scholarly journals Impact De La Volatilité De Change Sur La Performance Financière Des Entreprises Cotées

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (19) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
El Mehdi Mrhari ◽  
Driss Daoui

The main objective of this article is to measure and analyze the exchange rate volatility impact on the financial performance of Moroccan companies listed on Casablanca Stock Exchange during the last decade. We used linear models to study a sample of 56 companies. This paper prove the link between Dirham volatility and the companies financial performance, however this relationship was weak. In addition, we discussed the causes of this phenomenon and its managerial implications.

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 106-116
Author(s):  
Suyono Suyono

The growth of companies in the plantation sector, it can be assumed that the plantation sector in Indonesia is still classified as a potential. so that it can be a benchmark for many investors in investing in the plantation sector. One of the indicators in investing can be seen from the financial performance, the company's stock price and the exchange rate. The study found that there were differences between financial performance, stock prices and the exchange rate of plantation sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2015-2018. This research was conducted as a measure of investors to invest in companies. This research method uses a quantitative approach because to find out and analyze differences in financial performance, stock prices and macroeconomic variables in plantation companies with a different approach and test the correctness of existing theories. While the hypothesis test used is the Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) method. The results showed there was no difference between the stock price and the exchange rate (KURS) of the company. Whereas the financial performance variable (ROA) points to a significant difference between the financial performance of one plantation company from another during the priod 2015-2018. Keywords: Stock Prices, Financial Performance (ROA), Macroeconomics (KURS)


2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-70
Author(s):  
Hasanah Setyowati ◽  
Riyanti Ningsih

This study aimed to obtain empirical evidence on the influence of fundamental factors, systematic risk and macroeconomics on the returns Islamic stock of companies incorporated in the Jakarta Islamic Index in 2010-2014. The variables used were the fundamental factors that are proxied by Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER); Systematic risk is proxied by Beta Shares; macroeconomic factors is proxied by the inflation rate and the exchange rate. The samples of this study are the enterprises incorporated in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) at the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The sampling method was using purposive sampling. There were 12 samples of Islamic stocks that meet the criteria to be used as samples. The analysis model used is multiple linear regression techniques and the type of data used is secondary data. The study found that all variables, which are Earning Per Share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE), Debt to Equity Ratio (DER), Beta stock, inflation and the exchange rate do not significantly affect the return of sharia stock either simultaneously or partially.


Author(s):  
Juan R. Castro

The document conducts an empirical investigation on the volatility of the Chilean exchange rate regime, using a model of Objective Zones. Through the use of the ARCH model, the document tests the volatility of the exchange rate in the presence of different levels of international reserves and other macroeconomic shocks. The results show that domestic credit, domestic debt and external debt have the greatest impact on the volatility of the variables studied, especially when compared with other fundamental variables. The variance of the exchange rate is heterosedastic but it is not persistent, which implies that the exchange rate is stable, probably when it oscillates between two bands. The volatility of the exchange rate fluctuates to a greater extent in the face of changes in internal and external debt, than with the other variables used.


2021 ◽  
Vol 69 ◽  
pp. 705-719
Author(s):  
Gen-Fu Feng ◽  
Hao-Chang Yang ◽  
Qiang Gong ◽  
Chun-Ping Chang

Author(s):  
Muhammad Zubair Chishti ◽  
Hafiz Syed Muhammad Azeem ◽  
Farrukh Mahmood ◽  
Adeel Ahmed Sheikh

The current study endeavors to explore the effects of oscillations in the exchange rate on the household aggregate consumption of developed, emerging, and developing economies, employing the panel data from 1995 to 2017. To select an appropriate panel data estimation technique, we apply Brush-Pagan & Hausman Tests for each set of chosen economies. Further, our study deduces that, in the case of developed economies, the oscillations in the exchange rate, significantly, affect the domestic consumption, supporting Alexander’s (1952) conjecture. However, in the case of emerging and developing economies, aggregate consumption does not respond to the exchange rate volatility.


2006 ◽  
Vol 96 (3) ◽  
pp. 552-576 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Bacchetta ◽  
Eric van Wincoop

Empirical evidence shows that most exchange rate volatility at short to medium horizons is related to order flow and not to macroeconomic variables. We introduce symmetric information dispersion about future macroeconomic fundamentals in a dynamic rational expectations model in order to explain these stylized facts. Consistent with the evidence, the model implies that (a) observed fundamentals account for little of exchange rate volatility in the short to medium run, (b) over long horizons, the exchange rate is closely related to observed fundamentals, (c) exchange rate changes are a weak predictor of future fundamentals, and (d) the exchange rate is closely related to order flow.


2021 ◽  
pp. 227853372110337
Author(s):  
Zakiya Begum Sayed ◽  
J. Gayathri

Exchange rate exposure is a strategic decision in finance and risk management at both the micro and macro level of business operations. Literature on the measurement, and management of this risk, has had no consensus on the factors affecting it as these factors seem to be dynamic. In an effort to consider a comprehensive study at the firm level, this article examines the exchange rate exposure of 271 constituent firms from the BSE S&P 500 index. The study period was 2001 to 2020 divided into sub-periods around the financial crises of 2008. The study uses two contemporary approaches (the capital market approach and the cash flow approach) and five relevant exchange rates (USD, EURO, GBP, JPY, and REER) to measure the foreign exchange. The sample firms were divided into 10 industrial sectors to identify the factors that lead to exposure of firms to exchange rate volatility. We use multinomial logistic regression to regress the select factors with the measured value of exchange rate exposure. The findings of the article suggest that multinationality, fixed asset utilization ratio, hedging activities, industrial sectors, size, and age of the firms are the significant determinants of such exposure. The results varied during the sub-periods and across industries.


2010 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 261-282 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duarte Portugal ◽  
Sousa Andrade ◽  
Adelaide Duarte

The aim of this study is to analyse the exchange rate and interest rate distribution and volatility under the participation of the Portuguese economy in the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS) based on some of the main predictions of the target zone literature. Portugal adopted this exchange rate target zone from April 6 1992 until December 31 1998. During this period, the exchange rate distribution reveals that the majority of the observations lie close to the central parity, thus rejecting one of the key predictions of the Paul Krugman (1991) model. The analysis of the data also shows that exchange rate volatility tended to increase as the exchange rate approached the edges of the band, contrary to the predictions of the basic model. Interest rate differential volatility, on the other hand, seemed to behave in line with theoretical predictions. This suggests an increase in the credibility of monetary policy, allowing us to conclude that the adoption of a target zone has contributed decisively to the creation of the macroeconomic stability conditions necessary for the participation in the European Monetary Union (EMU). The Portuguese integration process should therefore be considered as an example to be followed by other small open economies in transition to the euro area.


2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-45
Author(s):  
Wayrohi Meilvidiri ◽  
Syahruddin Syahruddin ◽  
Romualdus Turu Putra Maro Djanggo

This study uses the q to q dataset for the period 2011-2018, to examine the effect of trade openness on the exchange rate, on the other hand variable money supply, inflation and GDP growth and high-low exchange rates (dummy) will smooth the impact of shocks to the exchange rate . Using the OLS econometric estimator to see the effect of variables and the ARCH method to measure the uncertainty of exchange rate movements. Estimation results show that trade openness (open trade index); the money supply (money supply) and the high-low peak value of the exchange rate have a significant positive effect while the growth variable has a significant negative effect on exchange rate volatility. The LM test simultaneously found ARCH in residual data in lag 1 and lag 2. The normality test found abnormal residuals, while the residual heteroscedasticity test showed no ARCH problems in the last residuals.


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