Comparison of BISAP and Ranson’s score for predicting severe acute pancreatitis and establish the validity of BISAP score

Background: Pancreatitis can lead to serious complications with severe morbidity and mortality. So an early, quick and accurate scoring system is necessary to stratify the patients according to their severity so as to enable early initiation of required management and care. Scoring system commonly used have some drawbacks. This study aimed to compare bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) and Ranson’s score to predict severe acute pancreatitis and establish the validity of a simple and accurate clinical scoring system for stratifying patients.Methods: This is a prospective comparative study on 100 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis admitted in department of general surgery. Parameters included in the BISAP and Ranson’s criteria were studied at the time of admission and after 48 hours. Result of these two were compared with that of revised Atlanta classification.Results: As per the BISAP score, the sensitivity and specificity were 95.8 % (95% CI, 76.8-99.8), 94.7 % (95% CI, 86.3-98.3) whereas positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio 18.21 (95% CI, 6.9-47.44), 0.04 (95% CI, 0.01-0.30) and accuracy was 95 % (95% CI, 88.72%-98.36%). On using Ranson’s score, the sensitivity and specificity were 91.6 (95% CI, 71.5-98.5) and 89.4 (95% CI, 79.8-95) with a positive predictive value 8.71 (95% CI, 4.47-18.96) and negative predictive value of 0.09 (95% CI, 0.02-0.35) and accuracy of 90% (95% CI, 82.38%-95.10%)..Conclusions: BISAP score outperformed Ranson’s score in terms of Sensitivity and specificity of prediction of severe pancreatitis. The authors recommend inclusion of BISAP Scoring system in standard treatment protocol of management of acute pancreatitis.

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How to Analyze the Diagnostic Performance of a New Test? Explained with Illustrations

Journal of Laboratory Physicians ◽

10.1055/s-0041-1734019 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Deepak Dhamnetiya ◽

Ravi Prakash Jha ◽

Shalini Shalini ◽

Krittika Bhattacharyya

Keyword(s):

Diagnostic Test ◽

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Sensitivity And Specificity ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Diagnostic Tests ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Classification Model ◽

Statistical Decision ◽

Diagnostic Indices

AbstractDiagnostic tests are pivotal in modern medicine due to their applications in statistical decision-making regarding confirming or ruling out the presence of a disease in patients. In this regard, sensitivity and specificity are two most important and widely utilized components that measure the inherent validity of a diagnostic test for dichotomous outcomes against a gold standard test. Other diagnostic indices like positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio, accuracy of a diagnostic test, and the effect of prevalence on various diagnostic indices have also been discussed. We have tried to present the performance of a classification model at all classification thresholds by reviewing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the depiction of the tradeoff between sensitivity and (1–specificity) across a series of cutoff points when the diagnostic test is on a continuous scale. The area under the ROC (AUROC) and comparison of AUROCs of different tests have also been discussed. Reliability of a test is defined in terms of the repeatability of the test such that the test gives consistent results when repeated more than once on the same individual or material, under the same conditions. In this article, we have presented the calculation of kappa coefficient, which is the simplest way of finding the agreement between two observers by calculating the overall percentage of agreement. When the prevalence of disease in the population is low, prospective study becomes increasingly difficult to handle through the conventional design. Hence, we chose to describe three more designs along with the conventional one and presented the sensitivity and specificity calculations for those designs. We tried to offer some guidance in choosing the best possible design among these four designs, depending on a number of factors. The ultimate aim of this article is to provide the basic conceptual framework and interpretation of various diagnostic test indices, ROC analysis, comparison of diagnostic accuracy of different tests, and the reliability of a test so that the clinicians can use it effectively. Several R packages, as mentioned in this article, can prove handy during quantitative synthesis of clinical data related to diagnostic tests.

