

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Data Analysis ◽

Real Time ◽

Water Consumption ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Back Propagation ◽

Time Data ◽

Short Term ◽

Real Time Data ◽

Analysis Platform

This article presents a real-time data analysis platform to forecast water consumption with Machine-Learning (ML) techniques. The strategy fully relies on a web-oriented architecture to ensure better management and optimized monitoring of water consumption. This monitoring is carried out through a communicating system for collecting data in the form of unevenly spaced time series. The platform is completed by learning capabilities to analyze and forecast water consumption. The analysis consists of checking the data integrity and inconsistency, in looking for missing data, and in detecting abnormal consumption. Forecasting is based on the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and the Back-Propagation Neural Network (BPNN). After evaluation, results show that the ML approaches can predict water consumption without having prior knowledge about the data and the users. The LSTM approach, by being able to grab the long-term dependencies between time steps of water consumption, allows the prediction of the amount of consumed water in the next hour with an error of some liters and the instants of the 5 next consumed liters in some milliseconds.

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Detecting Fake News using Machine Learning Algorithms

10.36227/techrxiv.12089133 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Harika Kudarvalli ◽

Jinan Fiaidhi

Keyword(s):

Social Media ◽

Real Time ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Vital Role ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Support Vector ◽

Fake News ◽

Time Data ◽

Time News ◽

Social Media Platforms

Spreading fake news has become a serious issue in the current social media world. It is broadcasted with dishonest intentions to mislead people. This has caused many unfortunate incidents in different countries. The most recent one was the latest presidential elections where the voters were mis lead to support a leader. Twitter is one of the most popular social media platforms where users look up for real time news. We extracted real time data on multiple domains through twitter and performed analysis. The dataset was preprocessed and user_verified column played a vital role. Multiple machine algorithms were then performed on the extracted features from preprocessed dataset. Logistic Regression and Support Vector Machine had promising results with both above 92% accuracy. Naive Bayes and Long-Short Term memory didn't achieve desired accuracies. The model can also be applied to images and videos for better detection of fake news.

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Detecting Fake News using Machine Learning Algorithms

10.36227/techrxiv.12089133.v1 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Harika Kudarvalli ◽

Jinan Fiaidhi

Keyword(s):

Social Media ◽

Real Time ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Vital Role ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Support Vector ◽

Fake News ◽

Time Data ◽

Time News ◽

Social Media Platforms

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Forecasting Factor of Safety of Slopes Stability Using Several Machine Learning Techniques

10.21203/rs.3.rs-669928/v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Arsalan Mahmoodzadeh ◽

Mokhtar Mohammadi

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Slope Stability ◽

Factor Of Safety ◽

Slope Failure ◽

Short Term Memory ◽

Gaussian Process Regression ◽

Machine Learning Techniques ◽

Unit Weight ◽

Support Vector ◽

Effective Parameters

Abstract Because of the disasters associated with slope failure, the analysis and forecasting of slope stability for geotechnical engineers are crucial. In this work, in order to forecast the factor of safety (FOS) of the slopes, six machine learning (ML) techniques of Gaussian process regression (GPR), support vector regression (SVR), decision trees (DT), long-short term memory (LSTM), deep neural networks (DNN), and K-nearest neighbors (KNN) were performed. A total of 327 slope cases in Iran with various geometric and shear strength parameters analyzed by PLAXIS software to evaluate their FOS, were employed in the models. The K-fold (K=5) cross-validation (CV) method was applied to evaluate the performance of models’ prediction. Finally, all the models produced acceptable results and almost close to each other. However, the GPR model with R2 = 0.8139, RMSE = 0.160893, and MAPE = 7.209772%, was the most accurate model to predict slope stability. Also, the backward selection method was applied to evaluate the contribution of each parameter in the prediction problem. The results showed that all the features considered in this study have significant contributions to slope stability. However, features φ (friction angle) and γ (unit weight) were the most effective and least effective parameters on slope stability, respectively.

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