scholarly journals MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES AND CAPITAL STRUCTURE: PUBLIC FINANCE AND INSURANCE IN LATIN AMERICA AND ASIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-142
Author(s):  
Caio Augusto Franco Lucas ◽  
Rafael Martins Noriller ◽  
Rosemar José Hall ◽  
Maria Aparecida Farias de Souza Nogueira ◽  
Ducineli Regis Botelho
Keyword(s):  
Public Finance ◽  
Latin America ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Panel Analysis ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Capital Structure

This article analyzes the relationship between macroeconomic variables and the capital structure of public finance and insurance companies in Latin America and Asia. The variables used were: Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Exchange Rate (ER), Interest Rate (%Δ IR), and Capital Structure (CS). Data were analyzed annually from 2010 to 2018 by static panel analysis and multiple regression using the Newey-West estimator. Interest rate and exchange rate were negatively correlated with CS. However, GDP was not significantly correlated with CS at 10% probability. It is concluded that macroeconomics interferes with the capital structure of financial institutions in Latin America and Asia.

scholarly journals Liquidity Risk and Capital Structure of Companies in Latin America

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-37
Author(s):  
Francisco Javier Vásquez Tejos ◽  
Prosper Lamothe Fernández ◽  
Hernan Pape Larre
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Risk Indices ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Capital Structure

Objective. To explore the relationship between liquidity risk and the capital structure of Latin American companies. Methodology. With a sample of 135 companies (Brazil, Chile and Mexico), panel data were used to analyze various models that considered, among other variables, six liquidity risk indices, two of which included a new factor: the free-float. The study period covers from 2010 to 2019. Results. The level of indebtedness and capital risk in Latin America companies present a mixed relationship (direct and inverse). Conclusions. Latin American companies have their own characteristics for decision-makingabout capital structure.

scholarly journals The moderating role of firm size and interest rate in capital structure of the firms: selected sample from sugar sector of Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 341-355
Author(s):  
Sarfraz Hussain ◽  
Abdul Quddus ◽  
Pham Phat Tien ◽  
Muhammad Rafiq ◽  
Drahomíra Pavelková
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Panel Analysis ◽  
Tax Shield ◽  
Sugar Market ◽  
Debt Tax Shield ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Capital Structure

The selection of financing is a top priority for businesses, particularly in short- and long-term investment decisions. Mixing debt and equity leads to decisions on the financial structure for businesses. This research analyzes the moderate position of company size and the interest rate in the capital structure over six years (2013–2018) for 29 listed Pakistani enterprises operating in the sugar market. This research employed static panel analysis and dynamic panel analysis on linear and nonlinear regression methods. The capital structure included debt to capital ratio, non-current liabilities, plus current liabilities to capital as a dependent variable. Independent variables were profitability, firm size, tangibility, Non-Debt Tax Shield, liquidity, and macroeconomic variables were exchange rates and interest rates. The investigation reported that profitability, firm size, and Non-Debt Tax Shield were significant and negative, while tangibility and interest rates significantly and positively affected debt to capital ratio. This means the sugar sector has greater financial leverage to manage the funding obligations for the better performance of firms. Therefore, the outcomes revealed that the moderators have an important influence on capital structure.

Testing Structural Break in the Relationship Between Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Variables

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 442-453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saidia Jeelani ◽  
Joity Tomar ◽  
Tapas Das ◽  
Seshanwita Das
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Structural Break ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Ripple Effect ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Parameter Instability ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Relationship

