scholarly journals Determinants of Private Investors’ Behavior on Russian Stock Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 8-43
Author(s):  
Alexander Abramov ◽  
Alexander Radygin ◽  
Maria Chernova

The article explores behavior features of different group of private investors on the Moscow and Saint Petersburg stock exchanges. It was found that the change in the size of the biggest group of registered broker clients on Moscow Exchange depended heavily on growth of real income and key characteristics of passive forms of income, such as deposit rates, government bond returns and stock dividend yield. Active broker clients on the Moscow stock exchange mainly focused on more speculative factors, such as equity premium, equity volatility, foreign stocks’ returns and exchange rate. The growth of individual investment accounts depended on factors of both active and speculative forms of income. The quantity of broker clients on Saint-Petersburg Exchange relied on an even wider set of factors, which included not only risk and returns on national markets, but also characteristics of foreign assets and exchange rates. The two Russian exchanges are interrelated. The bond and equity premium growth makes the national market more attractive than foreign assets. The expansion of private investors on the stock market in Russia, which began in 2018, is explained not only by a search for other investment instruments apart from deposits, especially under the ongoing decline in interest rates, but also by a growing interest in individual investment accounts. The latter represent a positive example of state influence on people’s savings through tax policy. Another factor of the raise of private investments was the implementation of modern investment platforms and active promotion of broker services by major banks. The financial crisis which begun in March 2020 can become a serious challenge for millions of private investors who had opened accounts in the previous two years.

Subject The Russian stock market. Significance The Russian stock market offered high returns last year, as the Moscow stock exchange posted the highest annual growth of any of its emerging-market peers. The momentum carried over into January and the market reacted positively to a change in government, but the spread of the new coronavirus hit global oil prices. Impacts Low and declining Russian interest rates will encourage further investment inflows into equities. New IPO issuance will improve large firms' financial firepower. Output growth by Novatek should keep it in top position as Russia's most valuable private firm.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 95-101
Author(s):  
Rogneda Vasilyeva ◽  
Valentin Voytenkov ◽  
Alina Urazbaeva

Currently, financial markets are growing rapidly, which increases the necessity to examine the financial sector. Considering the Russian Federation, the amount of private investors has doubled in Russia since the beginning of 2020 (Finam, 2020). It is important to realize how cash flows between the largest stock market indices. The main hypothesis of the research suggests that the U.S., Germany, and China markets result in significant changes in the Russian stock market. The research objective is to determine the degree of the Russian stock market dependence on the markets of developed and developing countries using methods of econometric analysis. Daily data on S&P500, DAX30, Hang Seng, and Moscow Exchange Index from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019, were taken. The research method chosen is a cointegration approach, including the construction of vector autoregression and vector error-correction models and the application of Impulse Response Functions. The results of the Granger causality test reveal no significant interconnection between the Dax30 and the Moscow Stock Exchange Index; the S&P500 affects the Moscow Exchange Index, whereas the Russian stock market affects the Chinese one. According to the cointegration analysis, there is a strong positive influence of the American stock market on the Russian stock market, which does not decrease during the researched period. The stock indices of China and Germany show a weak quantitative influence and mixed dynamics for a long time. The results of the research could be used as recommendations for making management decisions by private investors, hedge funds and managers of large companies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 72 (05) ◽  
pp. 528-537
Author(s):  
CRISTI SPULBĂR ◽  
RAMONA BIRĂU ◽  
VICTOR OLUWI ◽  
ABDULLAH EJAZ ◽  
TIBERIU HORAȚIU GORUN ◽  
...  

