Digital mapping of the organic matter content of chernozem soils on an area endangered by erosion in the Mezőföld region

2013 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gábor Szatmári ◽  
Károly Barta

Munkánkban egy mezőföldi, döntően szántóföldi hasznosítású, vízerózióval veszélyeztetett mintaterület talajtakarójának szervesanyag-tartalmára vonatkozóan kívántunk geostatisztikai alapú becslést adni. Az Előszállástól DNy-ra elhelyezkedő kutatási területen löszön képződött mészlepedékes csernozjom, illetve az erózió bizonyítékaként lejtőhordalék és földes kopár talajokat találunk.Munkánkban a legnagyobb kihívást a száz darab szervesanyag-tartalom adat átlagában megjelenő szisztematikus változás jelentette, mely trend (vagy drift) jelenlétére utalt. A trend jelenléte sérti a geostatisztikában ismeretes belső hipotézist, melynek fontos következménye, hogy a számított tapasztalati félvariogram alkalmatlan a szervesanyag-tartalom valoszin.segi fuggvenyenek masodik momentumanak a jellemzesere. E problema kikuszobolesere a regresszio krigelest, mint terbeli becslesi algoritmust hasznaltuk, mely szimultan alkalmazza a fugg. valtozo es a segedadatok kozotti regressziot es a regresszio reziduumain alapulo krigelest.A segedadatokat az altalunk elkeszitett digitalis domborzatmodellb.l es terulet-hasznositasi terkepb.l szarmaztattuk. A fuggetlen valtozok multikollinearitasanak elkerulese vegett f.komponens analizist vegeztunk. A tobbszoros linearis regresszio analizis soran 5%-os szignifikancia szint mellett 6 darab prediktor bizonyult szignifikansnak. A vizsgalat eredmenyekent kapott regresszio R2 erteke 54%-nak adodott, ami azt jelenti, hogy a szervesanyag-tartalom terbeli valtozekonysaganak tobb mint 50%-at le tudtuk irni a modellel. Ezt kovet.en elkeszitettuk a reziduumok tapasztalati felvariogramjat, mely kielegitette a bels. hipotezist. A felvariogramra elmeleti modellt illesztettunk. A regresszios fuggveny es az elmeleti felvariogram modell segitsegevel elvegezhet. volt a regresszio krigeles.A terbeli becsles eredmenyekent kapott humusztartalom terkepet 15 darab fuggetlen meresi adattal ertekeltuk. A kiszamitott ME (Mean Error), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) es RMNSE (Root Mean Normalized Square Error) parameterek erteke 0,063; 0,224 es 0,978 volt. A kapott eredmenyek alapjan azt a kovetkeztetest vontuk le, hogy a megszerkesztett szervesanyag-tartalom terkep jol kozeliti a mintateruleten varhato humusztartalom terbeli eloszlasat. Tovabbi vizsgalatokat vegeztunk az iranyban, hogy a humuszterkep kategoriai mikent viszonyulnak a terulethasznositasi tipusokhoz. A legalacsonyabb szervesanyag-tartalom kategoria maximalis terulettel a szantofoldeken jelentkezett, melynek oka a szerves anyag mestersegesen felgyorsitott mineralizaciojaval es a szantokat sujto vizerozioval magyarazhato.

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuki Sangalugeme ◽  
Philbert Luhunga ◽  
Agness Kijazi ◽  
Hamza Kabelwa

The WAVEWATCH III model is a third generation wave model and is commonly used for wave forecasting over different oceans. In this study, the performance of WAVEWATCH III to simulate Ocean wave characteristics (wavelengths, and wave heights (amplitudes)) over the western Indian Ocean in the Coast of East African countries was validated against satellite observation data. Simulated significant wave heights (SWH) and wavelengths over the South West Indian Ocean domain during the month of June 2014 was compared with satellite observation. Statistical measures of model performance that includes bias, Mean Error (ME), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Standard Deviation of error (SDE) and Correlation Coefficient (r) are used. It is found that in June 2014, when the WAVEWATCH III model was forced by wind data from the Global Forecasting System (GFS), simulated the wave heights over the Coast of East African countries with biases, Mean Error (ME), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Correlation Coefficient (r) and Standard Deviation of error (SDE) in the range of -0.25 to -0.39 m, 0.71 to 3.38 m, 0.84 to 1.84 m, 0.55 to 0.76 and 0.38 to 0.44 respectively. While, when the model was forced by wind data from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Foresting (ECMWF) simulated wave height with biases, Mean Error (ME), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Correlation Coefficient (r) and Standard Deviation of error (SDE) in the range of -0.034 to 0.008 m, 0.0006 to 0.049 m, 0.026 to 0.22 m, 0.76 to 0.89 and 0.31 to 0.41 respectively. This implies that the WAVEWATCH III model performs better in simulating wave characteristics over the South West of Indian Ocean when forced by the boundary condition from ECMWF than from GFS.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-43
Author(s):  
Avishek Choudhury ◽  
Estefania Urena

