scholarly journals Economies and Politics: Egocentric or Sociotropic?

2006 ◽  
Vol 27 ◽  
pp. 191-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brad Lockerbie

Since at least the late 1970s, we have had to grapple with the question of how economics influences politics. Before scholars made use of extensive survey research, most observers, noting the relationship between the state of the economy and election outcomes, argued that individual voters were driven by their own financial concerns. Using survey data, scholars found that individual economic concerns were not strongly related to vote choice. The work of Kinder and Kiewiet (1979, 1981) further upset this consensus by showing that voters were more concerned with the collective than their own concerns. The research presented here, making use of the rather unique 1992 ANES, argues that voters are concerned with both. The apparent non-existent relationship between egocentric economic evaluations and political evaluations is the result of question wording. When appropriately worded egocentric and sociotropic economic survey items are put in equations predicting political phenomena, both are important.

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-81
Author(s):  
Aniruddha Bagchi ◽  
Siddhartha Bandyopadhyay

AbstractWe examine the relationship between the incidence of workplace deviance (on-the-job crime) and the state of the economy. A worker’s probability of future employment depends on whether she has been deviant as well as on the availability of jobs. Using a two period model we show that the net impact on deviant behavior to changes in unemployment can go either way depending upon the nature of the equilibrium. Two kinds of equilibria are possible. In one, a non-deviant’s probability of being employed increases as expected market conditions improve which lowers the incentive to be a deviant. In contrast, in the other kind of equilibrium, the deviant’s probability of being employed increases when market conditions improve which increases the incentive to be a deviant. In either case, there is a setup cost to deviant behavior and the attractiveness of incurring that increases with an increase in expected probability of future employment which unambiguously increases the incentive to be deviant. In the first kind of equilibrium, the two effects counteract each other, while in the second they reinforce each other. Finally, we characterize conditions under which an increase in optimism, i.e. a reduction in the probability of facing a recession unambiguously increases deviant behavior.


Author(s):  
Anna Winiarczyk-Raźniak ◽  
Piotr Raźniak

The paper is dedicated to the issue of the relationship between the level of satisfaction of foreign tourists visiting Mexico and the potential for growth in the number of persons visiting from abroad. The publication is based on survey research conducted by the Mexican agency “Secretaria del Turismo” among tourists arriving by air. The survey asked participants to rate the state of the Mexican tourist infrastructure, airport facilities, and attitudes of locals towards foreign tourists. The survey study showed a general increase in the satisfaction level of people who had visited Mexico in 2007 relative to that of people who had visited in 2002. Security and Mexican hospitality were highly rated by survey participants. Forecasts call for growth in tourist traffic and predict increasing revenues for the tourist industry. This may be associated with the growing level of satisfaction experienced by visitors to Mexico.


2020 ◽  
pp. 232949652095929
Author(s):  
Erin Eife

Previous research shows that people who have criminal legal (CL) contact are less likely to vote, but there is little information about whether or not CL contact influences protest participation. While people with CL contact may be more likely to engage in critiques of the state, they are also more vulnerable to the risks associated with protesting. Because the CL system is highly racialized in the United States, race is central to an analysis of CL contact. In this article, I analyze the relationship between protest participation, CL contact, and race in Illinois. With survey data from the 2014 Chicago Area Study, I show how race and CL contact interact to increase the likelihood of protesting for Black respondents with CL contact, suggesting that one’s experience of a personal perceived injustice is a driving factor in deciding to protest. I also find that non-Black respondents with CL contact are equally as likely to participate in protests as their counterparts without CL contact. This article contributes to literature on political participation and criminology, showing how race and CL contact interact in a way that is associated with participation rates for protest.


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 306-333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arndt Leininger

Referendums provide citizens with more control over policy. At the same time, they often entail choices over highly complex policies and are politicised along partisan lines, suggesting that partisan rather than policy considerations will guide voters’ choices. I look to the 2016 Italian constitutional referendum, which was particularly complex and polarised, as an opportunity to test for mechanisms of government accountability in a referendum. Using a national survey of voters, I show that the more negative a respondent’s evaluation of the state of the economy, the lower their likelihood to vote ‘yes’ on the government’s reform proposal. This relationship is remarkably strong: an average respondent with a very positive evaluation of the state of the economy has an 88% probability of supporting the government’s reform proposal compared to only 12% for a respondent with a very negative evaluation. The fact that economic evaluations are a strong determinant of vote choice provides evidence for the existence of an economic vote in a referendum. This further suggests that voters may treat referendums as a sort of second-order election.


