Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture in Latin America and the Caribbean: An Application of the Integrated Economic-Environmental Modeling (IEEM) Platform

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Onil Banerjee ◽  
Martin Cicowiez ◽  
Ana Rios ◽  
Cicero De Lima
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Labor Productivity ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Crop Productivity ◽  
Environmental Modeling ◽  
Sectoral Output ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
Negative Impacts ◽  
Agricultural Yields

In this paper, we assess the economy-wide impact of Climate Change (CC) on agriculture and food security in 20 Latin American and the Caribbean (LAC) countries. Specifically, we focus on the following three channels through which CC may affect agricultural and non-agricultural production: (i) agricultural yields; (ii) labor productivity in agriculture, and; (iii) economy-wide labor productivity. We implement the analysis using the Integrated Economic-Environmental Model (IEEM) and databases for 20 LAC available through the OPEN IEEM Platform. Our analysis identifies those countries most affected according to key indicators including Gross Domestic Product (GDP), international commerce, sectoral output, poverty, and emissions. Most countries experience negative impacts on GDP, with the exception of the major soybean producing countries, namely, Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay. We find that CC-induced crop productivity and labor productivity changes affect countries differently. The combined impact, however, indicates that Belize, Nicaragua, Guatemala and Paraguay would fare the worst. Early identification of these hardest hit countries can enable policy makers pre-empting these effects and beginning the design of adaptation strategies early on. In terms of greenhouse gas emissions, only Argentina, Chile and Uruguay would experience small increases in emissions.

Food Security and Climate Change

2022 ◽  
pp. 44-63
Author(s):  
Mohamed Ait El Mokhtar ◽  
Mohamed Anli ◽  
Raja Ben Laouane ◽  
Abderrahim Boutasknit ◽  
Hanane Boutaj ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Food Security ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Food Systems ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Crop Productivity ◽  
Global Pattern ◽  
Efficient Management ◽  
Negative Impacts ◽  
The Stability

Climate change may potentially disrupt progress toward a world without hunger. Today, a clear and consistent global pattern is perceptible of the different impacts of climate change on crop productivity that could have repercussions on food security. Consequently, the stability of the whole food systems may be at risk under climate change because of its unpredictable variations. Indeed, agricultural production is highly vulnerable even to 2°C predictions augmentation for global mean temperatures in 2100, with major implications for poverty and for food security. The climate change impacts seem to be clear in areas currently affected by hunger and undernutrition, which will heighten food insecurity in these parts of the world. Therefore, adapting food systems both to increase food security and to prevent future negative impacts from climate change will require attention to more than just agricultural production. The evidence sustains the need for thoughtful investment in adaptation and mitigation actions toward an efficient management of climate change influences on food security.

Food Security and Climate Change

2019 ◽  
pp. 53-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Ait El Mokhtar ◽  
Mohamed Anli ◽  
Raja Ben Laouane ◽  
Abderrahim Boutasknit ◽  
Hanane Boutaj ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Food Security ◽  
Agricultural Production ◽  
Food Systems ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Crop Productivity ◽  
Global Pattern ◽  
Efficient Management ◽  
Negative Impacts ◽  
The Stability

Climate change may potentially disrupt progress toward a world without hunger. Today, a clear and consistent global pattern is perceptible of the different impacts of climate change on crop productivity that could have repercussions on food security. Consequently, the stability of the whole food systems may be at risk under climate change because of its unpredictable variations. Indeed, agricultural production is highly vulnerable even to 2°C predictions augmentation for global mean temperatures in 2100, with major implications for poverty and for food security. The climate change impacts seem to be clear in areas currently affected by hunger and undernutrition, which will heighten food insecurity in these parts of the world. Therefore, adapting food systems both to increase food security and to prevent future negative impacts from climate change will require attention to more than just agricultural production. The evidence sustains the need for thoughtful investment in adaptation and mitigation actions toward an efficient management of climate change influences on food security.