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1202 Validation Of A Novel Wearable Home Sleep Testing Device For Assessment Of Obstructive Sleep Apnea

SLEEP ◽

10.1093/sleep/zsaa056.1196 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 43 (Supplement_1) ◽

pp. A459-A460

Author(s):

E Yeh ◽

E Wong ◽

K Strohl ◽

W Gu ◽

C Tsai ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Obstructive Sleep Apnea ◽

Sleep Apnea ◽

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Sensitivity And Specificity ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Left Ventricular ◽

Clinical Practices ◽

Obstructive Sleep

Abstract Introduction There is a substantial need for an accurate and easy-to-use tool for obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) assessment. Belun Ring Platform (BRP), a novel photoplethysmography (PPG)-based home sleep apnea testing system with a proprietary deep learning algorithm, has been shown to have good sensitivity and specificity in predicting OSA in subjects without significant comorbidities and medications known to affect heart rate (HR). In this study, we further tested its performance in subjects referred for in-lab polysomnography (PSG) assessment of sleep disorders without excluding those with non-arrhythmia comorbidities or the subjects on HR-affecting medications. Methods PSG was recorded simultaneously with the Ring in the sleep lab and the studies were manually scored by certified sleep technicians according to the AASM Scoring manual version 2.4. Exclusion criteria include age <18, unstable cardiopulmonary status, recent hospitalization within 30 days, significant arrhythmias, baseline HR <50 or >100, home oxygen use, pacemaker/defibrillator, post-cardiac transplantation or Left ventricular assist device. Results A cohort of 78 individuals (26 males and 52 females, age 50.5) were studied with 26 taking HR-affecting medications. Of these, 35 (45%) had AHI < 5; 14 (18%) had AHI 5-15; 15 (19%) had AHI 15-30; 14 (18%) had AHI > 30. The Ring-REI correlated well with the PSG-AHI (r =0.83, P <0.001). The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity in categorizing AHI >15 were 0.808, 0.931, and 0.735 respectively. The positive predictive value, negative predictive value, positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio were 0.675, 0.947, 3.509, and 0.094 respectively. The use of HR-affecting medications did not significantly affect the sensitivity and specificity of BRP in predicting OSA (P =0.16 and 0.44 respectively). Conclusion BRP is promising as a reasonable tool for OSA assessment and can potentially be incorporated into a broad spectrum of clinical practices for identification of patients with OSA. Support This study is supported by a Grant from Belun Technology Company Limited.

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Correlación diagnóstica de la escala RIPASA en pacientes intervenidos quirúrgicamente por apendicitis aguda

Revista Argentina de Cirugía ◽

10.25132/raac.v112.n2.1452.es ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 112 (2) ◽

pp. 178-184

Author(s):

Rodrigo A. Gasque ◽

◽

Walter A. Moreno ◽

Gabriel E. Vigilante

Keyword(s):

Acute Appendicitis ◽

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Clinical Diagnosis ◽

Sensitivity And Specificity ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Histopathological Examination ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Cross Sectional ◽

Ripasa Score

Background: Acute appendicitis (AA) is the most common surgical emergency worldwide. Its correct and early diagnosis is essential to avoid unnecessary surgeries and complications associated with its natural history. Objective: The aim of this study was to determine the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity of the RIPASA score in patients with suspected AA. Material and methods: This analytical, cross-sectional, observational and retrospective study included appendectomy specimens of patients of both sexes > 18 years operated on with clinical diagnosis of AA between January 1 and December 31, 2017. The histopathological examination of the appendectomy specimens was considered the gold standard diagnostic test. A score of 7.5 for the RIPASA score was chosen as cut-off value. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated. Results: A total of 68 appendectomies were included; 57 (83.82%) specimens were positive for acute appendicitis. Mean age was 43.32 years. The histological diagnosis of AA was present in 32 (84.21%) men and in 25 (83.33%) women. For the RIPASA score, 54 patients had a true positive result (cut-off point ≥ 7.5 and positive histology for AA) with a sensitivity of 93%, specificity of 40%, PPV of 90%, NPV of 50%, positive likelihood ratio of 1.55 and negative likelihood ratio of 0.175. Conclusion: The RIPASA score has demonstrated excellent sensitivity and specificity for the clinical diagnosis of AA in a fast, simple and non-invasive fashion.