2019 ◽  
pp. 141-156
Author(s):  
Daron R. Shaw ◽  
John R. Petrocik

Chapter 9 returns to the possibility that a single factor might be exerting an unseen effect on the relationship between turnout and partisan vote choice. More precisely, we return to the concept of partisanship and the idea that turnout affects vote choice, but only if one takes account of the majority party and the competitive balance in the state or district. The analysis finds sporadic and unsystematic support for the notion, but more evidence in support of short-term electoral forces associated with the candidate and the issues in the election. The chapter concludes with a brief discussion of currents in American politics that might matter to upcoming elections.


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Indah Dwi Mustika

The aim of the research is to determine the relationship between self-regulated, interpersonal intelligence and Civic Education learning outcomes of Grade 4 students in the State Elementary School of West CakungArea II Cakung West, Jakarta, the amount of students are 64 students. The method used is a method of survey research the technique used to correlation. The research result showed that there was a positive correlation between (1) Self-Regulated and learning outcomes Civic Education (2) Interpersonal Intelligences and Civic Education learning outcomes (3) Self-Regulated, Interpersonal Intelligences and learning outcomes of Civic Education. It can be concluded there is relationship between self-regulated, interpersonal intelligences and Civic Education learning outcomes. Keyword : Self-Regulated, Interpersonal Intelligences, Civic Education Learning Outcomes. Abstrak : Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hubungan regulasi diri dan kecerdasan interpersonal dengan hasil belajar Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan Siswa Kelas IV Sekolah Dasar Negeri Cakung Barat Wilayah Binaan II Cakung Barat, Jakarta Timur, dengan jumlah siswa sebanyak 64 orang siswa. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode survey dan menggunakan teknik korelasi.Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa ada korelasi positif antara (1) Regulasi Diri dengan hasil belajar Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan (2) Kecerdasan Interpersonal dengan Hasil Belajar Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan (3) Regulasi Diri dan Kecerdasan Interpersonal dengan hasil belajar Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan. Berarti hasil penelitian, dapat disimpulkan bahwa terdapat hubungan antara regulasi diri dan kecerdasan interpersonal dengan hasil belajar pendidikan kewarganegaraan. Kata Kunci      : Regulasi Diri, Kecerdasan Interpersonal dan Hasil belajar Pendidikan Kewarganegaraan


2000 ◽  
Vol 94 (1) ◽  
pp. 131-149 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Michael Alvarez ◽  
Jonathan Nagler ◽  
Shaun Bowler

We offer a model of multiparty elections that combines voters' retrospective economic evaluations with consideration of parties' issue positions and the issue preferences of voters. We show that both policy issues and the state of the economy matter in British elections. In 1987 voters made a largely retrospective evaluation of the Conservatives based on economic performance; those who rejected the Conservative Party chose between Labour and Alliance based on issue positions. Through simulations we move the parties in the issue space and reestimate vote shares as well as hypothesize an alternative distribution of views on the economy, and we show that Labour had virtually no chance to win with a centrist party as a viable alternative. The predictions from our 1987 simulations are supported in an analysis of the 1992 British election. We argue for multinomial probit in studying three-party elections because it allows for a richer formulation of politics than do competing methods.


2015 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Andrew Comensoli ◽  
Carolyn MacCann

The current study proposes and refines the Appraisals in Personality (AIP) model in a multilevel investigation of whether appraisal dimensions of emotion predict differences in state neuroticism and extraversion. University students (N = 151) completed a five-factor measure of trait personality, and retrospectively reported seven situations from the previous week, giving state personality and appraisal ratings for each situation. Results indicated that: (a) trait neuroticism and extraversion predicted average levels of state neuroticism and extraversion respectively, and (b) five of the examined appraisal dimensions predicted one, or both of the state neuroticism and extraversion personality domains. However, trait personality did not moderate the relationship between appraisals and state personality. It is concluded that appraisal dimensions of emotion may provide a useful taxonomy for quantifying and comparing situations, and predicting state personality.


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