IDB Group and Climate Action

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Paris Agreement ◽  
Climate Finance ◽  
Development Bank ◽  
Multilateral Development Banks ◽  
Climate Action ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
Development Banks ◽  
Bank Group

As one of the leading development partners for Latin American and the Caribbean (LAC), the Inter-American Development Bank Group (IDB Group) is fully committed to lead by example on climate change action. Since the signing of the Paris Agreement, the IDB Group has provided over $20 billion in Climate Finance, amounting to about 60% of all Climate Finance to the region from Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs).

Study of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Women and Men in the Caribbean: Pilot Programme for Climate Resilience Countries

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Project Teams ◽  
Gender Mainstreaming ◽  
Gender Inequalities ◽  
National Programme ◽  
Pilot Programme ◽  
Climate Resilience ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
Country Office

This report aims to provide an overview of the gender and climate resilience nexus in the Caribbean and provide gender-inclusive recommendations for climate resilience programmes in the region. This report has been developed within the context of the Caribbean Pilot Programme for Climate Resilience (PPCR) to support gender mainstreaming into the regional and national programme activities. Specifically, the report seeks to: Understand how men and women participate in climate resilience programmes and how gender inequalities are exacerbated by climate change impacts in the sectors covered by the PPCR. Identify institutional arrangements and good practices for integrating gender equality concerns in Caribbean climate resilience programmes. The audience for this report is PPCR stakeholders (e.g. executing agencies, implementing partners, Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) country office teams) and project teams in the Caribbean seeking to mainstream gender into climate resilience projects in the future.

The Caribbean's Response to Climate Change Impacts

2017 ◽  
pp. 713-738
Author(s):  
Steve Maximay
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Agricultural Development ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Development Discourse ◽  
Caribbean Islands ◽  
Vulnerability To Climate Change ◽  
Chronological Sequence ◽  
The Caribbean

To fully appreciate climate change impacts and adaptations in the Caribbean, several aspects of the phenomenon and the region's response must be placed in historical and chronological sequence. This chapter starts with a review of the Caribbean islands, focusing on the agricultural sector and its vulnerability to climate change impacts. It then provides a brief review of the Caribbean's foray into organized planning for climate change; the early advocacy of those who believed the issue was a serious threat to the region, and the projects that were developed. It also traces organized institutional level responses, some national efforts, and the degree to which climate change issues have now become part of the routine agricultural development discourse. An overview of the possible climate change impacts and the programmed adaptations at a regional level are presented, and the chapter ends with a look at the importance of communication to raise awareness and ultimately change behaviours.

Cuba and Integration Processes in Latin America and the Caribbean

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Oliva Campos ◽  
Gary Prevost
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Regional Integration ◽  
Jose Marti ◽  
Eastern European ◽  
Post Cold War ◽  
Simon Bolivar ◽  
Cuban Government ◽  
The Caribbean ◽  
Negative Impacts

The uniting core of all the Cuban revolutionary government’s unfolding politics toward Latin American and Caribbean countries has been based on three foundational tenets: the staunch defense of a unified perspective that spans national to regional; the recovery of the historic principles of regional integration defended by Simón Bolívar and José Martí, and the unalterable anti-imperialist position of its international relations. Unlike the enormous negative impacts that the demise of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) and Eastern-European socialism caused Cuba, the new political and geo-economic scene of the post–Cold War turned out to be very favorable for a Cuban government that shifted to redefine its relationships with Latin America and the Caribbean. This was strengthened by the victory of progressive and leftist governments in influential countries such as Brazil, Argentina, and Venezuela. The new regional circumstances have been the most propitious for the development of the integrationist vision historically supported by the Cuban Revolution.