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A hematologic scoring system and C-reactive protein compared to blood cultures for diagnosing bacterial neonatal sepsis

Paediatrica Indonesiana ◽

10.14238/pi57.2.2017.70-5 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 57 (2) ◽

pp. 70

Author(s):

Deddy Eka Febri Liestiadi ◽

Emil Azlin ◽

Selvi Nafianti

Keyword(s):

Blood Culture ◽

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Neonatal Sepsis ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Scoring System ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Blood Cultures ◽

C Reactive Protein ◽

Reactive Protein

Background Neonatal sepsis is the leading cause of death after pneumonia. Definitive bacterial sepsis diagnoses are made by blood culture results, which require a lengthy time. C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and a hematologic scoring system by Rodwell et al. are rapid tests that may be useful for diagnosing neonatal sepsis. Objective To determine the diagnostic value of CRP measurement and a hematologic scoring system compared to blood culture as the gold standard for diagnosing neonatal sepsis. Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted from April to August 2015 in the Neonatology Ward of Haji Adam Malik Hospital, Medan. A total of 43 neonates who were clinically suspected to have sepsis underwent CRP, hematologic scoring, and blood cultures. The IT ratio and procalcitonin indices were also examined. Diagnostic values were analyzed by a 2x2 table.Results Fourteen percent from all sample had positive bacterial culture. The CRP measurements had a sensitivity of 92.8%, specificity of 62%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 54.1%, negative predictive value (NPV) of 94.7%, positive likelihood ratio (PLR) of 2.44, and negative likelihood ratio (NLR) of 0.11. The hematologic scoring system had a sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 82.7%, PPV of 73.6%, NPV of 100%, PLR of 5.78, and NLR of 0. Procalcitonin and IT ratio show a good value of sensitivity and NPV, respectively. Conclusion The hematologic scoring system has better specificity than CRP measurement as compared to blood culture. However, both tests have good sensitivity for diagnosing neonatal sepsis.

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Circulating tumour DNA methylation in hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis using digital droplet PCR

Journal of International Medical Research ◽

10.1177/0300060521992962 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 49 (3) ◽

pp. 030006052199296

Author(s):

Juan Wang ◽

Liu Yang ◽

Yanjun Diao ◽

Jiayun Liu ◽

Jinjie Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽

Dna Methylation ◽

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Control Group ◽

Control Subjects ◽

Droplet Pcr ◽

Healthy Control

Objective To evaluate the performance of a DNA methylation-based digital droplet polymerase chain reaction (ddPCR) assay to detect aberrant DNA methylation in cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and to determine its application in the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods The present study recruited patients with liver-related diseases and healthy control subjects. Blood samples were used for the extraction of cfDNA, which was then bisulfite converted and the extent of DNA methylation quantified using a ddPCR platform. Results A total of 97 patients with HCC, 80 healthy control subjects and 46 patients with chronic hepatitis B/C virus infection were enrolled in the study. The level of cfDNA in the HCC group was significantly higher than that in the healthy control group. For the detection of HCC, based on a cut-off value of 15.7% for the cfDNA methylation ratio, the sensitivity and specificity were 78.57% and 89.38%, respectively. The diagnostic accuracy was 85.27%, the positive predictive value was 81.91% and the negative predictive value was 87.20%. The positive likelihood ratio of 15.7% in HCC diagnosis was 7.40, while the negative likelihood ratio was 0.24. Conclusions A sensitive methylation-based assay might serve as a liquid biopsy test for diagnosing HCC.

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A reduced lymphocyte ratio as an early marker for predicting acute pancreatitis

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/srep44087 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 7 (1) ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Xiuzhong Qi ◽

Fangyong Yang ◽

Haitao Huang ◽

Yiqi Du ◽

Yan Chen ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Acute Pancreatitis ◽

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Disease Process ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Roc Curves ◽

Lymphocyte Ratio ◽

Severity Prediction ◽

Severity Grading ◽

Mild Acute Pancreatitis

Abstract The early diagnosis and severity grading for acute pancreatitis (AP) are difficult to determine because of the complexity and differences in disease process. To date, few studies have investigated the role of lymphocyte ratio (LR) in AP. Therefore, the objective of the present study was to investigate the prognostic value of LR as an indicator in AP, as well as determine an optimal cut-off value for the severity prediction. There were two hundred four patients involved in this study, ninety-two of whom had severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). The LR was analyzed on admission and correlated with severity, which was determined using the Atlanta classification. The optimal cut-off value for LR was generated using receiving operator characteristic (ROC) curves. The results showed that the LR in the SAP group decreased significantly compared to the mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) group (8.82 vs. 13.43). The optimal cut-off value obtained from ROC curves was 0.081, with a sensitivity of 80.4%, a specificity of 53.3%, a positive likelihood ratio of 1.722, and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.368. In conclusion, the LR is obviously related to the condition of AP patients and is valuable for the differential diagnosis of SAP in early stages of AP.

