scholarly journals Government spending, the exchange rate and growth: empirical evidence for Latin America

2021 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 637-656
Author(s):  
MORITZ CRUZ ◽  
JOSUE ZAVALETA
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Government Investment ◽  
Tradable Sector ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Relationship

ABSTRACT Using data of selected economies of Latin America for the period 1990-2017, this paper aims to provide empirical evidence regarding the effect of disaggregate government spending in the exchange rate. Our results indicate that government investment depreciates the exchange rate whereas government consumption, on the other hand, appreciates it. Both effects are, however, rather small. Our findings support recent literature showing that the relationship among government spending and the exchange rate is ambiguous, challenging the general accepted idea that government spending inevitably appreciates the exchange rate, having thus negative effects on the tradable sector and on growth. Overall, our results allow us to suggest that growth can be stimulated particularly via government investment without detrimental effects on the exchange rate.

Confinement risks and social inequality in Latin America: Evidence from Argentina

2021 ◽  
pp. 001139212199001
Author(s):  
Fiorella Mancini
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Social Inequality ◽  
Social Inequalities ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Vulnerable Groups ◽  
Cultural Aspects ◽  
Sociological Approach ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Health And Well Being

Social distancing and isolation measures in response to COVID-19 have confined individuals to their homes and produced unexpected side-effects and secondary risks. In Latin America, the measures taken by individual governments to mitigate these new daily and experiential risks have varied significantly as have the responses to social isolation in each country. Given these new social circumstances, the purpose of this article is to investigate, from the sociological approach of risk-taking, the relationship between confinement, secondary risks and social inequality. The author argues that secondary risks, despite their broad scope, are deeply structured by social inequalities in contemporary societies, especially in developing countries. To corroborate this hypothesis, a quantitative comparative analysis is performed for the Argentine case. Using data from a web-survey and correspondence analysis (CA), there are three major findings: (1) there are some widespread experiences similarly distributed across all social strata, especially those related to emotional and subjective matters; (2) other risks follow socio-structural inequalities, especially those corresponding to material and cultural aspects of consumption; (3) for specific vulnerable groups, compulsory confinement causes great dilemmas of decision-making between health and well-being.

scholarly journals Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle?

2006 ◽  
Vol 96 (3) ◽  
pp. 552-576 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Bacchetta ◽  
Eric van Wincoop
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Rational Expectations ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Order Flow ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Symmetric Information ◽  
Macroeconomic Fundamentals ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rate Changes

Empirical evidence shows that most exchange rate volatility at short to medium horizons is related to order flow and not to macroeconomic variables. We introduce symmetric information dispersion about future macroeconomic fundamentals in a dynamic rational expectations model in order to explain these stylized facts. Consistent with the evidence, the model implies that (a) observed fundamentals account for little of exchange rate volatility in the short to medium run, (b) over long horizons, the exchange rate is closely related to observed fundamentals, (c) exchange rate changes are a weak predictor of future fundamentals, and (d) the exchange rate is closely related to order flow.

Determinants of Workers’ Remittances in Nepal: An Empirical Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 126-140
Author(s):  
Naw Raj Bhatt ◽  
Melina Kharel
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Poverty Eradication ◽  
Exogenous Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
External Sector ◽  
The Relationship

Background: Remittance has a crucial role in external sector stability, poverty eradication, and social as well as the human development of developing countries like Nepal. The determinants of remittance are widely discussed in the existing works of literature from altruism and portfolio approaches. Since the share of remittance in the current account, current transfer income, and forex reserve is significantly high, the study of major determinants of increasing remittance inflow is necessary. In this regard, this paper examines the relationship between remittance inflow, exchange rate, and workers outflow in Nepal. Objective: The main objective of this study was to examine the effect of the exchange rate and workers outflow on the remittance inflow of Nepal. Methods: This study employs the ARDL approach to co-integration to examine the relationship between remittance inflow as an endogenous variable and exchange rate and workers outflow as exogenous variables. Results: The coefficients of the exchange rate and workers outflow are significant and positive in long run as well as in the short-run whereas coefficients of the first lag value of workers outflow and remittance inflow itself are significant but negative. Conclusion: The significant and positive coefficient of exchange rate indicates that depreciation of Nepalese currency with US dollar (or rise in the exchange rate) rises the remittance inflow. Further, the remittance inflow also increases with an increase in workers outflow. The effect of the exchange rate on remittance is greater than that of workers outflow in both the long-run and short-run.