This research study explores the diversification opportunity among 18 European stock market indices for the sample period from January 2001 to December 2019. However, financial education plays an important role in the development of the textile industry, considering the dynamics of the companies listed on the European stock exchanges. The correlation matrix, pairwise cointegration and Johansen cointegration reveal that selected 18 European stock market indices do not reduces the portfolio risk because exhibit higher positive correlation among them, and their movement pulsed in tandem. Potential investors are attracted by high investment opportunities in order to maximize their return based on portfolio diversification. Financial education can effectively contribute to the sustainable growth of the textile industry in Europe. This empirical research provides an integrated perspective on the long-term evolution of certain major European stock exchange indices. The findings have significant implications for investors interested in selecting these European stock indices in order to diversify their portfolio risk. Our study also imply that selected stock indices have been strongly affected by similar political and financial belies across Europe thus, eliminating the possibility of portfolio risk diversification.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (87) ◽  
Author(s):  
Okseniuk Kateryna ◽  

The article is devoted to the study of the current state, problems and prospects of development of the Ukrainian stock market. It is proved that the stock market is a tool for implementing the state's Innovation Policy and a priority factor in mobilizing financial and capital resources. Stock market commodities are securities (stocks, bonds, etc.). Trends, features of functioning and development of the Ukrainian stock market are analysed. The analysis of the main indicators of exchanges, the structure and volume of exchange contracts with securities is carried out. The structural distribution of exchange contracts by trading organizers is established. The analysis of operations with securities on the organized market, unorganized market and stock exchanges of the country is carried out. The largest volume of trading on financial instruments on trade organizers in 2019 was recorded with government bonds of Ukraine – UAH 295 billion according to the National Securities and stock market Commission, the exchange market during 2019 saw consolidation of securities trading on two stock exchanges “Perspektyva” and “PFTS Ukraine Stock Exchange”: 98.7% of the value of exchange contracts. Analysis of the main indicators that determine the state of the stock market has shown that the modern securities market of Ukraine is characterized by an extremely high degree of fragmentation, limited liquidity and a variety of types of securities, which, in turn, are the main obstacles to the development of the stock market and the capital market as a whole. Attention is focused on the main problems that hinder the functioning of the stock market. It is proved that the development of the stock market is hindered by: insufficient competitiveness of the domestic stock market; imperfect tax incentives for market development; low level of corporate governance development; imperfect regulatory and legislative framework of Ukraine; low liquidity and capitalization. The directions of development of the stock market of Ukraine are proposed: improving the efficiency of regulation of issuers; stimulating the inflow of investment to the stock market; ensuring reliable and efficient functioning of the market infrastructure; ensuring the functioning of the unified state policy for stimulating the improvement of the investment climate.


Author(s):  
Andrii BLAHODATNYI

The article examines the role of the commodity exchange as an innovative and institutional element in the development of international commodity markets. The current trends in the development of the international commodity stock market have been determined, compared to the volumes of world futures and options for 2018-2019, the number of outstanding contracts and their changes have been investigated. The transformation processes inherent in the international commodity exchange are considered and characterized. The structure of the international stock market by geographical regions is reflected. Trading volumes in different regions of 2019 are compared to 2018. Analysis of futures, options index of the capital index, interest rate trading, energy futures, options trading and precious metals trade have been done. The results of the world's largest stock exchanges by volume of trading in 2018-2019 are presented. One of the criteria examined is the volume of trading on the Intercontinental Exchange, which is due to the lower level of activity on all its subsidiaries in Europe, North America and the Asia-Pacific region. The current state of stock exchange trade in Ukraine is analysed, examples of obstacles for the effective functioning of stock exchanges of Ukraine are given. The development of commodity exchanges in Ukraine over recent years is considered, with an indication of the tendency of their development. Examples of commodities are indicated that will be used for the development of the commodity stock market of Ukraine. The statistical information on the number and structure of exchanges by specialization, their characteristics and role are investigated. The conclusions on the stock role market in an economy have been formed. The international experience of trading on the exchanges is generalized. The evolution of the stock market from the fair to the modern electronic stock market with its advantages and convenience is noted. The conclusions of the development of stock exchange trade in Ukraine are summarized: namely obstacles to its development and misunderstanding of advantages. Suggestions for successful development of stock exchange trading are given in accordance with world experience and national peculiarities. Key words: commodity exchange, futures, option, stock trading, international commodity exchanges, agricultural products, market infrastructure, stock exchange.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dzung Phan Tran Trung ◽  
Hung Pham Quang