Background/aims The stochastic arrival of patients at hospital emergency departments complicates their management. More than 50% of a hospital's emergency department tends to operate beyond its normal capacity and eventually fails to deliver high-quality care. To address this concern, much research has been carried out using yearly, monthly and weekly time-series forecasting. This article discusses the use of hourly time-series forecasting to help improve emergency department management by predicting the arrival of future patients. Methods Emergency department admission data from January 2014 to August 2017 was retrieved from a hospital in Iowa. The auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), Holt–Winters, TBATS, and neural network methods were implemented and compared as forecasters of hourly patient arrivals. Results The auto-regressive integrated moving average (3,0,0) (2,1,0) was selected as the best fit model, with minimum Akaike information criterion and Schwartz Bayesian criterion. The model was stationary and qualified under the Box–Ljung correlation test and the Jarque–Bera test for normality. The mean error and root mean square error were selected as performance measures. A mean error of 1.001 and a root mean square error of 1.55 were obtained. Conclusions The auto-regressive integrated moving average can be used to provide hourly forecasts for emergency department arrivals and can be implemented as a decision support system to aid staff when scheduling and adjusting emergency department arrivals.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1630
Author(s):  
Yaohui Zhu ◽  
Guijun Yang ◽  
Hao Yang ◽  
Fa Zhao ◽  
Shaoyu Han ◽  
...  

With the increase in the frequency of extreme weather events in recent years, apple growing areas in the Loess Plateau frequently encounter frost during flowering. Accurately assessing the frost loss in orchards during the flowering period is of great significance for optimizing disaster prevention measures, market apple price regulation, agricultural insurance, and government subsidy programs. The previous research on orchard frost disasters is mainly focused on early risk warning. Therefore, to effectively quantify orchard frost loss, this paper proposes a frost loss assessment model constructed using meteorological and remote sensing information and applies this model to the regional-scale assessment of orchard fruit loss after frost. As an example, this article examines a frost event that occurred during the apple flowering period in Luochuan County, Northwestern China, on 17 April 2020. A multivariable linear regression (MLR) model was constructed based on the orchard planting years, the number of flowering days, and the chill accumulation before frost, as well as the minimum temperature and daily temperature difference on the day of frost. Then, the model simulation accuracy was verified using the leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) method, and the coefficient of determination (R2), the root mean square error (RMSE), and the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) were 0.69, 18.76%, and 18.76%, respectively. Additionally, the extended Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (EFAST) method was used for the sensitivity analysis of the model parameters. The results show that the simulated apple orchard fruit number reduction ratio is highly sensitive to the minimum temperature on the day of frost, and the chill accumulation and planting years before the frost, with sensitivity values of ≥0.74, ≥0.25, and ≥0.15, respectively. This research can not only assist governments in optimizing traditional orchard frost prevention measures and market price regulation but can also provide a reference for agricultural insurance companies to formulate plans for compensation after frost.


Forests ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1020
Author(s):  
Yanqi Dong ◽  
Guangpeng Fan ◽  
Zhiwu Zhou ◽  
Jincheng Liu ◽  
Yongguo Wang ◽  
...  

The quantitative structure model (QSM) contains the branch geometry and attributes of the tree. AdQSM is a new, accurate, and detailed tree QSM. In this paper, an automatic modeling method based on AdQSM is developed, and a low-cost technical scheme of tree structure modeling is provided, so that AdQSM can be freely used by more people. First, we used two digital cameras to collect two-dimensional (2D) photos of trees and generated three-dimensional (3D) point clouds of plot and segmented individual tree from the plot point clouds. Then a new QSM-AdQSM was used to construct tree model from point clouds of 44 trees. Finally, to verify the effectiveness of our method, the diameter at breast height (DBH), tree height, and trunk volume were derived from the reconstructed tree model. These parameters extracted from AdQSM were compared with the reference values from forest inventory. For the DBH, the relative bias (rBias), root mean square error (RMSE), and coefficient of variation of root mean square error (rRMSE) were 4.26%, 1.93 cm, and 6.60%. For the tree height, the rBias, RMSE, and rRMSE were—10.86%, 1.67 m, and 12.34%. The determination coefficient (R2) of DBH and tree height estimated by AdQSM and the reference value were 0.94 and 0.86. We used the trunk volume calculated by the allometric equation as a reference value to test the accuracy of AdQSM. The trunk volume was estimated based on AdQSM, and its bias was 0.07066 m3, rBias was 18.73%, RMSE was 0.12369 m3, rRMSE was 32.78%. To better evaluate the accuracy of QSM’s reconstruction of the trunk volume, we compared AdQSM and TreeQSM in the same dataset. The bias of the trunk volume estimated based on TreeQSM was −0.05071 m3, and the rBias was −13.44%, RMSE was 0.13267 m3, rRMSE was 35.16%. At 95% confidence interval level, the concordance correlation coefficient (CCC = 0.77) of the agreement between the estimated tree trunk volume of AdQSM and the reference value was greater than that of TreeQSM (CCC = 0.60). The significance of this research is as follows: (1) The automatic modeling method based on AdQSM is developed, which expands the application scope of AdQSM; (2) provide low-cost photogrammetric point cloud as the input data of AdQSM; (3) explore the potential of AdQSM to reconstruct forest terrestrial photogrammetric point clouds.