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Misuse of ultrasound for palpable undescended testis by primary care providers: A prospective study

Canadian Urological Association Journal ◽

10.5489/cuaj.3242 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 9 (11-12) ◽

pp. 387 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Nathan C Wong ◽

Rahul K Bansal ◽

Armando J Lorenzo ◽

Jorge DeMaria ◽

Luis H Braga

Keyword(s):

Primary Care ◽

Physical Examination ◽

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Undescended Testis ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Primary Care Providers ◽

Care Providers ◽

Hospital Patients

Introduction: Although previous evidence has shown that ultrasound is unreliable to diagnose undescended testis, many primary care providers (PCP) continue to misuse it. We assessed the performance of ultrasound as a diagnostic tool for palpable undescended testis, as well as the diagnostic agreement between PCP and pediatric urologists.Methods: We performed a prospective observational cohort study between 2011 and 2013 for consecutive boys referred with a diagnosis of undescended testis to our tertiary pediatric hospital. Patients referred without an ultrasound and those with non-palpable testes were excluded. Data on referring diagnosis, pediatric urology examination and ultrasound reports were analyzed.Results: Our study consisted of 339 boys. Of these, patients without an ultrasound (n = 132) and those with non-palpable testes (n = 38) were excluded. In the end, there were 169 pateints in this study. Ultrasound was performed in 50% of referred boys showing 256 undescended testis. The mean age at time of referral was 45 months. When ultrasound was compared to physical examination by the pediatric urologist, agreement was only 34%. The performance of ultrasound for palpable undescended testis was: sensitivity = 100%; specificity = 16%; positive predictive value = 34%; negative predictive value = 100%; positive likelihood ratio = 1.2; and negative likelihood ratio = 0. Diagnosis of undescended testis by PCP was confirmed by physical examination in 30% of cases, with 70% re-diagnosed with normal or retractile testes.Conclusion: Ultrasound performed poorly to assess for palpable undescended testis in boys and should not be used. Although the study has important limitations, there is an increasing need for education and evidence-based guidelines for PCP in the management of undescended testis.

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Clinical utility of microRNA-451 as diagnostic biomarker for human cancers

Bioscience Reports ◽

10.1042/bsr20180653 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 39 (1) ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Zhanzhan Li ◽

Yanyan Li ◽

Jun Fu ◽

Na Li ◽

Liangfang Shen

Keyword(s):

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Sensitivity And Specificity ◽

Odds Ratio ◽

Random Effect ◽

Random Effect Model ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Diagnostic Odds Ratio ◽

Diagnostic Ability ◽

Sensitivity Specificity

AbstractWe conducted comprehensive analyses to assess the diagnostic ability of miRNA-451 in cancers. A systematic online search was conducted in PubMed, Web of Science, China’s national knowledge infrastructure, and VIP databases from inception to July 31, 2017. The bivariate random effect model was used for calculating sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio, and area under cure (AUC). The whole pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.85 (0.77–0.90) and 0.85 (0.78–0.90) with their 95% confidence interval (95%CI), respectively. The pooled AUC was 0.91 (95%CI: 0.89–0.94). Positive likelihood ratio was 5.57 (95%CI: 3.74–8.31), negative likelihood ratio was 0.18 (95%CI: 0.11–0.28), and diagnostic odds ratio was 31.33 (95%CI: 15.19–64.61). Among Asian population, the sensitivity and specificity were 0.85 (95%CI: 0.77–0.91) and 0.86 (95%CI: 0.78–0.91), respectively. The positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio were 5.87 (95%CI: 3.78–9.12) and 0.17 (95%CI: 0.11–0.28). The diagnostic odds ratio and AUC were 34.31 (15.51–75.91) and 0.92 (0.89–0.94). The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio, and AUC for digestive system cancer were 0.83, 0.88, 6.87, 0.20, 35.13, and 0.92, respectively. The other cancers were 0.87, 0.81, 4.55, 0.16, 28.51, and 0.90, respectively. For sample source, the results still remain consistent. Our results indicated miRNA-451 has a moderate diagnostic ability for cancers, and could be a potential early screening biomarker, and considered as an adjuvant diagnostic index when being combined with other clinical examinations.

