Sektorale Strukturpolitik als Beschäftigungspolitik
AbstractSince the beginning of the 1980ies structural reasons have been said to be responsible for the persistent high level of unemployment. Therefore the search for structural theories, explaining the determinants of employment has been intensified.Especially Fourastié’s Three-Sector-Hypothesis seems to justify efforts to expand the service sector through structural policy. But the empirical test of this hypothesis shows that there is no systematic coherence between the service sector’s size and the degree of economic development respectively the rate of unemployment.It is impossible to identify branches, the promotion of which would be able to remove unemployment in the long run. Therefore the only way to raise employment is the refreshment of the market forces. But structural consequences of this process cannot be predicted - and even need not be.