2013 ◽  
Vol 860-863 ◽  
pp. 2783-2786
Author(s):  
Yu Bing Dong ◽  
Hai Yan Wang ◽  
Ming Jing Li

Edge detection and thresholding segmentation algorithms are presented and tested with variety of grayscale images in different fields. In order to analyze and evaluate the quality of image segmentation, Root Mean Square Error is used. The smaller error value is, the better image segmentation effect is. The experimental results show that a segmentation method is not suitable for all images segmentation.


2013 ◽  
Vol 807-809 ◽  
pp. 1967-1971
Author(s):  
Yan Bai ◽  
Xiao Yan Duan ◽  
Hai Yan Gong ◽  
Cai Xia Xie ◽  
Zhi Hong Chen ◽  
...  

In this paper, the content of forsythoside A and ethanol-extract were rapidly determinated by near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS). 85 samples of Forsythiae Fructus harvested in Luoyang from July to September in 2012 were divided into a calibration set (75 samples) and a validation set (10 samples). In combination with the partical least square (PLS), the quantitative calibration models of forsythoside A and ethanol-extract were established. The correlation coefficient of cross-validation (R2) was 0.98247 and 0.97214 for forsythoside A and ethanol-extract, the root-mean-square error of calibration (RMSEC) was 0.184 and 0.570, the root-mean-square error of cross-validation (RMSECV) was 0.81736 and 0.36656. The validation set were used to evaluate the performance of the models, the root-mean-square error of prediction (RMSEP) was 0.221 and 0.518. The results indicated that it was feasible to determine the content of forsythoside A and ethanol-extract in Forsythiae Fructus by near-infrared spectroscopy.


Food Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 248-253
Author(s):  
A.B. Riyanta ◽  
S. Riyanto ◽  
E. Lukitaningsih ◽  
A. Rohman

Soybean oil (SBO), sunflower oil (SFO) and grapeseed oil (GPO) contain high levels of unsaturated fats that are good for health and have proximity to candlenut oil. Candlenut oil (CNO) has a lower price and easier to get oil from that seeds than other seed oils, so it is used as adulteration for gains. Therefore, authentication is required to ensure the purity of oils by proper analysis. This research was aimed to highlight the FTIR spectroscopy application with multivariate calibration is a potential analysis for scanning the quaternary mixture of CNO, SBO, SFO and GPO. CNO quantification was performed using multivariate calibrations of principle component (PCR) regression and partial least (PLS) square to predict the model from the optimization FTIR spectra regions. The highest R2 and the lowest values of root mean square error of calibration (RMSEC) and root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) were used as the basis for selection of multivariate calibrations created using several wavenumbers region of FTIR spectra. Wavenumbers regions of 4000-650 cm-1 from the second derivative FTIR-ATR spectra using PLS was used for quantitative analysis of CNO in quaternary mixture with SBO, SFO and GPO with R2 calibration = 0.9942 and 0.0239% for RMSEC value and 0.0495%. So, it can be concluded the use of FTIR spectra combination with PLS is accurate to detect quaternary mixtures of CNO, SBO, SFO and GPO with the highest R2 values and the lowest RMSEC and RMSEP values.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (03) ◽  
pp. 1850011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Man Zhao ◽  
Ran Meng ◽  
Yifang Lu ◽  
Lingyun Hu ◽  
Na Sun ◽  
...  

A simple and novel method has been proposed to determine the enantiomeric composition of racemate praziquantel (PZQ) by using the analysis of ultraviolet (UV) spectroscopy combined with partial least squares (PLS). This method does not rely on the use of expensive carbohydrates such as cyclodextrins, but on the use of inexpensive sucrose, which is equally effective as carbohydrate. PZQ has two enantiomers. Through measuring the slight difference in the UV spectral absorption of PZQ due to different interactions between its two enantiomers and sucrose, the enantiomeric composition was determined by a quantitative model based on PLS analysis. The model showed that the correlation coefficients of calibration set and validation set were 0.9971 and 0.9972, respectively. The root mean square error of calibration (RMSEC) and the root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) were 0.0167 and 0.0129, respectively. Then, the independent data of PZQ tablets were also used to test how well the quantitative model of PLS predicted the enantiomeric composition. The ratio of S-PZQ in tablet was 0.492, determined by high-performance liquid chromatography as the reference value. Six solutions of the tablet samples were prepared, and the ratios of S-PZQ in tablet samples in the validation set were predicted by the PLS model. Their relative errors with the reference value were not more than 4%. Therefore, the established model could be accurate and employed to predict the enantiomeric compositions of PZQ tablets.


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