The article aims to study the relationship between those macroeconomic factors that the affect (INR/USD) exchange rate (ER). Time series data of 40 years on ER, GDP, inflation, interest rate (IR), FDI, money supply, trade balance (TB) and terms of trade (ToT) have been collected from the RBI website. The considered model has suggested that only inflation, TB and ToT have influenced the ER significantly during the study period. Other macroeconomic variables such as GDP, FDI and IR have not significantly influenced the ER during the study period. The model is robust and does not suffer from residual heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation and non-normality. Sometimes the relationship between ER and macroeconomic variables gets affected by major economic events. For example, the Southeast Asian crisis caused by currency depreciation in 1997 and sub-prime loan crisis of 2008 severely strained the national economies. Any global economic turmoil will affect different economic variables through ripple effect and this, in turn, will affect the ER of different economies differently. The article has also diagnosed whether there is any structural break or not in the model by applying Chow’s Breakpoint Test and have obtained multiple breaks between 2003 and 2009. The existence of structural breaks during 2003–2009 is explained by the fact that volume of crude oil imported by India is high and oil price rise led to a deficit in the TB alarmingly, which caused a structural break or parameter instability.

Macroeconomic Variables and Private Investment: A Two Dimensional Study from Nigeria Economy

2019 ◽  
pp. 20-37
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Private Equity ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Equity Investment ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Real Investment

The study investigated the impact of macroeconomic variables on private investment in Nigeria for the period 1990 to 2016. To achieve these objectives, the study tests for the study modeled private equity and private real investment as the function exchange rate, financial sector development, and interest rate, openness of the economy, real gross domestic product, inflation rate and broad money supply. Ordinary least square method of data analysis was used. From model one, the study found that real gross domestic product have positive but insignificant effect, openness of the economy have positive and insignificant effect, interest rate have positive and significant effect, financial deepening have positive and insignificant effect while interest rate, inflation rate and exchange rate have negative effect on private real investment. The coefficient of determination (R2) proved that the independent variables can explain 62 percent variation on private real investment; the f- statistics found that the model is significant while the Durbin Watson statistics proved the presence of serial autocorrelation. The effect of macroeconomic variables on private equity investment was presented in model two. The study found that openness of the economy; real gross domestic products, broad money supply, and interest rate have negative and insignificant effect on private equity investment except openness of the economy with significant effect. Inflation rate, financial sector deepening and exchange rate have positive and insignificant effect on private equity investment except financial deepening with significant effect. The R2 proved that the independent variables can predict 66.9 percent variation on private equity investment. The f- statistics found that the model is significant while the Durbin Watson statistics proved the presence of serial autocorrelation. We conclude that macroeconomic variable have significant effect on private investment in Nigeria. We recommend that interest rate must be able to encourage higher private investment by increasing the real interstate on private savings or household savings so that larger amount of income would be saved to accumulate more capital and hence private investment. Policies should be formulated by investors and government to discourage factors that affect negatively private investment.

scholarly journals Heterogeneity in the Relationship Between NPLs and Real Economy: Evidence from the Mongolian Banking System

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-155
Author(s):  
Enkhzaya Demid
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
Economic Sectors ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Credit Quality ◽  
Loan Supply ◽  
The Relationship

Abstract The paper analyses the relationship between the banks’ credit risk and macroeconomic conditions by addressing the following questions; (i) How are macroeconomic shocks transmitted to lending risk depending on the ban-specific features? (ii) Are the effects of macroeconomic shocks different across the loan portfolios in various economic sectors? Unlike the common assumption in the literature, the empirical analysis considers banks’ heterogeneity and diversification across borrowers. It employs heterogeneous panel SVARs and standard SVAR models on a dataset from 2002. Q1 to 2019.Q1. The results suggest that the deterioration in credit quality is affected by both macroeconomic and bank-specific factors, with substantial heterogeneity in the magnitudes and timing in terms of the type of loans in various business sectors and bank characteristics. In particular, we find strong evidence of cyclical sensitivity of loan quality, and about 1/4 of banks’ NPLs increases stronger in response to the shocks to growth, exchange rate, interest rate, and profitability. The highly profitable banks tend to less engage in excessive risk-taking, resulting in lower NPLs, whereas the relation of asset size to NPLs is not significant for the sample. A growth shock plays a prominent role in explaining the variation of NPLs for the trade and mining sectors. Similarly, the loan supply shock is the main determinant for the construction sector’s NPLs, while the exchange rate shock is the most responsible for the manufacturing sector. The interest rate shock and exchange rate shock are the most effective factors on NPLs of consumer loans. Finally, the feedback effect of NPLs shows that deterioration of credit quality slows down economic growth.