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Predictive Value of Interim PET/CT in DLBCL Treated with R-CHOP: Meta-Analysis

BioMed Research International ◽

10.1155/2015/648572 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 2015 ◽

pp. 1-8 ◽

Cited By ~ 11

Author(s):

Na Sun ◽

Jinhua Zhao ◽

Wenli Qiao ◽

Taisong Wang

Keyword(s):

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Meta Analysis ◽

Prognostic Significance ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Chop Chemotherapy ◽

Interim Pet ◽

Pet Ct ◽

Fdg Pet Ct

Objective.We conducted a meta-analysis to evaluate the predictive value of interim18F-FDG PET/CT in patients with DLBCL treated with R-CHOP chemotherapy.Methods.We searched for articles published in PubMed, ScienceDirect, Wiley, Scopus, and Ovid database from inception to March 2014. Articles related to interim PET/CT in patients with DLBCL treated with R-CHOP chemotherapy were selected. PFS with or without OS was chosen as the endpoint to evaluate the prognostic significance of interim PET/CT.Results.Six studies with a total of 605 cases were included. The sensitivity of interim PET/CT ranged from 21.2% to 89.7%, and the pooled sensitivity was 52.4%. The specificity of interim PET/CT ranged from 37.4% to 90.7%, and the pooled specificity was 67.8%. The pooled positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio were 1.780 and 0.706, respectively. The explained AUC was 0.6978 and theQ*was 0.6519.Conclusions.The sensitivity and specificity of interim PET/CT in predicting the outcome of DLBCL patients treated with R-CHOP chemotherapy were not satisfactory (52.4% and 67.8%, resp.). To improve this, some more work should be done to unify the response criteria and some more research to assess the prognostic value of interim PET/CT with semiquantitative analysis.

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Classification of Thyroid Nodules with Stacked Denoising Sparse Autoencoder

International Journal of Endocrinology ◽

10.1155/2020/9015713 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 2020 ◽

pp. 1-8

Author(s):

Zexin Li ◽

Kaiji Yang ◽

Lili Zhang ◽

Chiju Wei ◽

Peixuan Yang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Likelihood Ratio ◽

Predictive Value ◽

Thyroid Nodules ◽

Area Under The Curve ◽

Positive Likelihood Ratio ◽

Negative Likelihood Ratio ◽

Discriminative Ability ◽

Sparse Autoencoder ◽

Immune Related Genes

Purpose. Several commercial tests have been used for the classification of indeterminate thyroid nodules in cytology. However, the geographic inconvenience and high cost confine their widespread use. This study aims to develop a classifier for conveniently clinical utility. Methods. Gene expression data of thyroid nodule tissues were collected from three public databases. Immune-related genes were used to construct the classifier with stacked denoising sparse autoencoder. Results. The classifier performed well in discriminating malignant and benign thyroid nodules, with an area under the curve of 0.785 [0.638–0.931], accuracy of 92.9% [92.7–93.0%], sensitivity of 98.6% [95.9–101.3%], specificity of 58.3% [30.4–86.2%], positive likelihood ratio of 2.367 [1.211–4.625], and negative likelihood ratio of 0.024 [0.003–0.177]. In the cancer prevalence range of 20–40% for indeterminate thyroid nodules in cytology, the range of negative predictive value of this classifier was 37–61%, and the range of positive predictive value was 98–99%. Conclusion. The classifier developed in this study has the superb discriminative ability for thyroid nodules. However, it needs validation in cytologically indeterminate thyroid nodules before clinical use.

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