scholarly journals The Investment of Upstream Oil and Gas in Indonesia

JEJAK ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 203-217
Author(s):  
Siti Muarofah ◽  
Telisa Aulia Falianty
Keyword(s):  
Current Account ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
The Government ◽  
Oil And Gas Companies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Current Account

Direct investment is expected to be a source of financing for the current account deficit in Indonesia's Balance of Payments. One of the contributors to the current account deficit is the oil and gas trade balance. Therefore, this study will focus on direct investment in the upstream oil and gas sector. This study will examine the impact of implementing regulations related to restrictions on costs that can be claimed to the government and economic factors that include prices and costs per unit of oil and gas on the upstream oil and gas investment. The study was conducted using micro data from 33 oil and gas companies in Indonesia, with a data period 2005-2018. The analysis model used is panel data regression. Empirical results show that the implementation of regulation as well as price per unit (lag-2) have a significant and positive correlation to the upstream oil and gas investment. While operational cost per unit (lag-2) have a significant effect with a negative correlation after the implementation of the regulation.

scholarly journals Structural and cyclical factors of Serbia’s current account

2018 ◽  
Vol 63 (217) ◽  
pp. 75-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Radovan Kovacevic
Keyword(s):  
Current Account ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
Full Time ◽  
Structural Factors ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Current Account

This paper examines the impact of structural and cyclical factors on Serbia?s current account. We have applied several filters to turn off the long-term (structural) component and isolate the influence of cyclical factors. In this paper, we show that structural factors were more important determinants of the current account deficit in the full-time sample (1997-2016), while cyclical factors showed a stronger impact in the post-crisis period when the deficit was reduced. Although they lost their intensity during the crisis and in the post-crisis period, the structural factors determine the trend of the current account balance in the long-term. For further improvement of the current account, measures to increase exports should be taken. The structural changes of production, the wider range of support for export financing to small and medium-sized enterprises, and the application of advanced technologies in manufacturing could help to reduce the trade deficit, making the current account deficit sustainable.

scholarly journals Analysis of Current Account Deficit Determinants of Balance of Payments in Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rate Regimes: A Comparative Study in CFA Franc and Non-Franc Zones

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 447
Author(s):  
Remy Hounsou
Keyword(s):  
Current Account ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
Domestic Saving ◽  
Franc Zone ◽  
Financial Variables ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Current Account

<p><em>This study compares the impact of certain economic and financial variables on the level of the deficit in the current account of the balance of payments of the countries of the Franc zone and certain countries of the non-Franc zone situated south of the Sahara. The empirical results of the study based on panel data models covering the period 1990-2015 indicate that none of the two zones behaves better against the current account deficit of the balance of payments and that no zone is more competitive than the other. Finally, it was clear from our analysis that the variables of gross domestic, saving and the change in the terms of trade better explain the change in the current account balance in the Franc zone, whereas the variables of net foreign transfers and gross domestic saving impact the most the current account deficit in non-CFA zone.</em></p>

The Impact of Current Account Deficit on Economic Growth: An ARDL Approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 76-92
Author(s):  
Tamma Reddy ◽  
T. Sita Ramaiah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Current Account

In this study, we examine the linkages between External debt, Exchange rate, Current account deficit, and GDP at Factor cost for India over the period of 1975-76 to 2018- 19 using the Unit root test and Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The results of the unit root test reveal that GDP growth rate and External debt are integrated at the level I(0); while the Current Account deficit and Exchange rate are integrated at first order I(1). The results of the ARDL technique reveal that the current account deficit has a positive and significant impact on Real GDP. It clearly reflects the role of imports in accelerating the growth of a developing economy like India. There is also evidence that the external debt has a positive and significant impact on the Current account deficit while the Exchange rate does not have an impact on the Current account deficit. The authors opine that the external debt assists in a gradual reduction in the current account deficit and contributes to economic growth by narrowing down the saving-investment gap. As the demand for Indian exports is inelastic in the global market, the country has not benefitted from the depreciation of its currency. The authors stressed the need for focusing on further diversification of its export markets, creating a conducive environment for attracting longer-term FDIs, liberalization, promoting commercial services exports, and achieving exchange rate stability in the context of the USA-China trade war and stagnation in the world output growth. Huge untapped potential for IT-enabled services should be exploited to promote service trade. The authors point out the current account deficit in the range of 2-3 percent of GDP can be manageable.

scholarly journals Détermination Du Seuil De Viabilité De La Position Extérieure Au Maroc: Evaluation Empirique

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Abdellali Fadlallah ◽  
Zakaria Chakhat
Keyword(s):  
Current Account ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Vector Error Correction Model ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Econometric Study ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Current Account

This paper focuses on addressing question on the sustainability of the Moroccan current account. The purpose of this study is to examine theoretical and empirical determinants of the behaviour of the current account deficit in order to apprehend economic policy decisions. An econometric study was conducted in this sense using a vector error-correction model (VECM) during the period (2004Q1-2013Q4). This technique enabled the capture of the longterm relationship. the impact of explanatory variables on the current account was also examined. The examination of the sustainability threshold calculated by the Reisena method revealed that signs of unsustainability have emerged since 2008, which is in line with the results of MFR. However, it is only in 2011 that the current account exhibits deficits that largely exceed the optimal threshold, exposing the national economy to greater vulnerability.

scholarly journals The effect of fiscal deficits on the external imbalances in the European Union

2020 ◽  
pp. 17-17
Author(s):  
Kosta Josifidis ◽  
Dragutinovic Mitrovic ◽  
Sladjana Bodor
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Fiscal Deficit ◽  
The European Union ◽  
External Imbalances ◽  
Econometric Methods ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Current Account

This paper analyzes the effect of the fiscal deficit on the current account deficit in the European Union during the period 1995-2018. The purpose is to examine to what extent an increase in government spending affects the deterioration of terms of trade and contributes to increasing external imbalances. Econometric methods for heterogeneous panel data models are used to analyse the existence of a long-run relationship between the fiscal deficit and the current account. The empirical findings indicate that the twin deficits hypothesis is not confirmed for the whole European Union, but only for a certain number of member states, where a long-run relationship still exists, confirming the impact of the fiscal deficit on the current account.

Macroeconomic Effects of a Switch to Indirect Taxes: Some Evidence from the UK and the EC

1992 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-47
Author(s):  
J.O.N. Perkins
Keyword(s):  
Current Account ◽  
Income Tax ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Economic Effects ◽  
Indirect Taxation ◽  
Important Conclusion ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Current Account

This paper considers the evidence from simulations with major econometric models of the UK and EC relating to the effects on the main macroeconomic variables of a switch towards indirect taxation. The conclusion from this evidence is that a switch from income tax towards indirect taxation tends to increase the price level, the rate of inflation, the current account deficit, and the public sector borrowing requirement, and to reduce the country's net wealth, at any given level of real GDP. One especially important conclusion is that the increase in inflation is significantly due to the cut in income tax, and not only to the effects of the rise in indirect taxation; and that the effects on inflation of the cut in income tax tend to last longer than those of the rise in indirect taxation. If the government of the country making the switch in taxation tries to hold down the consequently higher inflation and the rise in the current account deficit by reducing economic growth, the adverse economic effects will be correspondingly greater — and this appears to be what happened in both Britain and New Zealand, the two OECD countries that have made a marked shift in tax structure in this direction over the past decade.

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