scholarly journals The Analysis of Fundamental Variables and Macro Economic Variables in Predicting Financial Distress

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-90
Author(s):  
Siti Nur Kholisoh ◽  
Rina Dwiarti
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Rate Sensitivity ◽  
Total Asset ◽  
Current Ratio ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Turnover Ratio ◽  
Asset Turnover

Financial distress is a condition where the company is experiencing financial difficulties prior to bankruptcy. This study aims to identify and explain the influence of the fundamental variables and macroeconomic variables in predicting the probability of financial distress. Based on the eight variables used, current ratio, debt to assets ratio, return on equity and total asset turnover ratio is a fundamental variable. While the sensitivity of inflation, exchange rate sensitivity and interest rate sensitivity included in macroeconomic variables. The population in this study are all porperti and real estate company listed on the Stock Exchange in 2014-2018. The sample selection using purposive sampling technique, acquired 23 companies in the sample with the five companies in the category of financial distress and 18 companies in the category of non financial distress. The analytical method used is logistic regression and sensitivity analysis. The results showed that the variable current ratio, debt to assets ratio, total asset turnover ratio, inflation sesnitivity, exchange rate sensitivity and interest rate sensitivity did not significantly affect the probability of financial distress. While return on equity significantly negative influence on the company’s financial distress.

scholarly journals The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Sectoral Indices in Indonesia

ETIKONOMI ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bambang Sutrisno
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to examine the effect of macroeconomic variables on sectoral indices in the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The difference in sensitiveness among sectors is an interesting issue to investigate this relationship in an emerging market, such as Indonesia. This study employs ordinary least square (OLS) as an estimation method with monthly time-series data from January 2005 to December 2014. The results document that the interest rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate simultaneously have a significant effect on sectoral indices in Indonesia. The interest rate partially shows a significant negative influence on all sectors except basic industry and chemical, finance, infrastructure, utilities, and transportation, and miscellaneous industry sectors. The inflation rate partially has no significant effect on all sectors. The exchange rate partially has a significant negative impact on all industries.DOI: 10.15408/etk.v16i1.4323

scholarly journals The Indirect Impact of Profitability on Firm Value: Evidence Dividend Policy as Moderators and Capital Structure as Mediator

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 299-311
Author(s):  
Achmad Budi Susetyo ◽  
Agus Eko Sujianto ◽  
Mochamad Arif Faizin ◽  
Kiki Yunita Anjarsari ◽  
Charina Dwi Rivylina Nafisah
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Indirect Effect ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
The Other ◽  
Indirect Impact ◽  
Path Analysis Approach ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
The Capital Structure

Firm value is a basis for investors in deciding whether or not to invest in a firm. Therefore, a study on issuer’s strategies to maximize firm value requires special attention, especially in dealing with the Islamic capital market which is growing rapidly from time to time. A particular study is important to be conducted to look at the factors that have a direct or indirect effect on a firm's value, which includes; profitability, capital structure, and dividend policy. The path analysis approach is employed in the current study to reveal the effect of profitability on firm value, both directly and indirectly, with the intermediaries of capital structure and dividend policy. The results of the analysis indicate that profitability has a direct positive and significant effect on firm value and a negative and significant effect on capital structure, while the capital structure has a negative and insignificant effect on firm value. Indirectly, dividend policy moderates and strengthens the effect of profitability on firm value, but on the other hand, the capital structure does not mediate the effect of profitability on firm value. The absence of capital structure role in mediating the relationship between profitability and the firm value indicates that investors can determine the value of the firm directly by simply looking at the level of profitability, regardless of management’s strategy in arranging the capital structure.

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