Government spending and the exchange rate

1991 ◽  
Vol 23 (9) ◽  
pp. 1551-1558 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faik Koray ◽  
Pingfai Chan
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
The Exchange Rate

scholarly journals PENGARUH HARGA MINYAK DUNIA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA (MODERASI VARIABEL MONETER)

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilda Novita Sari ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Data Analysis Tool ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract: The purpose of this research is to be able to determine the effect of world oil prices on economic growth in Indonesia by applying the exchange rate moderating variable and the BI rate as a connecting variable. Descriptive and associative research is a type of research that is used with data collection techniques through a trusted official agency website that is classified in the quarterly time series secondary data. The data year in this study was from 2006 to 2018. Data analysis was carried out through descriptive and inductive analysis with a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) data analysis tool accompanied by a classic assumption test and a t test. Estimation results show that there are two research results; firstly, that the exchange rate has an effect on moderating the relationship between world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia, secondly, that the BI rate has no influence connecting world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia. Keywords: World oil prices, economic growth, exchange rates, BI rate, Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA).

scholarly journals Economic sanctions and human rights: an analysis of competing enforcement strategies in Latin America

2014 ◽  
Vol 57 (1) ◽  
pp. 197-215 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cristiane de Andrade Lucena Carneiro
Keyword(s):  
Human Rights ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Economic Sanctions ◽  
Deterrent Effect ◽  
Rights Protection ◽  
Protection Of Human Rights ◽  
Political Terror ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Relationship

This article addresses the consequences of economic sanctions for the protection of human rights in Latin America. The literature on sanctions and compliance informs three hypotheses, which investigate the relationship between sanctions and the level of rights protection in two groups of countries: those that were targeted by sanctions and those that were not. Using data from the Political Terror Scale (PTS) and from Freedom House, I find empirical evidence that sanctions do improve the level of protection in countries that were not targeted. This finding can be explained by the deterrent effect attributed to sanctions by the compliance literature, broadly interpreted. The presence of economic sanctions in a given year increases the probability of observing better human rights practices by almost 50%. These results hold for the 12 Latin American countries that were not subject to economic sanctions for the period 1976-2004.

scholarly journals Measuring the relationship between the balance of payments and the exchange rate - A case study of a group of Arab countries during the period 2000/2016-

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 44-66
Author(s):  
Abd Elouahid SERARMA ◽  
Newfel BAALOUL
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Arab Countries ◽  
Balance Of Payments ◽  
Rate System ◽  
Exchange Rate System ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

The Objective of this study is to examine the effect of exchange rate system on the balance of payments, with a case study of a group of Arab countries. First we shed light on the most important theoretical and empirical studies of exchange rate systems and their macroeconomics effects in one hand. In the other hand we study a case of six oil exporting Arab countries. To achieve this purpose we adopted a panel data and run an econometric model to examine the relationships between the variables during the period 2000 to 2016. The study concluded that there is a significant positive correlation between the exchange rate as an independent variable and the balance of payments as a dependent variable, and there is no deference in the effects of the exchange system in the study of six Arab economies.

scholarly journals MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES AND CAPITAL STRUCTURE: PUBLIC FINANCE AND INSURANCE IN LATIN AMERICA AND ASIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-142
Author(s):  
Caio Augusto Franco Lucas ◽  
Rafael Martins Noriller ◽  
Rosemar José Hall ◽  
Maria Aparecida Farias de Souza Nogueira ◽  
Ducineli Regis Botelho
Keyword(s):  
Public Finance ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Panel Analysis ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Capital Structure

This article analyzes the relationship between macroeconomic variables and the capital structure of public finance and insurance companies in Latin America and Asia. The variables used were: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Exchange Rate (ER), Interest Rate (%Δ IR), and Capital Structure (CS). Data were analyzed annually from 2010 to 2018 by static panel analysis and multiple regression using the Newey-West estimator. Interest rate and exchange rate were negatively correlated with CS. However, GDP was not significantly correlated with CS at 10% probability. It is concluded that macroeconomics interferes with the capital structure of financial institutions in Latin America and Asia.

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