Integrated Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on Corn Yield in the U.S. Using a Crop Model

2017 ◽  
Vol 60 (6) ◽  
pp. 2123-2136
Author(s):  
Kenichi Tatsumi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Crop Model ◽  
Corn Yield ◽  
Negative Impacts ◽  
Growing Conditions ◽  
Almost All ◽  
The U.S

Abstract. A detailed analysis was conducted of the effects of climate change and increased carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations on corn yield in the U.S. with a crop model using outputs from multiple general circulation models (multi-GCMs). Corn yield was simulated for 1999-2010, for the 2050s (average for 2041-2060), and for the 2070s (average for 2061-2080) under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) climate scenario. Results indicated a shortening of the growing period (GP), decreased water use efficiency (WUE) in almost all regions, and increased evapotranspiration (ET) during GP in almost all regions except for the southern U.S. Using multi-GCMs, the simulations under the RCP8.5 scenario resulted in negative effects of climate change on yield in almost all regions during both future periods. Especially strong negative impacts were reported south of latitude 40° N due to less optimal growing conditions. On the other hand, there were relatively smaller negative impacts in high-latitude regions (approximately north of latitude 40° N) due to more optimal growing conditions because of larger temperature changes compared to low-latitude and mid-latitude regions. Higher CO2 concentrations have the potential to increase corn yield. CO2 effects resulted in an approximately 0.04% to 0.05% increase in yield per 1 ppm increase in CO2 concentration under the RCP8.5 scenario, but the negative impacts of increased temperatures fully outweighed the CO2-fertilization effects. Keywords: Climate change impacts, CO2 effects, Corn yield, Multiple GCMs, Uncertainty.

Upscaling modelled crop yields to regional scale: A case study using DSSAT for spring wheat on the Canadian prairies

2015 ◽  
Vol 95 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ted Huffman ◽  
Budong Qian ◽  
Reinder De Jong ◽  
Jiangui Liu ◽  
Hong Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Crop Yields ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Crop Productivity ◽  
Canadian Prairies ◽  
Crop Models

Huffman, T., Qian, B., De Jong, R., Liu, J., Wang, H., McConkey, B., Brierley, T. and Yang, J. 2015. Upscaling modelled crop yields to regional scale: A case study using DSSAT for spring wheat on the Canadian prairies. Can. J. Soil Sci. 95: 49–61. Dynamic crop models are often operated at the plot or field scale. Upscaling is necessary when the process-based crop models are used for regional applications, such as forecasting regional crop yields and assessing climate change impacts on regional crop productivity. Dynamic crop models often require detailed input data for climate, soil and crop management; thus, their reliability may decrease at the regional scale as the uncertainty of simulation results might increase due to uncertainties in the input data. In this study, we modelled spring wheat yields at the level of numerous individual soils using the CERES–Wheat model in the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) and then aggregated the simulated yields from individual soils to regions where crop yields were reported. A comparison between the aggregated and the reported yields was performed to examine the potential of using dynamic crop models with individual soils in a region for the simulation of regional crop yields. The regionally aggregated simulated yields demonstrated reasonable agreement with the reported data, with a correlation coefficient of 0.71 and a root-mean-square error of 266 kg ha−1 (i.e., 15% of the average yield) over 40 regions on the Canadian prairies. Our conclusion is that aggregating simulated crop yields on individual soils with a crop model can be reliable for the estimation of regional crop yields. This demonstrated its potential as a useful approach for using crop models to assess climate change impacts on regional crop productivity.

Carbon-sensitive productivity, climate and institutions

2015 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Surender Kumar ◽  
Shunsuke Managi
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Developing Countries ◽  
Productivity Growth ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Growth Potential ◽  
Technological Adoption ◽  
Lost Productivity ◽  
Reduce Emissions ◽  
Negative Impacts ◽  
The Cost

AbstractClimate and institutions might be crucial in lowering the vagaries of climate change impacts in terms of productivity. This study measures the relationships of productivity measures adjusted for the regulation of carbon emission and institutions together with climate change throughout the world. This paper finds that there is higher potential for reduction of CO2emissions in developing countries at lower cost. However, the cost to reduce emissions lowers their growth potential in terms of lost productivity growth. Better institutions help to lower the negative impacts of climate change by improving the process of technological adoption in developing countries. Climate change reduces the productivity growth in developing countries by lowering the process of technological adoption, and better institutions result in higher productivity.

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