This paper aims to test the adaptive market hypothesis in the two main Vietnamese stock exchanges, namely Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HSX) and Hanoi Stock Exchange (HNX), by measuring the relationship between current stock returns and historical stock returns. In particular, the tests employed are the automatic variance ratio test (“AVR”), the automatic portmanteau test (“AP”), the generalized spectral test (“GS”), and the time-varying autoregressive (TV-AR) approach. The empirical results validate the adaptive market hypothesis in the Vietnamese stock market. Furthermore, the results suggest that the evolution of HSX has served as an important factor of the adaptive market hypothesis.


Author(s):  
Shohani Upeksha Badullahewage

The main objective of this research is to analyze the vital impact of macroeconomic factors on the stock market performance in Sri Lanka. All the factors which have a direct impact on the working of the emerging stock market have hereby studied. The relationship between the pivotal factors such as inflation, gross domestic product, interest rates, and exchange rates has been properly conducted with the assistance of the indexes. The results of the analysis revealed that all these factors have an inseparable impact over the performance of the stock market and Sri Lankan stock market performance has eventually over gone through many ups and downs because of them as well. It has been revealed that among all the factors that have been discussed, inflation and exchange rates have comparatively higher effects on the stock market performance. It shows a fluctuation because of the unpredictable nature of these factors. Colombo Stock Exchange has seen a tremendous change in its performance over a period for which these factors have played a prominent as well as a vital role in it its functioning.


Author(s):  
Shafiu Abdullahi

Purpose: The main objective of this study is to examine the relationship between Nigerian Stock Exchange and Dubai stock exchange with the aim of finding out the direction of movements between their respective indices. Approach/Methodology/Design: The methodology adopted for the analysis is ARDL cointegration model and the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM). This is because of their known efficiency in detecting patterns between variables. Findings: The result of the short-run analysis using GMM shows that there is existence of short-run causality between the Dubai financial market (DFM) and the Nigerian stock exchange (NSE). Thus, for investors looking for short- run arbitrage opportunity between the markets, they shall look elsewhere. But, the result of bound testing has shown lack of cointegration between the two markets. This is a sign of existence of opportunities for portfolio diversification between Nigeria stock exchange and Dubai financial market, since the two markets are not cointegrated in the long-run. Practical Implications: The study helps bridge the empirical literature gap in stock market integration and portfolio diversification with reference to the Nigeria and UAE. It will, therefore, guide local and foreign investors with interest in Nigeria and UAE Stock Exchanges. It will also guide Nigerian and UAE policy makers to understand the market better, especially as it concerns financial contagion. Originality/value: This study provides further evidence on stock market integration in emerging markets. New researches shall adopt different methodology such as use of volatility tracking models to measure volatility linkage between the markets.


2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (5) ◽  
pp. 1151-1169
Author(s):  
M.Zh. Galustyan ◽  
I.V. Sycheva

Subject. This article deals with the issues of involvement and participation of private investors in stock market trading. Objectives. The article aims to systematize stock risks in terms of improving the quality of private investor risk management and develop a scientific and methodological approach to the construction of a private investor's portfolio on the stock market, which helps minimize risk in various stock trading strategies. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of logical and statistical analyses, correlation, and classification. Results. The article presents a classification of stock market risk, helping apply the criteria of quantitative assessment and source of risk. The developed methodology helps a private investor build a portfolio with minimal risk on the Russian stock market. Conclusions. The existing methods to identify a number of risks are incorrect and need to be refined. For the sustainable development of the country's stock market, it is necessary to develop new and disseminate the current methods to reduce stock risk for the private investor. Based on the presented classification of stock risk, it is possible to develop other new effective methods.


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